Murphy Oil (MUR)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $33.37 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Murphy Oil (MUR)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $33.37
Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.4%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%

Key risks
MUR key risks include [1] a deteriorating success rate in its exploration programs, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Global Energy Supply & Security. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Offshore Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%
7 Key risks
MUR key risks include [1] a deteriorating success rate in its exploration programs, Show more.

MUR in ETFs

Weight = MUR's share of each fund

ITOT0.01%
IWM0.18%
IJH0.14%
SCHD0.13%
VYM0.02%
VB0.05%
XOP2.3%
AVUV0.59%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/6/2026

Murphy Oil (MUR) stock has lost about 20% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Increased Capital Expenditure and Exploration Risk.

Murphy Oil significantly raised its 2026 capital spending guidance by $300 million to a range of $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion for appraisal at the Bubale discovery and accelerated Eagle Ford activity. This substantial increase in projected expenditures, coupled with a dry hole expense in Vietnam, overshadowed otherwise positive fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, leading to a 7.16% stock decline in after-hours trading on August 6, 2026.

2. Weakening Crude Oil Prices.

Brent crude oil prices experienced a notable decline during the specified period, averaging $85 per barrel in June, a $22 per barrel drop from May and $32 per barrel lower than its April 2026 peak. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast Brent prices to average $74 per barrel in fiscal Q3 2026, a further $27 per barrel reduction from its previous outlook, with expectations of continued downward pressure to $65 per barrel in 2027 due to increasing supply and moderating inventory draws. Hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz also contributed to downward pressure on crude prices.

Show more
Updated on 8/6/2026

Murphy Oil (MUR) stock has lost about 20% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Increased Capital Expenditure and Exploration Risk.

Murphy Oil significantly raised its 2026 capital spending guidance by $300 million to a range of $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion for appraisal at the Bubale discovery and accelerated Eagle Ford activity. This substantial increase in projected expenditures, coupled with a dry hole expense in Vietnam, overshadowed otherwise positive fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, leading to a 7.16% stock decline in after-hours trading on August 6, 2026.

2. Weakening Crude Oil Prices.

Brent crude oil prices experienced a notable decline during the specified period, averaging $85 per barrel in June, a $22 per barrel drop from May and $32 per barrel lower than its April 2026 peak. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast Brent prices to average $74 per barrel in fiscal Q3 2026, a further $27 per barrel reduction from its previous outlook, with expectations of continued downward pressure to $65 per barrel in 2027 due to increasing supply and moderating inventory draws. Hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz also contributed to downward pressure on crude prices.

3. Year-over-Year Production Decrease.

Murphy Oil's total hydrocarbon production, including noncontrolling interest, decreased by 11% to 175,013 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD) in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to 196,315 BOEPD in fiscal Q2 2025. This reduction was primarily attributed to planned and unplanned downtime in the Gulf of Mexico, indicating challenges in maintaining production volumes in a key operating region.

4. Analyst Downgrades and Overvaluation Concerns.

Several analyst firms revised their ratings on Murphy Oil during the period. Jefferies downgraded the stock from a "buy" rating to an "underperform" rating on June 4, and Wall Street Zen downgraded it from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating on June 27. Concurrently, independent valuation analysis as of August 5, 2026, indicated the stock was overvalued, trading at $36.04, which was 7.4% above its GF Value™ fair value of $33.57. The company's P/E ratio of 61.1x was also significantly higher than its 5-year median of 10.1x, suggesting the stock was trading at a premium.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.4% change in MUR stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -71.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268072026Change
Stock Price ($)41.4033.37-19.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,6902,99311.3%
Net Income Margin (%)3.9%9.8%153.6%
P/E Multiple56.716.3-71.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)143143-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-19.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUR-19.4% 
Market (SPY)7.6%-39.4%
Sector (XLE)-3.6%77.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.0% change in MUR stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268072026Change
Stock Price ($)29.5233.3713.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,7462,9939.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.2%9.8%89.1%
P/E Multiple29.516.3-44.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)143143-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution13.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUR13.0% 
Market (SPY)12.1%-36.9%
Sector (XLE)13.4%77.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 40.6% change in MUR stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258072026Change
Stock Price ($)23.7433.3740.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,8962,9933.3%
Net Income Margin (%)13.5%9.8%-27.1%
P/E Multiple8.816.385.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1441430.7%
Cumulative Contribution40.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUR40.6% 
Market (SPY)23.4%-8.9%
Sector (XLE)35.0%72.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.5% change in MUR stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238072026Change
Stock Price ($)38.5833.37-13.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,1892,993-28.6%
Net Income Margin (%)30.3%9.8%-67.6%
P/E Multiple4.716.3243.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1561438.7%
Cumulative Contribution-13.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUR-13.5% 
Market (SPY)74.9%28.5%
Sector (XLE)43.7%79.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MUR Return121%69%2%-27%9%8%228%
Peers Return127%54%-3%-6%-1%32%322%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MUR Win Rate67%58%33%33%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate78%60%52%45%60%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MUR Max Drawdown-25%-40%-26%-41%-41%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-34%-27%-28%-28%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COP, EOG, FANG, DVN, OVV. See MUR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMURS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven161 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-10.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.3%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven589 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven88 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-79.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven377.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven425 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1109 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-14.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven157 days6 days

Compare to COP, EOG, FANG, DVN, OVV

In The Past

Murphy Oil's stock fell -30.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMURS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven161 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven88 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-79.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven377.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven425 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1109 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-50.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven91 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-73.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven276.8%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven2466 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-39.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven554 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-20.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven88 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-55.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven125.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1779 days1085 days

Compare to COP, EOG, FANG, DVN, OVV

In The Past

Murphy Oil's stock fell -30.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Murphy Oil (MUR)

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is an independent energy company primarily engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. With a history extending back to its incorporation in 1950, the company focuses on discovering and extracting these vital energy resources from various geological formations.

The core products offered by Murphy Oil include crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. These commodities serve as fundamental inputs for a wide array of industries, including transportation, power generation, and petrochemical manufacturing. Murphy Oil conducts its exploration and production operations across diverse geographical regions, specifically within the United States, Canada, and other international markets, supplying these essential energy products to the global market.

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Like an ExxonMobil or Chevron, but focused exclusively on finding and producing oil and natural gas.

Essentially, the 'upstream' (exploration and extraction) division of a major oil company like Shell or BP, operating as an independent company.

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  • Crude Oil: A refined petroleum product extracted from the earth for various energy and industrial uses.
  • Natural Gas: A fossil energy source, primarily methane, used for heating, electricity generation, and industrial processes.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Hydrocarbons separated from natural gas, utilized as feedstocks for petrochemicals and as fuel.

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Murphy Oil (MUR) operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company, meaning it extracts raw crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. These are commodity products sold to other businesses for processing, distribution, or trading. Due to the commodity nature of its products and diversified sales channels, Murphy Oil does not publicly disclose specific "major customers" that account for a significant portion of its revenue in its financial filings.

However, its products are primarily sold to the following types of companies:

  • Refiners: Companies that process crude oil into refined products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
  • Integrated Oil Companies: Large companies involved in multiple segments of the oil and gas industry, including exploration, production, refining, and marketing.
  • Marketers and Other Purchasers: This category typically includes commodity trading firms, natural gas utilities, petrochemical plants, and other industrial users that buy crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids for further processing, distribution, or resale.

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The management team members for Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) are as follows:

Eric M. Hambly

President and Chief Executive Officer Eric M. Hambly assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Murphy Oil Corporation on January 1, 2025. He previously served as President and Chief Operating Officer from February to December 2024, and as Executive Vice President, Operations from 2020 to 2024. Mr. Hambly joined Murphy in 2006 and has over 26 years of industry experience, having been instrumental in the success of the company's global exploration and production operations, with assignments in Malaysia, Singapore, onshore U.S., and offshore U.S. Gulf of Mexico. He holds both bachelor's and master's degrees in chemical engineering from Brigham Young University and has completed the Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.

Thomas J. “Tom” Mireles

Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Thomas J. "Tom" Mireles serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Murphy Oil Corporation. Mr. Mireles joined Murphy in 2005 as a Senior Staff Analyst and has taken on roles of increasing responsibility, including Senior Manager Planning & Business Development, and Senior Vice President, Western and Eastern Hemispheres. He was promoted to Senior Vice President, Technical Services in 2018 and was elected to his current role in 2022. Mr. Mireles holds bachelor's and master's degrees in Petroleum Engineering from Texas A&M University and an MBA from the London Business School. He also completed the Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.

E. Ted Botner

Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary E. Ted Botner is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary. He joined Murphy in 2001 as an attorney and has held various positions with increasing responsibilities in the U.S. and Malaysia. He was promoted to Senior Vice-President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary in 2020, and subsequently named Executive Vice-President in February 2024.

Maria A. Martinez

Senior Vice President, Human Resources, Administration and Communications Maria A. Martinez is the Senior Vice President, Human Resources, Administration and Communications. She was elected Vice President, Human Resources & Administration of Murphy Oil Corporation in 2018 and is responsible for global human resources and administration. Ms. Martinez joined Murphy Exploration & Production Company, a wholly-owned subsidiary, in 2010 as Manager, Human Resources, and advanced through roles of increasing responsibility.

Daniel R. Hanchera

Senior Vice President, Business Development Daniel R. Hanchera serves as the Senior Vice President, Business Development for Murphy Oil Corporation.

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The key risks to Murphy Oil's business are:

  1. Volatility in Global Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices: Murphy Oil's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in global crude oil and natural gas prices. Lower prices can significantly reduce cash flows, net income, and the company's ability to grow production and add proved reserves. Recent geopolitical events and tensions in the Middle East further underscore the impact of external factors on commodity prices, directly affecting Murphy Oil's cash flows and stock performance.

  2. Operational Hazards and Execution Risks for Exploration and Production Projects: The company faces inherent operational risks associated with its oil and natural gas exploration and production activities, including those related to hydraulic fracturing operations. Specifically, offshore projects in areas such as the Gulf of Mexico, Vietnam, and Côte d'Ivoire carry substantial execution, timing, and cost risks. Issues like cost overruns or uptime problems in these capital-intensive projects can pressure cash flow timing and negatively impact credit metrics.

  3. Regulatory and Environmental/Sustainability Concerns: Murphy Oil is subject to numerous environmental, health, and safety laws and regulations, with non-compliance potentially resulting in significant liabilities and costs. There is increasing scrutiny from investors and stakeholders regarding sustainability activities, climate change, and the transition to a lower-carbon economy. This evolving landscape, including the possibility of climate change litigation and shifts in investor sentiment away from fossil fuels, could affect the company's access to financing and increase its cost of capital.

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The primary clear emerging threat to Murphy Oil is the accelerating global energy transition, driven by:

  • Rapid Adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs): The increasing market penetration and policy support for electric vehicles in major global economies threaten long-term demand for crude oil products, particularly gasoline and diesel, which form a significant portion of the end-use market for upstream oil producers.

  • Declining Costs and Scaling of Renewable Energy: The continuous reduction in the cost of renewable energy technologies, such as solar and wind power, coupled with advancements in battery storage, poses a threat to the demand for natural gas in electricity generation, as renewables become increasingly competitive and preferred energy sources.

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Murphy Oil, an oil and natural gas exploration and production company, operates within the markets for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Here are the addressable market sizes for their main products:

Crude Oil

  • The global crude oil market was valued at USD 751.72 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 867.16 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.6% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate valued the global market at $2.6 trillion in 2023, expected to reach $3.0 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 1.5% from 2024 to 2033.
  • In terms of volume, the global crude oil market was approximately 101.40 million barrels per day (MB/d) in 2025 and is projected to reach around 110.90 MB/d by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 0.90%.
  • The United States is the largest producer of crude oil globally, with production averaging 12.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2023, and a monthly record of over 13.3 million b/d in December 2023. The U.S. produced 22,844,371 barrels per day of oil as of 2024. North America dominated the crude oil market with approximately 52% of the market share in 2022.
  • Canada's crude oil and equivalent production reached a record high of 298.8 million cubic meters in 2024. Canadian production averaged 5.13 million barrels per day (MMb/d) of crude oil and equivalents in 2024. In 2024, Canada exported a total of $106 billion in crude petroleum.

Natural Gas

  • The global natural gas market was valued at $1,186.56 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1,823.77 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.52% during the forecast period of 2025-2032. Another estimate placed the global market size at $1,478.66 billion in 2025, growing to $1,591.93 billion in 2026 with a CAGR of 7.7%.
  • The U.S. natural gas market size is anticipated to be US$473.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$601.8 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 3.5%. In 2024, the U.S. natural gas market was valued at USD 454.5 billion and is expected to increase to USD 577.9 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 3.2% from 2025–2032. U.S. natural gas production hit a record 108 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) in July 2025.
  • In Canada, domestic natural gas sales totaled 4.32 trillion cubic feet in 2022, with an additional 2.94 trillion cubic feet exported. The natural gas distribution sector contributed over $5.1 billion to Canada's GDP in 2022.

Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs)

  • The global natural gas liquids market size was estimated at USD 25.19 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 50.06 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 7.11%. Other estimates include a market size of USD 16.3 billion in 2025, reaching USD 29.4 billion by 2035 (CAGR 6.1% from 2026-2035), and USD 15.92 billion in 2025, growing to USD 24.24 billion by 2033 (CAGR 5.4% from 2026-2033).
  • North America is the dominant region in the NGL market, with the U.S. leading in both production and consumption. North America produced over 10 million barrels per day (bpd) of NGLs in 2023, accounting for more than 80% of global NGL production. The North America NGL Market is estimated to grow from USD 7.08 billion in 2024 to USD 11.53 billion in 2033, at a CAGR of 5.57%.
  • The U.S. natural gas liquids market size was estimated at USD 5.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 10.6 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025-2035.
  • The Canadian natural gas liquids market generated a revenue of USD 814.4 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1,401.7 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 9.5% from 2025 to 2030. Canada's NGL production was 716.43 thousand barrels per day in 2023. In 2024, daily exports of Canadian NGLs averaged 218.3 thousand barrels per day for propane and 56.1 thousand barrels per day for butane.

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Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives focused on increasing production volumes and benefiting from market conditions.

Here are 4 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Increased Production from Key Offshore Development Projects: Murphy Oil anticipates significant contributions from its ongoing offshore projects. The Lac Da Vang (Golden Camel) development project in Vietnam is on schedule for first oil in the fourth quarter of 2026 and is expected to ramp up production through 2027. This project is projected to add 10,000-15,000 barrels of oil per day by 2026, with potential for 30,000-50,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by the early 2030s. Additionally, the company is focused on high-margin offshore projects in the Gulf of Mexico, including recent discoveries at the Cello #1 and Banjo #1 wells and the anticipated online status of the Chinook 8 well in the second half of 2026. Expansions at Marmalard and Neidermeyer are also expected to add 15,000 boe/d by 2026.
  2. Sustained Growth from Montney Shale Production: In its Canadian operations, Murphy Oil is targeting a 10% annual production increase through 2025 in the Montney program. This growth is anticipated to be achieved through advanced horizontal drilling and enhanced completion techniques.
  3. Successful Exploration and New Ventures Leading to Future Developments: The company continues to prioritize exploration efforts, with successful appraisal results in Vietnam (Hai Su Vang) highlighting future potential. Murphy Oil has also entered new exploration ventures, such as securing an operated working interest in Morocco's Gharb Deep Offshore deepwater block and continuing a three-well exploration program in Côte d'Ivoire. While these are longer-term initiatives, successful exploration leading to rapid development could transition into revenue-generating assets within the 2-3 year timeframe, as seen with the Lac Da Vang project.
  4. Favorable Commodity Price Environment: A significant driver of revenue for an exploration and production company like Murphy Oil is the prevailing prices of crude oil and natural gas. The company's financial outlook indicates robust free cash flow generation under various price scenarios, with upside potential for cash flow accelerating if oil prices remain above $80 per barrel. Realized price strength was a key factor in the company's 2025 revenues.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2025, Murphy Oil Corporation repurchased $100 million of its common stock, equating to 3.6 million shares.
  • As of December 31, 2025, the company had $550 million remaining under its board-authorized share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • Murphy Oil Corporation had 142.8 million shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2025, Murphy Oil Corporation completed the strategic acquisition of the Pioneer floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel in the Gulf of America for a net purchase price of $104 million.
  • During 2025, the company signed a Petroleum Agreement to secure an operated working interest position in Morocco's Gharb Deep Offshore deepwater block, covering over 4 million acres.

Capital Expenditures

  • Murphy Oil Corporation's capital expenditures for the full year 2025 reached $1.157 billion, excluding acquisition-related costs of $29.0 million.
  • The company's capital expenditure guidance for 2026 is projected to be between $1.2 billion and $1.3 billion.
  • Approximately 75% of the 2026 capital spend is allocated to development activities, with the remaining directed towards exploration drilling, appraisal drilling, seismic data acquisitions, and corporate capital expenditures. A key focus for 2026 capital is increasing investment in Gulf of America assets, particularly for the Chinook #8 well, and continued development in Vietnam, including the Lac Da Vang field.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MURCOPEOGFANGDVNOVVMedian
NameMurphy O.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Devon En.Ovintiv  
Mkt Price33.37117.61134.74188.0442.9859.3688.48
Mkt Cap4.8142.770.952.940.316.646.6
Rev LTM2,99363,34526,63716,98219,6769,75818,329
Op Inc LTM69513,8849,4186,0574,6782,6905,368
FCF LTM30610,0646,6143,6821,4772,2662,974
FCF 3Y Avg5668,7625,399-8931,2781,7351,507
CFO LTM1,56621,92513,35810,1438,5534,4549,348
CFO 3Y Avg1,65120,78611,8777,8577,3674,1107,612

Growth & Margins

MURCOPEOGFANGDVNOVVMedian
NameMurphy O.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Devon En.Ovintiv  
Rev Chg LTM7.7%9.6%17.3%21.2%14.6%6.0%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.1%-1.1%2.5%28.4%5.5%-5.9%0.7%
Rev Chg Q35.6%36.8%58.6%51.3%73.1%30.0%44.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.8%8.9%13.4%12.4%18.9%7.7%10.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM25.3%9.3%21.3%23.1%11.0%23.7%22.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-17.0%-8.9%-2.7%7.7%-8.3%-8.4%-8.3%
Op Mgn LTM23.2%21.9%35.4%35.7%23.8%27.6%25.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.0%23.4%35.8%41.0%26.2%25.4%25.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.0%3.9%2.8%4.7%4.9%3.7%4.3%
CFO/Rev LTM52.3%34.6%50.1%59.7%43.5%45.6%47.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg54.0%35.1%48.5%59.0%42.2%42.0%45.3%
FCF/Rev LTM10.2%15.9%24.8%21.7%7.5%23.2%18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%14.8%21.9%-5.3%7.7%17.8%16.3%

