APA (APA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.62 | Market Cap: $8.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
APA (APA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.62Market Cap: $8.8 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 4.8 Bil | Key risksAPA key risks include [1] production curtailments due to weak Waha hub natural gas prices, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oil Production, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 4.8 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oil Production, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% |
| Key risksAPA key risks include [1] production curtailments due to weak Waha hub natural gas prices, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
APA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movement of APA Corporation's stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial and Operational Results: APA Corporation announced its third-quarter 2025 financial and operational results on November 5, 2025. The company reported net income attributable to common stock of $603 million, or $1.67 per diluted share, with adjusted earnings of $313 million, or $0.87 per diluted share. These strong quarterly earnings, which beat analyst estimates, were cited as a reason for a significant surge in the stock on December 3, 2025.
2. Significant Institutional Investment and Increased Investor Confidence: On December 3, 2025, APA Corporation's shares surged, partly due to significant institutional buying. JPMorgan Chase & Co., for instance, substantially increased its stake in the company by purchasing an additional 481,420 shares, bringing its total holding to 1,864,340 shares valued at approximately $34.1 million. This increase in institutional investment further boosted investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| APA Return | � | � | 76% | -21% | -33% | 9% | � |
| Peers Return | -39% | 101% | 56% | -1% | 4% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| APA Win Rate | � | 78% | 67% | 33% | 25% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 72% | 65% | 53% | 47% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| APA Max Drawdown | � | � | 0% | -32% | -41% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -71% | -1% | -2% | -19% | -13% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EOG, OKE, DVN, BSM, COP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | APA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to EOG, OKE, DVN, BSM, COP
In The Past
APA's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| APA Earnings Notes | |||
| Where Does APA Stock Rank Among Competitors? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for APA Stock with -12% Return (vs. -19% YTD) [7/16/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for APA Stock with -9% Return (vs. -17% YTD) [7/15/2025] | |||
| APA Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for APA Stock with -12% Return (vs. -21% YTD) [6/25/2025] | |||
| APA (APA) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| APA Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -29.4% in 2024 and 1.7% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| null | |||
| APA (APA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 2nd, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: DDOG, TPL, APA | Losers: DASH, HOOD, PAYC | November 7th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to APA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 09302022 | APA | APA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 23.2% | -6.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| 09302022 | APA | APA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 23.2% | -6.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for APA
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 73.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 46.1 |
| Rev LTM | 20,024 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,932 |
| FCF LTM | 2,869 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,220 |
| CFO LTM | 6,252 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,772 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 42.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 46.1 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 7.3 |
| P/E | 11.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.9 |
| Total Yield | 12.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids | 8,279 | ||||
| Midstream service affiliate revenues | 0 | ||||
| Natural gas liquids revenues | 816 | 706 | 333 | 407 | |
| Natural gas revenues | 1,569 | 1,207 | 598 | 678 | |
| Oil revenues | 6,835 | 4,585 | 3,106 | 5,230 | |
| Purchased oil and gas sales | 1,855 | 1,487 | 398 | 176 | |
| Total | 8,279 | 11,075 | 7,985 | 4,435 | 6,491 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 9.1% | 10.3% | 20.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 7.8% | 13.8% | 26.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | 4.5% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| 2/27/2025 | -7.2% | -15.8% | -3.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -11.3% | -11.0% | -13.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | -0.4% | -13.4% | -5.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | -4.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -4.7% | 7.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -9.1% | -7.4% |
| Max Positive | 9.1% | 17.4% | 26.0% |
| Max Negative | -11.3% | -15.8% | -13.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |