Valaris (VAL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $59.63 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Valaris (VAL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $59.63Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Drilling, and Deepwater Energy Solutions. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include Offshore Oil & Gas Drilling, and Deepwater Energy Solutions. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VAL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain Valaris's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat.
Valaris reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $2.65, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.00. The company's revenue of $595.70 million also exceeded analyst estimates of $568.41 million. This strong financial performance likely contributed positively to investor sentiment.
2. Significant New Contract Awards and Backlog Growth.
In October 2025, Valaris announced new contracts and extensions totaling approximately $190 million, increasing its contract backlog to $4.5 billion. This included a five-well contract for the drillship VALARIS DS-12 in Egypt and various jack-up rig extensions in the UK North Sea, with some work scheduled to commence in late 2025 or early 2026. The growing backlog provides strong revenue visibility and operational stability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VAL Return | - | - | 88% | 1% | -35% | 29% | 58% |
| Peers Return | -33% | 1494% | 84% | 41% | -12% | 15% | 2691% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VAL Win Rate | - | 71% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 65% | 52% | 43% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VAL Max Drawdown | - | - | 0% | -19% | -40% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -9% | -11% | -12% | -27% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTI, WFRD, NE, RIG, HP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 464 days |
Compare to FTI, WFRD, NE, RIG, HP
In The Past
Valaris's stock fell -37.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2022. A -37.7% loss requires a 60.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Valaris Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| Valaris vs Cal-Maine Foods: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Valaris vs Noble: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| VAL Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Valaris (VAL) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Time To Buy Valaris Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Valaris (VAL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Valaris (VAL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Valaris (VAL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 12th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 31st, 2025 | ||
| Big Decline for SLB, but Do VAL’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | July 19th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Valaris
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| Rev LTM | 3,661 |
| Op Inc LTM | 619 |
| FCF LTM | 387 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 231 |
| CFO LTM | 632 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 690 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 7.1 |
| P/E | 10.4 |
| P/CFO | 5.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 58.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 44.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11022021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Dibowitz Anton | President & CEO | 3062025 | Buy | 33.91 | 7,500 | 254,314 | 8,490,747 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |