Tearsheet

Cenovus Energy (CVE)


Market Price (2/13/2026): $21.34 | Market Cap: $38.2 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Cenovus Energy (CVE)


Market Price (2/13/2026): $21.34
Market Cap: $38.2 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 7.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Key risks
CVE key risks include [1] potential cost overruns and delays in executing its complex, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 7.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Water Treatment Solutions, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5%
7 Key risks
CVE key risks include [1] potential cost overruns and delays in executing its complex, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy (CVE) stock has gained about 25% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strategic Acquisition of MEG Energy Corp.

Cenovus Energy's acquisition of MEG Energy Corp., which closed on November 13, 2025, was a significant driver for the stock's gain. This strategic move is expected to position Cenovus for a 15-20% production growth in 2026 and contribute to higher overall upstream production, creating anticipated synergies and accretive cash flow per share.

2. Strong Financial Performance and Optimistic Future Outlook

The company reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 31, 2025, exceeding analysts' earnings per share (EPS) estimates by 30% with record Upstream production and Downstream crude throughput. Following this, Cenovus announced its 2026 capital budget and corporate guidance on December 11, 2025, forecasting higher upstream production (between 945,000 and 985,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day) and a high downstream crude utilization rate, signaling strong operational efficiency and growth prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.5% change in CVE stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252122026Change
Stock Price ($)16.7321.3327.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)56,60256,6020.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.6%5.6%0.0%
P/E Multiple9.512.127.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,7891,7890.0%
Cumulative Contribution27.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CVE27.5% 
Market (SPY)-0.1%18.5%
Sector (XLE)22.5%67.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 42.8% change in CVE stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252122026Change
Stock Price ($)14.9321.3342.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)57,22656,602-1.1%
Net Income Margin (%)4.7%5.6%18.7%
P/E Multiple10.112.120.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8111,7891.2%
Cumulative Contribution42.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CVE42.8% 
Market (SPY)8.1%26.2%
Sector (XLE)24.8%69.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.4% change in CVE stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 76.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252122026Change
Stock Price ($)13.9121.3353.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59,47456,602-4.8%
Net Income Margin (%)6.3%5.6%-11.7%
P/E Multiple6.912.176.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,8481,7893.3%
Cumulative Contribution53.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CVE53.4% 
Market (SPY)14.2%54.3%
Sector (XLE)26.2%80.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.5% change in CVE stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 82.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232122026Change
Stock Price ($)18.1521.3317.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)71,36856,602-20.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.4%5.6%-24.7%
P/E Multiple6.712.182.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,9281,7897.8%
Cumulative Contribution17.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CVE17.5% 
Market (SPY)73.8%40.6%
Sector (XLE)31.8%79.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CVE Return105%61%-12%-6%16%30%311%
Peers Return68%51%6%8%23%27%353%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVE Win Rate67%58%42%42%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate67%62%55%58%73%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVE Max Drawdown-5%0%-22%-11%-29%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%-11%-5%-9%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SU, CNQ, IMO, XOM, CVX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-84.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven554.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven566 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,137 days120 days

Compare to SU, CNQ, IMO, XOM, CVX

In The Past

Cenovus Energy's stock fell -40.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -40.9% loss requires a 69.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Cenovus Energy (CVE)

Cenovus Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in Canada, the United States, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through Oil Sands, Conventional, Offshore, Canadian Manufacturing, U.S. Manufacturing, and Retail segments. The Oil Sands segment develops and produces bitumen and heavy oil in northern Alberta and Saskatchewan. This segments Foster Creek, Christina Lake, Sunrise, and Tucker oil sands projects, as well as Lloydminster thermal and conventional heavy oil assets The Conventional segment holds assets primarily located in Elmworth-Wapiti, Kaybob-Edson, Clearwater, and Rainbow Lake operating in Alberta and British Columbia, as well as interests in various natural gas processing facilities. The offshore segment engages in the exploration and development activities. The Canadian Manufacturing segment includes the owned and operated Lloydminster upgrading and asphalt refining complex, which upgrades heavy oil and bitumen into synthetic crude oil, diesel fuel, asphalt, and other ancillary products, as well as owns and operates the Bruderheim crude-by-rail terminal and two ethanol plants. The U.S. Manufacturing segment comprises the refining of crude oil to produce diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, asphalt, and other products. The Retail segment consists of marketing of its own and third-party refined petroleum products through retail, commercial, and bulk petroleum outlets, as well as wholesale channels. Cenovus Energy Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Cenovus Energy:

  • Imagine an **ExxonMobil** or **Chevron** focused primarily on Canadian oil production and North American refining.

  • A Canadian version of an integrated oil major like **Shell** or **BP**, that both extracts crude oil and refines it into fuels.

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  • Crude Oil: Encompassing heavy, synthetic, and light crude oils extracted from their oil sands and conventional operations.
  • Natural Gas: Gaseous hydrocarbons extracted from their upstream conventional and unconventional assets.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Products like propane, butane, and ethane recovered during natural gas processing.
  • Refined Petroleum Products: Finished products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel produced at their jointly owned refineries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy (CVE) primarily sells its products to **other companies**, rather than directly to individuals. Cenovus Energy does not disclose specific names of individual major customers in its public filings (such as its Annual Information Form or financial statements). This indicates that its customer base is diversified, and no single customer accounts for a material portion (e.g., 10% or more) of its revenue, which is common for large integrated energy companies. However, based on its operations as an integrated oil and gas company, Cenovus Energy's major customers fall into the following categories of businesses:
  1. Refiners and Petrochemical Manufacturers: These companies purchase crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from Cenovus's upstream operations. They use these commodities as feedstocks for processing into various refined products (like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel) or into chemicals and plastics. This category includes both independent refiners and other integrated energy companies with refining assets.
  2. Energy Marketing and Trading Companies: These businesses acquire crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs for resale, market optimization, or to supply other customers. They act as intermediaries in the commodity markets, facilitating the movement and pricing of energy products.
  3. Wholesalers, Distributors, and Large Commercial/Industrial Consumers of Refined Products: From its downstream refining operations, Cenovus sells refined products (including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, asphalt, and lubricants). Customers in this category include companies that distribute these products to various retail outlets (including other retail fuel networks, though Cenovus also operates its own Husky retail brand), as well as large commercial and industrial entities that directly purchase fuel or other petroleum products for their own operations (e.g., transportation companies, airlines, construction firms, manufacturing plants).

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  • Enbridge Inc. (Symbol: ENB)
  • TC Energy Corporation (Symbol: TRP)

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Jon McKenzie, President & Chief Executive Officer
Jon McKenzie became Director, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Cenovus Energy in 2023. With over 30 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, McKenzie previously served Cenovus as Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice-President, and Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer. He was an integral part of the 2021 strategic combination with Husky Energy, having served as the Chief Financial Officer at both Cenovus and Husky. McKenzie's career also includes roles as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Commercial Officer at Irving Oil, where he oversaw supply, trading, commercial aspects, and the coordination of business development projects involving pipelines, rail, and terminal operations. Before Irving Oil, he spent a decade at Suncor Energy, holding progressively senior finance and operations positions, including operational responsibility for Suncor's Fort McMurray upgrader. He currently serves on the Board of Directors for Irving Oil and as the Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors at the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP).

Karamjit S. Sandhar, Executive Vice-President & Chief Financial Officer
Karamjit S. Sandhar, known as Kam, has served as Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of Cenovus Energy since 2023. In this role, he is responsible for the company's financial, risk, and investor relations activities. Sandhar brings nearly 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, with expertise in strategy, business development, finance, and investor relations, and has overseen more than $20 billion in asset transactions. He joined Cenovus in 2013 and has progressed through senior leadership roles in investor relations and acquisitions and divestitures. His prior positions at Cenovus include Executive Vice-President for Strategy & Corporate Development and Senior Vice-President, Conventional. Before joining Cenovus, Sandhar spent nine years as a Principal and oil and gas analyst at Peters & Co. Limited, and began his career at Deloitte, specializing in oil and gas audit and taxation.

Alexander J. Pourbaix, Chairman
Mr. Alexander J. Pourbaix has been the Chairman of Cenovus Energy since April 2023, having served as a Director since 2017. Prior to his current role, he held the position of Chief Executive Officer and President of Cenovus from 2017 to 2023. Pourbaix also chairs the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers and Mount Royal University, and previously served as a Director of Trican Well Service Ltd.

Andrew Dahlin, Executive Vice-President & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Andrew Dahlin has served as the Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer of Cenovus Energy since 2023. In this capacity, he is responsible for overseeing the company's day-to-day upstream business operations and capital project delivery.

