CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $40.02 | Market Cap: $8.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $40.02Market Cap: $8.9 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% | ||
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 107%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 107%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 103% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Geriatric Care. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Robust 2026 Outlook. CareTrust REIT reported impressive financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted Normalized Funds From Operations (FFO) per share of $0.47 for Q4 2025, a substantial beat compared to the analyst estimate of $0.37. Additionally, revenue reached $134.9 million, surpassing the estimated $112.8 million. For the full year 2025, Normalized FFO per share increased by 17% over the prior year to $1.76. Management provided a strong initial guidance for 2026, projecting Normalized FFO and Funds Available for Distribution (FAD) in a range of $1.90 to $1.95 per share, representing approximately 9.4% growth over 2025 results.
2. Aggressive External Growth and Portfolio Expansion. CareTrust REIT demonstrated significant growth through strategic investments and portfolio expansion. In 2025, the company closed $1.8 billion in investment activity at a blended stabilized yield of 8.6%. This included the acquisition of Care REIT, marking an entry into UK Care Homes, and its first Seniors Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP) deal. As of December 31, 2025, CareTrust reported a pipeline of approximately $500 million, with an additional ~$215 million in investments closed subsequent to year-end. A notable acquisition during this period was the Mid-Atlantic Skilled Nursing Portfolio for approximately $142 million on January 5, 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.6% change in CTRE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.19 | 40.03 | 7.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 324 | 369 | 14.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 80.6% | 86.8% | 7.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.1 | 27.8 | -7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 212 | 223 | -5.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.6% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 7.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | -22.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 1.4% | 15.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.6% change in CTRE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.77 | 40.03 | 18.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 277 | 369 | 33.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 79.4% | 86.8% | 9.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.5 | 27.8 | -5.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 192 | 223 | -13.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | -0.6% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 0.6% | 37.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 61.3% change in CTRE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.82 | 40.03 | 61.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 228 | 369 | 61.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 54.8% | 86.8% | 58.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 36.1 | 27.8 | -22.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 182 | 223 | -18.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 61.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 61.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 0.2% | 43.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 134.3% change in CTRE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 172.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.08 | 40.03 | 134.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 188 | 369 | 97.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.9 | 24.2 | 172.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 97 | 223 | -56.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 134.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 134.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 21.9% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 21.3% | 50.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTRE Return | 8% | -14% | 27% | 26% | 39% | 10% | 130% |
| Peers Return | 4% | -6% | 26% | 51% | 40% | 11% | 187% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTRE Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 46% | 60% | 73% | 63% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTRE Max Drawdown | -7% | -28% | -3% | -9% | -8% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -21% | -8% | -7% | -4% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WELL, VTR, OHI, AHR, SBRA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 707 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 191.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 199 days | 120 days |
Compare to WELL, VTR, OHI, AHR, SBRA
In The Past
CareTrust REIT's stock fell -33.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/21/2021. A -33.6% loss requires a 50.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About CareTrust REIT (CTRE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Realty Income (O) for healthcare properties.
Public Storage (PSA) for nursing homes and senior living facilities.
American Tower (AMT) for healthcare infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Property Ownership: CareTrust REIT holds a portfolio of skilled nursing, seniors housing, and other healthcare-related properties.
- Property Acquisition: The company actively acquires existing healthcare properties to expand its investment portfolio.
- Property Development: CareTrust REIT develops new healthcare properties to add to its asset base.
- Property Leasing: The REIT provides its owned and developed healthcare properties to operators under long-term net leases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
CareTrust REIT (CTRE) is a real estate investment trust that owns and leases healthcare-related properties. Therefore, its major customers are the healthcare operating companies that lease these properties from CTRE, rather than individuals. Based on its business model and publicly available information, some of its significant customer companies (tenants) include:
- The Ensign Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: ENSG)
- The Pennant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: PNTG)
- Providence Group
- Genesis Healthcare
- Broad River Healthcare
AI Analysis | Feedback
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The accelerated shift towards value-based care models and the increased adoption of home health and telehealth services pose an emerging threat to CareTrust REIT.
These trends are driven by a desire to reduce healthcare costs and improve patient outcomes by providing care in less institutional and often home-based settings. This could lead to reduced demand for skilled nursing and seniors housing beds, potentially resulting in lower occupancy rates and increased pressure on rental income and property valuations for CTRE's portfolio.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CTRE.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | KRC | Kilroy Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | AAT | American Assets Trust | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 12122025 | LINE | Lineage | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | -7.3% |
| 11302025 | OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 6.7% | 6.7% | -6.0% |
| 10312025 | ADC | Agree Realty | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 11.8% | -2.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,725 |
| Op Inc LTM | 310 |
| FCF LTM | 629 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 527 |
| CFO LTM | 636 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 534 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 35.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| P/EBIT | 35.8 |
| P/E | 82.9 |
| P/CFO | 23.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 39.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 135.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 18.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 57.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investments in healthcare-related real estate properties | 296 | ||||
| Single Segment | 218 | ||||
| Interest and other income | 9 | 2 | 3 | ||
| Rental income | 188 | 190 | 174 | ||
| Independent living facilities | 0 | 2 | |||
| Total | 296 | 218 | 196 | 192 | 178 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investments in healthcare-related real estate properties | 125 | ||||
| Total | 125 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.03 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/29/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $38.49 | $34.42 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 4.0% | 16.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| Downside Capture | -66.02 | -20.17 |
| Upside Capture | -8.64 | 23.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -21.5% | 14.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.90 | -0.45 | -0.43 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| Up Beta | 0.31 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.55 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Down Beta | -1.81 | -0.46 | -0.57 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| Up Capture | -28% | -15% | -18% | 13% | 22% | 19% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 25 | 37 | 71 | 144 | 404 |
| Down Capture | -187% | -117% | -90% | -51% | -33% | 40% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 105 | 338 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 54.8% | 20.9% | 1.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 4.3% | 16.3% | 0.08 | 42.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 13.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 6.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 42.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | -1.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 17.5% | 24.0% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.0% | 19.0% | 0.22 | 55.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 34.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 11.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 7.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 57.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 11.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRE | 18.7% | 35.1% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.8% | 20.4% | 0.29 | 56.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 42.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 18.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 61.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 15.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -0.3% | -0.2% | |
| 11/5/2025 | -1.2% | 0.6% | 4.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.3% | 1.3% | 4.0% |
| 5/1/2025 | -1.8% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2/12/2025 | 3.7% | 0.2% | 11.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 2.8% | -3.4% | -6.3% |
| 8/2/2024 | -1.9% | 1.6% | 7.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | -1.3% | -3.0% | 1.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.1% | -2.5% | -4.2% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 8.7% | 31.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.0% | -10.1% | -6.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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