Lamar Advertising (LAMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $132.1 | Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Other Specialized REITs
Lamar Advertising (LAMR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $132.1Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Other Specialized REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -17% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Out-of-Home Media Evolution. Themes include Digital Out-of-Home Advertising, and Programmatic OOH. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Out-of-Home Media Evolution. Themes include Digital Out-of-Home Advertising, and Programmatic OOH. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -17% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LAMR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual stock movement and the specific reasons for a 5.2% change during this future period cannot be provided. However, some search results provide analyst ratings and expected earnings for 2025. According to analysts as of December 1, 2025, Lamar Advertising (LAMR) has a "Hold" consensus rating, with a price prediction of $131.75 for 2025. Some individual analyst ratings from November 2025 and August 2025 indicate a target price range, with a high of $145.00 and a low of $119.00. Lamar Advertising reported its third quarter 2025 earnings before the market opened on November 6, 2025. The company reported EPS of $2.20 for the quarter, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $2.14. Revenue for the quarter was $585.54 million, also surpassing analysts' expectations of $584.00 million. Lamar also reported its second quarter 2025 operating results on August 8, 2025. For the second quarter of 2025, net revenues were $579.3 million, a 2.5% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Net income for the second quarter of 2025 increased by $17.4 million to $155.0 million. Diluted Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share increased by 5.0% to $3.81 for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LAMR Return | -3% | 51% | -18% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 92% |
| Peers Return | -21% | 69% | -40% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LAMR Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 77% | 32% | 47% | 53% | 34% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LAMR Max Drawdown | -63% | -5% | -29% | -13% | -5% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -8% | -43% | -19% | -12% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQR, MAA, UDR, OUT, CCO. See LAMR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LAMR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 696 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 197.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1192.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2864 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EQR, MAA, UDR, OUT, CCO
In The Past
Lamar Advertising's stock fell -32.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -32.6% loss requires a 48.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LAMR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | LAMR | Lamar Advertising | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312020 | LAMR | Lamar Advertising | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.0% | 88.3% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| 09302022 | LAMR | Lamar Advertising | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312020 | LAMR | Lamar Advertising | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.0% | 88.3% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lamar Advertising
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,006 |
| Op Inc LTM | 424 |
| FCF LTM | 657 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 619 |
| CFO LTM | 877 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 844 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 33.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| P/S | 6.4 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 26.6 |
| P/CFO | 14.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -38.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billboard | 1,878 | 1,814 | 1,614 | 1,403 | 1,538 |
| Other | 233 | ||||
| Logo advertising | 80 | 78 | 83 | 84 | |
| Transit advertising | 138 | 96 | 83 | 132 | |
| Total | 2,111 | 2,032 | 1,787 | 1,569 | 1,754 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billboard | 1,025 | ||||
| Other | 56 | ||||
| Gain on disposition of assets and investments | 5 | ||||
| Capitalized contract fulfillment costs, net | 0 | ||||
| Transaction expenses | 0 | ||||
| Stock-based compensation expense | -23 | ||||
| Corporate expenses | -95 | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | -293 | ||||
| Total | 675 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |