Tearsheet

Cenovus Energy (CVE)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $16.69 | Market Cap: $29.9 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Cenovus Energy (CVE)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $16.69
Market Cap: $29.9 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 7.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
  Key risks
CVE key risks include [1] potential cost overruns and delays in executing its complex, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 7.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5%
6 Key risks
CVE key risks include [1] potential cost overruns and delays in executing its complex, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CVE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that influenced Cenovus Energy's (CVE) stock performance between August 31, 2025, and December 29, 2025:

1. Cenovus Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results on October 31, 2025, with net earnings increasing 57% year-over-year to $1.3 billion. The company also achieved record Upstream production and a 99% Downstream utilization rate, contributing to $2.5 billion in adjusted funds flow and $1.3 billion in free funds flow.

2. The completion of the sale of Cenovus's 50% interest in WRB Refining LP on October 1, 2025, generated $1.8 billion in cash proceeds. This strategic divestiture aimed to enhance the company's financial flexibility.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.9% change in CVE stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)17.5716.71-4.91%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)57226.0056602.00-1.09%
Net Income Margin (%)4.68%5.55%18.71%
P/E Multiple11.899.51-19.99%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1810.641788.901.20%
Cumulative Contribution-4.92%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVE-4.9% 
Market (SPY)4.3%26.9%
Sector (XLE)-3.9%73.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.9% change in CVE stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 17.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)13.3816.7124.86%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59727.0056602.00-5.23%
Net Income Margin (%)4.73%5.55%17.36%
P/E Multiple8.639.5110.26%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1821.331788.901.78%
Cumulative Contribution24.82%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVE24.9% 
Market (SPY)12.6%24.1%
Sector (XLE)4.5%74.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.8% change in CVE stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 36.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)14.0716.7118.75%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59474.0056602.00-4.83%
Net Income Margin (%)6.29%5.55%-11.70%
P/E Multiple6.959.5136.80%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1848.041788.903.20%
Cumulative Contribution18.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVE18.8% 
Market (SPY)17.0%56.0%
Sector (XLE)7.1%81.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.7% change in CVE stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -24.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)17.5316.71-4.69%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)71368.0056602.00-20.69%
Net Income Margin (%)7.37%5.55%-24.65%
P/E Multiple6.439.5148.01%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1927.861788.907.21%
Cumulative Contribution-5.18%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVE8.1% 
Market (SPY)48.4%46.5%
Sector (XLE)11.6%78.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVE Return-40%105%61%-12%-6%15%89%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVE Win Rate50%67%58%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVE Max Drawdown-84%-5%0%-22%-11%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-84.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven554.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,137 days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Cenovus Energy's stock fell -40.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -40.9% loss requires a 69.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Cenovus Energy (CVE)

Cenovus Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in Canada, the United States, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through Oil Sands, Conventional, Offshore, Canadian Manufacturing, U.S. Manufacturing, and Retail segments. The Oil Sands segment develops and produces bitumen and heavy oil in northern Alberta and Saskatchewan. This segments Foster Creek, Christina Lake, Sunrise, and Tucker oil sands projects, as well as Lloydminster thermal and conventional heavy oil assets The Conventional segment holds assets primarily located in Elmworth-Wapiti, Kaybob-Edson, Clearwater, and Rainbow Lake operating in Alberta and British Columbia, as well as interests in various natural gas processing facilities. The offshore segment engages in the exploration and development activities. The Canadian Manufacturing segment includes the owned and operated Lloydminster upgrading and asphalt refining complex, which upgrades heavy oil and bitumen into synthetic crude oil, diesel fuel, asphalt, and other ancillary products, as well as owns and operates the Bruderheim crude-by-rail terminal and two ethanol plants. The U.S. Manufacturing segment comprises the refining of crude oil to produce diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, asphalt, and other products. The Retail segment consists of marketing of its own and third-party refined petroleum products through retail, commercial, and bulk petroleum outlets, as well as wholesale channels. Cenovus Energy Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Cenovus Energy:

  • Imagine an **ExxonMobil** or **Chevron** focused primarily on Canadian oil production and North American refining.

  • A Canadian version of an integrated oil major like **Shell** or **BP**, that both extracts crude oil and refines it into fuels.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Crude Oil: Encompassing heavy, synthetic, and light crude oils extracted from their oil sands and conventional operations.
  • Natural Gas: Gaseous hydrocarbons extracted from their upstream conventional and unconventional assets.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Products like propane, butane, and ethane recovered during natural gas processing.
  • Refined Petroleum Products: Finished products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel produced at their jointly owned refineries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy (CVE) primarily sells its products to **other companies**, rather than directly to individuals. Cenovus Energy does not disclose specific names of individual major customers in its public filings (such as its Annual Information Form or financial statements). This indicates that its customer base is diversified, and no single customer accounts for a material portion (e.g., 10% or more) of its revenue, which is common for large integrated energy companies. However, based on its operations as an integrated oil and gas company, Cenovus Energy's major customers fall into the following categories of businesses:
  1. Refiners and Petrochemical Manufacturers: These companies purchase crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from Cenovus's upstream operations. They use these commodities as feedstocks for processing into various refined products (like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel) or into chemicals and plastics. This category includes both independent refiners and other integrated energy companies with refining assets.
  2. Energy Marketing and Trading Companies: These businesses acquire crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs for resale, market optimization, or to supply other customers. They act as intermediaries in the commodity markets, facilitating the movement and pricing of energy products.
  3. Wholesalers, Distributors, and Large Commercial/Industrial Consumers of Refined Products: From its downstream refining operations, Cenovus sells refined products (including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, asphalt, and lubricants). Customers in this category include companies that distribute these products to various retail outlets (including other retail fuel networks, though Cenovus also operates its own Husky retail brand), as well as large commercial and industrial entities that directly purchase fuel or other petroleum products for their own operations (e.g., transportation companies, airlines, construction firms, manufacturing plants).

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Enbridge Inc. (Symbol: ENB)
  • TC Energy Corporation (Symbol: TRP)

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Jon McKenzie, President & Chief Executive Officer
Jon McKenzie became Director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Cenovus Energy in 2023. With over 30 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, McKenzie previously served Cenovus as Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice-President, and Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer. He was an integral part of the 2021 strategic combination with Husky Energy, having served as the Chief Financial Officer at both Cenovus and Husky. McKenzie's career also includes roles as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Commercial Officer at Irving Oil, where he oversaw supply, trading, commercial aspects, and the coordination of business development projects involving pipelines, rail, and terminal operations. Before Irving Oil, he spent a decade at Suncor Energy, holding progressively senior finance and operations positions, including operational responsibility for Suncor's Fort McMurray upgrader. He currently serves on the Board of Directors for Irving Oil and as the Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors at the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP).

Karamjit S. Sandhar, Executive Vice-President & Chief Financial Officer
Karamjit S. Sandhar, known as Kam, has served as Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of Cenovus Energy since 2023. In this role, he is responsible for the company's financial, risk, and investor relations activities. Sandhar brings nearly 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, with expertise in strategy, business development, finance, and investor relations, and has overseen more than $20 billion in asset transactions. He joined Cenovus in 2013 and has progressed through senior leadership roles in investor relations and acquisitions and divestitures. His prior positions at Cenovus include Executive Vice-President for Strategy & Corporate Development and Senior Vice-President, Conventional. Before joining Cenovus, Sandhar spent nine years as a Principal and oil and gas analyst at Peters & Co. Limited, and began his career at Deloitte, specializing in oil and gas audit and taxation.

Alexander J. Pourbaix, Chairman
Mr. Alexander J. Pourbaix has been the Chairman of Cenovus Energy since April 2023, having served as a Director since 2017. Prior to his current role, he held the position of Chief Executive Officer and President of Cenovus from 2017 to 2023. Pourbaix also chairs the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers and Mount Royal University, and previously served as a Director of Trican Well Service Ltd.

Andrew Dahlin, Executive Vice-President & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Andrew Dahlin has served as the Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer of Cenovus Energy since 2023. In this capacity, he is responsible for overseeing the company's day-to-day upstream business operations and capital project delivery.

Jeff Lawson, Executive Vice-President, Corporate Development & Chief Sustainability Officer
Jeff Lawson holds the position of Executive Vice-President, Corporate Development & Chief Sustainability Officer at Cenovus Energy. Appointed in 2023, he is responsible for contributing to the company's long-term strategic initiatives, including acquisitions and divestitures, and for ensuring that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations are integrated into Cenovus's business plans.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Cenovus Energy (CVE):
  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Cenovus Energy's profitability is highly dependent on fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices, which directly impact its revenue and financial performance. The integrated business model provides a partial hedge, with upstream production benefiting from high prices and downstream refining benefiting from strong crack spreads; however, a prolonged period of low oil prices would significantly erode margins.
  2. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: The oil and gas industry, and consequently Cenovus Energy, faces significant challenges due to stringent environmental regulations and policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions. The company is investing in initiatives to advance its emissions reduction goals, highlighting the impact of these regulatory pressures.
  3. Operational and Capital Expenditure Risks: Cenovus Energy undertakes complex, large-scale energy projects, which inherently carry risks such as cost overruns and delays. The company has substantial capital investment plans, and issues in project execution can tie up capital and delay expected returns on investment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Escalating Carbon Pricing and Environmental Regulations: Governments globally, including Canada's where Cenovus Energy operates significantly, are implementing increasingly stringent carbon pricing mechanisms, methane emission regulations, and other environmental policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. For Cenovus, with its substantial oil sands operations (which are generally more carbon-intensive), this translates directly into higher operating costs, potential taxes, and increased capital expenditure requirements for decarbonization efforts, thereby impacting profitability and competitiveness.

