First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $58.555 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs
First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $58.555Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Industrial REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7% | Key risksFR key risks include [1] potentially unsustainable rental growth and occupancy rates as the market normalizes and [2] recent struggles to sign tenants for new facilities, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40% |
| Key risksFR key risks include [1] potentially unsustainable rental growth and occupancy rates as the market normalizes and [2] recent struggles to sign tenants for new facilities, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. I cannot provide factual explanations for future stock movements. However, based on the most recent available information up to December 18, 2025, several factors have influenced First Industrial Realty Trust's (FR) performance, which could hypothetically contribute to a significant stock movement.
1. Strong 2024 Financial Results and 2025 FFO Guidance: First Industrial Realty Trust reported strong fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results, including full-year 2024 FFO of $2.65 per share/unit, an 8.6% growth over 2023. The company also initiated its 2025 NAREIT FFO guidance at a range of $2.87 to $2.97 per share/unit, representing approximately 10% growth at the midpoint. Such positive financial outlooks and growth projections can significantly impact investor confidence and stock valuation.
2. Increased Dividend: The company increased its first-quarter 2025 dividend to $0.445 per share, a 20.3% increase. Dividend increases often signal financial health and can attract income-focused investors, contributing to stock appreciation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FR Return | 4% | 60% | -25% | 12% | -2% | 19% | 63% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 63% | -31% | 19% | -14% | 14% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FR Win Rate | 67% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 72% | 33% | 53% | 45% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FR Max Drawdown | -35% | -4% | -33% | -14% | -13% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -39% | -9% | -19% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLD, REXR, EGP, STAG, TRNO. See FR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 367 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2492.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,431 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to OHI, EGP, BRX, NNN, COLD
In The Past
First Industrial Realty Trust's stock fell -38.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.9% loss requires a 63.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.2% | 8.9% | -2.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.2% | 8.9% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for First Industrial Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| Rev LTM | 769 |
| Op Inc LTM | 305 |
| FCF LTM | 410 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 373 |
| CFO LTM | 467 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 419 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 39.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 57.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 57.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 53.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| P/S | 10.9 |
| P/EBIT | 20.7 |
| P/E | 28.6 |
| P/CFO | 18.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/15/2025 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| 7/16/2025 | 0.1% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | -0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| 10/16/2024 | -2.2% | -1.2% | -6.2% |
| 7/17/2024 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% |
| 4/17/2024 | -5.2% | -5.3% | -0.7% |
| 2/7/2024 | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| 10/18/2023 | -2.2% | -6.3% | 2.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 0.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -2.4% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.2% |
| Max Negative | -5.2% | -6.3% | -38.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10172025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7172025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4172025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10182024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7182024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4212023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |