Tearsheet

Suncor Energy (SU)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $43.215 | Market Cap: $52.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Suncor Energy (SU)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $43.215
Market Cap: $52.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.0 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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The requested time period for Suncor Energy (SU) stock analysis, August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a 6.8% stock movement during this time. However, I can provide some information regarding Suncor Energy's performance and forecasts for 2025 based on available data leading up to the end of 2024 and forecasts for 2025. This information does not reflect actual stock movements for the requested future period, but rather predictions and past performance as of the latest available data.

**1. Suncor Energy achieved record production and strong financial performance in Q2 2025, with adjusted funds from operations of $2.7 billion and free funds flow of $1.0 billion.** The company also returned $1.45 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. This strong operational performance included record upstream production of 808,000 barrels per day and refinery throughput of 442,000 barrels per day. Despite a decrease in net earnings due to lower upstream price realizations, Suncor maintained consistent operating expenses.

**2. Suncor reduced its 2025 capital spending guidance.** The company initially announced a strategic reduction in its 2025 capital expenditure guidance by $400 million in August 2025. Later, Suncor revised its 2025 corporate guidance, lowering its full-year capital expenditure estimate from C$6.1 to C$6.3 billion to C$5.7 to C$5.9 billion. This reflects a commitment to capital discipline and strong execution.

**3. Analysts have provided varying forecasts and price targets for Suncor Energy in 2025.** Some analysts projected an average target price of $44.76, indicating a potential upside of 15.05% from a price of $38.91 in August 2025. Other forecasts suggest the stock could trade between $43.31 and $44.11 in 2025, with an average annualized price of $43.80. As of December 22, 2025, some predictions indicated the value of SU shares could rise by 8.56% to $47.02 per share by January 22, 2026. The consensus rating from 10 Wall Street analysts in the last 12 months was a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of C$65.77.

**4. Suncor Energy's stock has shown mixed performance and signals towards the end of 2025.** As of December 23, 2025, the share price was at $43.02, with a 0.16% increase on that day, but a 3.07% fall over the past month. However, it had gone up by 22.16% in the past year. Technical indicators as of December 23, 2025, presented mixed signals, with a short-term buy signal from the Moving Average but a general sell signal from the long-term average.

**5. The company's 2025 outlook included higher production and efforts to reduce operating costs.** Suncor Energy forecast higher production for 2025 compared to 2024, expecting annual upstream production of 810,000 to 840,000 bbls/d and annual refining utilization of 93% to 97%. Suncor aimed to reduce its corporate WTI breakeven by $10 per bbl versus 2023. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.0% change in SU stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 9.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)42.0043.242.96%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)53641.0053301.00-0.63%
Net Income Margin (%)10.55%9.87%-6.49%
P/E Multiple9.099.969.55%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1225.001211.001.14%
Cumulative Contribution2.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SU3.0% 
Market (SPY)4.4%18.5%
Sector (XLE)-1.8%69.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.2% change in SU stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 31.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)37.2243.2416.19%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)54906.0053301.00-2.92%
Net Income Margin (%)11.10%9.87%-11.10%
P/E Multiple7.579.9631.59%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1239.001211.002.26%
Cumulative Contribution16.13%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SU16.2% 
Market (SPY)14.0%16.6%
Sector (XLE)5.9%72.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.2% change in SU stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 86.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)33.7243.2428.23%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)54813.0053301.00-2.76%
Net Income Margin (%)14.63%9.87%-32.54%
P/E Multiple5.349.9686.53%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1269.001211.004.57%
Cumulative Contribution27.96%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SU28.2% 
Market (SPY)15.8%50.6%
Sector (XLE)7.4%83.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.6% change in SU stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 109.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)27.4443.2457.60%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59302.0053301.00-10.12%
Net Income Margin (%)13.30%9.87%-25.82%
P/E Multiple4.749.96109.85%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1364.001211.0011.22%
Cumulative Contribution55.61%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SU47.0% 
Market (SPY)48.9%39.7%
Sector (XLE)10.5%79.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SU Return-47%55%32%6%16%26%71%
Peers Return-29%77%57%2%3%19%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SU Win Rate33%67%50%58%75%75% 
Peers Win Rate42%67%63%52%52%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SU Max Drawdown-68%-0%0%-11%-2%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-68%-2%0%-13%-6%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, CNQ, IMO, CVE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,086 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven230.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven763 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,262 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven397.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to XOM, IMO, DEC, CVX, SU

In The Past

Suncor Energy's stock fell -37.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -37.3% loss requires a 59.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Suncor Energy (SU)

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company. The company primarily focuses on developing petroleum resource basins in Canada's Athabasca oil sands; explores, acquires, develops, produces, transports, refines, and markets crude oil in Canada and internationally; markets petroleum and petrochemical products under the Petro-Canada name primarily in Canada. It operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; Refining and Marketing; and Corporate and Eliminations segments. The Oil Sands segment recovers bitumen from mining and in situ operations, and upgrades it into refinery feedstock and diesel fuel, or blends the bitumen with diluent for direct sale to market. The Exploration and Production segment is involved in offshore operations off the east coast of Canada and in the North Sea; and operating onshore assets in Libya and Syria. The Refining and Marketing segment refines crude oil and intermediate feedstock into various petroleum and petrochemical products; and markets refined petroleum products to retail, commercial, and industrial customers through its other retail sellers. The Corporate and Eliminations segment operates four wind farms in Ontario and Western Canada. The company also markets and trades in crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products, and power. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Suncor Energy:

  • Canada's Shell or BP, producing oil and refining it for their own gas stations.
  • An ExxonMobil or Chevron for the Canadian oil sands industry.

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  • Crude Oil: Extraction and production of various grades of crude oil, primarily from oil sands, offshore, and conventional operations.
  • Natural Gas: Production and sale of natural gas, often extracted in conjunction with crude oil.
  • Refined Petroleum Products: Conversion of crude oil into gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, asphalt, lubricants, and other refined products for wholesale and retail distribution.

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Suncor Energy (SU) - Major Customers

Suncor Energy (SU) is an integrated energy company, involved in oil sands development, production, refining, and marketing. While Suncor operates a significant retail network (Petro-Canada) that sells directly to individuals, its primary sales volumes and value are generated through wholesale transactions with other companies and large commercial entities.

Due to the nature of commodity markets and commercial confidentiality, Suncor Energy does not publicly disclose the names of its specific major external customers in its financial reports. Crude oil and refined products are sold to a diverse global market of buyers. However, based on Suncor's operations and market position, the following types of companies would represent its major customer base, and specific examples are provided:

  • Other Major Refiners and Integrated Oil Companies: These companies purchase crude oil, synthetic crude, or bitumen as feedstock for their own refining operations. Suncor's upstream products are sold into the North American market to various refiners.
    • Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) - A large independent U.S. refiner that purchases crude oil from various suppliers in the market.
  • Major Airlines: Suncor's downstream refining and marketing segment produces and sells significant volumes of jet fuel. Major airlines are among the largest purchasers of jet fuel.
    • Air Canada (TSX: AC) - Canada's largest airline, a major consumer of jet fuel at airports served by Suncor's refineries.
  • Major Railways: Railways are substantial consumers of diesel fuel for their locomotive fleets.
    • Canadian National Railway Company (TSX: CNR) - One of Canada's largest railway operators, a significant purchaser of wholesale diesel.
  • Large Commercial Fleets & Industrial Users: This category includes major trucking companies, shipping companies, mining operations, and other heavy industrial users that require large volumes of diesel and other fuels.
    • TFI International Inc. (TSX: TFII) - A prominent North American transportation and logistics company, representing a type of large commercial fuel buyer.

It is important to note that these are representative examples of companies that are highly likely to be Suncor's major customers based on industry analysis, rather than a definitive, publicly disclosed list by Suncor itself.

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Rich Kruger, President and Chief Executive Officer

Rich Kruger has nearly 40 years of experience in the energy industry, including extensive experience in the Canadian oil sands. He is currently the President and Chief Executive Officer of Suncor, a position he assumed after leading Imperial Oil Limited as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer from 2013 until his retirement in December 2019. Prior to Imperial Oil, Mr. Kruger worked for ExxonMobil Corporation and its predecessor companies since 1981, holding various upstream and downstream assignments with responsibilities across the United States, the former Soviet Union, the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia. He previously served as Vice President of ExxonMobil Corporation and president of ExxonMobil Production Company, overseeing ExxonMobil's global oil and gas producing operations. Mr. Kruger holds a mechanical engineering degree from the University of Minnesota and a Master of Business Administration from the University of Houston.

Troy Little, Chief Financial Officer

Troy Little is appointed Chief Financial Officer of Suncor Energy, effective November 1, 2025. In this role, he is responsible for all financial functions, including controllers, treasury, tax, internal audit, enterprise risk management, and information technology. Mr. Little is a Chartered Professional Accountant and Chartered Financial Analyst, bringing over 25 years of financial experience encompassing investment banking, equity research, accounting, and financial management.

Dave Oldreive, Executive Vice President, Downstream

Dave Oldreive joined Suncor as Executive Vice President, Downstream, on June 19, 2023. He is responsible for refining, sales & marketing, midstream logistics and supply, and trading & optimization. Mr. Oldreive has nearly 30 years of experience in the energy industry, with extensive background in Canadian refining. His career with ExxonMobil and Imperial Oil involved various roles in engineering, operations, supply, and corporate functions across Canada, the United States, and Singapore. Previously, he was the head of ExxonMobil's Baton Rouge refinery and also served as the refinery manager for Imperial Oil's Strathcona refinery. Mr. Oldreive holds a mechanical engineering degree from Dalhousie University and a Master of Business Administration from Saint Mary's University.

Peter Zebedee, Executive Vice President, Oil Sands

Peter Zebedee serves as the Executive Vice President, Oil Sands. In this position, he is responsible for all oil sands operations, which include mining, in situ, drilling, and upgrading. His added responsibilities in this area aim to achieve further synergies within Suncor's oil sands assets.

Adam Albeldawi, Chief Human Resources Officer & Senior Vice President, External Affairs

Adam Albeldawi is the Chief Human Resources Officer and Senior Vice President, External Affairs. He is responsible for all human resources functions, as well as investor relations, government affairs, and public affairs. Mr. Albeldawi has nearly 20 years of experience at Suncor, working in various operational and commercial roles across the upstream and downstream businesses.

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  • The accelerating global shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) and other alternative transportation fuels, coupled with government mandates for phasing out internal combustion engine (ICE) sales in major markets, poses a significant emerging threat to Suncor's downstream refining and retail segments by reducing demand for gasoline and diesel.
  • Increasingly stringent climate change policies and carbon pricing mechanisms enacted by governments worldwide, which aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, threaten the economic viability and social license of Suncor's carbon-intensive oil sands operations and can lead to higher operating costs and capital expenditure for compliance.

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Suncor Energy (symbol: SU) operates across an integrated energy value chain, with its primary products and services including crude oil (particularly from oil sands), refined petroleum products, and the trading of natural gas, sulfur, and petroleum coke. Here are the addressable market sizes for its main products:

Crude Oil (including Bitumen/Oil Sands)

  • Global Crude Oil Market: The global crude oil market was valued at approximately $2.6 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3.0 trillion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.5% from 2024 to 2033. Another estimate places the global market at nearly $2,518.45 billion in 2022, with projections to grow to $3,120.30 billion in 2027 and $3,795.85 billion in 2032.
  • Canadian Oil Sands Production: Canada possesses the third-largest oil reserves globally, with over 97% of these assets concentrated in oil sands, primarily in Alberta. In 2015, total production from Canada's oil sands was 2.53 million barrels per day (bpd), and it was projected to reach 5.5 million bpd by 2036 under a "reference case" scenario. While a specific market value for Canadian oil sands is not readily available, these production figures represent the scale of the addressable market in terms of volume for Suncor's upstream oil sands operations.

Refined Petroleum Products

  • Global Refined Petroleum Products Market: The global refined petroleum products market reached approximately $2,518.45 billion in 2022. It is anticipated to grow to $3,120.30 billion by 2027 and further to $3,795.85 billion by 2032. Another report estimated the market at $1,494.34 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $2,042.6 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.88% from 2025 to 2035.
  • Canadian Refined Petroleum Products Market: The Petroleum Refining industry in Canada is estimated to have a market size of $102.3 billion in 2025. North America is identified as the largest market for refined petroleum products, with Canada holding approximately 25% of that market share.

