Outfront Media (OUT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.23 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Other Specialized REITs
Outfront Media (OUT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.23Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Other Specialized REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.9% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OUT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Outfront Media (OUT) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Financial Performance: Outfront Media reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, with revenues reaching $467.5 million, surpassing consensus estimates. The company also saw a notable increase in net income attributable to Outfront Media Inc. by 48.3% and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) by 24.1% compared to the same period in the prior year.
2. Strong Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades: During this period, OUTFRONT Media received positive attention from analysts, leading to multiple upgrades and an average "Buy" rating. As of early December 2025, the consensus price target from analysts ranged between approximately $21.60 and $22.00, with some recent ratings suggesting an implied upside.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OUT Return | -26% | 38% | -34% | -8% | 41% | 35% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 31% | 70% | -25% | 4% | 36% | -3% | 127% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OUT Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 57% | 28% | 42% | 53% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OUT Max Drawdown | -70% | -12% | -41% | -46% | -11% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -3% | -33% | -22% | -13% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IRM, LAMR, EPR, PW, FRMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OUT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 287.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 120 days |
Compare to IRM, LAMR, EPR, PW, FRMI
In The Past
Outfront Media's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Outfront Media Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | |
| As OUT Surges 12% in a Week, MRK's Story Stands Out | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| OUT's One-Week Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate VICI | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| OUT's One-Week Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate SAFE | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Outfront Media Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | Peer Comparison | |
| Better Bet Than OUT Stock: Pay Less Than Outfront Media To Get More From UNH, MRK | ||
| Better Bet Than OUT Stock: Pay Less Than Outfront Media To Get More From HHH, VICI | ||
| Outfront Media (OUT) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Outfront Media (OUT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Outfront Media (OUT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 02282023 | OUT | Outfront Media | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -28.9% | -10.4% | -48.9% |
| 08312022 | OUT | Outfront Media | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.7% | -29.3% | -33.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 02282023 | OUT | Outfront Media | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -28.9% | -10.4% | -48.9% |
| 08312022 | OUT | Outfront Media | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.7% | -29.3% | -33.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Outfront Media
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,812 |
| Op Inc LTM | 365 |
| FCF LTM | 211 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 181 |
| CFO LTM | 416 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 418 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 24.7 |
| P/CFO | 10.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |