Tearsheet

Outfront Media (OUT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.23 | Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Other Specialized REITs

Outfront Media (OUT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.23
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Other Specialized REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 6.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.7%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 133%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OUT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Outfront Media (OUT) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Financial Performance: Outfront Media reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, 2025, with revenues reaching $467.5 million, surpassing consensus estimates. The company also saw a notable increase in net income attributable to Outfront Media Inc. by 48.3% and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) by 24.1% compared to the same period in the prior year.

2. Strong Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades: During this period, OUTFRONT Media received positive attention from analysts, leading to multiple upgrades and an average "Buy" rating. As of early December 2025, the consensus price target from analysts ranged between approximately $21.60 and $22.00, with some recent ratings suggesting an implied upside.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OUT Return-26%38%-34%-8%41%35%17%
Peers Return31%70%-25%4%36%-3%127%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OUT Win Rate58%67%42%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%57%28%42%53%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OUT Max Drawdown-70%-12%-41%-46%-11%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-3%-33%-22%-13%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IRM, LAMR, EPR, PW, FRMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOUTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven247.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven287.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days120 days

Compare to IRM, LAMR, EPR, PW, FRMI


In The Past

Outfront Media's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Outfront Media (OUT)

Better Bets than Outfront Media (OUT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
OUT_2282023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02282023OUTOutfront MediaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-28.9%-10.4%-48.9%
OUT_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022OUTOutfront MediaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.7%-29.3%-33.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
OUT_2282023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02282023OUTOutfront MediaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-28.9%-10.4%-48.9%
OUT_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022OUTOutfront MediaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.7%-29.3%-33.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Outfront Media

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OUTIRMLAMREPRPWFRMIMedian
NameOutfront.Iron Mou.Lamar Ad.EPR Prop.Power RE.Fermi  
Mkt Price23.3784.28132.2352.440.9314.6637.91
Mkt Cap3.924.913.44.00.0-4.0
Rev LTM1,8126,6402,2506632-1,812
Op Inc LTM2861,324538365-1-365
FCF LTM211-1,179711416-0-211
FCF 3Y Avg181-580674418-1-181
CFO LTM3141,272872416-0-416
CFO 3Y Avg2741,173832418-1-418

Growth & Margins

OUTIRMLAMREPRPWFRMIMedian
NameOutfront.Iron Mou.Lamar Ad.EPR Prop.Power RE.Fermi  
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%10.9%3.0%4.2%-31.2%-3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%10.1%4.2%3.9%-35.4%-3.9%
Rev Chg Q3.5%12.6%3.8%4.3%-64.0%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%3.1%1.0%1.1%-30.6%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%19.9%23.9%54.9%-43.0%-19.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.1%20.0%27.5%56.7%-62.0%-20.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.3%-0.1%-1.4%-23.7%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM17.3%19.2%38.8%62.7%-23.6%-19.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.0%19.6%38.2%63.9%-41.2%-19.6%
FCF/Rev LTM11.7%-17.8%31.6%62.7%-23.6%-11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%-9.2%31.0%63.9%-41.2%-9.9%

Valuation

OUTIRMLAMREPRPWFRMIMedian
NameOutfront.Iron Mou.Lamar Ad.EPR Prop.Power RE.Fermi  
Mkt Cap3.924.913.44.00.0-4.0
P/S1.74.55.56.71.6-4.5
P/EBIT7.528.420.013.4-2.5-13.4
P/E24.7189.328.622.1-0.8-24.7
P/CFO9.823.714.210.6-7.0-10.6
Total Yield7.5%3.5%3.5%4.5%-117.8%-3.5%
Dividend Yield3.4%3.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.2%-2.0%6.0%11.4%-41.8%-6.0%
D/E1.30.60.40.75.9-0.7
Net D/E1.30.60.40.75.3-0.7

Returns

OUTIRMLAMREPRPWFRMIMedian
NameOutfront.Iron Mou.Lamar Ad.EPR Prop.Power RE.Fermi  
1M Rtn32.3%-18.7%10.6%5.0%29.2%-47.5%7.8%
3M Rtn27.5%-5.4%6.0%-0.1%-2.5%--0.1%
6M Rtn46.8%-14.5%11.8%-2.9%-19.7%--2.9%
12M Rtn26.4%-27.6%5.5%24.8%-35.9%-5.5%
3Y Rtn57.3%70.4%55.2%57.9%-83.4%-57.3%
1M Excs Rtn32.3%-18.7%10.7%5.1%29.2%-47.5%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn22.2%-12.1%-0.8%-5.2%2.5%--0.8%
6M Excs Rtn32.1%-29.3%-2.9%-17.6%-34.4%--17.6%
12M Excs Rtn11.5%-43.2%-9.6%10.1%-36.7%--9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.7%3.3%-17.0%-8.9%-156.3%--8.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States (U.S.) Media5,2975,7325,2814,9775,077
Other260240248250284
Corporate261839667021
Total5,5835,9905,9255,8975,382


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,491,956
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.8%
Average Daily Volume2,833,878
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.47
Basic Shares Quantity167,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021