Natural Gas, Sulfur, and Petroleum Coke

Information regarding the specific addressable market sizes for natural gas, sulfur, and petroleum coke as main products for Suncor Energy was not available in the provided search results to the same extent as for crude oil and refined petroleum products. These are often traded commodities or byproducts, and comprehensive market size data specifically tailored to Suncor's addressable share for these products was not found. Therefore, the market sizes for these products cannot be fully determined from the given information.

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Suncor Energy (SU) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market factors:

  1. Increased Production and Throughput Across Integrated Upstream and Downstream Operations: Suncor has consistently achieved record upstream production and high utilization rates in its oil sands and refining operations, with plans to further boost these volumes. This includes sustained record-high upstream production and enhanced upgrader and refinery utilization, leading to more barrels of oil equivalent available for sale. The company's strategic focus on operational excellence aims to maximize output from its existing assets.
  2. Strategic Capital Investments in Growth and Reliability Projects: Suncor is making targeted investments in major projects to sustain and enhance its production capabilities. Key projects include the replacement of Upgrader 1 coke drums and development projects at Mildred Lake and West White Rose, which are designed to increase future production capacity and ensure asset reliability. These investments contribute to the company's ability to maintain high operational performance and deliver consistent volumes.
  3. Optimization and Expansion of Retail and Wholesale Distribution Network: The company is focused on leveraging its extensive Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks to drive sales of refined products. Suncor is actively transforming its retail network, including investments in fast-charging EV stations, and has reported increased retail volumes, which directly contribute to downstream revenue growth. This integrated approach allows Suncor to capture maximum value from its crude production through to end-customers.
  4. Favorable Crude Oil Price Environment: While an external factor, analysts anticipate crude oil prices to remain in a supportive range of $75-$90 per barrel over the next few years. This stable price environment is expected to underpin steady revenue growth for Suncor, complementing its operational improvements and increased volumes.

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Share Repurchases

  • Suncor returned $2.9 billion through share repurchases in 2024, with $800 million in Q3 2024.
  • In 2024, Suncor increased its share repurchase allocation to 75% of free funds flow after dividends and aims for 100% once net debt reaches $8 billion, a target achieved in Q3 2024.
  • In 2023, Suncor repurchased $2.2 billion in shares, representing approximately 3.9% of outstanding common shares, at an average price of $42.96 per common share.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2023, Suncor acquired an additional 14.65% working interest in Fort Hills for $712 million, and later completed the acquisition of the remaining 31.23% working interest, bringing its total ownership to 100%.
  • In 2023, Suncor completed the sale of its wind and solar assets for gross proceeds of $730 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Suncor's expected capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be between $6.1 billion and $6.3 billion, a reduction from the $6.3 billion to $6.5 billion budgeted for 2024.
  • Key capital expenditure focuses for 2025 include sustaining operations, the Mildred Lake West Mine Extension, West White Rose projects, Petro-Canada retail network upgrades, and replacing the Upgrader 1 coke drums at the Base Plant.
  • In 2023, total capital expenditures were $5.7 billion, within the company's guidance range, and in 2022, approximately $540 million (11% of total capital) was allocated to low-carbon initiatives.

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Peer Comparisons for Suncor Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SUXOMCVXCNQIMOCVEMedian
NameSuncor E.Exxon Mo.Chevron Canadian.Imperial.Cenovus . 
Mkt Price43.24119.22150.5032.9785.8516.7364.55
Mkt Cap52.4510.9291.868.843.329.960.6
Rev LTM53,301324,924186,97944,52146,24456,60254,952
Op Inc LTM7,95235,70815,0679,0225,0304,3288,487
FCF LTM8,03623,77515,4248,1244,7832,8248,080
FCF 3Y Avg7,66331,46218,1858,2843,9283,7437,974
CFO LTM13,94351,52031,84514,7706,5797,84914,356
CFO 3Y Avg13,69655,76834,25013,8745,7678,47113,785

Growth & Margins

SUXOMCVXCNQIMOCVEMedian
NameSuncor E.Exxon Mo.Chevron Canadian.Imperial.Cenovus . 
Rev Chg LTM-2.8%-4.4%-3.6%8.3%-6.2%-4.8%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.4%-5.6%-6.2%-2.4%-5.6%-6.6%-5.6%
Rev Chg Q-2.4%-5.1%-1.5%6.4%-7.5%-4.5%-3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%-1.4%-0.4%1.5%-2.0%-1.1%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM14.9%11.0%8.1%20.3%10.9%7.6%10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.2%12.7%11.2%21.9%12.4%9.0%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-4.3%-1.7%0.9%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM26.2%15.9%17.0%33.2%14.2%13.9%16.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.4%16.5%17.6%32.8%12.0%14.8%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM15.1%7.3%8.2%18.2%10.3%5.0%9.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%9.3%9.3%19.6%8.2%6.5%9.3%

Valuation

SUXOMCVXCNQIMOCVEMedian
NameSuncor E.Exxon Mo.Chevron Canadian.Imperial.Cenovus . 
Mkt Cap52.4510.9291.868.843.329.960.6
P/S1.01.61.61.50.90.51.3
P/EBIT6.811.713.17.88.37.08.1
P/E10.017.122.910.310.89.510.6
P/CFO3.89.99.24.76.63.85.6
Total Yield15.4%9.2%8.6%16.6%12.4%12.7%12.5%
Dividend Yield5.4%3.4%4.2%6.9%3.1%2.2%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg16.1%6.4%6.2%12.0%9.9%11.5%10.7%
D/E0.30.10.10.30.10.30.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.20.10.30.2

Returns

SUXOMCVXCNQIMOCVEMedian
NameSuncor E.Exxon Mo.Chevron Canadian.Imperial.Cenovus . 
1M Rtn-1.4%2.8%0.5%1.4%-11.4%-5.3%-0.4%
3M Rtn3.0%5.0%-4.4%1.9%-8.1%-5.0%-1.3%
6M Rtn16.2%12.0%7.4%7.9%8.4%25.1%10.2%
12M Rtn28.2%16.2%9.5%14.9%39.9%18.3%17.2%
3Y Rtn57.6%21.6%-3.8%36.7%92.5%-4.6%29.2%
1M Excs Rtn-4.8%-0.6%-2.9%-2.0%-14.8%-8.7%-3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-2.7%-0.9%-10.3%-2.1%-12.5%-9.4%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn3.3%-2.5%-6.3%-6.8%-6.1%10.7%-4.3%
12M Excs Rtn13.9%-0.1%-6.6%0.6%25.9%3.8%2.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.5%-55.9%-81.1%-38.0%16.7%-78.2%-47.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining and Marketing30,95936,72822,91515,27222,304
Oil Sands18,56926,46818,39710,52217,430
Exploration and Production2,6893,7232,5001,7563,070
Corporate and Eliminations-11-8,583-4,680-2,888-4,460
Total52,20658,33639,13224,66238,344


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.24 
Market Cap ($ Bil)52.4 
First Trading Date12/01/1993 
Distance from 52W High-3.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$42.17$38.64
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA2.5%11.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility20.3%27.5%
Downside Capture32.1940.11
Upside Capture39.2058.71
Correlation (SPY)18.5%50.7%
SU Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.190.350.230.100.720.70
Up Beta-0.63-0.07-0.11-0.120.730.73
Down Beta1.870.710.670.381.050.89
Up Capture116%53%31%35%42%29%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days13223266130398
Down Capture-44%14%-6%-40%54%80%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days7203159115346

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SU With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SUSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return30.3%10.0%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility27.4%24.4%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.950.340.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 82.8%50.5%14.0%67.9%37.3%22.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SU With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SUSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return25.2%21.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility34.0%26.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.730.750.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 83.2%38.1%20.2%65.0%26.7%15.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SU With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SUSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return9.6%8.0%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility37.4%29.8%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.360.320.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 81.8%48.6%7.8%60.0%38.2%14.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,143,255
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-74.0%
Average Daily Volume6,042,780
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity1,211,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202580520256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024227202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202480720246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023322202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022307202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202251020226-K 3/31/2022
12312021225202240-F 12/31/2021