Postal Realty Trust (PSTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.43 | Market Cap: $380.0 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
Postal Realty Trust (PSTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.43Market Cap: $380.0 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PSTL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -1.5% stock movement of Postal Realty Trust (PSTL) from late August 2025 to early December 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: Postal Realty Trust announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, reporting a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13, which significantly missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.31 by $0.18. This substantial miss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and downward pressure on the stock.
2. Concerns Regarding Dividend Sustainability: The company's dividend payout ratio was reported at 202.08%, and based on future EPS estimates, it is projected to be 111.49% for the coming year. Such high payout ratios raise concerns about the long-term sustainability of the dividend, which could deter income-focused investors and lead to selling pressure on the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PSTL Return | 5% | 23% | -22% | 7% | -4% | 26% | 29% |
| Peers Return | -22% | 27% | -43% | -2% | -12% | -25% | -63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PSTL Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 55% | 35% | 47% | 50% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PSTL Max Drawdown | -28% | -7% | -26% | -6% | -7% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -6% | -48% | -42% | -31% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BXP, HIW, HPP, FSP, ARE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PSTL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 148 days |
Compare to BXP, HIW, HPP, FSP, ARE
In The Past
Postal Realty Trust's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Postal Realty Trust Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PSTL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Postal Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 797 |
| Op Inc LTM | 119 |
| FCF LTM | 202 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 267 |
| CFO LTM | 213 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 275 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 40.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 4.5 |
| P/E | -2.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -23.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -41.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |