Prologis (PLD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.07 | Market Cap: $119.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs
Prologis (PLD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.07Market Cap: $119.0 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Industrial REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | Key risksPLD key risks include [1] significant vulnerability to rising interest rates due to its substantial $35.3 billion long-term debt load. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Key risksPLD key risks include [1] significant vulnerability to rising interest rates due to its substantial $35.3 billion long-term debt load. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PLD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I cannot fulfill this request. The specified time period (8/31/2025 to 12/18/2025) is in the future, and I do not have access to future stock market data or events.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLD Return | 15% | 72% | -31% | 22% | -18% | 25% | 69% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 61% | -30% | 17% | -11% | 13% | 42% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLD Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 72% | 33% | 53% | 45% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLD Max Drawdown | -29% | -6% | -40% | -12% | -23% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -5% | -38% | -10% | -17% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REXR, EGP, FR, STAG, TRNO. See PLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3076.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,785 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMT, CCI, COLD, PLD, REXR
In The Past
Prologis's stock fell -42.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -42.8% loss requires a 74.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Prologis Earnings Notes | |||
| Prologis Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| Prologis vs Meta Platforms: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Prologis vs Realty Income: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Prologis vs Rexford Industrial Realty: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Prologis Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than PLD Stock: Pay Less Than Prologis To Get More From CCL, FIX | |||
| PLD Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Prologis Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -18.1% in 2024 and -11.9% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Prologis (PLD) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | PLD | Prologis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | PLD | Prologis | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Prologis
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| Rev LTM | 769 |
| Op Inc LTM | 305 |
| FCF LTM | 410 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 373 |
| CFO LTM | 467 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 419 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 39.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 57.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 57.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 53.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.7 |
| P/S | 10.9 |
| P/EBIT | 20.7 |
| P/E | 28.6 |
| P/CFO | 18.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.8% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estate Segment | 81,823 | 76,674 | 48,088 | 46,391 | 31,591 |
| Investments in and advances to unconsolidated entities | 9,544 | 9,699 | 8,611 | 7,602 | 6,237 |
| Other assets | 625 | 679 | 524 | 364 | 243 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 530 | 278 | 556 | 598 | 1,089 |
| Assets held for sale or contribution | 462 | 531 | 670 | 1,071 | 721 |
| Strategic Capital Segment | 36 | 36 | 38 | 39 | 40 |
| Lease right-of-use assets | 111 | ||||
| Total | 93,021 | 87,897 | 58,486 | 56,065 | 40,032 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/15/2025 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| 7/16/2025 | 1.4% | 0.5% | -2.2% |
| 4/16/2025 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 10.9% |
| 1/21/2025 | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| 10/16/2024 | 4.6% | -2.0% | -4.0% |
| 7/17/2024 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 4/17/2024 | -7.2% | -8.6% | -4.1% |
| 1/17/2024 | -2.4% | -1.5% | 0.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 17 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 3.0% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.0% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -9.1% | -22.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA | 11032025 | Sell | 123.14 | 500 | 61,570 | 1,087,203 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |