AvalonBay Communities (AVB)


Market Price (8/11/2026): $183.81 | Market Cap: $25.8 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

AvalonBay Communities (AVB)


Market Price (8/11/2026): $183.81
Market Cap: $25.8 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.3%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%

Key risks
AVB key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to economic shifts and rent control due to its portfolio concentration in high-cost metropolitan areas, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
5 Key risks
AVB key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to economic shifts and rent control due to its portfolio concentration in high-cost metropolitan areas, Show more.

AVB in ETFs

Weight = AVB's share of each fund

SPY0.04%
VOO0.04%
IVV0.04%
VTI0.04%
ITOT0.04%
IWB0.04%
RSP0.19%
VTV0.10%
+26 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Pending Merger with Equity Residential Introduced Stability and Uncertainty.

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) announced a proposed "merger of equals" with Equity Residential (EQR) on May 21, 2026, to form Vivmark Residential. This significant company-specific event likely contributed to the stock remaining largely at the same level, as investors weighed the long-term benefits of increased scale and operational efficiencies against the immediate uncertainties associated with regulatory approvals and integration. The impending special meeting of stockholders on August 12, 2026, for the merger further highlights this period of transition.

2. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Report Tempered Stock Movement.

AvalonBay reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on July 22, 2026, (for the quarter ended June 30, 2026). The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.23 by $0.12. However, revenue for the quarter was $777.77 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $772.37 million. AvalonBay also increased its Same Store Net Operating Income (NOI) guidance for the full year but suspended its EPS, FFO, and Core FFO outlook due to the proposed merger. This combination of a mixed earnings beat/miss and the suspension of future guidance likely created a neutral effect, preventing significant upward or downward pressure on the stock.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Pending Merger with Equity Residential Introduced Stability and Uncertainty.

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) announced a proposed "merger of equals" with Equity Residential (EQR) on May 21, 2026, to form Vivmark Residential. This significant company-specific event likely contributed to the stock remaining largely at the same level, as investors weighed the long-term benefits of increased scale and operational efficiencies against the immediate uncertainties associated with regulatory approvals and integration. The impending special meeting of stockholders on August 12, 2026, for the merger further highlights this period of transition.

2. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Report Tempered Stock Movement.

AvalonBay reported its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on July 22, 2026, (for the quarter ended June 30, 2026). The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.23 by $0.12. However, revenue for the quarter was $777.77 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $772.37 million. AvalonBay also increased its Same Store Net Operating Income (NOI) guidance for the full year but suspended its EPS, FFO, and Core FFO outlook due to the proposed merger. This combination of a mixed earnings beat/miss and the suspension of future guidance likely created a neutral effect, preventing significant upward or downward pressure on the stock.

3. Supportive Broader Residential REIT Market Conditions.

The overall residential REIT sector experienced positive momentum during the first half of 2026. US REITs gained 18% year-to-date through June 12, 2026, outperforming the S&P 500 Index. The REIT industry saw substantial consolidation, with mergers between public-listed REITs accounting for over 80% of total transaction dollar volume through June 2026, valued at $46.8 billion. This favorable macroeconomic backdrop, characterized by healthy M&A activity, property fundamentals, and sustained demand for rental units due to challenges in homeownership, provided a general floor for AVB's stock price, contributing to its stable trend.

4. Consistent Dividend Payout Provided Shareholder Return and Stability.

AvalonBay maintained a consistent quarterly dividend, declaring $1.78 per share for fiscal Q2 2026, which was paid on July 15, 2026, following an ex-dividend date of June 30, 2026. This represents an annualized dividend of $7.12 and a dividend yield of approximately 3.8%. The steady income provided by this dividend can appeal to investors seeking stability, thus contributing to the stock's tendency to remain largely at the same level during the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.4% change in AVB stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268102026Change
Stock Price ($)181.31183.841.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0413,0831.4%
Net Income Margin (%)34.6%33.3%-3.6%
P/E Multiple24.225.13.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1411410.0%
Cumulative Contribution1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVB1.4% 
Market (SPY)7.6%-6.5%
Sector (XLRE)0.0%68.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.6% change in AVB stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268102026Change
Stock Price ($)174.09183.845.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0133,0832.3%
Net Income Margin (%)38.8%33.3%-14.1%
P/E Multiple21.225.118.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1421411.1%
Cumulative Contribution5.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVB5.6% 
Market (SPY)12.0%20.4%
Sector (XLRE)7.9%62.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.6% change in AVB stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258102026Change
Stock Price ($)179.16183.842.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9473,0834.6%
Net Income Margin (%)38.9%33.3%-14.2%
P/E Multiple22.225.113.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1421411.1%
Cumulative Contribution2.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVB2.6% 
Market (SPY)23.3%17.6%
Sector (XLRE)10.0%67.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.5% change in AVB stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238102026Change
Stock Price ($)169.47183.848.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,6543,08316.1%
Net Income Margin (%)38.5%33.3%-13.4%
P/E Multiple23.225.18.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)140141-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution8.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVB8.5% 
Market (SPY)74.8%41.3%
Sector (XLRE)27.7%77.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AVB Return62%-34%20%21%-15%6%41%
Peers Return59%-34%3%24%2%13%54%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVB Win Rate92%17%42%58%42%38% 
Peers Win Rate78%28%47%58%45%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVB Max Drawdown-7%-37%-17%-10%-22%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-39%-31%-12%-23%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR, OUT. See AVB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAVBS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-14.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven699 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-46.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven470 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-12.0%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.7%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven92 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven34 days62 days

Compare to EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR, OUT

In The Past

AvalonBay Communities's stock fell -0.9% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAVBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven699 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-46.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven470 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-54.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven120.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven296 days1085 days

Compare to EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR, OUT

In The Past

AvalonBay Communities's stock fell -0.9% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AvalonBay Communities (AVB)

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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) is an equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) focused on the residential sector. The company's business model encompasses the full lifecycle of apartment communities, including developing new properties, redeveloping existing ones, acquiring established communities, and providing comprehensive management services for these assets.

The primary product offered by AvalonBay Communities is apartment homes, which are part of large-scale apartment communities. As of December 31, 2020, the company owned or held interests in 291 apartment communities, collectively containing 86,025 apartment homes. This portfolio included communities under active development and redevelopment, reflecting a strategy of growth and enhancement of its offerings.

AvalonBay primarily serves individuals and families seeking apartment rentals in leading metropolitan areas across the United States. Its key markets span New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and both Northern and Southern California. The company is also strategically expanding its presence into new geographical areas, specifically Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado, to reach a broader customer base.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe AvalonBay Communities (AVB):

  • The Marriott or Hilton of apartment communities: AvalonBay develops, owns, and manages a large portfolio of apartment buildings across prime metropolitan areas, similar to how major hotel chains operate.
  • Like Simon Property Group, but for apartment buildings instead of shopping malls: AvalonBay is a large-scale equity REIT that develops, acquires, and manages residential properties, akin to how Simon Property Group does for retail properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Apartment Rentals: Providing residential living spaces to tenants across a portfolio of apartment communities.
  • Apartment Community Development: Planning, constructing, and bringing new apartment communities to market.
  • Apartment Community Redevelopment: Renovating and upgrading existing apartment communities to enhance their value and appeal.
  • Apartment Community Acquisition: Purchasing existing apartment properties to expand the company's real estate portfolio.
  • Property Management: Overseeing the daily operations, maintenance, and tenant services for its apartment communities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) sells primarily to individuals rather than to other companies. Its major customers are the tenants who lease apartment homes in its communities. Based on the company's focus on leading metropolitan areas, its customer categories include:

  1. Urban and Suburban Professionals and Young Couples: Individuals and couples who prioritize location, modern amenities, and convenient access to employment centers, entertainment, and transportation in metropolitan areas.
  2. Families: Households seeking multi-bedroom units, often in suburban communities, who value good school districts, community amenities, and a family-friendly environment.
  3. Empty Nesters and Downsizers: Older adults seeking a low-maintenance lifestyle, often attracted to amenity-rich properties, walkable neighborhoods, and a sense of community, frequently choosing to downsize from single-family homes.

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Benjamin W. Schall, Chief Executive Officer and President

Mr. Schall joined AvalonBay Communities as President and a director in January 2021, and became Chief Executive Officer effective January 3, 2022. Before joining AvalonBay, Mr. Schall served as the Chief Executive Officer, President, and a trustee of Seritage Growth Properties, a publicly traded REIT. Earlier in his career, he was the Chief Operating Officer of Rouse Properties, Inc., a publicly traded mall and retail REIT that was subsequently acquired, from 2012 to 2015. He also served as Senior Vice President of Vornado Realty Trust, another publicly traded REIT.

Kevin P. O'Shea, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. O'Shea has served as AvalonBay's Chief Financial Officer since June 2014. His previous roles at the company included Executive Vice President—Capital Markets from January 2013 to May 2014, and Senior Vice President—Investment Management from July 2003 until January 2013. Before joining AvalonBay, Mr. O'Shea was an Executive Director at UBS Investment Bank, where his experience included real estate investment banking. Earlier in his career, he practiced commercial real estate and banking law as an attorney. Mr. O'Shea is also a Trustee of Urban Edge Properties, a publicly traded REIT, a position he has held since 2014.

Sean J. Breslin, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Breslin has served as AvalonBay's Chief Operating Officer since January 2015, with responsibility for the company's operating platform. Prior to this, he was the company's Executive Vice President—Investments and Asset Management since April 2012. His other roles at AvalonBay included Senior Vice President—Redevelopment and Asset Management and Senior Vice President—Investments. Before joining AvalonBay in 2002, Mr. Breslin was the Chief Operating Officer of CWS Capital Partners.

Matthew H. Birenbaum, Chief Investment Officer

Mr. Birenbaum has been AvalonBay's Chief Investment Officer since January 2015. In this role, he is responsible for the company's investment strategy and oversees the Development, Construction, Investments, and Market Research functions. Before assuming his current position, he served as Executive Vice President—Corporate Strategy from October 2011 to January 2015. Prior to re-joining AvalonBay in October 2011, Mr. Birenbaum was the founding principal of Abbey Road Property Group, LLC, a multi-family development and investment firm. He also previously served as a Senior Vice President at EYA and was a Regional Vice President of Development with AvalonBay before rejoining in 2011.

Pamela R. Thomas, Executive Vice President—Portfolio and Asset Management

Ms. Thomas joined AvalonBay as Executive Vice President—Portfolio and Asset Management in July 2024. She is responsible for leading the company's Asset Management, Corporate Responsibility, and Mixed-Use groups. Before joining AvalonBay, Ms. Thomas was with CPP Investments, which oversees funds of the Canada Pension Plan, where she was Head of U.S. Real Estate from January 2020 and was promoted to Managing Director in June 2021. Prior to CPP Investments, she served as an Executive Director with JP Morgan Asset Management from 2013 and previously worked at RREEF/Deutsche Bank, focusing on East Coast multifamily investments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to AvalonBay Communities (AVB) are primarily driven by macroeconomic factors, interest rate sensitivity, and the evolving regulatory landscape in its target markets.

  1. Macroeconomic and Market Headwinds: The company's performance is significantly impacted by overall economic conditions, including local economic and market dynamics, which can adversely affect occupancy rates, market rents, and property values. Economic uncertainty directly influences rental demand and pricing power. Furthermore, intense competition within suburban and urban markets, coupled with potential oversupply in some new markets, can further challenge rental growth and profitability. The cost of doing business, including operating expenses, is also rising faster than anticipated, squeezing Net Operating Income (NOI) growth.

  2. Interest Rate Fluctuations: As an equity REIT, AvalonBay Communities is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. Rising interest rates can significantly increase borrowing costs for new developments and acquisitions, thereby impacting the feasibility and profitability of capital projects. High interest rates also contribute to broader market headwinds that influence investor sentiment and property valuations.

  3. Regulatory and Legislative Changes: AvalonBay operates in leading metropolitan areas known for dynamic regulatory environments. Changes in legislative frameworks governing rental markets, such as the implementation or expansion of rent control measures and other governmental limitations on property owners, pose significant regulatory risks. This is particularly a "persistent drag" in its established coastal markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Permanent shifts in remote work patterns: A significant and sustained increase in remote or hybrid work could reduce the historical demand drivers for premium apartment communities in highly dense, expensive urban core and close-in suburban areas where AVB primarily operates. If a substantial portion of the workforce no longer needs to commute daily to central business districts, it could lead to reduced demand, slower rent growth, or even potential population shifts away from these high-cost markets, impacting occupancy and rental income.
  • Escalation of rent control and tenant protection legislation: There is a clear and growing trend of increased legislative and regulatory pressure for stricter rent control measures and expanded tenant protections in many of AVB's key markets, particularly in California, New York, the Pacific Northwest, and New England. These measures can directly limit AVB's ability to raise rents, recover costs, manage property expenses, and maintain the long-term profitability and value of its apartment communities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) operates in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring, and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas across the United States. The addressable markets for their main products and services, apartment rentals, can be characterized by the following estimated market sizes and relevant metrics:

  • United States (Overall Multifamily Market): The U.S. multifamily market size was valued at approximately $265 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $466 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.31% between 2023 and 2030. Apartment investment volume in the U.S. totaled $165.5 billion in 2025.
  • California (Northern and Southern California combined): The apartment rental industry in California is estimated to have a market size of $48.5 billion in 2026.
  • Southeast Florida: The apartment rental industry in Florida is projected to have a market size of $16.0 billion in 2026. As of October 2024, Southeast Florida had 944,000 renter households.
  • New York/New Jersey Metro Area: For the New York portion of the metro area, with approximately 3,504,163 renter-occupied households and an average rent of $2,464 per month as of February 2026, the estimated annual rental market value is around $103.5 billion. In Manhattan, median rents for a one-bedroom apartment were above $4,200 in 2025. The average rent in New Jersey was $2,083 per month as of March 2026.
  • New England (represented by Greater Boston): For Greater Boston, with a rental inventory of 294,188 units and an asking rent of $2,922 per month as of Q3 2025, the estimated annual rental market value is approximately $10.3 billion. Boston was identified as the hottest New England rental market in 2025, with a 95% occupancy rate.
  • Mid-Atlantic (represented by Washington, D.C. Metro): The Washington, D.C. metro area had over 680,000 units of inventory and an average effective rent of $2,109 per unit as of Q3 2023. This represents an estimated annual rental market value of approximately $17.2 billion. The average rent across the broader Mid-Atlantic region was $1,700 per month as of February 2025.
  • Pacific Northwest (represented by Portland Metro Area and Seattle): In the Portland Metro Area, the sales volume for buildings with 5 or more units reached $1.65 billion in 2024. This figure represents investment activity within the market. In Seattle, the citywide average rent was approximately $2,230 per month as of October 2025.
  • Denver, Colorado: The median apartment rent in the Denver metropolitan area was $1,925 per month as of Q4 2023. As of March 2026, the average rent in Denver, CO, was $1,950. There were 15,596 units under development in the Denver metropolitan area as of Q4 2023.

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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Rent Increases: The company expects a modest increase in rent prices to be a primary driver of same-store residential revenue growth. For instance, AvalonBay forecasts an effective rent increase of 2% for the full year 2026, with a stronger performance expected in the second half of the year. Early 2026 trends show a 100 basis point acceleration in like-term effective rent change from January to February.
  2. Development Pipeline and Lease-Up: AvalonBay's active development pipeline is projected to contribute significantly to revenue as new projects are completed and leased up. The company expects a meaningful uplift in development Net Operating Income (NOI) as projects stabilize during 2026 and anticipates development NOI of $47 million in 2026 accelerating to $75 million in 2027. For 2026, development is expected to contribute $0.10 or 90 basis points to earnings growth.
  3. Improved Occupancy Rates: The company has observed an uptick in physical occupancy, with a 20 basis point rise from December to February, and expects this trend of improving occupancy to continue, contributing to overall revenue growth.
  4. Favorable Supply-Demand Dynamics: A projected decrease in new housing supply in AvalonBay's established regions, expected to be approximately 40% less in 2026 compared to 2025, is anticipated to create more favorable supply-demand conditions. This reduction in new deliveries should lead to improved pricing power and higher occupancy rates for the company's existing portfolio, 92% of which is concentrated in these markets.
  5. Operating and Technology Initiatives: AvalonBay is implementing various operating initiatives and technology enhancements designed to generate incremental NOI. These programs are expected to contribute an additional $7 million of NOI in 2026, with a long-term goal of generating $80 million in annual incremental NOI from these efforts.

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Share Repurchases

  • AvalonBay Communities authorized a new $1.0 billion share repurchase program with no expiration date on February 27, 2026.
  • In 2025, the company repurchased $488.115 million of common stock under its 2020 and 2025 Stock Repurchase Programs.
  • As of February 27, 2026, the company had repurchased $112.8 million of common stock year-to-date in 2026.

Share Issuance

  • In September 2024, AvalonBay completed a public offering of 3.68 million shares of common stock through forward sale agreements, including the full exercise of underwriters' option, with expected net proceeds for corporate purposes like acquisitions and development.
  • The initial forward price per share for the September 2024 offering was $219.73.
  • In 2025, the company settled outstanding equity forward contracts from 2024, issuing 367,113 shares of common stock for net proceeds of $81.333 million.

Inbound Investments

  • No direct large inbound investments from third-parties (e.g., strategic partners or private equity firms) were identified.
  • AvalonBay raised $890 million of equity capital in 2024 via an equity forward, which was intended to fund development starts.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2025, AvalonBay acquired 12 communities with 3,378 apartment homes for a total purchase price of $841.95 million, including a Dallas-Fort Worth portfolio.
  • In 2025, the company sold nine wholly-owned communities, containing 2,102 apartment homes and 38,000 square feet of commercial space.
  • In Q1 2023, AVB provided three mezzanine loans totaling up to $92.4 million to outside developers, with $42.1 million funded by the end of March 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • As of December 31, 2025, AvalonBay had 24 wholly-owned development communities under construction, with an estimated total capital cost of $3.307 billion, expecting to contain 8,572 apartment homes and 69,000 square feet of commercial space.
  • In 2025, the company started construction on 11 apartment communities and expanded two others, with an estimated total capital cost of $1.636 billion.
  • The company anticipates commencing $1.7 billion of new development projects in 2026, targeting a 100-150 basis point spread between development yields and its cost of capital.

Better Bets vs. AvalonBay Communities (AVB)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Mkt Price183.8465.83283.21132.3437.6630.0499.09
Mkt Cap25.824.618.215.412.25.316.8
Rev LTM3,0833,1291,9272,2191,7161,9332,076
Op Inc LTM910882561597325394579
FCF LTM1,3691,192991645629291818
FCF 3Y Avg1,3881,226921742588223831
CFO LTM1,6601,5661,1181,0118873911,064
CFO 3Y Avg1,6271,5711,0591,0818643191,070

Growth & Margins

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Rev Chg LTM3.4%2.8%4.7%0.8%1.5%7.6%3.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%3.6%5.2%1.6%2.5%2.2%3.0%
Rev Chg Q2.3%2.1%4.1%1.0%0.0%13.5%2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%0.5%1.0%0.2%0.0%3.3%0.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-1.1%3.0%0.6%-6.2%7.6%47.0%1.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg2.2%0.3%7.0%-4.6%5.4%17.1%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM29.5%28.2%29.1%26.9%19.0%20.4%27.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg30.8%29.0%28.9%28.9%18.0%16.9%28.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.4%-2.7%-0.5%0.1%1.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM53.9%50.0%58.0%45.6%51.7%20.2%50.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg54.8%51.9%58.0%49.2%51.3%17.1%51.6%
FCF/Rev LTM44.4%38.1%51.4%29.1%36.7%15.1%37.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg46.8%40.5%50.5%33.8%34.8%12.0%37.7%

Valuation

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Mkt Cap25.824.618.215.412.25.316.8
P/S8.47.99.46.97.12.77.5
P/Op Inc28.427.932.425.837.413.428.2
P/EBIT19.720.026.024.916.114.219.9
P/E25.128.144.038.123.321.626.6
P/CFO15.615.716.315.213.713.515.4
Total Yield7.8%7.8%5.9%7.3%9.0%8.6%7.8%
Dividend Yield3.9%4.3%3.6%4.6%4.7%4.0%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%4.8%5.1%4.4%4.4%6.7%4.8%
D/E0.40.30.40.40.50.80.4
Net D/E0.40.30.40.40.50.80.4

Returns

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
1M Rtn-4.2%-4.2%-3.5%-1.0%-4.9%-9.1%-4.2%
3M Rtn-0.9%0.5%6.3%3.2%1.7%-5.9%1.1%
6M Rtn8.2%4.1%12.0%1.4%1.4%16.1%6.1%
12M Rtn2.3%8.9%15.7%-1.3%2.9%88.4%5.9%
3Y Rtn9.3%12.2%29.2%4.4%7.6%218.9%10.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.5%-6.5%-5.9%-3.4%-7.2%-11.4%-6.5%
3M Excs Rtn-4.0%-3.3%3.6%-1.3%-2.4%-15.3%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn-3.9%-6.5%0.1%-9.3%-9.9%2.1%-5.2%
12M Excs Rtn-20.7%-14.6%-7.7%-24.8%-21.3%55.7%-17.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-61.2%-58.3%-42.3%-69.0%-66.1%83.3%-59.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Same Store2,7402,6732,4952,3331,996
Other Stabilized175837893122
Rental income from real estate assets sold or held for sale72140181131132
Development / Redevelopment481063043
Non-allocated77863
Total3,0412,9142,7682,5932,295


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20072006200420032002
Established444371  332
Development/Redevelopment6447   
Other Stabilized3055  67
Development/Redevelopment Communities  5644 
Established Communities  298305 
Other Stabilized Communities  7455 
Redeveloped Communities    39
Total538473429404438


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$183.84 
Market Cap ($ Bil)25.8 
First Trading Date03/11/1994 
Distance from 52W High-6.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$187.37$177.17
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-1.9%3.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.4%20.3%
Downside Capture-20.8416.46
Upside Capture-20.6515.23
Correlation (SPY)-9.3%18.4%
AVB Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.63-0.29-0.190.280.280.56
Up Beta-0.98-0.77-0.530.160.280.57
Down Beta-0.230.140.290.960.660.68
Up Capture-73%-21%-16%16%7%17%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days11233167129388
Down Capture-55%-41%-38%4%21%77%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days11203259123364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVB
AVB1.5%20.3%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLRE)9.5%14.1%0.4167.8%
Equity (SPY)23.4%12.8%1.3718.4%
Gold (GLD)28.7%28.4%0.880.0%
Commodities (DBC)37.2%20.1%1.46-11.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.4%13.8%0.6067.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.9%43.0%-1.2716.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVB
AVB-0.9%22.3%-0.10-
Sector ETF (XLRE)2.3%19.1%0.0281.4%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6150.5%
Gold (GLD)18.9%18.6%0.839.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%19.6%0.366.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.1%18.9%0.0181.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.6%52.9%0.3920.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVB
AVB3.4%24.7%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.0%20.4%0.2582.9%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7355.9%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.616.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.1%0.3414.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.6%20.7%0.1883.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.9812.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020266.1%
Average Daily Volume0.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity140.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/20260.3%1.1% 
4/28/20265.3%4.7%6.9%
2/5/2026-4.6%1.1%0.0%
10/30/2025-0.9%0.8%1.9%
7/31/2025-5.1%-5.0%-0.9%
5/1/2025-0.5%-1.0%-1.5%
2/6/2025-1.1%-2.9%-2.6%
11/5/20243.6%6.3%4.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative111110
Median Positive2.4%1.1%5.0%
Median Negative-0.7%-1.1%-1.6%
Max Positive5.3%11.8%26.5%
Max Negative-5.1%-7.6%-14.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/20260.3%1.1% 
4/28/20265.3%4.7%6.9%
2/5/2026-4.6%1.1%0.0%
10/30/2025-0.9%0.8%1.9%
7/31/2025-5.1%-5.0%-0.9%
5/1/2025-0.5%-1.0%-1.5%
2/6/2025-1.1%-2.9%-2.6%
11/5/20243.6%6.3%4.3%
8/1/20244.0%1.5%8.9%
4/26/20240.1%0.6%2.1%
2/1/2024-0.5%-3.1%-0.5%
10/26/20231.6%-0.8%5.0%
8/1/2023-0.4%-0.4%-2.5%
4/27/20233.9%3.9%-0.3%
2/9/2023-0.7%-0.3%-8.8%
11/4/2022-1.7%1.0%0.1%
7/28/20225.0%-0.0%5.6%
4/28/2022-0.5%-7.6%-14.7%
2/3/2022-0.6%-1.1%-1.7%
10/28/20211.1%0.0%1.2%
7/29/20211.1%0.2%-1.3%
4/29/20210.1%-1.8%6.6%
2/4/20212.4%4.8%5.9%
10/29/20202.6%11.8%26.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative111110
Median Positive2.4%1.1%5.0%
Median Negative-0.7%-1.1%-1.6%
Max Positive5.3%11.8%26.5%
Max Negative-5.1%-7.6%-14.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/05/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/04/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/21/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/24/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/23/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Projected revenue change0.010.020.02   
2026 Projected Opex change0.030.040.04   
2026 Projected NOI change 0.010.01   

