Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Key risks
PLD key risks include [1] significant vulnerability to rising interest rates due to its substantial $35.3 billion long-term debt load.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x
6 Key risks
PLD key risks include [1] significant vulnerability to rising interest rates due to its substantial $35.3 billion long-term debt load.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the positive movement in Prologis (PLD) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance. Prologis reported robust results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations for earnings per share (EPS) and exceeding revenue forecasts. The company's Core Funds From Operations (FFO) per diluted share increased by 4.2% year-over-year.

2. Record Leasing Activity and High Occupancy Rates. The company demonstrated strong operational performance with a record 62 million square feet of lease signings during Q3 2025. Period-end occupancy reached 95.3%, indicating high demand and effective management of its logistics real estate portfolio.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PLD Return15%72%-31%22%-18%27%72%
Peers Return7%61%-30%17%-11%14%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PLD Win Rate58%83%33%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%72%33%53%45%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PLD Max Drawdown-29%-6%-40%-12%-23%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-5%-38%-10%-17%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REXR, EGP, FR, STAG, TRNO. See PLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3076.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3785 days1480 days

Compare to AMT, CCI, COLD, PLD, REXR


In The Past

Prologis's stock fell -42.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -42.8% loss requires a 74.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prologis (PLD)

Better Bets than Prologis (PLD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
PLD_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023PLDPrologisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.7%18.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
PLD_10312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312023PLDPrologisDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.7%18.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Prologis

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PLDREXREGPFRSTAGTRNOMedian
NamePrologis Rexford .EastGrou.First In.Stag Ind.Terreno . 
Mkt Price127.6140.72181.0358.0237.1760.1259.07
Mkt Cap118.59.69.67.76.96.28.6
Rev LTM8,738998698714824443769
Op Inc LTM3,476381279301308174305
FCF LTM5,186207470416404194410
FCF 3Y Avg5,138156404354393163373
CFO LTM5,186547470416464253467
CFO 3Y Avg5,138468404354433216419

Growth & Margins

PLDREXREGPFRSTAGTRNOMedian
NamePrologis Rexford .EastGrou.First In.Stag Ind.Terreno . 
Rev Chg LTM10.7%10.4%11.6%9.7%9.6%21.1%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.1%19.8%14.6%11.4%9.1%19.3%16.3%
Rev Chg Q8.7%4.7%11.8%8.2%10.7%16.7%9.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.2%2.8%2.0%2.5%3.9%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM39.8%38.2%39.9%42.2%37.4%39.4%39.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.1%37.8%39.7%40.9%35.3%39.9%38.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.7%0.3%0.7%0.6%0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM59.3%54.8%67.3%58.2%56.3%57.1%57.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg63.0%52.4%64.4%53.7%57.3%57.8%57.5%
FCF/Rev LTM59.3%20.7%67.3%58.2%49.1%43.9%53.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg63.0%17.6%64.4%53.7%52.1%43.4%52.9%

Valuation

PLDREXREGPFRSTAGTRNOMedian
NamePrologis Rexford .EastGrou.First In.Stag Ind.Terreno . 
Mkt Cap118.59.69.67.76.96.28.6
P/S12.29.712.99.58.013.210.9
P/EBIT23.221.032.420.517.516.720.7
P/E33.228.436.228.827.318.228.6
P/CFO20.517.619.116.414.223.118.4
Total Yield3.0%7.7%6.0%6.7%6.9%8.9%6.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.4%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.7%1.5%4.7%5.2%5.9%2.8%4.7%
D/E0.30.30.20.40.50.20.3
Net D/E0.30.30.20.40.50.20.3

Returns

PLDREXREGPFRSTAGTRNOMedian
NamePrologis Rexford .EastGrou.First In.Stag Ind.Terreno . 
1M Rtn4.7%-0.7%2.5%4.1%-3.0%-0.2%1.1%
3M Rtn12.8%-3.8%9.5%12.5%4.4%4.4%7.0%
6M Rtn23.5%14.6%8.0%21.1%5.0%6.1%11.3%
12M Rtn21.4%6.3%10.4%14.4%8.2%0.3%9.3%
3Y Rtn25.0%-15.9%35.0%30.6%29.5%18.5%27.2%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%-1.6%1.5%3.1%-4.0%-1.2%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn9.9%-5.7%7.1%10.1%3.1%2.6%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn9.8%0.9%-5.6%7.5%-8.6%-7.5%-2.4%
12M Excs Rtn7.0%-6.8%-1.9%2.8%-3.6%-12.4%-2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-51.4%-89.9%-44.0%-43.4%-45.9%-56.5%-48.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Segment81,82376,67448,08846,39131,591
Investments in and advances to unconsolidated entities9,5449,6998,6117,6026,237
Other assets625679524364243
Cash and cash equivalents5302785565981,089
Assets held for sale or contribution4625316701,071721
Strategic Capital Segment3636383940
Lease right-of-use assets    111
Total93,02187,89758,48656,06540,032


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,785,560
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.0%
Average Daily Volume4,239,095
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.78
Basic Shares Quantity928,851,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/15/20256.3%9.1%8.1%
7/16/20251.4%0.5%-2.2%
4/16/20251.8%3.0%10.9%
1/21/20257.1%10.8%11.1%
10/16/20244.6%-2.0%-4.0%
7/17/20241.4%3.4%1.6%
4/17/2024-7.2%-8.6%-4.1%
1/17/2024-2.4%-1.5%0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141714
# Negative10710
Median Positive1.4%3.0%6.2%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.0%-4.1%
Max Positive7.1%10.8%14.4%
Max Negative-7.2%-9.1%-22.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA 11032025Sell123.1450061,5701,087,203Form