CNX Resources (CNX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.35 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
CNX Resources (CNX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.35Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.23, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | Key risksCNX key risks include [1] its history of environmental non-compliance, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include US LNG, Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.23, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% |
| Key risksCNX key risks include [1] its history of environmental non-compliance, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why CNX Resources (CNX) stock moved by 31.3% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance
CNX Resources reported a substantial earnings per share (EPS) of $1.21 for the third quarter of 2025, significantly exceeding the forecasted $0.40, a surprise of 202.5%. Revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $583.8 million against an anticipated $438.29 million. Following this announcement on October 30, 2025, the stock experienced a notable increase in pre-market trading. The company further boosted its full-year 2025 free cash flow guidance to approximately $640 million from an earlier estimate of $575 million, driven by additional asset sales and a slight increase in production volume guidance.
2. Convertible Notes Exchange to Optimize Debt Structure
On December 17, 2025, CNX Resources completed a privately negotiated exchange of approximately $122.1 million of its 2.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. This transaction involved a cash payment of about $0.8 million and the issuance of 9,509,188 shares of common stock, a strategic move aimed at optimizing the company's debt structure and enhancing financial flexibility. This capital restructuring was viewed positively by analysts, as it reduces future debt obligations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNX Return | 22% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 83% | 2% | 324% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 10493% | 44% | 20% | 27% | 4% | 26468% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNX Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 67% | 42% | 75% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 55% | 63% | 55% | 50% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNX Max Drawdown | -43% | -2% | 0% | -14% | -4% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -62% | -2% | -6% | -16% | -11% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQT, RRC, AR, CTRA, GPOR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 952 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 523.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to SR, CVI, BTU, BSM, COP
In The Past
CNX Resources's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 09302022 | CNX | CNX Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 45.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 09302022 | CNX | CNX Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 45.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CNX Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| Rev LTM | 3,879 |
| Op Inc LTM | 757 |
| FCF LTM | 877 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 761 |
| CFO LTM | 1,335 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,171 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 31.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 34.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 50.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 54.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 11.3 |
| P/E | 16.6 |
| P/CFO | 5.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -22.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shale | 1,237 | 3,404 | 2,070 | 846 | 1,199 |
| Other | 139 | 206 | 126 | 125 | 183 |
| Coalbed Methane | 131 | 315 | 194 | 114 | 164 |
| Total | 1,506 | 3,925 | 2,390 | 1,085 | 1,546 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shale | 6,657 | 6,452 | 6,071 | 6,069 | 6,527 |
| Other | 1,021 | 1,105 | 981 | 877 | 1,312 |
| Coalbed Methane | 949 | 959 | 1,048 | 1,096 | 1,222 |
| Total | 8,627 | 8,516 | 8,101 | 8,042 | 9,061 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 2.5% | 7.1% | 23.8% |
| 7/24/2025 | -2.7% | -9.1% | -13.5% |
| 4/24/2025 | -5.0% | -3.8% | 2.0% |
| 1/30/2025 | -1.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| 10/24/2024 | 3.8% | -2.1% | 13.4% |
| 7/25/2024 | 0.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% |
| 4/25/2024 | -1.1% | -5.3% | 1.7% |
| 1/25/2024 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -5.3% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 19.8% | 23.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.1% | -15.4% | -20.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |