Tearsheet

AvalonBay Communities (AVB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $181.54 | Market Cap: $25.8 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

AvalonBay Communities (AVB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $181.54
Market Cap: $25.8 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of AvalonBay Communities (AVB) experienced an approximate -6.5% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. AvalonBay Communities reported a miss on its Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS), coming in at $2.75 against a consensus estimate of $2.81. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $766.80 million fell short of the projected $777.0 million by analysts.

2. Following the Q3 results, AvalonBay Communities lowered its full-year 2025 Core Funds from Operations (FFO) per share guidance by $0.14 to $11.25.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVB Return-20%62%-34%20%21%-16%5%
Peers Return-16%59%-34%3%24%-0%12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVB Win Rate42%92%17%42%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate45%78%28%47%58%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVB Max Drawdown-42%-3%-36%-5%-9%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-6%-37%-20%-8%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR, OUT. See AVB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAVBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven484 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven270.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1229 days1480 days

Compare to EQR, ESS, MAA, UDR, OUT


In The Past

AvalonBay Communities's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AvalonBay Communities (AVB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
AVB_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022AVBAvalonBay CommunitiesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.5%2.8%-11.0%
AVB_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020AVBAvalonBay CommunitiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.7%40.0%-13.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.5%8.5%-5.8%
AVB_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022AVBAvalonBay CommunitiesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.5%2.8%-11.0%
AVB_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020AVBAvalonBay CommunitiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.7%40.0%-13.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AvalonBay Communities

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
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CFO LTM-------
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Growth & Margins

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
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Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
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CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
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Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
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Net D/E-------

Returns

AVBEQRESSMAAUDROUTMedian
NameAvalonBa.Equity R.Essex Pr.Mid-Amer.UDR Outfront. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
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3Y Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Same Store2,5912,3942,0282,082 
Rental income from real estate assets sold or held for sale857010010973
Other Stabilized789312279 
Non-allocated86325
Development / Redevelopment6304328 
Development/Redevelopment Communities    29
Established Communities    2,107
Other Stabilized Communities    110
Total2,7682,5932,2952,3012,325


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,752,326
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.3%
Average Daily Volume1,033,948
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.60
Basic Shares Quantity142,089,075
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Willson Sean ThomasSenior Vice President8112025Sell188.3215028,248698,901Form
1SCHULMAN EDWARD MEVP-General Counsel6172025Sell205.031,912392,0264,438,924Form
2O'Shea Kevin P.Chief Financial Officer6172025Sell207.274,384908,6935,057,003Form