TSS (TSSI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.04 | Market Cap: $179.8 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
TSS (TSSI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.04Market Cap: $179.8 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 95x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% | ||
| Key risksTSSI key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration with a single OEM partner, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 92% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 95x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 148% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% |
| Key risksTSSI key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration with a single OEM partner, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TSSI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Public Offering and Share Dilution
On August 14, 2025, TSS, Inc. completed a $58.7 million public offering of common stock, which, despite strengthening the company's balance sheet, likely led to the dilution of existing shares and contributed to market uncertainty. By August 31, 2025, TSSI was trending down by over 10%, with extensive stock offerings cited as a potential factor for share dilution.
2. Q2 2025 Stock Plunge Despite Revenue Surge
Before the start of the specified period, on August 7, 2025, TSS shares plunged 16.42% in pre-market trading, even though the company reported a substantial 262% year-over-year revenue increase in its second quarter of 2025. This decline was attributed to flat earnings per share, highlighting challenges in converting increased sales into higher profits.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TSSI Return | -33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 978% | -37% | 359% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 41% | 10% | 123% | 71% | 35% | 966% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TSSI Win Rate | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 67% | 38% | 73% | 67% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TSSI Max Drawdown | -43% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -71% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -7% | -33% | -5% | -8% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRT, FIX, ETN, MOD, CDW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TSSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,704 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 120 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, IBM, ACN, CD
In The Past
TSS's stock fell -42.9% during the 2020 Covid Pandemic from a high on 1/1/2020. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TSS Earnings Notes | ||
| With TSS Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TSSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for TSS
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 146.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.0 |
| Rev LTM | 9,010 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,373 |
| FCF LTM | 904 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 846 |
| CFO LTM | 1,022 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 979 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.0 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 27.3 |
| P/E | 38.6 |
| P/CFO | 33.4 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 535.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 469.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -43.3% | -49.2% | |
| 8/6/2025 | -23.1% | -37.9% | -52.3% |
| 3/27/2025 | -3.1% | -21.4% | -14.2% |
| 11/14/2024 | -24.4% | -39.0% | -19.9% |
| 8/14/2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3/28/2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11/13/2023 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8/14/2023 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Median Negative | -23.1% | -37.9% | -17.1% |
| Max Positive | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Negative | -43.3% | -49.2% | -52.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |