Tearsheet

PBF Energy (PBF)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $38.05 | Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PBF Energy (PBF)


Market Price (11/6/2025): $38.05
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.1%
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.4%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 73%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PBF Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PBF Return-77%83%217%10%-38%38%25%
Peers Return-25%19%30%-2%-11%7%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PBF Win Rate17%67%83%50%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate38%43%52%43%38%59% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PBF Max Drawdown-86%-7%0%-23%-41%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-3%-12%-23%-19%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PBA, RCON, DLXY, MPC, PSX. See PBF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPBFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven172 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-87.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven685.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven581 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1485 days120 days

Compare to PBA, RCON, DLXY, MPC, PSX


In The Past

PBF Energy's stock fell -59.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -59.6% loss requires a 147.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PBF Energy (PBF)

Better Bets than PBF Energy (PBF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PBF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-1.4%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
23.4%23.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PBF_12312021_Short_Squeeze12312021PBFPBF EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
136.4%217.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-1.4%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
23.4%23.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PBF_12312021_Short_Squeeze12312021PBFPBF EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
136.4%217.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PBF Energy

Financials

PBFPBARCONDLXYMPCPSXMedian
NamePBF Ener.Pembina .Recon Te.Delixy Marathon.Phillips. 
Mkt Price35.3237.791.461.03186.18135.9336.55
Mkt Cap4.022.00.0-56.455.022.0
Rev LTM30,2758,09384-133,262131,95330,275
Op Inc LTM-1,3723,003-41-4,7341,7181,718
FCF LTM-1,3332,579-32-4,2761,3511,351
FCF 3Y Avg5632,314-13-8,2984,0692,314
CFO LTM-8683,454-20-7,3913,4083,408
CFO 3Y Avg1,1383,050-9-10,7836,0603,050

Growth & Margins

PBFPBARCONDLXYMPCPSXMedian
NamePBF Ener.Pembina .Recon Te.Delixy Marathon.Phillips. 
Rev Chg LTM-18.7%18.4%41.6%--6.1%-10.7%-6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.1%-7.8%21.5%--8.3%-6.6%-7.1%
Rev Chg Q-14.4%-3.4%-6.4%--0.8%-2.9%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%-0.8%-1.2%--0.2%-0.8%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-4.5%37.1%-48.0%-3.6%1.3%1.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.1%34.4%-64.2%-6.0%3.1%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.3%1.2%-0.4%0.7%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.9%42.7%-23.2%-5.5%2.6%2.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%39.2%-12.1%-7.4%4.2%4.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.4%31.9%-37.4%-3.2%1.0%1.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%29.7%-17.6%-5.7%2.8%2.8%

Valuation

PBFPBARCONDLXYMPCPSXMedian
NamePBF Ener.Pembina .Recon Te.Delixy Marathon.Phillips. 
Mkt Cap4.022.00.0-56.455.022.0
P/S0.12.70.0-0.40.40.4
P/EBIT-3.47.3-0.0-8.218.57.3
P/E-4.111.7-0.0-19.636.511.7
P/CFO-4.66.4-0.0-7.616.16.4
Total Yield-21.3%15.9%-16,838.7%-7.1%6.2%6.2%
Dividend Yield3.1%7.4%0.0%-2.0%3.5%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%11.6%-4,862.9%-14.3%7.5%7.5%
D/E0.80.671.4-0.60.40.6
Net D/E0.60.6-101.9-0.60.40.6

Returns

PBFPBARCONDLXYMPCPSXMedian
NamePBF Ener.Pembina .Recon Te.Delixy Marathon.Phillips. 
1M Rtn13.9%-8.2%-26.2%27.9%-3.8%2.3%-0.8%
3M Rtn57.3%4.0%-48.0%-78.5%14.6%14.5%9.3%
6M Rtn97.3%-1.6%-11.5%-29.4%31.3%29.4%
12M Rtn28.2%-5.8%-44.7%-26.6%15.8%15.8%
3Y Rtn-15.7%30.5%-92.8%-68.2%46.5%30.5%
1M Excs Rtn16.5%-8.9%-26.3%54.8%-4.0%1.5%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn51.2%-3.4%-50.2%-85.5%8.1%7.9%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn76.6%-22.2%-32.2%-8.7%10.6%8.7%
12M Excs Rtn13.1%-22.9%-59.0%-13.7%-1.1%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.0%-40.8%-167.9%--1.4%-30.2%-40.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Refining12,59112,58810,7539,5658,155
Corporate1,024136475453
Logistics817863901934973
Eliminations-44-38-62-53-48
Total14,38813,54911,64010,5009,132


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,698,196
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020254.8%
Average Daily Volume2,631,367
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.35
Basic Shares Quantity113,852,406
Short % of Basic Shares14.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20251.3%  
7/31/2025-8.2%-7.7%9.4%
5/1/2025-3.0%6.8%12.2%
2/13/2025-12.8%-10.4%-21.1%
10/31/2024-1.1%7.0%10.2%
8/1/2024-3.8%-10.6%-17.6%
5/2/20240.8%-3.7%-10.8%
2/15/2024-2.3%-10.0%9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative11119
Median Positive2.2%6.8%12.8%
Median Negative-3.0%-7.3%-13.8%
Max Positive10.0%23.7%92.9%
Max Negative-12.8%-10.6%-44.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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