Tearsheet

SM Energy (SM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.27 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

SM Energy (SM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.27
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 23%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for SM Energy (symbol: SM) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. As such, historical data and specific reasons for a -28.6% stock movement during this future period are not available. However, based on available news and projections for SM Energy within the broader 2025 timeframe, several significant factors were at play that could influence stock performance, though not tied to a specific -28.6% drop in the requested future period.

1. Merger with Civitas Resources: SM Energy announced a $12.8 billion all-stock merger with Civitas Resources, Inc., with additional details released in November 2025. This transformational combination aims to create a formidable exploration and production company, enhance scale and capabilities, and is expected to generate significant synergies ranging from $200 million to $300 million annually. The deal is anticipated to close in the first quarter of 2026.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Production Growth: SM Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.33 per share, surpassing consensus estimates. The company also reported record-breaking Q2 production of 209.1 MBoe/d with 55% oil content. SM Energy reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, maintaining capital expenditure targets and expecting total net production between 200-215 MBoe/d.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SM Return-45%382%19%13%2%-48%89%
Peers Return-46%83%80%-2%-14%20%81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SM Win Rate42%75%58%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate37%55%62%43%40%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SM Max Drawdown-91%0%0%-27%-8%-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-9%-2%-22%-28%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SR, OGS, CVI, BTU, KOS. See SM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-91.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1102.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven317 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-80.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven401.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven742 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven458.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven709 days1480 days

Compare to SR, OGS, CVI, BTU, KOS


In The Past

SM Energy's stock fell -53.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -53.4% loss requires a 114.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SM Energy (SM)

Better Bets than SM Energy (SM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
SM_12312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312022SMSM EnergyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%13.1%-27.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
SM_12312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312022SMSM EnergyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%13.1%-27.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SM Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMSROGSCVIBTUKOSMedian
NameSM EnergySpire ONE Gas CVR Ener.Peabody .Kosmos E. 
Mkt Price20.2183.8479.7934.3129.431.0931.87
Mkt Cap2.34.94.83.43.60.53.5
Rev LTM3,2722,4362,3697,2983,9621,3912,854
Op Inc LTM1,01854444230215-105372
FCF LTM-1,563-264-125-146-61-131-139
FCF 3Y Avg-280-196-84240466-182-133
CFO LTM2,137666598242385274492
CFO 3Y Avg1,735595620532859603611

Growth & Margins

SMSROGSCVIBTUKOSMedian
NameSM EnergySpire ONE Gas CVR Ener.Peabody .Kosmos E. 
Rev Chg LTM34.0%-6.6%15.1%-7.2%-8.9%-22.1%-6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%4.6%1.5%-10.7%-4.0%-14.5%-1.4%
Rev Chg Q26.3%1.9%11.4%6.1%-7.0%-23.7%4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%0.3%1.7%1.5%-1.9%-6.5%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM31.1%22.3%18.7%4.1%0.4%-7.6%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg37.3%19.0%17.2%6.3%12.9%24.7%18.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.1%1.5%-0.1%8.7%-3.7%-11.4%-1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM65.3%27.3%25.3%3.3%9.7%19.7%22.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg63.8%23.3%26.0%6.0%18.0%35.9%24.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-47.8%-10.8%-5.3%-2.0%-1.5%-9.4%-7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.0%-7.6%-4.4%2.3%9.1%-11.0%-5.2%

Valuation

SMSROGSCVIBTUKOSMedian
NameSM EnergySpire ONE Gas CVR Ener.Peabody .Kosmos E. 
Mkt Cap2.34.94.83.43.60.53.5
P/S0.91.82.10.50.80.60.8
P/EBIT2.67.910.911.070.8-8.29.4
P/E3.915.119.122.1-98.7-2.49.5
P/CFO1.36.58.115.18.42.97.3
Total Yield27.0%10.8%6.9%4.5%0.1%-41.5%5.7%
Dividend Yield1.6%4.2%1.6%0.0%1.1%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.9%-5.3%-1.7%7.3%13.6%-11.8%-3.5%
D/E0.91.10.70.50.13.80.8
Net D/E0.91.10.70.3-0.13.70.8

Returns

SMSROGSCVIBTUKOSMedian
NameSM EnergySpire ONE Gas CVR Ener.Peabody .Kosmos E. 
1M Rtn4.4%-4.5%-1.3%-6.8%-1.5%-26.4%-3.0%
3M Rtn-26.6%13.1%6.7%11.1%72.6%-35.1%8.9%
6M Rtn-14.9%16.8%10.4%46.6%121.1%-39.8%13.6%
12M Rtn-53.2%22.0%8.9%80.6%27.1%-71.4%15.4%
3Y Rtn-47.5%39.6%22.4%20.5%-3.1%-83.0%8.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%-4.5%-1.3%-6.8%-1.4%-26.3%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-33.0%6.4%1.6%5.4%64.2%-42.0%3.5%
6M Excs Rtn-29.7%2.1%-4.3%31.8%106.4%-54.5%-1.1%
12M Excs Rtn-67.4%6.0%-7.5%63.8%11.9%-85.9%-0.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.6%-42.5%-69.8%-66.0%-68.6%-155.2%-69.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil production revenue1,8142,2701,8928541,183
Gas production revenue328791525187263
Natural gas liquids (NGL) production revenue22228518185140
Other operating income101325 3
Net gain on divestiture activity    1
Total2,3743,3592,6231,1261,590


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,988,656
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.9%
Average Daily Volume4,263,347
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.34
Basic Shares Quantity114,826,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jenkins Richard A.Senior Vice President - Utah6182025Sell28.497,726220,114674,301Form
1Vogel Herbert SPresident & CEO5082025Buy21.321,00021,32010,406,313Form
2PERU RAMIRO G 3052025Buy28.725,000143,6002,370,405Form
3Vogel Herbert SPresident & CEO3042025Buy29.6750014,83514,452,287Form
4BROOKMAN BARTON R JR 2272025Buy32.367,000226,520474,592Form