Valuation

MURCOPEOGFANGDVNOVVMedian
NameMurphy O.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Devon En.Ovintiv  
Mkt Cap4.8142.770.952.940.316.646.6
P/S1.62.32.73.12.01.72.1
P/Op Inc6.910.37.58.78.66.28.1
P/EBIT8.29.07.824.88.525.08.8
P/E16.315.410.336.012.318.115.8
P/CFO3.16.55.35.24.73.75.0
Total Yield10.2%9.4%12.8%5.0%10.2%7.5%9.8%
Dividend Yield4.0%2.9%3.1%2.2%2.0%1.9%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%7.0%7.9%-2.6%3.6%14.2%7.5%
D/E0.50.20.10.20.30.30.3
Net D/E0.40.10.00.20.30.30.2

Returns

MURCOPEOGFANGDVNOVVMedian
NameMurphy O.ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Devon En.Ovintiv  
1M Rtn-3.5%6.2%-1.3%0.8%-0.8%5.3%0.0%
3M Rtn-9.0%4.1%4.4%0.2%-5.1%3.2%1.7%
6M Rtn5.9%11.0%20.3%13.9%-0.7%28.9%12.4%
12M Rtn52.6%31.2%20.2%36.7%36.1%56.5%36.4%
3Y Rtn-14.9%11.6%16.7%40.7%-6.3%32.1%14.2%
1M Excs Rtn-3.6%6.0%-1.2%0.5%-0.6%5.0%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-17.8%-2.6%-2.0%-6.5%-10.2%-3.4%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn-2.6%-0.4%7.5%1.3%-13.3%19.6%0.5%
12M Excs Rtn25.3%8.2%-2.7%11.4%13.6%31.7%12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-82.4%-60.2%-56.6%-28.9%-76.2%-33.9%-58.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment2,6903,0193,4494,220 
Crude oil and condensate revenue    2,323
Natural gas liquids revenue    111
Natural gas revenue    368
Sales of purchased natural gas    0
Total2,6903,0193,4494,2202,801


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20082006200520042003
Exploration and Production1,600    
Refining and Marketing31410512582-11
Exploration & Production 616748512326
Other  -36-98 
Total1,914721838496315


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
United States5,7185,7464,530  
Malaysia2,5374,8876,121  
Canada2,4613,7704,088  
Corporate and Other5921,7741,265  
Other148139129  
Discontinued operations38427   
Adjustments  1,325  
Republic of the Congo  52  
Corporate and other   1,233791
Exploration & Production   13,10310,347
Refining and Marketing   3,1873,000
Total11,49416,74217,51017,52314,138


