St. Joe (JOE)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $68.43 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development

St. Joe (JOE)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $68.43
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Development

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%

Key risks
JOE key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in Northwest Florida, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
5 Key risks
JOE key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in Northwest Florida, Show more.

JOE in ETFs

Weight = JOE's share of each fund

IWM0.08%
IJR0.15%
VB0.03%
IJT0.30%
SLYG0.29%
NUSC0.19%
IWO0.16%
VNQ0.15%
+6 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/6/2026

St. Joe (JOE) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Record-Setting Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: The St. Joe Company reported exceptional performance for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with total revenue increasing by 23% year-over-year to $158.8 million, marking the highest second-quarter revenue in 20 years. Net income also surged by 37% to $40.5 million, or $0.71 per share, representing the highest second-quarter net income in the company's history. The stock experienced a 3.04% rise following this positive earnings announcement.

2. Significant Gross Margin Improvement Across Key Segments: The company demonstrated enhanced profitability during fiscal Q2 2026, with gross margins improving across all its primary operating segments. Residential gross margins increased to 48% from 45%, hospitality margins rose to 42% from 39%, and commercial margins expanded to 65% from 57%. This broad-based margin expansion underscored operational efficiency and contributed to the strong net income growth.

Show more
Updated on 8/6/2026

St. Joe (JOE) stock has gained about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Record-Setting Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: The St. Joe Company reported exceptional performance for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with total revenue increasing by 23% year-over-year to $158.8 million, marking the highest second-quarter revenue in 20 years. Net income also surged by 37% to $40.5 million, or $0.71 per share, representing the highest second-quarter net income in the company's history. The stock experienced a 3.04% rise following this positive earnings announcement.

2. Significant Gross Margin Improvement Across Key Segments: The company demonstrated enhanced profitability during fiscal Q2 2026, with gross margins improving across all its primary operating segments. Residential gross margins increased to 48% from 45%, hospitality margins rose to 42% from 39%, and commercial margins expanded to 65% from 57%. This broad-based margin expansion underscored operational efficiency and contributed to the strong net income growth.

3. Robust Capital Allocation Strategy Focused on Shareholder Returns: St. Joe actively returned capital to shareholders in fiscal Q2 2026 by repurchasing $32.7 million of its common stock, reducing outstanding shares to 56.9 million, the lowest count in nearly 30 years, a move anticipated to enhance future earnings per share. Additionally, the company distributed $9.1 million in cash dividends and reduced its debt by $10.9 million, collectively allocating 55% of its capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends during the quarter.

4. Continued Strong Demand in Northwest Florida and Strategic Development Initiatives: The company benefited from sustained strong demand for residential properties in Northwest Florida, driven by ongoing in-migration trends to the region. St. Joe is strategically capitalizing on this demand by initiating the development of two utility corridors to support future residential communities, ensuring a long runway for new home sites. Furthermore, its hospitality segment saw continued growth, with Watersound Club membership increasing to 3,723 members as of June 30, 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.2% change in JOE stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268112026Change
Stock Price ($)64.4168.406.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5185485.7%
Net Income Margin (%)21.6%22.5%3.8%
P/E Multiple33.031.8-3.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)57570.6%
Cumulative Contribution6.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE6.2% 
Market (SPY)7.2%15.3%
Sector (XLRE)-0.7%11.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.8% change in JOE stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268112026Change
Stock Price ($)65.8768.403.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)48954812.1%
Net Income Margin (%)21.4%22.5%4.9%
P/E Multiple36.431.8-12.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58571.2%
Cumulative Contribution3.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE3.8% 
Market (SPY)11.7%21.9%
Sector (XLRE)7.1%31.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.9% change in JOE stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258112026Change
Stock Price ($)49.9868.4036.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)42754828.4%
Net Income Margin (%)19.4%22.5%15.8%
P/E Multiple35.131.8-9.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58571.6%
Cumulative Contribution36.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE36.9% 
Market (SPY)22.9%21.1%
Sector (XLRE)9.2%37.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.0% change in JOE stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 71.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238112026Change
Stock Price ($)61.6068.4011.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)32054871.0%
Net Income Margin (%)26.7%22.5%-15.9%
P/E Multiple42.031.8-24.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58572.0%
Cumulative Contribution11.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE11.0% 
Market (SPY)74.3%42.6%
Sector (XLRE)26.8%53.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
JOE Return23%-25%57%-25%34%12%64%
Peers Return27%-17%28%-14%-5%3%14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JOE Win Rate75%50%50%17%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%42%49%43%43%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JOE Max Drawdown-26%-48%-28%-31%-17%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-37%-25%-28%-25%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HHH, FOR, TRC, WY, RYN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventJOES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-13.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven50 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-14.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-16.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven288 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven80 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven91 days105 days

Compare to HHH, FOR, TRC, WY, RYN

In The Past

St. Joe's stock fell -13.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventJOES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven288 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-27.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven80 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-21.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven91 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-33.4%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1462 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-20.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven136 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-39.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.4%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven3843 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-57.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven132.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven385 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-33.7%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.8%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven205 days47 days

Compare to HHH, FOR, TRC, WY, RYN

In The Past

St. Joe's stock fell -13.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About St. Joe (JOE)

The St. Joe Company (JOE) is a real estate development, asset management, and operating company with a primary focus on Northwest Florida. The company leverages its extensive landholdings, totaling 170,000 acres in the region, to develop and manage a diverse portfolio of real estate assets and businesses. Its strategy centers on capitalizing on the growth and demand within this specific geographic market.

JOE operates through three main segments. The Residential segment plans and develops communities, selling homesites and parcels of land to homebuilders and retail consumers. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a range of leisure assets, including private membership clubs, golf courses, beach clubs, hotels, and vacation rentals, catering to tourists and members. Lastly, the Commercial segment develops, leases, and manages commercial properties such as retail, office, multi-family, and senior living facilities, and also sells commercial land for various uses, alongside some timber operations.

In essence, St. Joe generates revenue by monetizing its significant land base through the entire real estate development lifecycle, from raw land sales to operating fully developed properties. Its primary customers include homebuilders, individual homebuyers, tourists and club members, businesses seeking commercial leases, and residents of multi-family and senior living communities, all within the Northwest Florida market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

It's like The Howard Hughes Corporation for Northwest Florida, developing entire communities and commercial hubs from its vast land ownership.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Residential Land Sales: Selling developed homesites and parcels of entitled or undeveloped land for residential community development.
  • Hospitality Operations: Providing services through hotels, private clubs, golf courses, beach clubs, vacation rentals, marinas, and food & beverage outlets.
  • Commercial Property Leasing: Leasing various commercial, multi-family, and senior living properties.
  • Commercial Land Sales: Selling entitled commercial land holdings for diverse uses such as retail, office, and industrial.
  • Forest Products Sales: Selling pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products from its land holdings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (symbol: JOE) serves a diverse customer base, encompassing both businesses and individuals across its three segments. However, a significant portion of its operations, particularly within its Hospitality and direct residential sales, caters directly to individual consumers. Given the detailed description of direct operations serving individuals, and the common practice in real estate development where specific B2B customer names are not typically disclosed in general company overviews, the company's major customers can be categorized as individuals.

The St. Joe Company primarily serves the following categories of individual customers:

  1. Leisure and Hospitality Guests: This category includes individuals who utilize St. Joe's extensive hospitality assets. This encompasses hotel guests, vacation renters, patrons of their food and beverage establishments, individuals using their golf courses, beach clubs, marinas, and other entertainment and retail outlets.
  2. Residential Purchasers and Tenants: This category includes individuals who directly purchase developed homesites or parcels of land for personal use from St. Joe. It also includes residents of the multi-family and senior living communities that St. Joe owns and operates or leases to individual tenants.
  3. Private Club Members: A distinct group of individuals who are members of St. Joe's private membership club, which offers exclusive access to various amenities and services.

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Jorge Gonzalez, President and Chief Executive Officer

Jorge Gonzalez joined The St. Joe Company in 2002 and has served as President and Chief Executive Officer since November 2015. He has over 26 years of continuous experience in various planning and real estate-related roles. Mr. Gonzalez holds undergraduate and graduate degrees from The Florida State University. He serves or has served on various community boards and organizations, including as Chairman of the Bay County Economic Development Alliance, the Gulf Coast Regional Medical Center Board of Directors, the Panama City Beach Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors, the Florida Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors, Enterprise Florida, The Florida State University's Board of Trustees, and the Board of Trustees of The St. Joe Community Foundation. Florida Trend has recognized him as one of Florida's Most Influential Business Leaders. He was responsible for developing the complex, 110,000-acre Bay-Walton sector plan.

Marek Bakun, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Marek Bakun is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The St. Joe Company. He brings over 20 years of financial experience, including serving as Chief Financial Officer for national and international homebuilding companies. His expertise encompasses financial reporting and compliance, cost and capital management, consolidations and acquisitions, value generation, and operational efficiency. Mr. Bakun earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration and Accounting from the University of Central Florida and is a Certified Public Accountant and a licensed general contractor and real estate broker. Prior to joining St. Joe in 2013, he served as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer for Orleans Homebuilders, Inc., and as CFO and Treasurer for Mattamy Homes Corporation. He also held the position of Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Morrison Homes, which merged with Taylor Woodrow in 2007.

Elizabeth J. Walters, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Elizabeth J. Walters serves as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of The St. Joe Company. Her previous roles include serving as Chair of The Florida Board of Bar Examiners, the Bay Economic Development Alliance, the Bay County Chamber of Commerce, and the Panama City Port Authority. Ms. Walters holds a BA and an MA from The University of West Florida and a JD with honors from The Florida State University College of Law.

Rhea Goff, Senior Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer

Rhea Goff is the Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer for The St. Joe Company. She joined the company in 2003 as a Human Resources Assistant and has progressively taken on broader responsibilities, now overseeing all human resources operations, Marketing, Information Technology, and various corporate administration, policies, and compliance matters. Ms. Goff earned her bachelor's degree from Florida State University in 2001. She is a trustee for the St. Joe Community Foundation and serves on the boards of Florida's Great Northwest, Florida's Great Northwest Foundation, Northwest Florida State College, the Florida Commission on Community Service, and the Walton County School District Business Advisory Board.

Patrick Murphy, Senior Vice President of Hospitality

Patrick Murphy holds the position of Senior Vice President of Hospitality for The St. Joe Company, where he oversees the management, operations, and property development activities for the St. Joe Hospitality division. He started his career with The St. Joe Company in 2006 as the General Manager of WaterColor Inn & Resort and has been in his current role since 2012, overseeing the expansion of the company's hospitality properties. Before joining St. Joe, Mr. Murphy held management positions at Nemacolin Woodlands Resort and the Sea Island Company. He earned his bachelor's degree from Armstrong Atlantic State University.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (JOE) faces several key risks inherent to its business model as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company concentrated in Northwest Florida.

Key Risks to The St. Joe Company (JOE)

  1. Concentration of Assets in Northwest Florida: The company's entire real estate portfolio and operations are located in Northwest Florida, making it highly susceptible to regional economic downturns, adverse local market conditions, and natural disasters common to the area, such as hurricanes. This geographic concentration limits diversification and amplifies exposure to specific regional challenges.
  2. Adverse Economic Conditions, Elevated Interest Rates, and Inflation: As a real estate-centric business, St. Joe is significantly impacted by macroeconomic factors. Uncertain economic conditions, including inflation, high interest rates, and fluctuating consumer confidence, can negatively affect real estate demand, property values, development costs, and consumer spending in its residential, hospitality, and commercial segments.
  3. Risks Associated with Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: St. Joe often engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize development and asset management opportunities. Potential disputes with partners, disagreements over project direction, or underperformance of joint venture projects could lead to increased expenses, litigation, and divert management's attention, adversely affecting the company's financial condition and results of operations.

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Accelerating climate change leading to increased frequency and intensity of severe weather events (e.g., hurricanes, tropical storms) and rising sea levels in Northwest Florida. This poses a clear emerging threat to The St. Joe Company's extensive land holdings, real estate developments (residential and commercial), and hospitality assets (especially gulf-front vacation rentals and coastal clubs) in the region. Such events could cause significant physical damage, increase insurance costs, deter future tourism and residential migration, and fundamentally impact the long-term desirability and value of their core assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (JOE) operates in Northwest Florida across three main segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The addressable markets for these segments are substantial within Florida and the broader U.S. Southeast region.

Residential Segment

The residential real estate market in Northwest Florida is experiencing high demand due to significant population and tourism growth. The median home value in Northwest Florida is approximately $200,000, with beachfront properties often exceeding $1 million. Across Florida, the median closed price for homes was $408,805 in Q3 2025, although price trends vary by metropolitan area. In February 2026, Florida's home prices increased by 0.4% year-over-year, with 205,309 homes available for sale.

Hospitality Segment

Northwest Florida has emerged as a key center for tourism and hospitality. The U.S. hospitality market is projected to reach $247.81 billion in 2026 and is expected to grow to $305.53 billion by 2031, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.28%. Florida's tourism industry is robust, with average daily rates (ADR) increasing by 3% and Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) also rising by 3% in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year. The Florida Panhandle hospitality market has over 1,000 rooms under construction, anticipated to open in 2024.

Commercial Segment

The Commercial segment encompasses leasing, multi-family, senior living, and timber/forest products.

  • Commercial Property (Retail, Office, Industrial): Commercial real estate in Northwest Florida is in high demand, supported by a diverse economy that includes tourism, healthcare, and military sectors. The global commercial real estate market is projected to grow by $427.3 billion, with a CAGR of 4.6% from 2024 to 2029.
  • Multi-family: Demand for quality rental housing in Northwest Florida is notably strong. The Florida Panhandle multifamily market is forecasted to have an average effective rent of $1,555 and an average occupancy of 91.4% in Q4 2025. Net absorption in the Panhandle region reached nearly 3,000 units in 2024. Nationally, multifamily housing starts are expected to decline by 11% in 2025 to 317,000 units, then increase by 6% in 2026 to 336,000 units.
  • Senior Living: There is significant demand for rental housing catering to individuals aged 55 and older in Northwest Florida. The U.S. senior living market was valued at $943.90 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $1.33 trillion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.47% from 2026 to 2033. The Southeast U.S. accounted for the largest share of this market, at 28.35% in 2025. National senior housing occupancy reached 88.7% in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Timber and Forest Products: Florida's timberland covered 14.83 million acres in 2023, contributing $631 million in direct economic sales revenues in 2022. The U.S. timber market was valued at $4.10 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $8.22 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 8.04%. The Sawmills & Wood Production industry in Florida is expected to grow over the coming years, with revenue projections for 2025 and 2030 (specific figures are proprietary).

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (NYSE: JOE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives across its Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial segments in Northwest Florida.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Continued Residential Real Estate Development and Homesite Sales: St. Joe plans to sustain cash flow from lot sales by continuing homesite releases within its master-planned communities, such as Watersound Origins, Breakfast Point, and WindMark Beach. The company also has a significant pipeline of over 24,000 entitled residential units in various stages of development, with plans to break ground on additional Detailed Specific Area Plans (DSAPs) in 2026 to meet homebuilder demand. Growth is also expected from joint ventures like Latitude Margaritaville Watersound, which continues to expand and contribute to home sales.
  2. Expansion of Hospitality Assets and Watersound Club Membership: The Hospitality segment is a significant driver of recurring revenue. St. Joe has been actively opening new hotels and growing its private Watersound Club membership program. The company expects to see continued revenue growth from incremental hotel key additions and vacation rental inventory, with renovations scheduled through 2026. Management anticipates capturing peak and shoulder-season demand through these expansions.
  3. Growth in Commercial Leasing and New Commercial/Multi-Family Development: St. Joe aims to expand its commercial leasing portfolio by developing and leasing commercial properties, including grocery-anchored town centers, medical offices, and industrial/logistics spaces, particularly near VentureCrossings by ECP. The company is also focused on increasing multi-tenant occupancy within 12-24 months of delivery and plans new commercial buildings and apartment complexes, including a new apartment complex near the FSU Health Campus.
  4. Strategic Land Monetization and Focus on Recurring Revenue Streams: The company's long-term strategy involves converting its extensive land bank into higher-margin residential, hospitality, and commercial projects. St. Joe is actively prioritizing assets that generate recurring, stable income, with recurring revenue (leasing and hospitality) constituting a significant portion of its total revenue. The company will continue to evaluate non-strategic timberlands for monetization and reinvestment.

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Share Repurchases

  • The St. Joe Company repurchased $40.0 million of its common stock in 2025, accelerating stock repurchases with 798,622 shares bought back.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company made $15.1 million in stock repurchases, marking the highest quarterly amount for the year.
  • Since 2015, the company has utilized $653.6 million to repurchase 34.9 million shares, equating to 37.8% of the original shares, reducing the outstanding share balance below 58 million.

Share Issuance

  • In March 2026, the President, CEO, and Chairman, Jorge Luis Gonzalez, was granted 11,126 shares of restricted stock under The St. Joe Company 2025 Performance and Equity Incentive Plan, which will vest in three equal annual installments.

Inbound Investments

  • The St. Joe Company announced a new builder relationship with PulteGroup in early 2026, signing a contract for up to 2,653 homesites across two planned gated communities, enhancing its residential development pipeline.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2025, the company funded $108.1 million in capital expenditures, with a primary focus on growth initiatives.
  • Capital expenditures constituted 47% of the company's overall capital allocation strategy in 2025.
  • Planned capital expenditure for 2026 includes breaking ground on two new Specific Area Plans (DSAPs), along with new commercial buildings totaling approximately 54,000 square feet, an apartment complex, and new ground leases.

Better Bets vs. St. Joe (JOE)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Price68.4067.0329.0816.5525.0221.4527.05
Mkt Cap3.94.01.50.418.06.53.9
Rev LTM5482,3731,725576,8529681,347
Op Inc LTM165478214-1418134189
FCF LTM191779283-30-447250221
FCF 3Y Avg96371-35-44148210122
CFO LTM21778728412547313299
CFO 3Y Avg145376-3413944278212

Growth & Margins

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Rev Chg LTM28.4%34.0%11.8%25.4%-2.6%0.4%18.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.8%27.8%11.0%-0.4%-4.9%10.5%10.8%
Rev Chg Q23.0%330.2%4.2%71.7%-0.9%272.1%47.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%57.0%1.0%11.7%-0.2%42.7%8.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM64.0%-11.7%5.7%94.8%-33.3%-63.6%-3.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg31.6%28.3%6.5%-36.6%-30.5%36.9%17.4%
Op Mgn LTM30.2%20.1%12.4%-0.9%6.1%13.9%13.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.3%25.1%13.6%-15.9%9.5%26.2%19.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%-0.9%0.1%8.8%-0.2%-3.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM39.6%33.2%16.5%21.9%8.0%32.3%27.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.1%14.5%-2.8%27.0%13.1%34.4%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM34.9%32.8%16.4%-53.4%-6.5%25.8%21.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.3%14.2%-2.9%-94.6%1.9%25.6%8.0%

Valuation

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Cap3.94.01.50.418.06.53.9
P/S7.11.70.97.92.66.74.6
P/Op Inc23.78.37.0-867.843.248.016.0
P/EBIT20.17.17.0-867.827.676.013.6
P/E31.813.58.774.038.285.135.0
P/CFO18.05.05.235.833.020.619.3
Total Yield4.1%7.4%11.5%1.4%6.0%5.8%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%4.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%8.7%-6.2%-9.3%0.6%4.6%1.8%
D/E0.11.40.50.20.30.30.3
Net D/E0.10.70.30.20.30.20.2

Returns

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
1M Rtn12.6%-7.0%-4.7%-9.6%6.7%0.8%-1.9%
3M Rtn6.8%4.3%9.7%-15.3%7.6%6.7%6.8%
6M Rtn-2.5%-21.0%-1.4%-1.0%-5.5%-1.9%-2.2%
12M Rtn37.5%-4.6%13.5%-5.5%2.5%-8.8%-1.1%
3Y Rtn11.6%-10.0%-5.1%-5.4%-17.0%-17.6%-7.7%
1M Excs Rtn9.9%-9.3%-6.3%-13.2%4.0%-2.8%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%0.0%3.2%-19.3%3.5%2.6%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-10.9%-31.4%-10.4%-11.1%-15.5%-12.8%-12.0%
12M Excs Rtn16.2%-26.7%-9.1%-23.8%-19.3%-30.3%-21.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-55.8%-82.6%-78.6%-79.8%-89.2%-91.6%-81.2%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Hospitality2212031559775
Residential16511715693145
Commercial11979745946
Other84432
Total513403389252267


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20052003200220001999
Towns & Resorts development137    
Land Sales69786894 
Commercial real estate development and services23-420  
Forestry58121712
Other and Corporate-60    
Community Residential Development 818247 
Transportation  -11831
Commercial real estate   1830
Other   -17 
Residential real estate service   2014
Residential real estate    40
Total173164181197128


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial505516512471375
Hospitality451461466420257
Other324321312309381
Residential239241234231195
Total1,5181,5391,5241,4311,208


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$68.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.9 
First Trading Date03/10/1992 
Distance from 52W High-5.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$63.42$63.66
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA7.9%7.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.4%31.0%
Downside Capture10.7524.86
Upside Capture37.1955.48
Correlation (SPY)22.3%21.7%
JOE Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.610.170.250.440.500.80
Up Beta1.04-0.220.500.420.720.81
Down Beta0.190.200.370.720.480.65
Up Capture55%21%4%22%40%53%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days8172560118349
Down Capture67%35%25%53%42%99%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14263866133400

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE37.3%30.9%1.04-
Sector ETF (XLRE)9.6%14.1%0.4237.1%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.8%1.2821.1%
Gold (GLD)28.2%28.4%0.8612.2%
Commodities (DBC)37.4%20.1%1.47-11.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.8%0.6140.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.9%-1.286.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE10.0%32.2%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLRE)2.1%19.1%0.0154.5%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.6052.6%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.6%0.8210.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.6%0.3614.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.0058.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%52.8%0.3924.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE14.5%32.4%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLRE)5.9%20.4%0.2450.5%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7353.0%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.616.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.0%0.3518.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1853.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.4%66.1%0.9918.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520267.5%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity57.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/20261.9%4.9% 
4/29/2026-6.5%-4.8%-7.8%
2/25/20261.2%4.3%-12.3%
10/29/202511.9%21.3%24.9%
7/23/20253.6%2.7%-1.9%
4/23/20250.8%1.3%3.6%
2/26/20252.8%1.2%1.4%
10/23/2024-6.1%-8.3%-11.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171312
# Negative71111
Median Positive2.7%2.7%8.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-3.5%-7.8%
Max Positive18.1%24.0%33.5%
Max Negative-6.5%-8.3%-15.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/20261.9%4.9% 
4/29/2026-6.5%-4.8%-7.8%
2/25/20261.2%4.3%-12.3%
10/29/202511.9%21.3%24.9%
7/23/20253.6%2.7%-1.9%
4/23/20250.8%1.3%3.6%
2/26/20252.8%1.2%1.4%
10/23/2024-6.1%-8.3%-11.8%
7/24/20244.1%1.0%-3.6%
4/24/20241.7%0.2%-2.1%
2/21/20241.5%-3.5%3.8%
10/25/2023-3.2%-2.7%10.0%
7/26/202318.1%13.6%9.7%
4/26/20230.7%2.2%14.4%
2/22/2023-2.0%-5.7%-12.0%
10/26/2022-0.8%-1.8%3.6%
7/27/2022-2.9%-6.8%-5.4%
4/27/20225.1%-1.6%-8.0%
2/23/202210.1%24.0%29.3%
10/27/20212.0%0.6%6.3%
7/28/20212.3%-1.6%-2.5%
4/28/2021-1.3%-2.5%1.7%
2/24/20212.7%-3.7%-15.6%
10/28/202011.6%9.6%33.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171312
# Negative71111
Median Positive2.7%2.7%8.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-3.5%-7.8%
Max Positive18.1%24.0%33.5%
Max Negative-6.5%-8.3%-15.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/23/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/23/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/23/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/23/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202110/27/202110-Q
06/30/202107/28/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/30/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Expected Revenue from Residential Homesites 109.20 Mil    
2026 Expected Sales Value from Joint Venture Homes 115.10 Mil    

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Dividend 0.16    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/16/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.0326,7001,736,301989,367,981Form
2Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.5994,2006,178,578999,639,087Form
3Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.2563,8004,162,9501,000,603,791Form
4Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell611202665.1329,2001,901,7961,002,918,894Form
5Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell611202665.1030,5001,985,5501,004,357,852Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.0326,7001,736,301989,367,981Form
2Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.5994,2006,178,578999,639,087Form
3Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell616202665.2563,8004,162,9501,000,603,791Form
4Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell611202665.1329,2001,901,7961,002,918,894Form
5Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell611202665.1030,5001,985,5501,004,357,852Form
6Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell608202665.1229,0001,888,4801,006,652,571Form
7Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell608202665.1833,6002,190,0481,009,470,296Form
8Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell608202665.0959,1003,846,8191,010,263,452Form
9Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell512202665.4929,2001,912,3081,020,342,321Form
10Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell512202666.0986,5005,716,7851,031,620,223Form
11Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell507202665.3325,0001,633,2501,025,408,182Form
12Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell507202665.78163,60010,761,6081,034,115,803Form
13Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell507202665.78189,20012,445,5761,044,877,411Form
14Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell319202672.2221,1001,523,8421,160,837,125Form
15Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell306202673.501,400102,9001,182,962,214Form
16Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell303202673.148,800643,6321,177,270,509Form
17Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell303202672.6411,200813,5681,169,861,679Form
18Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell303202671.8519,0001,365,1501,157,943,509Form
19Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell220202671.511,00071,5101,153,822,717Form
20Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell220202671.013,900276,9391,145,826,165Form
21Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell220202671.2711,100791,0971,150,299,510Form
22Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell120202665.5013,900910,4501,057,898,622Form
23Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell120202665.5187,7005,745,2271,058,970,722Form
24Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.006,100378,2001,007,668,888Form
25Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.186,800422,8241,010,973,676Form
26Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.3759,0003,679,8301,014,486,969Form
27Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell909202551.08104,1005,317,428833,861,794Form
28Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell902202551.0025,3001,290,300837,864,924Form
29Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell826202550.4681,0004,087,260830,270,051Form
30Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell819202550.1729,0001,454,930829,562,154Form
31Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell819202550.3126,0001,308,060833,336,047Form
32Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell814202550.7244,0002,231,680841,446,017Form
33Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell814202551.44167,5008,616,200855,654,195Form
34Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell814202550.57139,1007,034,287849,653,069Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fairholme Capital Management LLC$1.2 Bil79.7%10Hold13F
Praetorian PR LLC$42.4 Mil15.4%12Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fairholme Capital Management LLC$1.2 Bil79.7%10Hold13F
Praetorian PR LLC$42.4 Mil15.4%12Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/11/2026