Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Drilling, and Deepwater Energy Solutions.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Drilling, and Deepwater Energy Solutions.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VAL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that could explain Valaris's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat.

Valaris reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $2.65, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.00. The company's revenue of $595.70 million also exceeded analyst estimates of $568.41 million. This strong financial performance likely contributed positively to investor sentiment. 2. Significant New Contract Awards and Backlog Growth.

In October 2025, Valaris announced new contracts and extensions totaling approximately $190 million, increasing its contract backlog to $4.5 billion. This included a five-well contract for the drillship VALARIS DS-12 in Egypt and various jack-up rig extensions in the UK North Sea, with some work scheduled to commence in late 2025 or early 2026. The growing backlog provides strong revenue visibility and operational stability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VAL Return--88%1%-35%29%58%
Peers Return-33%1494%84%41%-12%15%2691%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VAL Win Rate-71%58%33%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate25%42%65%52%43%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VAL Max Drawdown--0%-19%-40%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-9%-11%-12%-27%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTI, WFRD, NE, RIG, HP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven103 days464 days

Compare to FTI, WFRD, NE, RIG, HP


In The Past

Valaris's stock fell -37.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2022. A -37.7% loss requires a 60.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Valaris (VAL)

Better Bets than Valaris (VAL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Valaris

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VALFTIWFRDNERIGHPMedian
NameValaris TechnipF.Weatherf.Noble Transoce.Helmeric. 
Mkt Price60.4246.6776.9633.124.4530.3139.89
Mkt Cap4.319.15.55.34.33.04.8
Rev LTM2,4169,7834,9703,4483,8743,4283,661
Op Inc LTM5481,292725636601312619
FCF LTM2501,54138239248237387
FCF 3Y Avg-649134982491213231
CFO LTM5991,890657901606505632
CFO 3Y Avg4171,177742722396657690

Growth & Margins

VALFTIWFRDNERIGHPMedian
NameValaris TechnipF.Weatherf.Noble Transoce.Helmeric. 
Rev Chg LTM6.8%11.2%-10.2%24.3%16.9%25.9%14.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.5%7.6%59.6%14.6%27.4%14.6%
Rev Chg Q-7.4%12.7%-12.6%-0.3%8.4%49.2%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.9%3.2%-3.4%-0.1%2.1%11.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM22.7%13.2%14.6%18.5%15.5%9.1%15.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.6%9.7%15.8%21.8%5.9%14.2%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.8%-0.8%-2.2%2.0%-3.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM24.8%19.3%13.2%26.1%15.6%14.7%17.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.3%13.0%14.3%24.3%11.6%22.5%16.8%
FCF/Rev LTM10.3%15.8%7.7%11.4%12.4%1.1%10.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.9%10.0%9.6%8.2%-1.5%7.5%7.9%

Valuation

VALFTIWFRDNERIGHPMedian
NameValaris TechnipF.Weatherf.Noble Transoce.Helmeric. 
Mkt Cap4.319.15.55.34.33.04.8
P/S1.41.71.01.30.80.41.1
P/EBIT4.712.56.78.1-1.27.57.1
P/E8.617.112.119.8-1.0-48.810.4
P/CFO5.88.57.55.04.93.05.4
Total Yield11.6%6.4%9.7%8.6%-97.8%0.7%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%1.5%3.6%0.0%2.8%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.3%7.0%8.4%4.9%2.5%6.4%5.7%
D/E0.30.10.40.42.11.50.4
Net D/E0.10.00.20.31.81.30.2

Returns

VALFTIWFRDNERIGHPMedian
NameValaris TechnipF.Weatherf.Noble Transoce.Helmeric. 
1M Rtn6.0%11.0%2.3%11.0%12.4%13.7%11.0%
3M Rtn23.3%22.2%23.8%16.9%48.8%52.4%23.6%
6M Rtn51.5%48.1%66.4%27.9%68.6%88.9%58.9%
12M Rtn30.0%49.0%-7.7%5.2%0.9%-10.0%3.0%
3Y Rtn-8.8%268.9%83.1%-0.7%6.2%-31.5%2.8%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%11.0%2.3%11.1%12.4%13.7%11.0%
3M Excs Rtn14.9%12.5%17.9%9.6%38.2%41.6%16.4%
6M Excs Rtn36.7%33.4%51.7%13.2%53.8%74.1%44.2%
12M Excs Rtn17.3%36.1%-18.4%-7.0%-12.4%-22.0%-9.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.7%220.8%11.0%-68.0%-58.1%-101.4%-63.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,774,495
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.5%
Average Daily Volume876,048
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.02
Basic Shares Quantity70,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
93020211102202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dibowitz AntonPresident & CEO3062025Buy33.917,500254,3148,490,747Form