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$33.37 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.8 
First Trading Date04/06/1983 
Distance from 52W High-21.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$36.27$34.28
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-8.0%-2.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility48.1%48.2%
Downside Capture-72.51-83.85
Upside Capture-97.29-15.48
Correlation (SPY)-36.9%-9.9%
MUR Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.95-1.23-1.55-1.31-0.320.79
Up Beta0.98-2.29-2.56-2.20-1.100.98
Down Beta-2.39-0.42-0.73-0.040.881.54
Up Capture-102%-82%-113%-61%-9%7%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13233170133378
Down Capture-497%-178%-204%-324%-168%54%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days8193054116371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUR
MUR47.8%48.3%0.96-
Sector ETF (XLE)39.2%21.1%1.4672.5%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.36-10.1%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.87-4.8%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.3253.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.721.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.9%-1.2313.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUR
MUR12.7%45.9%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLE)22.6%25.8%0.7883.3%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6136.2%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.816.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.3160.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0227.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.8%53.0%0.3516.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUR
MUR6.0%55.2%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLE)9.9%29.6%0.3782.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7343.0%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.613.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.3357.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2034.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.9813.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020264.0%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity143.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-8.3%  
5/6/2026-1.7%-1.2%0.2%
1/28/2026-1.1%0.9%6.6%
11/5/20255.3%8.6%23.2%
8/6/2025-3.3%-1.6%7.0%
5/7/20251.8%9.4%8.7%
1/30/2025-5.9%-8.6%-8.2%
11/7/20240.6%-1.2%-7.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121414
# Negative131010
Median Positive2.0%6.1%9.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-5.1%-6.2%
Max Positive5.8%12.7%64.5%
Max Negative-8.3%-15.5%-14.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2026-8.3%  
5/6/2026-1.7%-1.2%0.2%
1/28/2026-1.1%0.9%6.6%
11/5/20255.3%8.6%23.2%
8/6/2025-3.3%-1.6%7.0%
5/7/20251.8%9.4%8.7%
1/30/2025-5.9%-8.6%-8.2%
11/7/20240.6%-1.2%-7.9%
8/8/20240.9%0.1%-5.0%
5/2/20240.1%1.0%-2.5%
1/3/2024-3.5%-8.1%-12.5%
11/2/20233.0%-4.6%-2.8%
8/3/20233.6%6.9%9.3%
5/3/2023-0.3%0.8%5.2%
1/26/20235.8%-1.6%-7.3%
11/3/2022-3.2%-5.6%-4.6%
8/4/20221.3%5.5%19.4%
5/4/20222.1%-15.5%12.0%
1/27/20221.7%6.7%8.3%
11/4/2021-1.4%2.5%-4.6%
8/5/20215.7%12.7%9.0%
5/6/2021-0.4%9.0%31.8%
1/28/2021-7.6%-6.1%17.7%
11/5/2020-5.3%12.5%64.5%
8/6/2020-3.6%4.4%-14.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121414
# Negative131010
Median Positive2.0%6.1%9.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-5.1%-6.2%
Max Positive5.8%12.7%64.5%
Max Negative-8.3%-15.5%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/6/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Total Net Production0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0.18 Mil6.1% Higher NewGuidance: 0.17 Mil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Capital Expenditures380.00 Mil420.00 Mil460.00 Mil7.7% Higher NewGuidance: 390.00 Mil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Exploration Expense 135.00 Mil 50.0% Higher NewGuidance: 90.00 Mil for Q2 2026
2026 Total Net Production0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.17 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures1.50 Bil1.55 Bil1.60 Bil24.0% RaisedGuidance: 1.25 Bil for 2026
2026 Exploration Expense 300.00 Mil 15.4% RaisedGuidance: 260.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Total Net Production0.16 Mil0.17 Mil0.17 Mil-1.8% Lower NewGuidance: 0.17 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Capital Expenditures350.00 Mil390.00 Mil430.00 Mil-27.8% Lower NewGuidance: 540.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Exploration Expense70.00 Mil90.00 Mil110.00 Mil-25.0% Lower NewGuidance: 120.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Total Net Production0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.17 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures1.20 Bil1.25 Bil1.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.25 Bil for 2026
2026 Exploration Expense220.00 Mil260.00 Mil300.00 Mil   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Total Net Production0.16 Mil0.17 Mil0.17 Mil-6.7% Lower NewGuidance: 0.18 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Capital Expenditures500.00 Mil540.00 Mil580.00 Mil   
Q1 2026 Exploration Expense100.00 Mil120.00 Mil140.00 Mil50.0% Higher NewGuidance: 80.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 Total Net Production0.17 Mil0.17 Mil0.17 Mil-4.2% Lower NewGuidance: 0.18 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures1.20 Bil1.25 Bil1.30 Bil3.3% Higher NewGuidance: 1.21 Bil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Total Net Production0.18 Mil0.18 Mil0.18 Mil-4.8% Lower NewGuidance: 0.19 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Exploration Expense 80.00 Mil 100.0% Higher NewGuidance: 40.00 Mil for Q3 2025
2025 Total Net Production0.17 Mil0.18 Mil0.18 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.18 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures1.14 Bil1.21 Bil1.28 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.21 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hanchera, Daniel RSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell312202633.7947,3201,598,9241,222,035Form
2Martinez, Maria ASenior Vice PresidentDirectSell304202634.938,608300,6501,746,340Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hanchera, Daniel RSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell312202633.7947,3201,598,9241,222,035Form
2Martinez, Maria ASenior Vice PresidentDirectSell304202634.938,608300,6501,746,340Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/7/2026