Accelerated Energy Transition and Structural Demand Erosion: The accelerating global shift towards lower-carbon energy sources, driven by rapid technological advancements (e.g., falling costs of solar, wind, and battery storage), supportive government policies (e.g., mandates for EV adoption, renewable energy targets), and evolving consumer preferences, poses a clear and emerging threat to long-term demand for crude oil and natural gas. Specifically, the accelerating adoption of electric vehicles directly erodes demand for refined transportation fuels, while the growth of renewables reduces the need for natural gas in power generation, challenging Cenovus's core product markets.

Intensifying ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) Pressure and Capital Constraints: Financial institutions, investors, and public opinion are increasingly focused on climate risk and the carbon intensity of investments. This is leading to growing pressure for divestment from fossil fuel companies, stricter lending criteria, and higher costs of capital for companies perceived as lagging in decarbonization. Cenovus, as a major oil sands producer, faces heightened scrutiny, which could limit access to financing for future projects or even maintain existing operations, raise borrowing costs, and constrain their ability to adapt and grow in a transitioning energy landscape.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy's main products and their addressable market sizes are as follows:

  • Crude Oil (including refined petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel):
    • Global Market Size: The global crude oil market is expected to reach approximately $3,415.7 billion by the end of 2025.
    • North American Market Size: North America is estimated to hold 25.45% of the global crude oil market revenue in 2025. This equates to approximately $869.05 billion.
  • Natural Gas (including natural gas liquids):
    • Global Market Size: The global natural gas market size was valued at USD 1,127.09 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 2,142.88 billion by 2032.
    • North American Market Size: The North America natural gas market was valued at USD 435.26 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 622.63 billion by 2030.
  • Asphalt: null
  • Petcoke: null
  • Sulphur: null
  • Ethanol: null
  • Drilling and Completion Fluids: null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy (CVE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and projects:

  1. Increased Upstream Production from Core Oil Sands Assets: Cenovus anticipates a significant increase in its upstream production. For 2025, the company expects upstream production to be between 805,000 and 845,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), an approximate 4% increase compared to 2024. This growth is fueled by continued development and optimization at key oil sands assets such as Foster Creek and Sunrise, along with development in the Lloydminster area.
  2. Commissioning and Ramp-up of Major Growth Projects: Several large-scale projects are slated to achieve significant milestones and contribute to production. The Narrows Lake project is expected to achieve "first oil" by mid-2025, with ramp-up by year-end. The West White Rose offshore facilities are scheduled for installation in 2025, with drilling commencing before year-end and first oil anticipated in the second quarter of 2026. This project is projected to generate approximately $800 million in free cash flow by 2028-2029 and net peak production of around 45,000 bbls/d in 2028. Additionally, preparations for "first steam" at the Foster Creek optimization project are underway for 2025, with first oil from the project expected in early 2026, collectively adding about 30,000 barrels per day of new production at Foster Creek. These initiatives are part of a three-year investment cycle designed to drive planned production growth of 150,000 BOE/d by the end of 2028.
  3. Enhanced Downstream Throughput and Utilization: Cenovus forecasts improved performance in its downstream operations. Total downstream crude throughput is projected to be between 650,000 and 685,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) in 2025, representing an increase of approximately 4% from 2024. The company also expects downstream crude unit utilization rates to be in the range of 90% to 95%. Investments in safety, maintenance, and reliability enhancements across Cenovus's refineries are a key focus for these improvements.
  4. Acquisition of MEG Energy and Associated Synergies: The recent approval of the acquisition of MEG Energy by Cenovus is a significant driver. This deal is expected to increase Cenovus's oil sands output to 750,000 b/d in the region, particularly with MEG's Christina Lake asset. Cenovus plans to increase output at Christina Lake to 150,000 b/d by the end of 2028 and expects annual cost savings of C$150 million in the near-term, rising to C$400 million per year in 2028 and beyond.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Cenovus repurchased 82,563,942 common shares at a weighted-average price of $21.58 per share under its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) expiring November 10, 2025.
  • The company authorized a new NCIB to purchase up to 120,250,990 common shares (approximately 10% of its public float) between November 11, 2025, and November 10, 2026.
  • In 2024, Cenovus returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases via its NCIB.

Share Issuance

  • Cenovus completed an all-stock merger with Husky Energy in January 2021, valued at approximately C$3.9 billion.
  • The company's acquisition of MEG Energy in August 2025, amended in October 2025, is a cash-and-stock deal that includes the issuance of up to 157.7 million Cenovus common shares.
  • Cenovus's common shares outstanding declined by 9.52% from 2021 to Q2 2025, primarily due to share repurchase programs.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2021, Cenovus acquired Husky Energy for C$3.9 billion in stock, significantly expanding its integrated oil and gas operations.
  • Cenovus acquired BP's 50% interest in the BP-Husky Toledo Refinery in August 2022, assuming full ownership and operation.
  • In August 2025, Cenovus announced an agreement to acquire MEG Energy for an estimated C$7.9 billion in a cash-and-stock deal.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cenovus's capital spending for 2021 was between $2.3 billion and $2.7 billion, with approximately $2.1 billion allocated to sustaining capital and a significant portion for the rebuild of the Superior Refinery.
  • Total capital investment for 2024 was $5.0 billion, focusing primarily on sustaining upstream production, advancing major upstream growth projects like West White Rose, and refining reliability initiatives.
  • For 2025, projected capital investment is between $4.6 billion and $5.0 billion, with about $3.2 billion for sustaining capital and $1.4 billion to $1.8 billion directed towards upstream growth projects, including milestones at Narrows Lake, West White Rose, and Foster Creek optimization.

Better Bets than Cenovus Energy (CVE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
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Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
28.1%28.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-7.1%

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Peer Comparisons for Cenovus Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CVEHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCenovus .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price16.7123.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap29.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM56,60255,29534,29665,40257,696408,62557,149
Op Inc LTM4,3283,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,936
FCF LTM2,8242,80062711,85412,73396,1847,339
FCF 3Y Avg3,7432,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,748
CFO LTM7,8493,6972,91913,48313,744108,56510,666
CFO 3Y Avg8,4713,6723,89613,49814,736111,55910,984

Growth & Margins

CVEHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCenovus .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-4.8%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.6%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-4.5%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%12.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%17.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.0%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.6%

Valuation

CVEHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCenovus .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap29.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S0.50.41.04.45.410.02.7
P/EBIT7.06.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E9.58.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO3.85.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield12.7%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield2.2%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.5%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.2%
D/E0.30.50.70.20.10.00.3
Net D/E0.30.30.60.20.00.00.2

Returns

CVEHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCenovus .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-5.4%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%-1.5%
3M Rtn-4.9%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn24.9%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%20.0%
12M Rtn18.8%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%17.5%
3Y Rtn-4.7%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%73.5%
1M Excs Rtn-5.5%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-9.2%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%7.8%
12M Excs Rtn2.6%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%0.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-81.2%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil Sands31,67332,24831,07024,64126,203
United States (US) Refining8,6608,3247,7774,363 
Corporate and Eliminations4,6826,3764,7501,2101,068
Offshore3,5113,3393,5970 
Canadian Refining2,9603,1722,918578 
Conventional2,4292,4103,0261,9782,754
Retail  9660 
Refining and Marketing    5,688
Total53,91555,86954,10432,77035,713


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.71 
Market Cap ($ Bil)29.9 
First Trading Date11/17/2009 
Distance from 52W High-8.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$17.27$14.96
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-3.2%11.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.9%39.7%
Downside Capture85.7177.64
Upside Capture44.0382.45
Correlation (SPY)25.8%55.7%
CVE Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.300.740.570.511.120.97
Up Beta-0.45-0.22-0.140.541.180.97
Down Beta2.321.531.431.181.601.35
Up Capture60%73%48%56%66%39%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9213268130391
Down Capture-5%63%28%-25%79%97%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10192956116353

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of CVE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 CVESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return20.6%8.6%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility39.3%24.4%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.560.290.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 81.3%55.6%10.0%65.9%34.3%31.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of CVE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 CVESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return25.9%21.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility41.1%26.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.680.750.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 82.0%38.6%17.7%64.8%25.2%15.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of CVE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 CVESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.0%8.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility50.8%29.8%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.310.330.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 78.7%46.0%5.5%61.9%33.8%10.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity90,484,000
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025146.0%
Average Daily Volume11,103,788
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.15
Basic Shares Quantity1,788,901,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103120256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024220202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024103120246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023215202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342620236-K 3/31/2023
12312022216202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110220226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021208202240-F 12/31/2021