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 EPS1.231.281.33-46.7% Lower NewGuidance: 2.4 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 FFO per share2.682.732.78-0.4% Lower NewGuidance: 2.74 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Core FFO per share2.722.772.82-0.4% Lower NewGuidance: 2.78 for Q1 2026
2026 EPS5.926.176.42-6.2% LoweredGuidance: 6.58 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 EPS2.352.42.45   
Q1 2026 FFO per share2.692.742.79   
Q1 2026 Core FFO per share2.732.782.83   
2026 EPS6.336.586.83-11.7% Lower NewActual: 7.45 for 2025
2026 FFO per share10.811.111.3-3.2% Lower NewActual: 11.4 for 2025
2026 Core FFO per share1111.211.50.0% Same NewActual: 11.2 for 2025
2026 Residential revenue change00.010.02 -1.1%Lower NewActual: 0.03 for 2025
2026 Residential Opex change0.030.040.05 0.0%Same NewActual: 0.04 for 2025
2026 Residential NOI change-0.0100.01 -1.7%Lower NewActual: 0.02 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 EPS1.181.231.28   
Q4 2025 FFO per share2.762.812.86   
Q4 2025 Core FFO per share2.82.852.9   
2025 EPS7.357.457.55-6.3% LoweredGuidance: 7.95 for 2025
2025 FFO per share11.311.411.51.3% RaisedGuidance: 11.3 for 2025
2025 Core FFO per share11.211.211.3-1.2% LoweredGuidance: 11.4 for 2025
2025 Residential revenue change0.020.030.03 -0.3%LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for 2025
2025 Residential Opex change0.040.040.04 0.7%RaisedGuidance: 0.03 for 2025
2025 Residential NOI change0.020.020.02 -0.7%LoweredGuidance: 0.03 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Willson, Sean ThomasSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell12032025180.2615027,040645,241Form
2Willson, Sean ThomasSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell8112025188.3215028,248698,901Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Willson, Sean ThomasSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell12032025180.2615027,040645,241Form
2Willson, Sean ThomasSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell8112025188.3215028,248698,901Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 11, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sophron Capital Management L.P.$19.5 Mil5.7%41ADD +104.2%13F
B&I Capital AG$11.2 Mil3.8%24New13F
Adelante Capital Management LLC$53.1 Mil3.6%42Hold13F
Vert Asset Management LLC$11.4 Mil3.6%48Hold13F
Lasalle Investment Management Securities LLC$56.3 Mil2.2%48Hold13F
Investure, LLC$23.2 Mil1.1%17ADD +46.5%13F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$6.7 Mil0.5%25TRIM -21.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
B&I Capital AG$11.2 Mil3.8%24New13F
Sophron Capital Management L.P.$19.5 Mil5.7%41ADD +104.2%13F
Investure, LLC$23.2 Mil1.1%17ADD +46.5%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Resolution Capital Ltd$52.5 Mil1.2%41ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Long Pond Capital, LP$25.4 Mil3.0%30ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Conversant Capital LLC$5.6 Mil1.1%13ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$6.7 Mil0.5%25TRIM -21.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Lasalle Investment Management Securities LLC$56.3 Mil2.2%48Hold13F
Adelante Capital Management LLC$53.1 Mil3.6%42Hold13F
Investure, LLC$23.2 Mil1.1%17ADD +46.5%13F
Sophron Capital Management L.P.$19.5 Mil5.7%41ADD +104.2%13F
Vert Asset Management LLC$11.4 Mil3.6%48Hold13F
B&I Capital AG$11.2 Mil3.8%24New13F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$6.7 Mil0.5%25TRIM -21.3%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/10/2026