Jeff Lawson, Executive Vice-President, Corporate Development & Chief Sustainability Officer
Jeff Lawson holds the position of Executive Vice-President, Corporate Development & Chief Sustainability Officer at Cenovus Energy. Appointed in 2023, he is responsible for contributing to the company's long-term strategic initiatives, including acquisitions and divestitures, and for ensuring that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations are integrated into Cenovus's business plans.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Cenovus Energy (CVE):
  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Cenovus Energy's profitability is highly dependent on fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices, which directly impact its revenue and financial performance. The integrated business model provides a partial hedge, with upstream production benefiting from high prices and downstream refining benefiting from strong crack spreads; however, a prolonged period of low oil prices would significantly erode margins.
  2. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: The oil and gas industry, and consequently Cenovus Energy, faces significant challenges due to stringent environmental regulations and policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions. The company is investing in initiatives to advance its emissions reduction goals, highlighting the impact of these regulatory pressures.
  3. Operational and Capital Expenditure Risks: Cenovus Energy undertakes complex, large-scale energy projects, which inherently carry risks such as cost overruns and delays. The company has substantial capital investment plans, and issues in project execution can tie up capital and delay expected returns on investment.

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Escalating Carbon Pricing and Environmental Regulations: Governments globally, including Canada's where Cenovus Energy operates significantly, are implementing increasingly stringent carbon pricing mechanisms, methane emission regulations, and other environmental policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. For Cenovus, with its substantial oil sands operations (which are generally more carbon-intensive), this translates directly into higher operating costs, potential taxes, and increased capital expenditure requirements for decarbonization efforts, thereby impacting profitability and competitiveness.

Accelerated Energy Transition and Structural Demand Erosion: The accelerating global shift towards lower-carbon energy sources, driven by rapid technological advancements (e.g., falling costs of solar, wind, and battery storage), supportive government policies (e.g., mandates for EV adoption, renewable energy targets), and evolving consumer preferences, poses a clear and emerging threat to long-term demand for crude oil and natural gas. Specifically, the accelerating adoption of electric vehicles directly erodes demand for refined transportation fuels, while the growth of renewables reduces the need for natural gas in power generation, challenging Cenovus's core product markets.

Intensifying ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) Pressure and Capital Constraints: Financial institutions, investors, and public opinion are increasingly focused on climate risk and the carbon intensity of investments. This is leading to growing pressure for divestment from fossil fuel companies, stricter lending criteria, and higher costs of capital for companies perceived as lagging in decarbonization. Cenovus, as a major oil sands producer, faces heightened scrutiny, which could limit access to financing for future projects or even maintain existing operations, raise borrowing costs, and constrain their ability to adapt and grow in a transitioning energy landscape.

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Cenovus Energy's main products and their addressable market sizes are as follows:

  • Crude Oil (including refined petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel):
    • Global Market Size: The global crude oil market is expected to reach approximately $3,415.7 billion by the end of 2025.
    • North American Market Size: North America is estimated to hold 25.45% of the global crude oil market revenue in 2025. This equates to approximately $869.05 billion.
  • Natural Gas (including natural gas liquids):
    • Global Market Size: The global natural gas market size was valued at USD 1,127.09 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 2,142.88 billion by 2032.
    • North American Market Size: The North America natural gas market was valued at USD 435.26 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 622.63 billion by 2030.
  • Asphalt: null
  • Petcoke: null
  • Sulphur: null
  • Ethanol: null
  • Drilling and Completion Fluids: null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cenovus Energy (CVE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and projects:

