GigaCloud Technology (GCT)
Market Price (7/30/2026): $41.47 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
GigaCloud Technology (GCT)
Market Price (7/30/2026): $41.47Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.8% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Key risksGCT key risks include [1] allegations of financial manipulation using undisclosed related party shell companies and [2] significant exposure to changes in US-China trade tariffs. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Key risksGCT key risks include [1] allegations of financial manipulation using undisclosed related party shell companies and [2] significant exposure to changes in US-China trade tariffs. |
Qualitative Assessment
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GigaCloud Technology (GCT) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exclusion from Russell Indexes contributed to selling pressure.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. was dropped from the Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index on June 29, 2026, and from the Russell 2000 Value Benchmark on June 28, 2026. Such exclusions can prompt institutional investors who track these indices to sell their shares, thereby exerting downward pressure on the stock price.
2. Significant insider selling activity occurred during the period.
In the three months leading up to July 29, 2026, insiders of GigaCloud Technology sold a total of 330,000 shares. Given the stock's trading range during this period, the aggregate value of these sales significantly exceeded USD 5 million, indicating a lack of confidence from key stakeholders.
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GigaCloud Technology (GCT) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exclusion from Russell Indexes contributed to selling pressure.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. was dropped from the Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index on June 29, 2026, and from the Russell 2000 Value Benchmark on June 28, 2026. Such exclusions can prompt institutional investors who track these indices to sell their shares, thereby exerting downward pressure on the stock price.
2. Significant insider selling activity occurred during the period.
In the three months leading up to July 29, 2026, insiders of GigaCloud Technology sold a total of 330,000 shares. Given the stock's trading range during this period, the aggregate value of these sales significantly exceeded USD 5 million, indicating a lack of confidence from key stakeholders.
3. Analyst sentiment and price targets were revised downwards.
While earlier in the period some analysts maintained "Buy" ratings and higher price targets, the consensus rating for GigaCloud Technology shifted to "Hold" as of July 29, 2026, based on analysis from three firms. The consensus price target was also lowered to $33.00, suggesting a potential 18.6% downside from the then-current price of $40.54.
4. Supply chain disruptions and ongoing margin pressures impacted the fiscal Q2 2026 outlook.
During its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings call on May 7, 2026, GigaCloud Technology provided fiscal Q2 2026 revenue guidance ranging from $365 million to $390 million. However, the company also noted "near-term supply chain disruptions from late 2025 Vietnam flooding affecting outdoor season inventory" and warned that "ground delivery margin pressure may continue for the coming few quarters". These specific operational challenges and concerns about future profitability likely contributed to investor apprehension.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.4% change in GCT stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.38 | 41.59 | -8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,290 | 1,377 | 6.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.2 | 10.3 | -15.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 37 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCT | -8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.2% | 44.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 25.3% | 14.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.9% change in GCT stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.28 | 41.59 | 5.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,223 | 1,377 | 12.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 10.8% | 1.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.4 | 10.3 | -9.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 38 | 37 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCT | 5.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | 36.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 15.8% | 20.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 110.3% change in GCT stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 63.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.78 | 41.59 | 110.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,182 | 1,377 | 16.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 10.8% | 1.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.3 | 10.3 | 63.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 37 | 9.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 110.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCT | 110.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.1% | 36.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 32.1% | 20.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 515.2% change in GCT stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 172.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.76 | 41.59 | 515.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 505 | 1,377 | 172.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 10.8% | 54.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.8 | 10.3 | 31.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 37 | 11.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 515.2% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCT | 515.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 70.4% | 32.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 95.2% | 26.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GCT Return | - | -64% | 222% | 1% | 112% | 2% | 157% |
| Peers Return | 11% | -39% | 70% | 15% | 46% | 13% | 120% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GCT Win Rate | - | 20% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 33% | 68% | 55% | 63% | 51% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GCT Max Drawdown | - | - | -57% | -63% | -49% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -49% | -30% | -25% | -32% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: W, AMZN, CHRW, EXPD, XPO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -29.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 364 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -70.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 241.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 427 days |
In The Past
GigaCloud Technology's stock fell -41.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | GCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -29.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 364 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -70.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 241.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 427 days |
In The Past
GigaCloud Technology's stock fell -41.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About GigaCloud Technology (GCT)
GigaCloud Technology (GCT) operates the "GigaCloud Marketplace," a global B2B e-commerce platform focused on large parcel merchandise such as furniture, home appliances, and fitness equipment. The platform provides an end-to-end solution connecting manufacturers, primarily in Asia, with online resellers in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. It integrates discovery, payments, and logistics into one easy-to-use system, offering a fixed-price service that manages the entire supply chain from the manufacturer's warehouse to the end customer.
The company provides comprehensive logistics through its extensive cross-border fulfillment network, which includes 21 large-scale warehouses across North America, Europe, and Asia, complemented by partnerships with major shipping providers. GigaCloud leverages artificial intelligence to optimize routing, manage inventory, and provide analytics, ensuring efficient delivery within approximately one week at competitive rates. While its core marketplace facilitates third-party (3P) transactions, GigaCloud also sells its own inventory (1P) through the marketplace and major third-party e-commerce sites like Amazon and Walmart, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue, which expands its market reach and drives operational efficiencies.
GigaCloud's value proposition benefits both its sellers and buyers. Manufacturers gain direct access to global markets and comprehensive supply chain management without needing to invest in their own logistics infrastructure. Online resellers, its primary buyers, access a wide catalog of large parcel products with integrated logistics solutions, including virtual warehousing and drop shipping, which minimizes inventory risk and reduces working capital requirements. The company serves manufacturers seeking efficient global distribution and online resellers needing robust international fulfillment for bulky goods.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for GigaCloud Technology (GCT):
- Fulfillment by Amazon for B2B large parcel goods, globally.
- Alibaba for bulky items, with its own integrated worldwide shipping and warehousing network.
- A B2B Wayfair that also manages all the global logistics for bulky items like furniture.
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GigaCloud Technology (GCT) provides the following major products and services:
- GigaCloud Marketplace: A global B2B e-commerce platform that connects manufacturers with resellers for large parcel merchandise, integrating discovery, payments, and logistics tools.
- 1P Merchandise Sales: The direct sale of GigaCloud's own inventory, primarily large parcel items, through its marketplace and third-party e-commerce websites.
- Logistics & Fulfillment Services: A comprehensive cross-border supply chain management network for large parcel products, encompassing warehousing, shipping, and various delivery solutions.
- AI-powered E-commerce Technology: A software platform that leverages artificial intelligence for seller rating, credit profiling, logistics optimization, flexible trading tools, and predictive sales analytics.
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GigaCloud Technology (GCT) primarily sells to other companies (B2B).
Its major customers and distribution partners for its 1P (first-party) inventory, which constitutes a significant portion of its total revenues, include large third-party e-commerce websites:
Additionally, GCT's core business involves connecting manufacturers with "online resellers" through its GigaCloud Marketplace. While these online resellers are numerous and not individually named as major companies, they collectively represent a substantial customer base for the marketplace platform itself, facilitating cross-border transactions of large parcel merchandise.
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Larry Lei Wu, Founder, Chairman, Director and Chief Executive Officer
Larry Wu founded GigaCloud Technology in 2006 and has served as its director, chairman, and chief executive officer since its inception. Prior to founding GigaCloud, he served as the general manager of New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (NYSE: EDU and SEHK: 9901), a vocational and online education company, from 2002 to 2006. He holds an MBA degree from Yale University and a bachelor's degree in mechanical manufacturing from Beijing Union University.
Erica Wei, Chief Financial Officer
Erica Wei has served as GigaCloud Technology's Chief Financial Officer since March 2025, after initially serving as interim Chief Financial Officer from August 2024. She joined the company in August 2023 as the Vice President of Finance. Before joining GigaCloud, Ms. Wei spent almost a decade at PwC in Los Angeles, where she progressed to Senior Manager in the firm's auditing services, managing a diverse portfolio of clients, including Fortune 500 companies. She holds a Bachelor of Science degree in accounting from the University of Southern California.
Iman Schrock, President
Iman Schrock has been GigaCloud Technology's President since August 2022. Prior to his role at GigaCloud, he served as the Vice President of Retail Sales for Abbyson Living from 2006 to 2022. He holds a PhD in Organizational Psychology from the University of Phoenix and completed Disruptive Strategy at Harvard Business School. He is also a member of the Forbes Technology Council and an adjunct professor at the American Military University.
Xin Wan, Chief Technology Officer
Xin Wan has served as GigaCloud Technology's chief technology officer since 2014. Before joining the company, he was the vice president of the education business unit of Aspire Company of China Mobile from 2010 to 2014. He also served as channel operation center manager and director at Oriental Standard (Beijing) Talent Service Co., Ltd. from 2007 to 2010. Xin Wan earned a master's degree and a bachelor's degree in software engineering from Tsinghua University, and a bachelor's degree in chemical engineering and English from Dalian University of Technology.
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The key risks to GigaCloud Technology (GCT) are as follows:
-
High Dependence on 1P Revenue and Associated Inventory Risk: GigaCloud Technology relies heavily on selling its own inventory (1P) through its marketplace and third-party e-commerce platforms, with 1P revenues representing a significant portion of its total revenues (72.2% to 78.4% in the reported periods). This exposes the company to substantial inventory management challenges, potential inventory obsolescence, sourcing risks, and direct competition with its own 3P sellers. Failure to effectively manage its 1P inventory or a decline in demand for these products could materially impact its profitability and overall financial performance, especially if its stated expectation for 1P revenues to decline as a percentage of total revenues does not materialize as planned.
-
Vulnerability to Disruptions in Global Supply Chains and Cross-Border Logistics: GigaCloud Technology's core business model and value proposition are built upon its integrated cross-border fulfillment network, comprising 21 warehouses, multiple ports, and extensive shipping and trucking partnerships across North America, Europe, and Asia. Any significant disruption to this complex global supply chain, such as geopolitical events, trade disputes, natural disasters, port congestion, or operational failures by its logistics partners, could severely impair the company's ability to efficiently transport large parcel products, meet delivery commitments, and control costs. Such disruptions would undermine its fixed-price delivery model and negatively impact its service levels to both sellers and buyers.
-
Intense Competition in the E-commerce and Logistics Sectors: GigaCloud Technology operates in highly competitive e-commerce and logistics industries. It faces competition from established large e-commerce platforms (including those it uses for its own 1P sales like Amazon and Walmart), specialized logistics providers, and other B2B marketplaces. The company's ability to attract and retain both manufacturer-sellers and online reseller-buyers depends on its capacity to offer competitive pricing, superior fulfillment services, and a compelling platform experience. Failure to continually innovate and differentiate its offerings could lead to a loss of market share, reduced transaction volumes, and increased pressure on its margins.
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GigaCloud Technology (GCT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Continued Expansion of the GigaCloud Marketplace: The company anticipates ongoing growth in its B2B e-commerce platform by increasing the number of active third-party (3P) sellers and buyers, thereby expanding its Gross Merchandise Value (GMV). For instance, the GigaCloud Marketplace GMV increased by 56.1% year-over-year to $1,416.7 million for the 12 months ended March 31, 2025, with active buyers growing by 81.4% and active 3P sellers by 33.4%.
- Geographic Expansion, particularly in Europe: GigaCloud Technology has demonstrated significant international growth, especially in Europe, which is identified as a key market for expansion. Revenue growth in Europe was 68% from 2024 to 2025 and nearly 80% year-over-year in Q1 2025. The company is investing in infrastructure, such as new fulfillment facilities in Germany, to support this growth.
- Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) and their Integration: Acquisitions like Noble House and New Classic are critical to GigaCloud's growth strategy. The successful integration of Noble House contributed to profitability ahead of schedule, and New Classic is expected to enhance product reach and distribution over six quarters.
- Diversification into New Product Categories: Beyond its initial focus on furniture, GigaCloud has expanded into home appliances and fitness equipment, with future plans to enter categories such as pet supplies, auto accessories, and seasonal decor, broadening its product offerings.
- Leveraging its Global Fulfillment Network: GigaCloud utilizes its extensive network of warehouses and logistics partnerships to support organic growth and integrate acquisitions. This network allows for expanded geographic reach and a wider product assortment, minimizing inventory risk for buyers and enabling efficient cross-border transactions.
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Share Repurchases
- GigaCloud Technology authorized a new three-year share repurchase program for up to $111 million, effective August 17, 2025.
- As of March 16, 2026, the company has executed $33 million in share buybacks under this program, representing 30% of the approved plan.
- Since its initial public offering, GigaCloud has returned approximately $71 million to shareholders through share buybacks.
Capital Expenditures
- GigaCloud Technology's capital expenditures averaged $4.621 million annually from fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
- Capital expenditures reached a five-year peak of $15.536 million in December 2024.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes the establishment and expansion of its global cross-border fulfillment network, encompassing 21 large-scale warehouses totaling over four million square feet of storage space, and investments in artificial intelligence software for optimizing logistics and inventory management.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 171.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.8 |
| Rev LTM | 11,922 |
| Op Inc LTM | 777 |
| FCF LTM | 410 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 382 |
| CFO LTM | 925 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 753 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 40.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Off-platform ecommerce | 487 | 410 | 205 | 118 | 128 |
| GigaCloud 1P | 374 | 361 | 300 | 232 | 188 |
| Last-mile delivery service | 245 | 196 | 106 | 63 | 34 |
| Warehousing service | 58 | 46 | 24 | 16 | 10 |
| Ocean transportation service | 37 | 66 | 20 | 38 | 36 |
| Packaging service | 34 | 30 | 17 | 8 | |
| Others | 22 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| Platform commission | 20 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 5 |
| Drayage service | 12 | 15 | 11 | ||
| Total | 1,290 | 1,161 | 704 | 490 | 414 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $41.59 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/18/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $34.77 | $37.75 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 19.6% | 10.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 51.9% | 77.8% |
| Downside Capture | 139.00 | 192.75 |
| Upside Capture | 103.10 | 231.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.3% | 36.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.60 | 1.63 | 2.59 | 2.12 | 2.31 | 1.85 |
| Up Beta | 2.66 | 2.99 | 4.35 | 3.64 | 2.68 | 1.70 |
| Down Beta | 1.92 | 1.64 | 1.39 | 1.61 | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Up Capture | 46% | -16% | 69% | 146% | 453% | 1622% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 16 | 28 | 54 | 124 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 171% | 231% | 296% | 182% | 162% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 35 | 71 | 127 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCT | 78.2% | 77.7% | 1.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 26.8% | 25.0% | 0.90 | 20.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 12.8% | 0.86 | 35.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.68 | 16.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.5% | 19.7% | 1.27 | -15.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.9% | 14.0% | 0.82 | 22.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.1% | 42.9% | -1.32 | 19.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCT | 22.9% | 142.7% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.9% | 25.6% | 0.63 | 11.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.4% | 17.1% | 0.55 | 14.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.4% | 0.75 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 19.5% | 0.36 | -0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 9.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 53.3% | 0.46 | -0.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GCT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCT | 10.8% | 142.7% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.4% | 24.8% | 0.86 | 11.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.7% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 14.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.32 | -0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 9.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.7% | 66.2% | 0.98 | -0.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.8% | -15.3% | -29.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | 33.1% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 30.5% | 44.2% | 24.4% |
| 5/12/2025 | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| 3/3/2025 | -3.0% | -5.6% | -8.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 17.3% | -12.7% | -2.8% |
| 8/6/2024 | -9.5% | -9.3% | -27.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 23.9% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -11.0% | -17.9% |
| Max Positive | 33.1% | 44.2% | 24.4% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -15.3% | -29.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.8% | -15.3% | -29.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | 33.1% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 30.5% | 44.2% | 24.4% |
| 5/12/2025 | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| 3/3/2025 | -3.0% | -5.6% | -8.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 17.3% | -12.7% | -2.8% |
| 8/6/2024 | -9.5% | -9.3% | -27.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 23.9% | 25.7% | 23.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -11.0% | -17.9% |
| Max Positive | 33.1% | 44.2% | 24.4% |
| Max Negative | -9.5% | -15.3% | -29.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/15/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/24/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/24/2023 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/30/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/30/2022 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/15/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/24/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/24/2023 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/30/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/30/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 08/19/2022 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 365.00 Mil | 377.50 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 10.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 342.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 330.00 Mil | 342.50 Mil | 355.00 Mil | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3202026 | 40.41 | 32,481 | 1,312,695 | 2,424,854 | Form |
| 2 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3202026 | 41.26 | 27,519 | 1,135,365 | 3,815,536 | Form |
| 3 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 43.21 | 30,000 | 1,296,298 | 5,185,192 | Form |
| 4 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 43.58 | 30,000 | 1,307,423 | 6,537,113 | Form |
| 5 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 42.39 | 30,000 | 1,271,718 | 7,630,311 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3202026 | 40.41 | 32,481 | 1,312,695 | 2,424,854 | Form |
| 2 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3202026 | 41.26 | 27,519 | 1,135,365 | 3,815,536 | Form |
| 3 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 43.21 | 30,000 | 1,296,298 | 5,185,192 | Form |
| 4 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 43.58 | 30,000 | 1,307,423 | 6,537,113 | Form |
| 5 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3182026 | 42.39 | 30,000 | 1,271,718 | 7,630,311 | Form |
| 6 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3162026 | 41.36 | 30,000 | 1,240,703 | 8,684,922 | Form |
| 7 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3162026 | 42.73 | 30,000 | 1,281,791 | 10,254,325 | Form |
| 8 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3162026 | 43.38 | 30,000 | 1,301,268 | 11,711,416 | Form |
| 9 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3102026 | 43.23 | 30,000 | 1,296,917 | 12,969,166 | Form |
| 10 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3102026 | 42.13 | 30,000 | 1,263,773 | 13,901,505 | Form |
| 11 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3102026 | 42.14 | 30,000 | 1,264,260 | 15,171,120 | Form |
| 12 | Wan, Xin | Chief Technology Officer | FAITHFUL WINNER HOLDINGS LIMITED | Sell | 3052026 | 43.38 | 100,000 | 4,338,000 | 31,126,885 | Form |
| 13 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3052026 | 43.11 | 30,000 | 1,293,409 | 16,814,318 | Form |
| 14 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3052026 | 44.08 | 40,000 | 1,763,003 | 18,511,529 | Form |
| 15 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3052026 | 40.99 | 58,090 | 2,381,198 | 18,856,101 | Form |
| 16 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3022026 | 42.83 | 30,000 | 1,284,986 | 22,191,287 | Form |
| 17 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3022026 | 43.57 | 60,000 | 2,614,420 | 23,882,291 | Form |
| 18 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 3022026 | 45.28 | 70,000 | 3,169,838 | 27,536,380 | Form |
| 19 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1222026 | 40.78 | 20,000 | 815,669 | 27,654,859 | Form |
| 20 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1222026 | 40.26 | 210 | 8,455 | 28,105,103 | Form |
| 21 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1222026 | 40.01 | 1,700 | 68,017 | 27,938,983 | Form |
| 22 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1162026 | 41.34 | 20,000 | 826,736 | 28,935,754 | Form |
| 23 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1162026 | 41.50 | 20,000 | 830,052 | 29,881,882 | Form |
| 24 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1162026 | 40.94 | 20,000 | 818,784 | 30,295,000 | Form |
| 25 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1092026 | 41.46 | 20,000 | 829,267 | 33,999,929 | Form |
| 26 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 1092026 | 42.36 | 20,000 | 847,277 | 35,585,629 | Form |
| 27 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 12082025 | 40.04 | 800 | 32,029 | 14,312,202 | Form |
| 28 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 12082025 | 40.07 | 49,200 | 1,971,385 | 14,356,090 | Form |
| 29 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11252025 | 35.18 | 100,000 | 3,517,520 | 14,333,402 | Form |
| 30 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11192025 | 31.51 | 29,319 | 923,774 | 15,989,717 | Form |
| 31 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11192025 | 30.64 | 30,000 | 919,204 | 16,447,768 | Form |
| 32 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11192025 | 30.32 | 30,000 | 909,597 | 17,185,471 | Form |
| 33 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11142025 | 30.42 | 30,000 | 912,597 | 18,154,748 | Form |
| 34 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11142025 | 32.14 | 30,000 | 964,068 | 20,142,755 | Form |
| 35 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11142025 | 31.48 | 30,000 | 944,282 | 20,673,631 | Form |
| 36 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11122025 | 31.87 | 30,000 | 955,974 | 21,885,591 | Form |
| 37 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11122025 | 33.61 | 30,000 | 1,008,166 | 24,088,613 | Form |
| 38 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 11122025 | 30.29 | 30,000 | 908,835 | 22,624,084 | Form |
| 39 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 10302025 | 30.01 | 16,939 | 508,395 | 23,314,482 | Form |
| 40 | Hao, Xinyan | Chief Operating Officer | ICEBERY LIMITED | Sell | 9302025 | 30.02 | 13,742 | 412,540 | 23,828,512 | Form |
| 41 | Wu, Lei | Chief Executive Officer | Shan Lao Hu Tong LLC and Ji Xiang Hu Tong Holdings Limited | Sell | 9102025 | 28.52 | 100,000 | 2,851,740 | 1,711,044 | Form |
| 42 | Schrock, Iman AJ | President | Direct | Sell | 8222025 | 29.94 | 9,000 | 269,424 | 598,720 | Form |
| 43 | Bernes, Marshall | Head of BaaS Program | Trustee of Profit Sharing Plan | Sell | 8202025 | 31.27 | 12,000 | Form | ||
| 44 | Bernes, Marshall | Head of BaaS Program | Family Trust | Sell | 8202025 | 31.35 | 4,000 | 125,397 | 1,912,301 | Form |
| 45 | Bernes, Marshall | Head of BaaS Program | Trustee of Profit Sharing Plan | Sell | 8202025 | 32.27 | 4,000 | 129,085 | 387,256 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Systems Software Resources |
| CNET |
| ZDNet |
| Gartner |
| Software Development Times |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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