Tearsheet

COPT Defense Properties (CDP)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.12 | Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs

COPT Defense Properties (CDP)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $29.12
Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Office REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 9.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  Key risks
CDP key risks include [1] an extreme revenue dependence on a highly concentrated base of U.S. Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Data Center REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 9.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Data Center REITs, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.2%
7 Key risks
CDP key risks include [1] an extreme revenue dependence on a highly concentrated base of U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CDP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. COPT Defense Properties (CDP) reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69 for Q3 2025, which exceeded the analysts' consensus estimate of $0.48 by 43.75%.

2. Management raised its full-year 2025 Funds From Operations (FFO) per share guidance. Following the strong Q3 performance, COPT Defense Properties increased the midpoint of its 2025 FFO per share guidance by $0.03 to $2.70, indicating an anticipated 5.1% year-over-year growth and exceeding its initial guidance by $0.04.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CDP Return-7%12%-3%4%26%-2%29%
Peers Return-2%22%-36%7%13%-17%-23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CDP Win Rate42%58%50%42%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%60%35%52%60%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CDP Max Drawdown-44%-5%-17%-16%-12%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-9%-42%-27%-12%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DEA, DLR, BXP, ARE, HIW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCDPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1643 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, BXP


In The Past

COPT Defense Properties's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2022. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Better Bets than COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CDP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.9%-0.9%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.9%-0.9%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for COPT Defense Properties

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CDPDEADLRBXPAREHIWMedian
NameCOPT Def.Easterly.Digital .BXP Alexandr.Highwood. 
Mkt Price29.1122.26150.2870.7046.9725.6438.04
Mkt Cap3.31.051.311.28.02.85.6
Rev LTM7503275,9143,4642,9808081,894
Op Inc LTM226858741,022569208398
FCF LTM3052422,4631,2211,376363792
FCF 3Y Avg2801722,0151,2481,546384816
CFO LTM3302422,4631,2211,376363792
CFO 3Y Avg3051722,0151,2481,546384816

Growth & Margins

CDPDEADLRBXPAREHIWMedian
NameCOPT Def.Easterly.Digital .BXP Alexandr.Highwood. 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%10.4%7.7%2.5%-1.6%-2.3%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.3%4.0%9.1%4.3%6.4%-0.5%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-0.2%15.2%10.2%1.4%-5.1%-1.2%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%3.6%2.5%0.4%-1.3%-0.3%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM30.2%26.0%14.8%29.5%19.1%25.7%25.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.4%24.7%13.8%30.6%23.1%26.2%25.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.5%0.2%-0.3%-2.3%0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM44.0%73.9%41.6%35.3%46.2%44.9%44.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.0%55.9%35.9%37.2%53.0%46.5%44.3%
FCF/Rev LTM40.7%73.9%41.6%35.3%46.2%44.9%43.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.5%55.9%35.9%37.2%53.0%46.5%42.5%

Valuation

CDPDEADLRBXPAREHIWMedian
NameCOPT Def.Easterly.Digital .BXP Alexandr.Highwood. 
Mkt Cap3.31.051.311.28.02.85.6
P/S4.43.210.03.44.84.34.3
P/EBIT13.511.831.523.0-682.412.312.9
P/E21.875.042.2-58.7-34.527.124.5
P/CFO9.94.324.09.610.39.59.8
Total Yield8.7%11.2%2.4%1.2%3.5%9.9%6.1%
Dividend Yield4.1%9.9%0.0%2.9%6.4%6.2%5.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.1%15.2%4.1%11.3%9.1%13.2%10.2%
D/E0.81.60.31.51.01.01.0
Net D/E0.81.60.31.40.91.01.0

Returns

CDPDEADLRBXPAREHIWMedian
NameCOPT Def.Easterly.Digital .BXP Alexandr.Highwood. 
1M Rtn0.7%3.1%-4.2%0.1%-10.2%-10.5%-2.1%
3M Rtn-3.8%-2.5%-12.9%-9.6%-44.4%-19.0%-11.2%
6M Rtn4.1%2.1%-13.4%0.9%-31.8%-15.6%-6.2%
12M Rtn-6.2%-17.1%-16.5%-7.6%-50.7%-12.4%-14.4%
3Y Rtn30.2%-18.9%64.1%25.5%-62.5%16.1%20.8%
1M Excs Rtn-0.3%2.1%-5.2%-0.9%-11.2%-11.5%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-6.4%-5.1%-14.5%-9.7%-47.0%-21.0%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-9.5%-11.6%-27.0%-12.7%-45.4%-29.2%-19.9%
12M Excs Rtn-19.3%-29.5%-29.1%-19.3%-63.7%-23.2%-26.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.6%-98.0%-15.4%-46.1%-136.4%-60.1%-53.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fort Meade/Baltimore/Washington (BW) Corridor290 262254253
Northern Virginia Defense/ information technology (NoVA Defense/IT)80 665856
Other7267743
Lackland Air Force Base67 585151
Construction contract and other service revenues6015510871114
Redstone Arsenal55 362317
Navy Support33 343333
Data Center Shells27 322927
Revenues from discontinued operations0-2-30-27 
Defense/IT Portfolio 518   
Wholesale Data Center 2302729
Regional Office  636160
Total685739664582641


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Fort Meade/Baltimore/Washington (BW) Corridor1,446 1,3321,2781,281
Redstone Arsenal555 300281139
Northern Virginia Defense/ information technology (NoVA Defense/IT)490 490393397
Data Center Shells430 350420279
Other assets365218209190191
Other313554444
Non-operating property assets258301449467622
Lackland Air Force Base189 198142147
Navy Support164 171179184
Operating properties lease liabilities included in segment assets3429293117
Investment in unconsolidated real estate joint ventures (UJV) deficit balance included in segment3    
Defense/IT Portfolio 3,155   
Wholesale Data Center 0193202203
Regional Office  537490392
Total4,2474,2574,2624,0773,854


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,204,074
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.4%
Average Daily Volume1,238,394
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.20
Basic Shares Quantity112,485,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20253.1%5.7%10.8%
7/28/2025-1.3%-0.3%2.2%
4/28/2025-4.2%-1.8%2.7%
2/6/2025-0.8%-6.3%-8.7%
10/28/2024-0.2%-0.3%0.4%
7/29/20242.9%-0.2%3.5%
4/25/20243.4%7.3%5.3%
2/8/20242.2%5.2%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121112
# Negative121312
Median Positive2.7%3.5%4.4%
Median Negative-1.7%-2.3%-4.0%
Max Positive3.4%9.2%21.3%
Max Negative-5.3%-6.3%-15.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021