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GigaCloud Technology (GCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.01 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

GigaCloud Technology (GCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.01
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.0%, FCF Yield is 18%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 81%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.0%, FCF Yield is 18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 81%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

GigaCloud Technology (GCT) experienced significant stock movement in late 2024 and early 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Strong Q3 2024 Financial Performance

GigaCloud Technology Inc. exceeded analyst expectations with its third-quarter 2024 financial results. The company reported actual revenue of $0.30 billion, surpassing the estimated $0.28 billion by 8.49%. Earnings per share (EPS) were $0.98, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $0.67 by 45.62%. This positive earnings surprise led to a 17.25% one-day increase in the stock price following the announcement.

2. Impressive Full-Year 2024 Growth

The company achieved a landmark year in 2024, surpassing $1 billion in total revenues for the first time. Total revenues reached $1,161.0 million, marking a substantial 65.0% increase year-over-year. Net income also saw a significant rise of 33.7% year-over-year, reaching $125.8 million, while diluted EPS grew by 32.6% to $3.05.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GCT Return---222%1%110%583%
Peers Return13%13%-38%33%-9%-8%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GCT Win Rate--25%75%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate23%40%30%45%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GCT Max Drawdown----14%-12%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-1%-42%-20%-26%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1024.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

GigaCloud Technology's stock fell -91.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -91.1% loss requires a 1024.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About GigaCloud Technology (GCT)

Better Bets than GigaCloud Technology (GCT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
GCT_6302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302024GCTGigaCloud TechnologyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-42.2%-35.0%-61.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
GCT_6302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302024GCTGigaCloud TechnologyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-42.2%-35.0%-61.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GigaCloud Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GCTGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameGigaClou.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Price39.4227.1914.8616.96-9.8016.96
Mkt Cap1.516.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM1,2234,4731,497907--1,360
Op Inc LTM1331,697-46-328--43
FCF LTM1881,30031017--249
FCF 3Y Avg1401,463268-44--204
CFO LTM1951,32433541--265
CFO 3Y Avg1481,480282-22--215

Growth & Margins

GCTGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameGigaClou.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%16.2%8.3%25.4%--13.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg41.6%16.5%14.6%45.6%--29.0%
Rev Chg Q9.7%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM10.9%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%--3.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.0%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%--0.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM15.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%--19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.7%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM15.4%29.1%20.7%1.8%--18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.0%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--17.3%

Valuation

GCTGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameGigaClou.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
Mkt Cap1.516.78.05.6--6.8
P/S0.93.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT7.210.9-148.1-19.8---6.3
P/E8.230.7340.3-14.1--19.4
P/CFO5.513.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield12.2%5.0%0.3%-7.1%--2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg20.2%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--6.6%
D/E0.40.50.00.0--0.2
Net D/E0.10.5-0.2-0.1---0.0

Returns

GCTGENPATHSVRNTCHOWMedian
NameGigaClou.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.Verint S.ChowChow. 
1M Rtn40.6%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%-11.4%3.9%
3M Rtn54.2%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%--15.3%
6M Rtn112.0%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%--4.1%
12M Rtn65.5%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---3.5%
3Y Rtn410.0%21.7%2.3%14.7%--18.2%
1M Excs Rtn40.6%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%-11.4%4.0%
3M Excs Rtn45.5%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%--9.9%
6M Excs Rtn97.3%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---10.6%
12M Excs Rtn46.0%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn324.3%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---48.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,983,251
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.7%
Average Daily Volume1,028,456
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.90
Basic Shares Quantity37,539,214
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
9302023113020236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202352420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022424202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022113020226-K 9/30/2022
630202293020226-K 6/30/2022
123120218192022424B4 12/31/2021