  1. Increased Upstream Production from Core Oil Sands Assets: Cenovus anticipates a significant increase in its upstream production. For 2025, the company expects upstream production to be between 805,000 and 845,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), an approximate 4% increase compared to 2024. This growth is fueled by continued development and optimization at key oil sands assets such as Foster Creek and Sunrise, along with development in the Lloydminster area.
  2. Commissioning and Ramp-up of Major Growth Projects: Several large-scale projects are slated to achieve significant milestones and contribute to production. The Narrows Lake project is expected to achieve "first oil" by mid-2025, with ramp-up by year-end. The West White Rose offshore facilities are scheduled for installation in 2025, with drilling commencing before year-end and first oil anticipated in the second quarter of 2026. This project is projected to generate approximately $800 million in free cash flow by 2028-2029 and net peak production of around 45,000 bbls/d in 2028. Additionally, preparations for "first steam" at the Foster Creek optimization project are underway for 2025, with first oil from the project expected in early 2026, collectively adding about 30,000 barrels per day of new production at Foster Creek. These initiatives are part of a three-year investment cycle designed to drive planned production growth of 150,000 BOE/d by the end of 2028.
  3. Enhanced Downstream Throughput and Utilization: Cenovus forecasts improved performance in its downstream operations. Total downstream crude throughput is projected to be between 650,000 and 685,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) in 2025, representing an increase of approximately 4% from 2024. The company also expects downstream crude unit utilization rates to be in the range of 90% to 95%. Investments in safety, maintenance, and reliability enhancements across Cenovus's refineries are a key focus for these improvements.
  4. Acquisition of MEG Energy and Associated Synergies: The recent approval of the acquisition of MEG Energy by Cenovus is a significant driver. This deal is expected to increase Cenovus's oil sands output to 750,000 b/d in the region, particularly with MEG's Christina Lake asset. Cenovus plans to increase output at Christina Lake to 150,000 b/d by the end of 2028 and expects annual cost savings of C$150 million in the near-term, rising to C$400 million per year in 2028 and beyond.

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Share Repurchases

  • Cenovus repurchased 82,563,942 common shares at a weighted-average price of $21.58 per share under its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) expiring November 10, 2025.
  • The company authorized a new NCIB to purchase up to 120,250,990 common shares (approximately 10% of its public float) between November 11, 2025, and November 10, 2026.
  • In 2024, Cenovus returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases via its NCIB.

Share Issuance

  • Cenovus completed an all-stock merger with Husky Energy in January 2021, valued at approximately C$3.9 billion.
  • The company's acquisition of MEG Energy in August 2025, amended in October 2025, is a cash-and-stock deal that includes the issuance of up to 157.7 million Cenovus common shares.
  • Cenovus's common shares outstanding declined by 9.52% from 2021 to Q2 2025, primarily due to share repurchase programs.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2021, Cenovus acquired Husky Energy for C$3.9 billion in stock, significantly expanding its integrated oil and gas operations.
  • Cenovus acquired BP's 50% interest in the BP-Husky Toledo Refinery in August 2022, assuming full ownership and operation.
  • In August 2025, Cenovus announced an agreement to acquire MEG Energy for an estimated C$7.9 billion in a cash-and-stock deal.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cenovus's capital spending for 2021 was between $2.3 billion and $2.7 billion, with approximately $2.1 billion allocated to sustaining capital and a significant portion for the rebuild of the Superior Refinery.
  • Total capital investment for 2024 was $5.0 billion, focusing primarily on sustaining upstream production, advancing major upstream growth projects like West White Rose, and refining reliability initiatives.
  • For 2025, projected capital investment is between $4.6 billion and $5.0 billion, with about $3.2 billion for sustaining capital and $1.4 billion to $1.8 billion directed towards upstream growth projects, including milestones at Narrows Lake, West White Rose, and Foster Creek optimization.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

CVESUCNQIMOXOMCVXMedian
NameCenovus .Suncor E.Canadian.Imperial.Exxon Mo.Chevron  
Mkt Price21.3355.0939.99116.35149.93182.4085.72
Mkt Cap38.266.783.558.6642.5353.775.1
Rev LTM56,60253,30144,52146,244324,924186,97954,952
Op Inc LTM4,3287,9529,0225,03035,70815,0678,487
FCF LTM2,8248,0368,1244,78323,77515,4248,080
FCF 3Y Avg3,7437,6638,2843,92831,46218,1857,974
CFO LTM7,84913,94314,7706,57951,52031,84514,356
CFO 3Y Avg8,47113,69613,8745,76755,76834,25013,785

Growth & Margins

CVESUCNQIMOXOMCVXMedian
NameCenovus .Suncor E.Canadian.Imperial.Exxon Mo.Chevron  
Rev Chg LTM-4.8%-2.8%8.3%-6.2%-4.4%-3.6%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.6%-3.4%-2.4%-5.6%-5.6%-6.2%-5.6%
Rev Chg Q-4.5%-2.4%6.4%-7.5%-5.1%-1.5%-3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%-0.6%1.5%-2.0%-1.4%-0.4%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%14.9%20.3%10.9%11.0%8.1%10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%17.2%21.9%12.4%12.7%11.2%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.3%-4.3%-1.7%-0.4%-0.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%26.2%33.2%14.2%15.9%17.0%16.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%25.4%32.8%12.0%16.5%17.6%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.0%15.1%18.2%10.3%7.3%8.2%9.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%14.2%19.6%8.2%9.3%9.3%9.3%

Valuation

CVESUCNQIMOXOMCVXMedian
NameCenovus .Suncor E.Canadian.Imperial.Exxon Mo.Chevron  
Mkt Cap38.266.783.558.6642.5353.775.1
P/S0.71.31.91.32.01.91.6
P/EBIT8.98.69.511.214.715.910.4
P/E12.112.712.514.721.427.713.7
P/CFO4.94.85.78.912.511.17.3
Total Yield10.0%12.1%13.7%9.1%7.3%7.1%9.5%
Dividend Yield1.7%4.2%5.7%2.3%2.7%3.5%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%16.4%12.1%10.8%6.9%6.6%11.4%
D/E0.30.20.20.10.10.10.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.00.00.10.1

Returns

CVESUCNQIMOXOMCVXMedian
NameCenovus .Suncor E.Canadian.Imperial.Exxon Mo.Chevron  
1M Rtn21.1%14.5%20.6%21.1%19.3%11.3%20.0%
3M Rtn21.0%27.5%24.5%21.7%28.2%18.5%23.1%
6M Rtn43.8%44.2%37.8%41.4%43.1%20.2%42.3%
12M Rtn46.0%45.0%40.4%69.5%44.5%23.2%44.7%
3Y Rtn18.1%84.6%51.6%135.9%41.0%21.0%46.3%
1M Excs Rtn22.9%16.3%22.5%23.0%21.2%13.2%21.8%
3M Excs Rtn18.3%26.4%25.3%21.9%27.3%18.2%23.6%
6M Excs Rtn38.9%38.7%31.4%35.4%37.1%14.0%36.3%
12M Excs Rtn30.6%28.9%23.7%55.5%27.5%8.6%28.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.4%24.5%-7.7%81.5%-18.5%-45.2%-13.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil Sands31,67332,24831,07024,64126,203
United States (US) Refining8,6608,3247,7774,363 
Corporate and Eliminations4,6826,3764,7501,2101,068
Offshore3,5113,3393,5970 
Canadian Refining2,9603,1722,918578 
Conventional2,4292,4103,0261,9782,754
Retail  9660 
Refining and Marketing    5,688
Total53,91555,86954,10432,77035,713


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$21.33 
Market Cap ($ Bil)38.2 
First Trading Date11/17/2009 
Distance from 52W High-3.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$18.17$15.96
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA17.4%33.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.4%41.2%
Downside Capture-65.9658.56
Upside Capture48.2089.14
Correlation (SPY)11.4%54.4%
CVE Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.380.200.270.631.160.93
Up Beta-0.26-0.38-0.350.531.140.96
Down Beta1.900.680.941.091.661.33
Up Capture104%61%63%79%91%32%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days12223269135392
Down Capture-290%-66%-38%4%79%92%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days8192955114354

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CVE
CVE43.4%41.1%0.98-
Sector ETF (XLE)21.3%25.3%0.7280.5%
Equity (SPY)13.6%19.4%0.5354.6%
Gold (GLD)70.2%25.2%2.0816.6%
Commodities (DBC)5.5%16.8%0.1565.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%16.6%0.1439.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-29.6%44.7%-0.6529.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CVE
CVE30.6%40.9%0.77-
Sector ETF (XLE)24.9%26.5%0.8482.2%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6238.9%
Gold (GLD)21.8%17.0%1.0517.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%18.9%0.4564.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1726.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.1%57.9%0.4314.1%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CVE
CVE8.0%50.8%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLE)10.9%29.6%0.4178.5%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7445.5%
Gold (GLD)15.2%15.6%0.816.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%17.6%0.3761.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.7%0.2633.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.7%1.0711.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity37.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 115202612.8%
Average Daily Volume12.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,788.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/31/20256-K
06/30/202507/31/20256-K
03/31/202505/08/20256-K
12/31/202402/20/202540-F
09/30/202410/31/20246-K
06/30/202408/01/20246-K
03/31/202405/01/20246-K
12/31/202302/15/202440-F
09/30/202311/02/20236-K
06/30/202307/27/20236-K
03/31/202304/26/20236-K
12/31/202202/16/202340-F
09/30/202211/02/20226-K
06/30/202207/28/20226-K
03/31/202204/27/20226-K
12/31/202102/08/202240-F