W.P. Carey (WPC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.88 | Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
W.P. Carey (WPC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.88Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 8.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 51% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 8.5% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 51% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WPC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I have retrieved information about W.P. Carey (WPC) for the specified period, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. It appears that the search results contain information related to Q3 2025 earnings (reported in late October 2025), stock forecasts for 2025, and some daily stock price movements for parts of November and December 2025.
Here are the key points for why WPC stock moved, specifically around the 0.6% change as observed in some of the daily movements:
1. W.P. Carey reported strong Q3 2025 financial results, with increased revenue and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share. The company's total revenues were $431.3 million, an 8.5% increase from the previous year, and diluted EPS was $0.64. AFFO per diluted share was $1.25, up 5.9% year-over-year. This positive financial performance likely contributed to investor confidence and upward pressure on the stock.
2. The company raised and narrowed its full-year 2025 AFFO guidance. W.P. Carey raised its full-year AFFO guidance to between $4.93 and $4.99 per diluted share, implying a 5.5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. This revised outlook, supported by higher anticipated investment volumes and lower expected rent losses, signaled continued positive momentum for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WPC Return | -6% | 23% | 0% | -10% | -11% | 27% | 18% |
| Peers Return | -27% | 17% | -22% | 15% | 9% | 13% | -5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WPC Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 57% | 43% | 52% | 53% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WPC Max Drawdown | -45% | -6% | -13% | -30% | -16% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -7% | -29% | -25% | -13% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, VNO, EPR, JBGS, ALX. See WPC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 858 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 751 days | 1480 days |
Compare to O, VNO, EPR, JBGS, ALX
In The Past
W.P. Carey's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/29/2022. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WPC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 03312020 | WPC | W.P. Carey | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 15.7% | 29.5% | -13.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 03312020 | WPC | W.P. Carey | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 15.7% | 29.5% | -13.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for W.P. Carey
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 55.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,171 |
| Op Inc LTM | 321 |
| FCF LTM | 845 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 632 |
| CFO LTM | 845 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 632 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 39.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 39.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 64.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 55.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 64.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 55.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 6.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 27.5 |
| P/CFO | 13.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |