Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 80x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 125x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
Key risks
WELL key risks include [1] dependence on the financial health of its concentrated tenant and operator base, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 80x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 125x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%
6 Key risks
WELL key risks include [1] dependence on the financial health of its concentrated tenant and operator base, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WELL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Welltower (WELL) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, that influenced its stock performance. 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations: Welltower reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on October 27, 2025, with normalized funds from operations (FFO) attributable to common stockholders of $1.34 per diluted share, an increase of 20.7% over the prior year, surpassing analyst estimates. The company's revenue of $2.69 billion also exceeded expectations. This strong operational profitability was a key driver. 2. Robust Seniors Housing Operating (SHO) Portfolio Growth: The company reported substantial year-over-year same-store net operating income (SSNOI) growth of 14.5% for its total portfolio, significantly driven by its Seniors Housing Operating (SHO) portfolio which saw 20.3% SSNOI growth. This growth was attributed to a 400 basis point increase in average occupancy and a 4.8% growth in Revenue Per Occupied Room (RevPOR). Welltower anticipates continued strong performance in its SHO segment, projecting average blended SSNOI growth of 13.2% to 14.5% for 2025. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WELL Return-17%37%-21%42%43%54%179%
Peers Return-5%-5%-4%21%29%26%70%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WELL Win Rate67%67%33%67%83%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%50%53%58%67%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WELL Max Drawdown-59%-7%-32%0%-4%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-65%-16%-18%-9%-10%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VTR, OHI, SBRA, NHI, CTRE. See WELL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWELLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven576 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven722 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven322 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven781 days1,480 days

Compare to VTR, MPW, ALX, WELL, OHI


In The Past

Welltower's stock fell -41.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -41.6% loss requires a 71.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Welltower (WELL)

Better Bets than Welltower (WELL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WELL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
WELL_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020WELLWelltowerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.8%67.0%-4.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
WELL_6302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302020WELLWelltowerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.8%67.0%-4.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Welltower

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WELLVTROHISBRANHICTREMedian
NameWelltowerVentas Omega He.Sabra He.National.CareTrus. 
Mkt Price189.1678.9044.5118.8577.5636.3461.03
Mkt Cap127.236.013.24.53.77.710.4
Rev LTM9,7525,5551,150745356324948
Op Inc LTM1,580818718267184181492
FCF LTM2,746968877341226334609
FCF 3Y Avg2,065687723313200225500
CFO LTM2,7871,549877341226348613
CFO 3Y Avg2,1131,297723313202235518

Growth & Margins

WELLVTROHISBRANHICTREMedian
NameWelltowerVentas Omega He.Sabra He.National.CareTrus. 
Rev Chg LTM32.6%15.7%13.7%8.9%8.1%47.6%14.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.9%10.7%6.3%7.8%8.7%21.2%9.7%
Rev Chg Q30.7%20.4%12.9%6.8%8.3%82.4%16.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.8%4.8%3.2%1.6%2.0%17.0%4.0%
Op Mgn LTM16.2%14.7%62.4%35.8%51.6%55.7%43.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.1%12.0%54.3%35.5%53.1%57.4%44.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.0%0.1%-1.3%-1.7%0.9%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM28.6%27.9%76.2%45.8%63.7%107.4%54.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.8%26.3%71.6%45.2%60.9%93.2%53.0%
FCF/Rev LTM28.2%17.4%76.2%45.8%63.5%103.2%54.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.1%13.8%71.6%45.2%60.1%88.9%52.6%

Valuation

WELLVTROHISBRANHICTREMedian
NameWelltowerVentas Omega He.Sabra He.National.CareTrus. 
Mkt Cap127.236.013.24.53.77.710.4
P/S12.35.710.96.010.622.710.7
P/EBIT79.839.915.815.518.824.421.6
P/E124.7134.123.225.525.628.126.9
P/CFO43.020.614.213.116.721.118.6
Total Yield0.8%3.3%10.4%10.3%8.3%5.2%6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%6.1%6.4%4.4%1.6%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%2.8%7.0%7.9%6.4%5.0%5.7%
D/E0.20.40.40.60.30.10.3
Net D/E0.10.40.30.50.30.00.3

Returns

WELLVTROHISBRANHICTREMedian
NameWelltowerVentas Omega He.Sabra He.National.CareTrus. 
1M Rtn-4.1%-0.1%0.7%1.4%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
3M Rtn14.5%18.0%8.7%2.5%0.3%7.1%7.9%
6M Rtn24.5%27.7%24.3%6.5%12.2%24.2%24.3%
12M Rtn48.9%34.9%21.2%14.3%13.6%33.0%27.1%
3Y Rtn215.7%96.2%97.0%94.9%66.7%117.4%96.6%
1M Excs Rtn-4.8%-0.9%0.0%0.7%-1.1%-0.8%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn12.7%15.5%7.0%0.2%-2.3%4.4%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn12.1%15.3%11.9%-5.8%-0.2%11.8%11.9%
12M Excs Rtn38.0%24.5%10.6%4.2%1.0%20.6%15.6%
3Y Excs Rtn140.5%22.6%22.4%22.2%-5.8%45.4%22.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seniors Housing Operating4,7644,2453,2133,0823,457
Triple-net887932891801973
Outpatient Medical750679635720688
Non-segment/Corporate2375334
Total6,6385,8614,7424,6065,121


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seniors Housing Operating1,10898   
Triple-net845662   
Outpatient Medical519233   
Non-segment/Corporate219-162   
Total2,690831   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Seniors Housing Operating24,62222,00118,85216,04415,785
Triple-net8,3948,6199,7108,5479,435
Outpatient Medical7,3276,6156,2046,5237,992
Non-segment/Corporate3,6696581441,369170
Total44,01237,89334,91032,48433,381


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,647,589
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.0%
Average Daily Volume3,825,088
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.83
Basic Shares Quantity672,407,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-1.6%-0.2%12.5%
4/28/20251.6%1.3%2.2%
2/11/20252.2%4.4%2.2%
10/28/20245.2%2.9%7.0%
7/29/20240.5%-0.5%8.3%
4/29/2024-0.5%1.0%5.7%
1/22/2024-1.0%-2.7%3.3%
10/30/20232.1%7.7%8.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative10108
Median Positive2.2%3.2%5.7%
Median Negative-1.6%-2.0%-6.4%
Max Positive6.1%9.1%38.0%
Max Negative-7.3%-16.2%-39.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gundlach Andrew 7022025Buy151.4610,0001,514,6001,514,600Form
1BACON KENNETH J 12102024Sell130.192,200286,4181,611,622Form