Tearsheet

St. Joe (JOE)


Market Price (2/27/2026): $69.76 | Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development

St. Joe (JOE)


Market Price (2/27/2026): $69.76
Market Cap: $4.0 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Development

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
Key risks
JOE key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in Northwest Florida, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Certification, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x
7 Key risks
JOE key risks include [1] its heavy geographic concentration in Northwest Florida, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

St. Joe (JOE) stock has gained about 25% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Performance.

The St. Joe Company reported significant growth in its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results. For Q4 2025, net income attributable to the company increased by 58% year-over-year to $29.9 million, or $0.52 per share, while total revenue rose by 24% to $128.9 million. Real estate revenue notably surged by 47% to $68.2 million, and hospitality revenue reached a fourth-quarter record of $46.5 million. For the full year 2025, net income climbed 56% to $115.6 million, and total revenue grew 27% to $513.2 million. The residential real estate division saw a 41% revenue increase, and the average sales price per homesite rose from $108,000 in 2024 to $137,000 in 2025, with gross margins improving from 47% to 51%.

2. Continued Strategic Real Estate Development in Northwest Florida.

St. Joe is actively developing its extensive land holdings in Northwest Florida, transitioning into an integrated real estate and hospitality operator. Recent announcements within the period include breaking ground on a Watersound Real Estate Sales Center in February 2026 and the commencement of development for a Publix Super Market at Watersound West Bay Center in December 2025. This strategic focus aims to create value across residential, hospitality, and commercial segments, supported by improving air connectivity to the region.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.1% change in JOE stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252262026Change
Stock Price ($)56.6369.7323.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4894890.0%
Net Income Margin (%)21.4%21.4%0.0%
P/E Multiple31.338.623.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58580.0%
Cumulative Contribution23.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE23.1% 
Market (SPY)1.1%29.5%
Sector (XLRE)6.7%45.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.8% change in JOE stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120252262026Change
Stock Price ($)50.2269.7338.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)42748914.5%
Net Income Margin (%)19.4%21.4%10.4%
P/E Multiple35.238.69.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58580.4%
Cumulative Contribution38.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE38.8% 
Market (SPY)9.4%19.6%
Sector (XLRE)6.2%48.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 46.7% change in JOE stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252262026Change
Stock Price ($)47.5569.7346.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)38548926.9%
Net Income Margin (%)17.8%21.4%20.4%
P/E Multiple40.538.6-4.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58580.8%
Cumulative Contribution46.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE46.7% 
Market (SPY)15.5%42.5%
Sector (XLRE)7.8%55.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 52.6% change in JOE stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120232262026Change
Stock Price ($)45.7169.7352.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29048968.4%
Net Income Margin (%)25.8%21.4%-16.9%
P/E Multiple36.038.67.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)59581.7%
Cumulative Contribution52.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
JOE52.6% 
Market (SPY)75.9%43.3%
Sector (XLRE)17.9%51.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
JOE Return23%-25%57%-25%34%16%70%
Peers Return27%-17%28%-14%-5%4%16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JOE Win Rate75%50%50%17%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate65%42%49%43%43%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JOE Max Drawdown-3%-39%0%-27%-9%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-33%-14%-21%-18%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HHH, FOR, TRC, WY, RYN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJOES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven304 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven160 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven344 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,242 days1,480 days

Compare to HHH, FOR, TRC, WY, RYN

In The Past

St. Joe's stock fell -48.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -48.7% loss requires a 94.8% gain to breakeven.

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About St. Joe (JOE)

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in Northwest Florida. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment plans and develops residential communities of various sizes for homebuilders or retail consumers. It primarily sells developed homesites and parcels of entitled or undeveloped land. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment also plans, develops, entitles, manages, and sells commercial land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products. The company owns 170,000 acres of land in Northwest Florida. The St. Joe Company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

St. Joe is like The Howard Hughes Corporation, but focused on developing large master-planned communities and resorts in Northwest Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Residential Real Estate Development: Develops and sells homes, homesites, and master-planned residential communities, primarily in Northwest Florida.
  • Commercial Real Estate Development: Develops, leases, and manages various commercial properties, including retail, office, and healthcare facilities.
  • Hospitality Operations: Owns and operates a portfolio of hotels, resorts, golf courses, and private clubs.
  • Timber Operations: Manages and harvests timberland for lumber and other forest products.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (symbol: JOE) serves a diverse customer base, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from sales and services to individuals, particularly within its hospitality and residential segments. Considering the company's largest revenue segment is hospitality, and a substantial portion of residential sales are direct to consumers, St. Joe primarily serves individuals across various categories.

Here are up to three categories of individual customers that St. Joe primarily serves:

  1. Individual Homebuyers and Homeowners: These customers purchase homes, townhomes, or undeveloped residential lots directly from St. Joe within its master-planned communities across Northwest Florida. They represent individuals, couples, and families seeking primary residences, vacation homes, or retirement properties in St. Joe's various developments, such as Latitude Margaritaville Watersound and Watersound Origins. These sales often constitute significant, one-time transactions for the individual.

  2. Leisure and Business Travelers/Hotel Guests: St. Joe operates a portfolio of hotels, resorts, and vacation rentals. Customers in this category are individuals, couples, and families who book stays at St. Joe's owned and managed hospitality properties. This includes guests at luxury hotels (e.g., The Pearl Hotel, WaterColor Inn), branded hotels (e.g., Hilton, Marriott properties within their portfolio), and other lodging options. This category also encompasses individuals utilizing their entertainment venues, golf courses, and restaurants for leisure or business travel.

  3. Club Members and Amenity Users: This category includes individuals who join St. Joe's private membership clubs (e.g., The Clubs by JOE), gaining access to a range of exclusive amenities such as golf courses, beach clubs, health and fitness facilities, and social events. It also encompasses residents within their communities who pay fees for specific community amenities and services, enhancing their lifestyle within St. Joe's developments.

While St. Joe also engages in business-to-business (B2B) transactions, such as selling land parcels to other homebuilders, leasing commercial space to various businesses, and selling timber to mills, the direct service and sales to individuals form a substantial and primary component of their overall customer base, particularly considering their largest revenue segment is hospitality.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Jorge Gonzalez - President and Chief Executive Officer

Jorge Gonzalez joined The St. Joe Company in 2002 and has served as its President and Chief Executive Officer since November 2015. He has three decades of continuous experience in various planning and real estate-related roles. Mr. Gonzalez holds undergraduate and graduate degrees from Florida State University and has served on various community boards and organizations.

Marek Bakun - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Marek Bakun is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The St. Joe Company, with more than 20 years of financial experience. His background includes serving as Chief Financial Officer for national and international homebuilding companies. Prior to joining St. Joe, Mr. Bakun served as CFO and Treasurer for Orleans Homebuilders, Inc., and as CFO and Treasurer for Mattamy Homes Corporation. He also held the position of Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Morrison Homes, and managed the financial integration when the company merged with Taylor Woodrow in 2007. Mr. Bakun is a Certified Public Accountant and a licensed general contractor and real estate broker.

Elizabeth J. Walters - Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Elizabeth J. Walters joined The St. Joe Company after more than 20 years as a partner at Burke Blue Hutchison Walters & Smith, P.A., a full-service legal firm. She represented clients in commercial, resort, and residential real estate law, including property acquisition, entitlement processes, financing, construction, and sales, as well as land use law, governmental relations, banking, business, and commercial matters.

K. Rhea Goff - Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer

K. Rhea Goff began her tenure with The St. Joe Company in 2003 as a Human Resources Assistant and has progressed to Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. She oversees human resources operations, marketing, information technology, and various corporate administration, policies, and compliance matters. Ms. Goff earned her bachelor's degree from Florida State University.

Patrick Murphy - Senior Vice President of Hospitality

Patrick Murphy is the Senior Vice President of Hospitality for The St. Joe Company, overseeing the management, operations, and property development activities for its hospitality division. He joined the company in 2006 as the General Manager of WaterColor Inn & Resort and has been in his current role since 2012, leading the expansion of the company's hospitality properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (JOE) faces several key risks due to its business model and geographic concentration.

  1. Market Concentration Risks: The company's business operations and real estate assets are heavily concentrated in Northwest Florida. This geographic concentration exposes St. Joe to disproportionate impacts from local economic downturns, shifts in regional consumer preferences, and severe weather events such as hurricanes, which could significantly disrupt development efforts and business performance.
  2. Economic Volatility and Macroeconomic Factors: St. Joe is susceptible to broader economic fluctuations, including inflation, elevated interest rates, and supply chain disruptions. These factors can adversely affect the real estate market by reducing consumer demand for its products and services, increasing construction and operating costs, and impacting the cost of financing its projects.
  3. Strategic and Competitive Risks: Operating in a highly competitive real estate development and asset management industry, St. Joe faces challenges in successfully executing its business strategy, which encompasses residential real estate development, hospitality asset expansion, and commercial property management. Competition from various real estate companies can hinder its ability to attract tenants, lease properties, and sell real estate. Additionally, the company's reliance on joint ventures introduces risks related to the actions and financial stability of its partners.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Accelerating impacts of climate change, specifically rising sea levels, increased frequency and intensity of hurricanes, and related environmental changes. These pose a direct threat to the long-term viability and insurability of coastal and low-lying developments, potentially decreasing property values, increasing development costs, and deterring future investment in their core operating region of Northwest Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (JOE) primarily focuses on real estate development, asset management, and hospitality operations within Northwest Florida, along with some forestry operations. Here are the addressable market sizes for their main products and services:
  • Residential Real Estate Development: The land development industry in Florida is projected to have a market size of $1.5 billion in 2025. The median single-family home price in Florida was $410,000 at the end of September 2025. (Region: Florida, U.S.)
  • Commercial Real Estate Development and Leasing: Commercial land sales volume in Florida was $4 billion over the 12 months leading up to March 2024, with an average sale price of $2.5 million. Florida's commercial real estate market is experiencing rapid growth and is expected to see continued growth in 2025. (Region: Florida, U.S.)
  • Hospitality Operations: The global resort market size was estimated at $347.1 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $945.4 billion by 2030, with the U.S. market expected to grow at a significant compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.5% from 2024 to 2030. Florida's hospitality and tourism industries are projected for continued growth. In 2024, Orlando alone welcomed over 75 million visitors. (Region: Global, U.S., Florida)
  • Forestry Operations: Annual timber revenue in Florida exceeds $16 billion. Florida has 10.7 million privately owned timberland acres. (Region: Florida, U.S.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

The St. Joe Company (NYSE: JOE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a multifaceted strategy primarily focused on its real estate development, hospitality, and commercial leasing segments. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
  • Residential Real Estate Development and Sales: The company plans to continue expanding its master-planned residential communities, leveraging a substantial pipeline of over 24,000 entitled homesites in various stages of development. Growth in this segment is anticipated from both an increase in the number of homesite closings and higher average homesite base prices, reflecting a focus on higher-end communities and strong demand in the Northwest Florida market. For example, residential real estate revenue grew by 94% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with the average homesite base price increasing to $150,000 from $86,000. The Latitude Margaritaville Watersound community is a flagship project fueling this growth, with 1,992 occupied homes as of Q2 2025 and 216 homes under contract.
  • Expansion of Hospitality Offerings: St. Joe anticipates continued growth in its hospitality segment, which includes its private membership club and hotel operations. The company has seen consistent increases in hospitality revenue, with a 9% rise in Q3 2025 compared to the prior year. Club revenue specifically increased by 14% in Q3 2025, and hotels' revenue grew by 6% in the same period. This growth is supported by an increasing number of club members, reaching 3,578 as of September 30, 2025.
  • Growth in Commercial Leasing: The St. Joe Company is focused on expanding its commercial leasing portfolio, particularly in its town centers. This segment has consistently generated record-high revenues, with a 7% increase in leasing revenue in Q3 2025 to an all-time quarterly record of $16.7 million. The company executed 83 commercial lease transactions in the first nine months of 2025, demonstrating active expansion in this area.
  • Strategic Infrastructure and Regional Development: Broader regional development and infrastructure improvements in Northwest Florida are expected to serve as catalysts for St. Joe's various segments. This includes the development of the FSU Health academic medical campus, which is positioned as a driver for economic growth and institutional demand. Additionally, new nonstop flight services, such as those between Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport and New York City's LaGuardia Airport, are anticipated to expand marketing efforts and promote the Watersound lifestyle, attracting more residents and visitors to the area.

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Share Repurchases

  • The St. Joe Company repurchased $8.8 million of common stock in 2020.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased $3.4 million of common stock and increased its stock repurchase authority to $100 million.
  • For the first nine months of 2025, St. Joe repurchased $24.9 million in common stock.

Outbound Investments

  • As of year-end 2023, St. Joe had $66.4 million invested in its unconsolidated joint ventures, which contributed $22.7 million in pre-tax income for the company.
  • St. Joe invests in unconsolidated joint ventures, such as the Latitude Margaritaville Watersound joint venture, which had 216 homes under contract in Q2 2025, expected to result in sales value of approximately $129.4 million upon completion.
  • In 2023, the company invested $74.4 million in the residential segment to meet homebuilders' demand for homesites.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2023, capital expenditures totaled $217.8 million, with $209.8 million directed towards new operating assets or residential development and $8.0 million for sustaining capital on existing operating properties.
  • For the full year 2024, the company funded $129.4 million in capital expenditures, with 52.6% allocated to developing residential land and the remainder split evenly between hospitality and commercial uses.
  • The St. Joe Company's capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 amounted to $89.6 million, focusing on development across residential, hospitality, and commercial segments in Northwest Florida.

Better Bets vs. St. Joe (JOE)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to JOE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LINE_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025LINELineageInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-7.3%
OHI_11302025_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K11302025OHIOmega Healthcare InvestorsInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
5.0%5.0%-6.0%
ADC_10312025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V210312025ADCAgree RealtyInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%-2.8%
RHP_8312025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V208312025RHPRyman Hospitality PropertiesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%-11.9%
JOE_9302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302023JOESt. JoeQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
7.2%9.7%-15.0%
JOE_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022JOESt. JoeQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-31.7%-22.0%-40.9%
JOE_3312021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03312021JOESt. JoeQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.6%39.0%-4.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Price69.7372.5728.7917.7924.5221.5226.66
Mkt Cap4.04.31.50.517.73.33.7
Rev LTM4891,8341,685466,9051,2931,489
Op Inc LTM132521209-8448428319
FCF LTM14843794-70-381199121
FCF 3Y Avg22113-35-422383629
CFO LTM176439959562293234
CFO 3Y Avg125117-33101,001275121

Growth & Margins

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Rev Chg LTM26.9%69.8%15.9%15.7%-3.1%60.6%21.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.4%9.7%8.7%-11.8%-11.6%15.7%9.2%
Rev Chg Q62.7%19.3%9.0%10.3%-9.8%43.1%14.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.5%3.6%1.4%2.5%-2.4%4.3%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM27.1%28.4%12.4%-17.5%6.5%33.2%19.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.2%28.9%14.0%-18.3%10.5%23.3%18.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.5%-2.1%-0.2%4.3%-1.9%0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM36.0%23.9%5.7%19.7%8.1%22.6%21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.9%4.7%-2.9%22.0%13.7%29.2%17.9%
FCF/Rev LTM30.3%23.8%5.6%-150.0%-5.5%15.4%10.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.6%4.4%-3.0%-96.7%3.0%1.8%2.2%

Valuation

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
Mkt Cap4.04.31.50.517.73.33.7
P/S8.32.30.910.32.62.62.6
P/EBIT23.47.77.0-58.933.27.57.6
P/E38.615.68.8160.754.64.327.1
P/CFO22.99.715.452.231.511.319.2
Total Yield3.4%6.4%11.4%0.6%5.3%30.5%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%7.2%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.7%2.4%-3.8%-9.9%0.8%1.7%0.8%
D/E0.11.20.60.20.30.30.3
Net D/E0.10.90.40.10.30.00.2

Returns

JOEHHHFORTRCWYRYNMedian
NameSt. Joe Howard H.Forestar Tejon Ra.Weyerhae.Rayonier  
1M Rtn7.8%-10.1%15.0%9.4%-6.5%-6.8%0.6%
3M Rtn14.8%-19.1%11.6%9.5%11.2%-0.6%10.3%
6M Rtn38.0%-3.9%4.2%1.8%-3.8%-11.0%-1.0%
12M Rtn51.9%-2.1%25.7%14.6%-15.1%-8.8%6.3%
3Y Rtn68.1%-2.6%102.9%-7.8%-13.5%-22.4%-5.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.8%-9.1%16.0%10.4%-5.5%-5.8%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn17.3%-17.6%15.3%10.1%12.0%-1.8%11.0%
6M Excs Rtn30.8%-10.0%-3.3%-4.6%-11.5%-18.6%-7.3%
12M Excs Rtn36.5%-19.8%5.2%-1.6%-32.1%-25.3%-10.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.6%-75.4%31.8%-78.8%-85.9%-95.1%-77.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commercial512471375333254
Hospitality46642025714790
Other312309381385426
Residential234231195173139
Total1,5241,4311,2081,037909


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$69.73 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.0 
First Trading Date03/10/1992 
Distance from 52W High-2.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$65.01$54.35
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.3%28.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.6%30.7%
Downside Capture-5.1256.69
Upside Capture81.1989.54
Correlation (SPY)18.4%42.3%
JOE Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.170.670.820.570.690.86
Up Beta0.830.580.841.590.710.87
Down Beta1.530.950.790.100.570.71
Up Capture202%90%133%79%82%76%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days11192858122352
Down Capture-21%9%44%11%74%99%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9223366127393

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE52.8%30.6%1.39-
Sector ETF (XLRE)4.2%16.6%0.0756.0%
Equity (SPY)17.1%19.4%0.6942.0%
Gold (GLD)79.3%25.7%2.25-2.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%16.8%0.4514.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.6%16.6%0.2160.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.4%45.1%-0.4618.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE6.7%32.9%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.0%19.1%0.2254.3%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.0%0.6354.3%
Gold (GLD)23.6%17.2%1.1210.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.0%0.4519.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1958.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%57.0%0.2924.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with JOE
JOE17.2%32.3%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLRE)7.8%20.4%0.3451.1%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7454.1%
Gold (GLD)15.1%15.6%0.815.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4021.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.6%20.7%0.2854.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.3%66.8%1.0617.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1312026-1.6%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity57.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202511.9%21.3%24.9%
7/23/20253.6%2.7%-1.9%
2/26/20252.8%1.2%1.4%
10/23/2024-6.1%-8.3%-11.8%
7/24/20244.1%1.0%-3.6%
4/24/20241.7%0.2%-2.1%
2/1/2024-0.6%-3.3%-5.9%
10/25/2023-3.2%-2.7%10.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12119
# Negative7810
Median Positive3.2%2.7%10.0%
Median Negative-2.0%-3.5%-5.6%
Max Positive18.1%24.0%33.5%
Max Negative-6.1%-8.3%-15.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/23/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/23/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.3759,0003,679,8301,014,486,969Form
2Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.186,800422,8241,010,973,676Form
3Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell1217202562.006,100378,2001,007,668,888Form
4Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell909202551.08104,1005,317,428833,861,794Form
5Berkowitz, Bruce RDirectSell902202551.0025,3001,290,300837,864,924Form