SBA Communications (SBAC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.55 | Market Cap: $20.2 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Telecom Tower REITs
SBA Communications (SBAC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $188.55Market Cap: $20.2 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Telecom Tower REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SBAC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -8% stock movement for SBA Communications (SBAC) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Multiple Analyst Price Target Reductions
Several analysts lowered their price targets for SBA Communications during the period, indicating a revised outlook on the company's valuation. For instance, Barclays reduced its price target from $226 to $219 on November 17, 2025, and further to $212 on December 1, 2025. Similarly, RBC Capital, BMO Capital, and TD Cowen also trimmed their price targets in early to mid-November 2025.
2. Impact of Higher Interest Expenses on AFFO
Despite SBA Communications surpassing revenue and EPS estimates in its third-quarter 2025 earnings reported on November 3, 2025, its Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share declined year-over-year. This decrease was primarily attributed to significantly higher interest expenses, which rose 25.5% year-over-year to $120.2 million in Q3 2025, impacting profitability metrics. The company also maintained a high net debt-to-annualized adjusted EBITDA ratio of 6.2X.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SBAC Return | 18% | 39% | -27% | -8% | -18% | -6% | -16% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 34% | -26% | 4% | -18% | -5% | -11% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SBAC Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 72% | 38% | 53% | 40% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SBAC Max Drawdown | -10% | -16% | -37% | -32% | -26% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -13% | -37% | -23% | -23% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLD, AMT, CCI, COLD, SBAC. See SBAC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SBAC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -72.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 260.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PLD, AMT, CCI, COLD, SBAC
In The Past
SBA Communications's stock fell -51.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -51.3% loss requires a 105.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SBAC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302024 | SBAC | SBA Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 04302024 | SBAC | SBA Communications | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SBA Communications
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Financials
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |