UDR (UDR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.44 | Market Cap: $11.7 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs
UDR (UDR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.44Market Cap: $11.7 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Multi-Family Residential REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UDR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The information provided indicates that UDR's Q3 2025 earnings, announced on October 29, 2025, exceeded expectations, leading to a second guidance raise for the full year 2025. Analysts generally hold a "Hold" rating on the stock with an average price target that suggests an increase, not a decline. The stock price was stable around $33.95 following the Q3 earnings announcement.
However, the user's request is to explain a -8.6% stock movement for the period of 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025. The search results do not explicitly highlight a -8.6% decline during this specific period or provide clear reasons for such a drop. Instead, they show positive earnings and guidance. One search result shows UDR selling at $36.09 as of December 3, 2025, which is a 0.91 percent decrease since the beginning of that trading day, not the larger -8.6% drop over the specified period. Another source mentions a 52-week range where the current price is closer to the low end, but doesn't specifically attribute a -8.6% decline in the requested timeframe. Some analyst commentary points to concerns like soft employment trends, increased competition from new supply, and regulatory risks, which could limit future earnings growth and potentially lead to underperformance.
Since the provided search results do not explicitly detail a -8.6% stock decline for UDR between 8/31/2025 and 12/4/2025 and instead highlight generally positive financial results and outlook during this time, it is not possible to accurately identify 5 key points explaining such a decline based on the available information without hallucination. The information rather points to a stable or even slightly upward outlook based on analyst ratings and company guidance.
1. UDR's Q3 2025 earnings exceeded expectations, leading to a raised full-year guidance.
2. The company reported strong same-store revenue and net operating income (NOI) growth in Q3 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UDR Return | -14% | 61% | -33% | 3% | 18% | -13% | -1% |
| Peers Return | -18% | 59% | -34% | 6% | 24% | -1% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UDR Win Rate | 33% | 83% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 80% | 27% | 45% | 58% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UDR Max Drawdown | -35% | -4% | -35% | -15% | -9% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -5% | -37% | -17% | -8% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVB, EQR, ESS, MAA, OUT. See UDR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 471 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 378.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2138 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AVB, EQR, ESS, MAA, OUT
In The Past
UDR's stock fell -48.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -48.3% loss requires a 93.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold UDR Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| UDR vs Microsoft: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| UDR vs Prologis: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| UDR vs AvalonBay Communities: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does UDR Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than UDR Stock: Pay Less Than UDR To Get More From AMZN, META | |||
| Better Bet Than UDR Stock: Pay Less Than UDR To Get More From PLD, O | |||
| UDR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| UDR Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 23.3% in 2024 and -1.8% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| UDR (UDR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | October 4th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | October 4th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | September 26th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | UDR | UDR | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.4% | 42.8% | -1.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 10312023 | UDR | UDR | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.4% | 42.8% | -1.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for UDR
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Same-Store Communities | 14,382 | 14,360 | 12,592 | 11,871 | 8,827 |
| Non-Mature Communities/Other | 1,642 | 1,210 | 2,149 | 1,200 | 3,775 |
| Investment in and advances to unconsolidated joint ventures, net | 953 | 754 | 702 | 600 | 588 |
| Notes receivable, net | 229 | 55 | 27 | 158 | 154 |
| Other assets | 210 | 197 | 216 | 188 | 186 |
| Operating lease right-of-use assets | 191 | 194 | 197 | 201 | 204 |
| Restricted cash | 32 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| Accumulated depreciation | -6,268 | -5,763 | -5,137 | -4,605 | -4,131 |
| Total | 11,373 | 11,038 | 10,775 | 9,638 | 9,636 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |