Tearsheet

Wayfair (W)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $101.59 | Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Wayfair (W)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $101.59
Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 100%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
6   Key risks
W key risks include [1] its ongoing inability to achieve sustained profitability due to significant marketing and fulfillment costs, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 100%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
8 Key risks
W key risks include [1] its ongoing inability to achieve sustained profitability due to significant marketing and fulfillment costs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

W Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Wayfair (W) experienced a significant stock movement of 36.2% between August 31, 2025, and December 24, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance: Wayfair announced robust second-quarter 2025 results on August 4, 2025, just before the start of the period. The company reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021, with total net revenue increasing by 8.1% year-over-year. This positive report sent the stock up 7.3% and led it to hit a 52-week high of $73.79, setting a positive momentum for the subsequent months.

2. Exceeding Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations: On October 28, 2025, Wayfair released its third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analyst expectations. The company reported an EPS of $0.70, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $0.44. Quarterly revenue also exceeded forecasts, rising 8.1% year-over-year to $3.12 billion against an estimated $3.01 billion. This strong performance caused Wayfair's stock to spike by 23.2% to $106.50 a share on the day of the announcement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 22.3% change in W stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 21.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
923202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)83.05101.6022.34%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12008.0012241.001.94%
P/S Multiple0.891.0821.88%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)128.00130.00-1.56%
Cumulative Contribution22.31%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
W22.3% 
Market (SPY)3.7%32.7%
Sector (XLY)2.7%26.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 100.4% change in W stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 98.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
624202512232025Change
Stock Price ($)50.69101.60100.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11852.0012241.003.28%
P/S Multiple0.541.0898.65%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)127.00130.00-2.36%
Cumulative Contribution100.32%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
W100.4% 
Market (SPY)13.7%37.8%
Sector (XLY)13.5%34.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 124.5% change in W stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 129.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1223202412232025Change
Stock Price ($)45.26101.60124.48%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11844.0012241.003.35%
P/S Multiple0.471.08129.56%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)123.00130.00-5.69%
Cumulative Contribution123.75%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
W124.5% 
Market (SPY)16.7%61.8%
Sector (XLY)7.3%63.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 202.7% change in W stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 275.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1224202212232025Change
Stock Price ($)33.56101.60202.74%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12369.0012241.00-1.03%
P/S Multiple0.291.08275.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)106.00130.00-22.64%
Cumulative Contribution187.22%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025
ReturnCorrelation
W51.4% 
Market (SPY)48.4%56.8%
Sector (XLY)38.2%57.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
W Return150%-16%-83%88%-28%134%15%
Peers Return40%32%-25%24%29%-1%118%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
W Win Rate58%50%17%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%62%38%62%67%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
W Max Drawdown-74%-16%-85%-6%-39%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-7%-35%-10%-6%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, HD, LOW, WMT, TGT. See W Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1118.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-78.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven367.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven36 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days120 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, NSIT, BBBY, BGO

In The Past

Wayfair's stock fell -91.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2021. A -91.8% loss requires a 1118.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Wayfair (W)

Wayfair Inc. engages in the e-commerce business in the United States and internationally. The company provides approximately thirty-three million products for the home sector under various brands. It offers online selections of furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products through its sites, including Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, and Perigold brands. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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  • Amazon for furniture and home decor.
  • An online IKEA with thousands of brands.

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  • Home Furnishings and Decor: Wayfair offers a vast selection of physical products for the home, including furniture, rugs, lighting, kitchenware, bedding, bath, outdoor items, and decorative accents.
  • E-commerce Retail Platform: This service provides an online marketplace for consumers to browse, discover, and purchase a wide array of home goods from various suppliers through Wayfair's websites and apps.
  • Logistics and Delivery Network: Wayfair provides a comprehensive service that manages the supply chain, warehousing, and delivery of products, particularly bulky items, directly to customers' homes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

**Wayfair (W)** Wayfair primarily sells directly to **individuals** (Business-to-Consumer or B2C) rather than to other companies. Its major customers can be categorized as follows: 1. **Mainstream Home Furnishers:** This broad category includes everyday consumers who are furnishing new homes, redecorating rooms, or replacing existing items. They prioritize a wide selection, convenience, competitive pricing, and value. This segment appreciates Wayfair's extensive catalog and diverse price points across various home goods. 2. **Style & Design Enthusiasts:** These customers are more design-conscious and often seek specific aesthetic styles (e.g., modern, farmhouse, luxury) and higher-quality or more curated items. They are often drawn to Wayfair's specialized brands like AllModern, Joss & Main, and Perigold, which offer more targeted styles and premium selections. They prioritize aesthetics, brand identity, and the overall look and feel of their living spaces. 3. **Budget-Conscious Shoppers:** This segment consists of individuals primarily driven by price and value. They are looking for functional and affordable home essentials, often comparing prices and seeking deals. This category may include young adults furnishing their first apartments, students, or families on tighter budgets who prioritize cost-effectiveness without significantly compromising on functionality.

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Niraj Shah, Chief Executive Officer, Co-Chairman and Co-Founder

Niraj Shah co-founded Wayfair in 2002 with Steve Conine and has served as CEO since its inception. He and Conine previously launched several other e-commerce companies before Wayfair. Shah's entrepreneurial spirit began in childhood, influenced by his family's business background. He graduated from Cornell University with a B.S. in engineering.

Steven Conine, Co-Chairman and Co-Founder

Steven Conine co-founded Wayfair with Niraj Shah in 2002. He previously co-founded and served as Chief Technology Officer for Simplify Mobile and was Chief Operating Officer for the London office of iXL. Conine also co-founded Spinners Incorporated, an IT services firm, which was sold to iXL in 1998. He met Shah in high school and they co-founded several e-commerce companies together before Wayfair. Conine holds a B.S. in engineering from Cornell University.

Kate Gulliver, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Kate Gulliver was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Wayfair in November 2022, having joined the company in 2014. Before her current role, she served as Wayfair's Global Head of Talent and also managed the company's Investor Relations team, leading Wayfair through its initial public offering (IPO) in 2014. Prior to Wayfair, Gulliver worked as an investor for nearly five years at Bain Capital, a private equity firm, and began her career in consulting at McKinsey & Company.

Fiona Tan, Chief Technology Officer

Fiona Tan serves as the Chief Technology Officer at Wayfair. Before joining Wayfair, she held leadership roles in technology at other major companies, including serving as Senior Vice President of U.S. Stores Technology at Walmart and Vice President of Engineering at Ariba, a SAP company. She also worked at Oracle and Microsoft during her career.

Thomas Netzer, Chief Operating Officer

Thomas Netzer is the Chief Operating Officer at Wayfair, responsible for overseeing global operations, supply chain, and logistics. Prior to joining Wayfair, Netzer was a Senior Partner at McKinsey & Company for over two decades, where he gained extensive experience in business strategy and operational excellence.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Wayfair's business include its ability to achieve and maintain profitability, intense competition within the online retail sector, and vulnerability to macroeconomic conditions and consumer spending.

  1. Profitability and Financial Health: Wayfair has faced ongoing challenges in achieving sustained profitability, with significant concerns regarding marketing expenses, technology investments, and fulfillment costs impacting its financial health. Some reports have even indicated a "meaningful risk of bankruptcy" for the company.
  2. Intense Competition: The online retail market, particularly for home goods, is highly competitive. Wayfair competes with major established players like Amazon and Walmart, as well as specialized furniture retailers and traditional brick-and-mortar stores. This intense competition necessitates substantial investments in marketing and infrastructure to maintain or expand market share.
  3. Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Spending: As a retailer of discretionary goods, Wayfair is particularly susceptible to economic downturns, fluctuations in consumer confidence, and changes in disposable income. Factors such as rising inflation and interest rates can significantly dampen demand for home furnishings, directly impacting Wayfair's sales and revenue.

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Amazon's aggressive expansion and increasing sophistication in its large-item delivery, assembly, and white-glove services, directly targeting the specialized logistical and customer service aspects that have historically been Wayfair's key differentiators in the home goods e-commerce market.

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Wayfair Inc. (W) operates in the broad home goods industry, offering a wide array of products including home furnishings, décor, home improvement items, housewares, and large appliances, through its main Wayfair site and other specialty brands like Joss & Main, AllModern, Perigold, and Birch Lane.

The estimated addressable markets for Wayfair's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Home Furnishing Market (Total Addressable Market): The global home furnishing market was estimated at approximately $1,018.2 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to about $1,703.86 billion by 2030.

  • U.S. Home Furnishings Market: The market size for the Home Furnishings Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $90.9 billion in 2025.

  • Global Online Home Decor Market: The global online home decor market was valued at approximately $188.27 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $375.86 billion by the end of 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Wayfair (W) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategic initiatives:

  1. Expansion into New Customer Segments and Geographies: Wayfair aims to grow by targeting diverse customer segments, including luxury, specialty, and mass markets, through its various brands. The company also plans to expand its presence in new geographies, with a particular focus on international markets such as Canada, Ireland, and the United Kingdom. This global expansion also involves strengthening its supply chain networks and partnerships with suppliers in key manufacturing regions like Vietnam to support broader reach.
  2. Growth of Wayfair Professional (B2B Segment): The Wayfair Professional segment, which caters to businesses like interior designers, commercial offices, and property managers, is a significant driver of future revenue. This B2B platform has demonstrated substantial growth and aims to serve a vast number of businesses in North America and Europe across key verticals, securing larger orders and contributing to higher revenue.
  3. Physical Retail Expansion and Omnichannel Strategy: Wayfair is actively expanding its physical retail footprint by opening large-format stores in locations such as Atlanta, Denver, and Yonkers, New York, with openings scheduled for 2026 and 2027. Additionally, the company is piloting smaller-format stores to test new engagement models. This omnichannel approach, encompassing its flagship brand and specialty brands like Joss & Main and AllModern, aims to create tactile experiences for customers and strengthen engagement with local markets, thereby attracting new customers.
  4. Leveraging Technology and AI for Enhanced Customer Experience and Efficiency: Wayfair is investing in advanced technology and artificial intelligence to improve both customer experience and operational efficiency. Initiatives include using its proprietary Muse engine to generate photorealistic, shoppable room scenes and implementing large language models to enhance search capabilities, which are expected to boost conversion rates and engagement. Operational AI applications are also being used to streamline processes and reduce costs, contributing to margin expansion.
  5. Enhancing Customer Loyalty and Engagement: To foster repeat business and increase customer lifetime value, Wayfair has launched loyalty programs such as Wayfair Rewards in 2024. This program offers benefits like cash back and free shipping to drive higher purchase frequency and spending. The company's core strategy emphasizes a vast and curated product selection, competitive pricing, and efficient delivery to build long-lasting customer relationships and market share.

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Share Repurchases

  • Wayfair completed a share buyback program initiated on August 21, 2020, repurchasing 2,354,491 shares for $611.61 million by June 30, 2025.
  • A subsequent share repurchase program, authorized on August 10, 2021, is set to begin upon the completion of the 2020 program.

Share Issuance

  • The number of issued and outstanding Class A common shares increased by approximately 5.5 million from December 31, 2024 (100,762,581 shares) to September 30, 2025 (106,255,970 shares).
  • Between December 31, 2023, and December 31, 2024, approximately 1.3 million Class A common shares were issued.
  • Equity-based compensation contributes to share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • Wayfair's long-term investments were reported as $0 million for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, and $0 billion for the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024.
  • The company accounts for equity method investments where it holds significant influence but not controlling financial interest over an investee.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $186 million in 2020, $101 million in 2021, $186 million in 2022, $148 million in 2023, and $73 million in 2024.
  • For the second quarter of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $43 million, influenced by technology restructuring and disciplined fulfillment capital expenditure.
  • Primary focus areas for capital expenditures include technology transformation, expanding into physical retail locations (such as new stores in Denver, Atlanta, and Yonkers), and enhancing its proprietary logistics network.

Better Bets than Wayfair (W)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to W. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.6%10.6%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.6%2.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.5%19.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wayfair

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Mkt Price101.60232.14344.97242.15110.9094.30171.52
Mkt Cap13.22,469.3342.6135.4884.342.8239.0
Rev LTM12,241670,038166,18984,256703,061105,242135,716
Op Inc LTM-5876,19021,53610,27428,9765,20415,905
FCF LTM28613,48113,9277,05015,2633,00910,266
FCF 3Y Avg8221,67716,1066,75814,9843,73210,871
CFO LTM494121,13717,6499,20840,9776,77413,428
CFO 3Y Avg36596,97719,5188,83837,5887,64614,178

Growth & Margins

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Rev Chg LTM3.4%10.9%7.5%0.6%4.3%-2.2%3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.3%11.3%1.9%-4.2%5.4%-1.1%0.8%
Rev Chg Q8.1%13.3%2.8%3.2%5.8%-1.6%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.0%0.7%0.8%1.4%-0.4%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-0.5%11.4%13.0%12.2%4.1%4.9%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.9%7.9%13.7%12.5%4.1%5.1%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.3%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%18.1%10.6%10.9%5.8%6.4%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%15.8%12.4%10.3%5.6%7.2%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM2.3%2.0%8.4%8.4%2.2%2.9%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%3.5%10.2%7.9%2.2%3.5%3.5%

Valuation

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
Mkt Cap13.22,469.3342.6135.4884.342.8239.0
P/S1.13.72.11.61.30.41.4
P/EBIT-60.329.015.813.026.68.114.4
P/E-40.635.023.520.038.611.421.7
P/CFO26.720.419.414.721.66.319.9
Total Yield-2.5%2.9%6.9%6.9%3.4%13.6%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.7%1.9%0.8%4.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.6%1.1%4.5%4.9%2.5%7.0%3.5%
D/E0.30.10.20.30.10.50.2
Net D/E0.20.00.20.30.10.40.2

Returns

WAMZNHDLOWWMTTGTMedian
NameWayfair Amazon.c.Home Dep.Lowe's C.Walmart Target  
1M Rtn-3.3%5.2%1.1%3.4%5.5%7.6%4.3%
3M Rtn22.3%5.2%-15.5%-6.3%8.4%9.7%6.8%
6M Rtn100.4%9.1%-3.1%11.2%13.7%-1.0%10.2%
12M Rtn124.5%3.1%-9.9%-0.1%23.9%-25.4%1.5%
3Y Rtn202.7%172.3%16.8%27.3%140.0%-26.9%83.7%
1M Excs Rtn-7.9%0.5%-3.5%-1.3%0.9%3.0%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn18.4%1.3%-19.4%-9.5%4.1%4.0%2.7%
6M Excs Rtn89.3%-3.9%-16.9%-2.6%1.1%-13.6%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn114.5%-13.8%-25.9%-16.8%2.1%-42.3%-15.3%
3Y Excs Rtn96.0%84.9%-64.2%-54.7%62.4%-107.9%3.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment12,00312,21813,70814,1459,127
Total12,00312,21813,70814,1459,127


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$101.60 
Market Cap ($ Bil)13.2 
First Trading Date10/02/2014 
Distance from 52W High-9.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$98.16$65.66
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA3.5%54.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.9%76.9%
Downside Capture141.22223.89
Upside Capture213.35272.27
Correlation (SPY)33.9%61.8%
W Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.582.181.972.262.482.64
Up Beta1.600.991.661.892.412.68
Down Beta-0.861.831.991.782.282.41
Up Capture426%378%346%601%1109%10396%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10203370128377
Down Capture279%199%129%148%151%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10223055120371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of W With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 WSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return123.5%7.8%18.8%72.9%9.0%3.7%-11.4%
Annualized Volatility76.7%24.3%19.5%19.2%15.3%17.2%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.370.250.762.720.360.05-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets 63.0%61.7%-6.9%18.4%42.1%28.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of W With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 WSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-17.9%9.9%14.8%18.9%11.8%4.7%35.5%
Annualized Volatility79.8%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.110.380.700.980.510.160.62
Correlation With Other Assets 60.8%55.1%7.7%9.1%43.8%28.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of W With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 WSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return8.3%13.2%14.8%15.1%6.8%5.4%69.1%
Annualized Volatility74.8%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.440.550.710.850.310.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 55.8%50.1%8.3%13.9%37.5%19.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,106,829
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume3,093,416
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.21
Basic Shares Quantity130,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/202523.2%19.5%27.0%
8/4/202512.7%11.0%19.1%
5/1/20253.5%1.0%36.7%
2/20/2025-0.6%-8.0%-31.9%
11/1/2024-6.3%-7.1%12.3%
8/1/2024-8.1%-25.7%-22.6%
5/2/202416.0%35.0%17.7%
2/22/202410.8%18.3%34.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141414
# Negative888
Median Positive8.6%10.8%18.8%
Median Negative-5.6%-12.3%-21.7%
Max Positive23.2%35.0%38.1%
Max Negative-23.0%-25.7%-34.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021