Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $5.82 | Market Cap: $206.4 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $5.82Market Cap: $206.4 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% | Key risksKGEI key risks include [1] a decrease in its total proved reserves and [2] a weak liquidity position where short-term assets do not cover its liabilities. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19% |
| Key risksKGEI key risks include [1] a decrease in its total proved reserves and [2] a weak liquidity position where short-term assets do not cover its liabilities. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Kolibri Global Energy experienced substantial production growth, with average production for 2025 increasing by 15% to over 4,013 BOEPD compared to 2024. This upward trend continued, with December 2025 production exceeding 5,600 BOEPD due to new wells, and the full production and cash flow impact from these wells is anticipated primarily in 2026 results. The company plans to resume its 2026 drilling program in June, contingent on favorable oil prices.
2. The company announced a significant increase in its proved developed producing reserves, which rose by 30% as of December 31, 2025, driven by a successful 2025 drilling program. The valuation of these proved developed producing reserves (NPV discounted at 10%) also increased by 10% to $189 million, despite the use of lower oil price assumptions in the reserve report.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.3% change in KGEI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.02 | 5.88 | 46.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 76 | 76 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.5% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.0 | 11.7 | 46.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 35 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KGEI | 46.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -8.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 39.5% | 37.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.3% change in KGEI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.64 | 5.88 | 4.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 73 | 76 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.3% | 23.5% | -10.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.4 | 11.7 | 12.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KGEI | 4.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -1.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 40.8% | 40.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.6% change in KGEI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.60 | 5.88 | -22.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 70 | 76 | 9.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.8% | 23.5% | -5.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.7 | 11.7 | -25.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KGEI | -22.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 20.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.1% | 37.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.2% change in KGEI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 597.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.05 | 5.88 | 45.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41 | 76 | 83.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 208.4% | 23.5% | -88.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 1.7 | 11.7 | 597.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KGEI | 45.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 19.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 65.5% | 29.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KGEI Return | 62% | 4866% | 27% | 42% | -26% | 43% | 15213% |
| Peers Return | 85% | 72% | -12% | 33% | -23% | 35% | 288% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KGEI Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 65% | 40% | 60% | 46% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KGEI Max Drawdown | 0% | -1% | -8% | -23% | -30% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -3% | -25% | -12% | -38% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PNRG, AMPY, EPSN, EPM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KGEI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 346.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 346 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -88.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 753.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 905 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 411.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PNRG, AMPY, EPSN, EPM
In The Past
Kolibri Global Energy's stock fell -49.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -49.1% loss requires a 96.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of analogies for Kolibri Global Energy (KGEI):
- Think of it as a smaller, Oklahoma-focused shale oil producer, similar to how Continental Resources operates in its key basins.
- It's an independent oil and gas exploration and production company, like a smaller-scale ConocoPhillips, but with its assets concentrated in Oklahoma's Ardmore Basin shale oil region.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Crude Oil: A naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product, extracted from the earth and refined into various fuels and products.
- Natural Gas: A fossil energy source, extracted from underground, used as fuel for heating, electricity generation, and industrial processes.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Hydrocarbons that are separated from natural gas and can be used as fuel or as raw materials for petrochemicals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) operates in the upstream oil and gas sector, focusing on the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. As such, the company sells its commodities primarily to other businesses involved in the processing, transportation, and consumption of these resources, rather than directly to individual consumers.
Based on the nature of its business, Kolibri Global Energy's major customers would typically fall into the following categories, though specific customer names are not publicly disclosed by the company:
- Midstream Operators and Commodity Purchasers: These companies specialize in the gathering, processing, and transportation of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through pipeline networks and other infrastructure. They purchase commodities from producers like KGEI at the wellhead or nearby facilities for further movement to market, processing, or resale.
- Oil Refiners: These companies purchase crude oil to process into a variety of refined petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks.
- Natural Gas Utilities and Power Generators: These entities purchase natural gas for distribution to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers, or for use in natural gas-fired power plants to generate electricity.
The company typically sells its products under short-term, cancellable contracts tied to market prices and does not generally rely on a single purchaser, which is common for companies operating in the commodity market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Wolf E. Regener, President & CEO, Director
Mr. Regener brings over 33 years of management and conventional and unconventional E&P experience to Kolibri Global Energy Inc.. He was instrumental in the formation of BNK Petroleum Inc. and its subsequent spin-off while serving as Executive Vice President of Bankers Petroleum Ltd. and President of its wholly-owned U.S. subsidiary. His career also includes key senior executive positions with Tartan Energy, Alanmar Energy, and R&R Resources. With an extensive operations and finance background, Mr. Regener has led BNK Petroleum's acquisition of unconventional gas projects internationally and the development of the company's Tishomingo Field interests. He holds a Business of Economics degree with an emphasis on Computer Science from the University of California, Santa Barbara.
Gary W. Johnson, Chief Financial Officer & Vice President
Mr. Johnson is a CPA with over 25 years of accounting and finance experience, including 17 years in the oil and gas industry. Before joining BNK Petroleum, his career included roles such as Director of Technical Accounting at Occidental Petroleum Corporation, where he was responsible for public filings and worldwide accounting compliance. He also served as Assistant Controller at Ascent Media Corporation, overseeing corporate accounting, financial reporting, and consolidations, and as Manager of Financial Reporting and Analysis at Western Atlas. Mr. Johnson holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from Loyola Marymount University and an MBA from Auburn University.
Dan Simpson, Director of Engineering
Mr. Simpson brings 30 years of experience in petroleum engineering to Kolibri Global Energy Inc., covering operations, management, reserve and economic evaluations, acquisitions and divestitures, and reservoir simulation. He has held Vice President or Head of Engineering roles for 20 years. Prior to Kolibri, he worked as an engineer with firms such as Schlumberger's Reservoir Technologies Division, MHA Petroleum Consultants, and various private oil and gas companies. His North American experience includes conventional and unconventional production, EOR, gas storage, and coal bed methane projects in the Rockies, West Texas, the Mid-Continent, and California. He also has international experience in Mexico, Germany, West Africa, the Middle East, Australia, Belize, and the North Sea.
Allan Hemmy, Senior Geologist
Mr. Hemmy has over 10 years of experience in oil and gas exploration and development, with extensive experience in the evaluation of source rock reservoirs and other tight reservoirs. His expertise encompasses total petroleum system evaluation, basin analysis, sequence stratigraphic interpretation, and petrophysical evaluation of log and core data. Mr. Hemmy holds Bachelor degrees in Geology and Biology from the University of Kansas.
Steve Raunsbak, Controller
Mr. Raunsbak has over 22 years of accounting experience, with 17 years specifically in oil and gas accounting. Before joining the company, he served as the Assistant Controller for Venoco, Inc.. Mr. Raunsbak earned a Business of Economics degree with an emphasis on accounting from the University of California, Santa Barbara.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Kolibri Global Energy Inc.'s (KGEI) business include:- Commodity Price Volatility: Kolibri Global Energy's profitability and valuation are highly vulnerable to fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices. Sustained low oil prices can significantly threaten the company's financial performance, as lower market prices directly impact its netback per barrel. Geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic instability, which influence oil prices, have already led to increased sensitivity of KGEI's shares to these price movements.
- Execution and Operational Risks: The company faces risks related to the on-time delivery and performance of new wells, as well as maintaining cost discipline in a higher spending environment. Operational setbacks, such as drill pipe failures that delay well completions, can lead to postponed fracture stimulations, increased capital expenditures, and a rise in net debt.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global transition towards renewable energy sources and electric vehicles, driven by technological advancements and increasing decarbonization efforts, poses an emerging threat by potentially reducing long-term demand for fossil fuels and diminishing the value of oil and gas assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. operates within significant addressable markets for its primary products: crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, primarily within the United States and specifically in Oklahoma.Addressable Markets for Kolibri Global Energy's Products:
Natural Gas
The natural gas market in Oklahoma is estimated at $7.1 billion in 2026 for the Natural Gas Distribution industry. More broadly, the U.S. natural gas market was valued at approximately USD 454.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 577.9 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% between 2025 and 2032. Another estimate places the U.S. natural gas market at US$473.4 billion in 2025, growing to US$601.8 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 3.5%. In terms of consumption, customers in Oklahoma consume 668.0 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas each year.Crude Oil
The global crude oil market was valued at USD 751.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to increase to USD 763.75 billion in 2025, reaching USD 867.16 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 1.6% from 2026 to 2033. The United States holds the position as the world's largest crude oil producer, with production averaging 12.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2023 and establishing a monthly record high of over 13.3 million b/d in December 2023. U.S. crude oil production surpassed 13 million barrels per day in 2024 and is anticipated to reach approximately 13.5 million barrels per day in 2025. Oklahoma's crude oil production in 2024 was about 145 million barrels, ranking it as the sixth-largest producing state. As of November 2025, Oklahoma's crude oil production was 12.77 million barrels per month.Natural Gas Liquids (NGL)
The U.S. natural gas liquid market was estimated at USD 5.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 10.6 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2035. North America's Natural Gas Liquids market, which largely consists of the U.S., is estimated to grow from USD 7.08 billion in 2024 to USD 11.53 billion in 2033, with a CAGR of 5.57%. The United States alone accounted for 92.8% of the North American natural gas liquid market share in 2024. North America produced over 10 million barrels per day of NGLs in 2023, representing more than 80% of global NGL production. The global natural gas liquids market was estimated at USD 15.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 16.27 billion in 2025, with a projected growth to USD 21.59 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 5.8%. Other estimates place the global NGL market size at USD 16.3 billion in 2025, expanding to USD 29.4 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 6.1%. Additionally, the global market is estimated at USD 23.83 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 32.18 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.19%.AI Analysis | Feedback
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies centered on increasing production and operational efficiency within its core asset base.
One significant driver is the **increased production volumes from new wells**, particularly the longer lateral wells being drilled in its Tishomingo field in Oklahoma. Kolibri Global Energy reported a 24% increase in production in 2024, which directly contributed to a 16% rise in net revenues. The company has provided a 2025 production forecast of 4,500 to 5,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD), representing a substantial increase of 29% to 47% compared to 2024 actual production. This growth is expected from bringing new oil wells online, with plans to drill and complete additional 1.5-mile and 2-mile lateral wells in 2025. Delayed wells from 2025 are projected to significantly boost production in early 2026, leading to a record production exit rate for the year.
Another crucial driver for revenue growth is **favorable commodity prices**, specifically for crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs). While 2024 revenues were partially offset by lower prices, the company’s 2025 guidance was initially based on a West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price assumption of US$70 per barrel and NGL pricing of US$28 per BOE. Revisions to subsequent guidance explicitly cited lower-than-expected oil prices as a factor, indicating that a recovery or sustained stability in oil and NGL prices at advantageous levels would positively impact revenue.
**Enhanced operational efficiency and cost management** are also expected to contribute to future revenue growth. Kolibri Global Energy achieved cost efficiencies in its field operations, with capital expenditures in 2024 coming in below the low end of its guidance. The company has demonstrated its ability to drill longer lateral wells (1.5-mile laterals) quickly and under budget, adding 50% more reservoir with only a 15% increase in drilling time. This improved efficiency reduces per-barrel fixed costs with increased production, thereby enhancing the profitability of new projects and supporting overall revenue expansion.
Finally, the **development of Kolibri's deep inventory of proved undeveloped (PUD) reserves** in the Tishomingo field presents a clear path for sustained production growth. The company possesses a significant inventory of 104 booked drilling locations, with a large portion comprising PUD reserves. This provides numerous low-risk drilling opportunities to convert existing resources into production. The 2025 capital expenditure budget, which is fully funded by operating cash flow and the existing credit facility, is allocated to support the drilling and completion of these additional wells in Tishomingo, underpinning long-term revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlCapital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Repurchases
- Kolibri Global Energy initiated a share repurchase program in September 2025.
- During 2025, the company repurchased 267,637 common shares at an average price of US$6.38 per share.
- Since the inception of its normal course issuer bid program, the company has bought back a total of 548,293 shares at an average price of US$5.27. The company intends to renew its share repurchase program for another year.
- The Toronto Stock Exchange accepted a notice for a normal course issuer bid to purchase up to 1,768,841 common shares, representing 5% of its issued and outstanding shares, with the offer expiring on September 22, 2026.
Inbound Investments
- Kolibri Global Energy increased its credit facility from $50 million to $65 million in Q3 2025, enhancing its liquidity to support operations and growth plans.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures paid during 2025 are expected to be in the range of US$55 million to US$58 million, which is higher than originally forecasted due to a redrill, weather-related issues, and cost increases.
- Total capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 were $44.22 million, representing a 105% increase from the $21.545 million spent in the comparable period of 2024.
- The 2025 capital expenditure budget of $48 million to $53 million is focused on drilling and completing additional wells in the Tishomingo field, targeting its 104 booked locations. This program is expected to be fully funded by operating cash flow and the existing credit facility.
- Capital expenditure for 2024 was $31.3 million, a 41% decrease from the previous year.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Kolibri Global Energy Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KGEI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 82.3% | 82.3% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 86 |
| Op Inc LTM | 16 |
| FCF LTM | -8 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -5 |
| CFO LTM | 39 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 38 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 50.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 7.8 |
| P/E | 11.7 |
| P/CFO | 5.3 |
| Total Yield | 8.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 36.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 35.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 36.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 41.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -21.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.88 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/27/2008 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -33.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.28 | $4.92 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 37.5% | 19.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 55.4% | 59.6% |
| Downside Capture | -0.81 | 0.15 |
| Upside Capture | 35.58 | -19.46 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -10.7% | 21.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.62 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Up Beta | 0.03 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Down Beta | 3.36 | 1.16 | 0.92 | 1.54 | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Up Capture | -3% | -44% | 1% | -45% | -8% | 11% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 29 | 53 | 110 | 335 |
| Down Capture | 5% | -4% | 37% | 56% | 73% | 72% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 30 | 68 | 135 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KGEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGEI | -20.6% | 59.2% | -0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 37.0% | 24.9% | 1.22 | 39.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 21.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 35.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 13.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 8.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KGEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGEI | 38.1% | 75.9% | 0.85 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 25.3% | 26.1% | 0.86 | 26.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 17.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 29.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 13.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KGEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGEI | 35.5% | 97.9% | 0.93 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 11.4% | 29.4% | 0.42 | 14.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 9.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 6.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 19.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 4.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 4.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.