Aehr Test Systems (AEHR)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $21.82 | Market Cap: $652.9 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Aehr Test Systems (AEHR)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $21.82Market Cap: $652.9 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 350% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% | ||
| Key risksAEHR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single major customer in the Silicon Carbide/EV market and [2] the potential failure to convert strategic evaluations with new AI processor suppliers into high-volume production orders. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 350% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Key risksAEHR key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single major customer in the Silicon Carbide/EV market and [2] the potential failure to convert strategic evaluations with new AI processor suppliers into high-volume production orders. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AEHR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for stock movement analysis (August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, actual historical data for stock performance and explanatory factors for this specific period cannot be provided. However, based on recent news and financial reports pertaining to Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) around and within this future timeframe, several factors are being discussed by analysts and company reports that could influence stock movement.
1. Decline in Q2 Fiscal 2025 Revenue and GAAP Net Loss: Aehr Test Systems reported a net revenue of $13.5 million for Q2 fiscal 2025 (ended November 29, 2024), marking a 37% year-over-year decrease from $21.4 million in Q2 FY2024. The company also posted a GAAP net loss of $1.0 million for Q2 FY2025, compared to a net income of $6.1 million in the same period last year. This decline was attributed partly to timing delays in customer orders and lower-than-expected demand for some testing products.
2. Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Revenue and GAAP Net Loss: For the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended August 29, 2025), Aehr Test Systems reported net revenue of $11.0 million, down from $13.1 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The GAAP net loss for Q1 FY2026 was $(2.1) million, or $(0.07) per diluted share, a reversal from a GAAP net income of $0.7 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, in Q1 FY2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AEHR Return | 26% | 856% | -17% | 32% | -37% | 29% | 974% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AEHR Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AEHR Max Drawdown | -43% | -22% | -71% | -14% | -62% | -59% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ZBRA, MASS, ZYXI, Q, LRCX. See AEHR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AEHR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 270.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 145 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 314 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -80.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 410.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 914 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1246.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,462 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ZBRA, MASS, ZYXI, Q, LRCX
In The Past
Aehr Test Systems's stock fell -73.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -73.0% loss requires a 270.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AEHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Aehr Test Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,387 |
| Op Inc LTM | 399 |
| FCF LTM | 386 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3 |
| CFO LTM | 428 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | -0.1 |
| P/E | -0.1 |
| P/CFO | -0.4 |
| Total Yield | -1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -21.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 53.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 37.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -74.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/6/2025 | -17.4% | -19.4% | -21.6% |
| 7/8/2025 | -12.4% | -7.4% | 19.8% |
| 4/8/2025 | 29.2% | 26.0% | 24.3% |
| 1/13/2025 | -27.1% | -17.3% | -36.0% |
| 10/10/2024 | 20.3% | 11.0% | -9.9% |
| 7/9/2024 | 24.0% | 35.7% | 5.1% |
| 4/9/2024 | -2.1% | -1.6% | -4.5% |
| 1/9/2024 | -16.8% | -23.3% | -24.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 23.9% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Median Negative | -15.5% | -11.2% | -17.7% |
| Max Positive | 34.3% | 120.5% | 107.4% |
| Max Negative | -27.1% | -33.3% | -44.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10082025 | 10-Q 8/29/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7282025 | 10-K 5/30/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4102025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1132025 | 10-Q 11/29/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10112024 | 10-Q 8/30/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7302024 | 10-K 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4102024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1122024 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10122023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 8282023 | 10-K 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4132023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1132023 | 10-Q 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10142022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 8262022 | 10-K 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4132022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1142022 | 10-Q 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |