Tearsheet

CTO Realty Growth (CTO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.07 | Market Cap: $590.0 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs

CTO Realty Growth (CTO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.07
Market Cap: $590.0 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Diversified REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Key risks
CTO key risks include [1] allegations of securities fraud involving the manipulation of financial metrics and use of sham loans to conceal distress, Show more.
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 9.2%, FCF Yield is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -5.0%, Dist 3Y High is -5.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%
8 Key risks
CTO key risks include [1] allegations of securities fraud involving the manipulation of financial metrics and use of sham loans to conceal distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CTO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why CTO Realty Growth's stock would have moved by 9.2% during a recent strong performance period:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2024 Financial Performance: The company reported a positive third quarter in 2024, with core Funds From Operations (FFO) per diluted share increasing to $0.50 and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per diluted share rising to $0.51, representing approximately 6% growth in both metrics compared to the prior year. This strong financial showing often boosts investor confidence and stock value.

2. Raised Full-Year 2024 Guidance: Following its strong performance, CTO Realty Growth increased its full-year 2024 guidance for core FFO to a range of $1.83-$1.87 per share and AFFO to $1.96-$2.00 per share. Upward revisions in guidance signal management's optimism and improved future earnings prospects, which typically drives stock appreciation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CTO Return-7%57%-4%4%24%-2%76%
Peers Return-12%51%-18%-1%16%0%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTO Win Rate67%58%50%58%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%70%38%43%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTO Max Drawdown-41%-1%-10%-11%-7%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-58%-5%-31%-22%-11%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WPC, ALEX, GOOD, OLP, EPRT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven602 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven266.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to WPC, ALEX, GOOD, OLP, EPRT


In The Past

CTO Realty Growth's stock fell -29.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2022. A -29.8% loss requires a 42.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CTO Realty Growth (CTO)

Better Bets than CTO Realty Growth (CTO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CTO Realty Growth

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTOWPCALEXGOODOLPEPRTMedian
NameCTO Real.W.P. Car.Alexande.Gladston.One Libe.Essentia. 
Mkt Price18.0665.1520.9411.0321.4730.5721.20
Mkt Cap0.614.41.50.50.46.11.1
Rev LTM1471,67821815596531187
Op Inc LTM1784871553433863
FCF LTM811,27445954536388
FCF 3Y Avg651,39542674329866
CFO LTM811,27491954536393
CFO 3Y Avg651,39586674329877

Growth & Margins

CTOWPCALEXGOODOLPEPRTMedian
NameCTO Real.W.P. Car.Alexande.Gladston.One Libe.Essentia. 
Rev Chg LTM23.8%5.6%-3.9%5.0%7.7%24.2%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.3%5.6%12.9%1.8%4.3%24.2%9.2%
Rev Chg Q18.7%8.5%-18.9%4.1%7.0%23.7%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.1%-5.1%1.0%1.6%5.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.6%50.5%32.4%35.3%35.6%63.6%35.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.2%48.0%32.8%34.2%37.4%62.5%35.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%1.0%-0.7%-0.8%-0.4%0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM55.3%75.9%41.8%61.3%46.4%68.4%58.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg53.4%84.4%38.3%44.4%45.3%69.3%49.3%
FCF/Rev LTM55.3%75.9%20.7%61.3%46.4%68.4%58.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg53.4%84.4%19.0%44.4%45.3%69.3%49.3%

Valuation

CTOWPCALEXGOODOLPEPRTMedian
NameCTO Real.W.P. Car.Alexande.Gladston.One Libe.Essentia. 
Mkt Cap0.614.41.50.50.46.11.1
P/S3.68.96.13.74.811.15.4
P/EBIT-57.621.513.69.68.117.211.6
P/E-15.940.818.027.413.724.521.3
P/CFO6.511.714.56.110.316.211.0
Total Yield2.9%7.7%8.0%6.5%15.7%7.9%7.8%
Dividend Yield9.2%5.2%2.5%2.8%8.4%3.8%4.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.4%10.4%3.2%11.9%9.3%6.0%9.9%
D/E1.20.60.41.51.00.40.8
Net D/E1.10.60.41.41.00.40.8

Returns

CTOWPCALEXGOODOLPEPRTMedian
NameCTO Real.W.P. Car.Alexande.Gladston.One Libe.Essentia. 
1M Rtn7.1%-2.8%33.6%0.0%5.1%-0.6%2.6%
3M Rtn12.7%-2.8%12.9%-12.6%-6.5%3.2%0.2%
6M Rtn4.4%5.2%17.9%-20.3%-10.8%-4.5%-0.0%
12M Rtn-4.3%22.6%18.0%-27.8%-19.9%-2.8%-3.5%
3Y Rtn27.8%-0.7%26.3%-24.6%16.6%53.4%21.4%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%-3.5%32.9%-0.7%4.4%-1.3%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn10.7%-3.5%11.0%-14.5%-8.6%0.9%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn-8.0%-7.2%5.6%-32.7%-23.2%-16.9%-12.4%
12M Excs Rtn-13.5%10.1%5.6%-39.7%-31.2%-14.5%-14.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.7%-68.7%-45.3%-94.5%-54.8%-19.5%-50.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Income Properties887902631531464
Interest Income From Commercial Loans and Investments6232 3836
Corporate and Other36463536136
Real Estate Operations24276066
Management Services11210
Commercial Loans and Investments  39  
Discontinued Real Estate Operations   11
Total990987733667703


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,342,561
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.8%
Average Daily Volume214,933
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.25
Basic Shares Quantity32,651,101
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20251.3%4.3%11.0%
7/29/2025-6.8%-6.0%-2.3%
5/1/20250.2%-2.4%1.8%
2/20/2025-5.9%-7.5%-4.7%
10/24/2024-0.8%-1.9%0.5%
7/25/20243.3%5.7%-0.4%
5/2/2024-2.6%-1.3%2.2%
2/22/20243.7%2.7%3.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81114
# Negative1296
Median Positive1.6%4.7%3.1%
Median Negative-2.1%-2.6%-2.3%
Max Positive3.7%7.2%19.1%
Max Negative-6.8%-7.5%-10.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021