POET Technologies (POET)
Market Price (11/12/2025): $5.38 | Market Cap: $436.1 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
POET Technologies (POET)
Market Price (11/12/2025): $5.38Market Cap: $436.1 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6026% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 302% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 916x | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -91% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6606%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8240% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 302% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -91% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and AI Chips. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6026% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 916x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6606%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8240% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
POET Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for the stock movement analysis of POET Technologies (POET) is from July 31, 2025, to November 12, 2025. Based on the search results, here are key points that could explain a stock movement during this period:
1. POET Technologies Missed Q2 2025 Earnings Estimates: POET Technologies reported its Q2 2025 earnings on August 11, 2025. The company announced an EPS of -$0.21, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.11 by $0.10. Quarterly revenue was $0.27 million, which was also below analyst estimates of $0.39 million.
2. Downgrade in Analyst Rating: On November 8, 2025, Wall Street Zen downgraded POET Technologies from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating. Separately, Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of POET Technologies on October 8, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POET Return | 44% | 0% | 641% | -69% | 536% | -11% | 1764% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 5% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POET Win Rate | 25% | 0% | 17% | 42% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POET Max Drawdown | -39% | 0% | 0% | -74% | -5% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/11/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POET | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1047.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 726 days | 148 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1126.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 861 days | 1480 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
POET Technologies's stock fell -91.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/14/2022. A -91.3% loss requires a 1047.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With POET Technologies Stock Down 37% In A Month, How Confident Are You? | Return | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| POET Technologies Stock: Buy This Under The Radar AI Play? | October 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to POET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for POET Technologies
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 594 |
| Op Inc LTM | -11 |
| FCF LTM | 27 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1 |
| CFO LTM | 99 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -5.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 22.5 |
| P/CFO | 19.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 53.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4012025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4272022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11242021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |