Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $483.0 | Market Cap: $788.3 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $483.0
Market Cap: $788.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.4 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.2 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 103x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 78x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 123x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 116%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%

Key risks
AMD key risks include [1] fierce competition from NVIDIA, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.4 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.2 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 103x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 78x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 123x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 116%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%
8 Key risks
AMD key risks include [1] fierce competition from NVIDIA, Show more.

AMD in ETFs

Weight = AMD's share of each fund

SPY1.2%
VOO1.5%
IVV1.2%
VTI1.4%
ITOT1.1%
QQQ3.6%
QQQM3.5%
IWB1.1%
+43 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/5/2026

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. AMD reported exceptionally strong fiscal Q2 2026 financial results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, primarily driven by robust growth in its Data Center segment. The company announced non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.62, and revenue of $11.5 billion, which also beat analyst estimates of $11.31 billion. The Data Center segment revenue doubled year-over-year to $6.7 billion, fueled by strong demand for AMD EPYC processors and AMD Instinct GPUs, representing 58% of the total company revenue.

2. The company provided optimistic fiscal Q3 2026 revenue guidance and a strong outlook for its Data Center business in fiscal 2027. AMD projected Q3 2026 revenue to be approximately $13 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of about 41% and a sequential increase of approximately 13%. More notably, AMD anticipates its Data Center revenues to more than double year-over-year in fiscal 2027, signaling continued momentum in the high-growth AI and server markets.

Show more
Updated on 8/5/2026

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. AMD reported exceptionally strong fiscal Q2 2026 financial results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, primarily driven by robust growth in its Data Center segment. The company announced non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.62, and revenue of $11.5 billion, which also beat analyst estimates of $11.31 billion. The Data Center segment revenue doubled year-over-year to $6.7 billion, fueled by strong demand for AMD EPYC processors and AMD Instinct GPUs, representing 58% of the total company revenue.

2. The company provided optimistic fiscal Q3 2026 revenue guidance and a strong outlook for its Data Center business in fiscal 2027. AMD projected Q3 2026 revenue to be approximately $13 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of about 41% and a sequential increase of approximately 13%. More notably, AMD anticipates its Data Center revenues to more than double year-over-year in fiscal 2027, signaling continued momentum in the high-growth AI and server markets.

3. Strategic partnerships and advancements in AI infrastructure underscored AMD's expanding role in the artificial intelligence market. Key announcements included strategic partnerships with Anthropic to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD Instinct MI450 Series GPUs, and Microsoft's commitment to deploy next-generation AMD Instinct and AMD EPYC processors. AMD also highlighted its Helios rack-scale reference architecture, with volume production expected to ramp up through 2027, and revealed its first 2-nanometer x86 CPU, "Venice," scheduled for release in fiscal Q4 2026.

4. Numerous Wall Street analysts upgraded price targets and ratings, reflecting increased confidence in AMD's AI strategy and financial performance. Multiple firms raised their price targets for AMD in July and August 2026, with some exceeding $600 and even reaching $730. For example, Susquehanna raised its price target from $450 to $500, Wedbush boosted its target from $450 to $600, and UBS increased its target from $700 to $730. Additionally, Zacks Research upgraded AMD from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.4% change in AMD stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020268072026Change
Stock Price ($)354.49483.3636.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)34,63941,30519.2%
Net Income Margin (%)12.5%15.6%24.5%
P/E Multiple133.0122.6-7.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6271,632-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution36.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD36.4% 
Market (SPY)7.6%71.5%
Sector (XLK)17.8%84.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 104.2% change in AMD stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268072026Change
Stock Price ($)236.73483.36104.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)32,02741,30529.0%
Net Income Margin (%)10.3%15.6%50.9%
P/E Multiple116.4122.65.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6261,632-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution104.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD104.2% 
Market (SPY)12.1%63.4%
Sector (XLK)30.8%79.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 174.2% change in AMD stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258072026Change
Stock Price ($)176.31483.36174.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,75041,30548.8%
Net Income Margin (%)8.0%15.6%94.1%
P/E Multiple128.3122.6-4.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6201,632-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution174.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD174.2% 
Market (SPY)23.4%56.4%
Sector (XLK)43.7%71.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 322.5% change in AMD stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 809.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238072026Change
Stock Price ($)114.40483.36322.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,06741,30579.1%
Net Income Margin (%)1.7%15.6%809.6%
P/E Multiple466.6122.6-73.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6111,632-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution322.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AMD322.5% 
Market (SPY)74.9%60.9%
Sector (XLK)114.7%71.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AMD Return57%-55%128%-18%77%128%434%
Peers Return59%-41%107%63%33%71%615%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMD Win Rate50%33%58%42%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%40%68%60%57%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMD Max Drawdown-25%-63%-27%-44%-40%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-51%-20%-36%-40%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL. See AMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAMDS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-30.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven371 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-17.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven12 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven459 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-34.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven128 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days

Compare to INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -31.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAMDS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-30.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven371 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-62.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven459 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-34.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven128 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-41.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-61.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven157.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven302 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-41.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven162 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-29.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven2347 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-76.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven331.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven373 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-24.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven3947 days47 days

Compare to INTC, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL

In The Past

Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -31.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a global semiconductor company that specializes in designing and producing a wide range of high-performance microprocessors and graphics processing units (GPUs). The company operates primarily through two segments: Computing and Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. AMD is a critical provider of the foundational computing technology that powers everything from personal computers to advanced data centers.

AMD's main product categories include central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs). For desktop and notebook personal computers, it offers CPUs under brands like AMD Ryzen and Athlon, and discrete GPUs under AMD Radeon graphics. Its powerful AMD EPYC microprocessors are designed for servers, while professional graphics products include AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro. Furthermore, AMD provides high-performance accelerators like Radeon Instinct and AMD Instinct for data centers and AI applications, and is a key supplier of semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, notably for leading game consoles.

The company serves a diverse global customer base that includes major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for PCs and servers, public cloud service providers, and original design manufacturers (ODMs). AMD's technology is also integral to game console manufacturers. It reaches its markets through a combination of direct sales, independent distributors, sales representatives, system integrators, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers, ensuring its products are widely adopted across various computing and entertainment industries.

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AMD is a semiconductor company that directly challenges Intel for computer processors (CPUs) and NVIDIA for graphics cards and AI accelerators (GPUs).

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  • x86 Microprocessors (APUs): Processors designed for desktop and notebook personal computers, often integrating CPU and GPU cores.
  • Chipsets: Components that facilitate communication between the processor, memory, and other peripherals within a system.
  • Graphics Processing Units (GPUs): Discrete and integrated graphics cards for a range of applications, including consumer PCs, professional workstations, and data centers.
  • Server and Embedded Processors: High-performance processors specifically designed for use in servers, data centers, and specialized embedded computing systems.
  • Semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) Products: Integrated circuits tailored to customer specifications, often combining CPU, GPU, and multimedia technologies, such as those used in game consoles.
  • Development Services: Services that assist with the design and integration of AMD's CPU, GPU, and multimedia technologies into customer-specific solutions.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) primarily operates on a Business-to-Business (B2B) model, selling its processors, graphics cards, and semi-custom solutions to other companies that integrate them into their final products or services.

The company's major customers include:

  • Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): A significant customer for AMD's custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products used in Xbox game consoles, as well as for server processors (EPYC) and accelerators in its Azure cloud computing services.
  • Sony Group Corp. (SONY): Another major customer for AMD's custom SoC products powering the PlayStation series of game consoles.
  • Hewlett-Packard (HP) Inc. (HPQ): A leading Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) that incorporates AMD CPUs and GPUs into its desktop and notebook personal computers.
  • Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL): A prominent OEM for personal computers and servers, utilizing AMD processors and graphics solutions in its product lines.
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): The parent company of Google Cloud, which deploys AMD EPYC server processors in its data centers to power its cloud computing services.
  • Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): Through its Amazon Web Services (AWS) division, Amazon utilizes AMD EPYC server processors to deliver cloud infrastructure services.
  • Lenovo Group Ltd. (HKG: 0992): A major global OEM for personal computers, workstations, and servers that integrates AMD's CPUs and GPUs into a wide range of its products.

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  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
  • GlobalFoundries (GFS)
  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)
  • Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)

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Lisa Su, Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Lisa Su joined AMD in 2012 and became President and CEO in October 2014, leading a significant turnaround of the company. Before AMD, she held senior leadership roles at Freescale Semiconductor, Inc., including Senior Vice President and General Manager of Networking and Multimedia, and Chief Technology Officer. Prior to Freescale, she spent 13 years at IBM in various engineering and business leadership positions, including Vice President of the Semiconductor Research and Development Center. At IBM, she was involved in developing silicon-on-insulator semiconductor manufacturing technologies and more efficient semiconductor chips, and she formed IBM's Emerging Products group, helping to transform industry standards by replacing aluminum interconnects with copper ones.

Jean Hu, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer

Jean Hu joined AMD in January 2023. Before joining AMD, she served as CFO of Marvell Technology Group Ltd. from August 2016 to January 2023. She also held CFO roles at QLogic Corporation from April 2011 to August 2016 and served as acting CEO of QLogic from May 2013 to February 2014 and from August 2015 to August 2016. Additionally, she was CFO and Senior Vice President, Business Development at Conexant Systems, Inc. from 2004 to 2011. She serves on the board of directors at Fortinet.

Mark Papermaster, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer

Mark Papermaster joined AMD in October 2011 and is responsible for the company's technical direction and product development, including leading the development of the "Zen" CPU architecture. Before AMD, he was the leader of Cisco's Silicon Engineering Group (2010-2011), Senior Vice President of Devices Hardware Engineering at Apple Inc. for iPod and iPhone products (2008-2010), and held multiple leadership roles at IBM for 26 years (1982-2008), involved in PowerPC technology development and the blade server division.

Rick Bergman, Executive Vice President of Computing and Graphics

Rick Bergman is currently AMD's Executive Vice President of Computing and Graphics, a role he returned to in 2019. He initially joined AMD in 2006 following its acquisition of ATI Technologies. From 2011 to 2019, he served as President and CEO of Synaptics. Before ATI, he held senior management positions at S3 Graphics, Texas Instruments, and IBM. He also served on the board of Maxwell Technologies from 2015 until its acquisition by Tesla in 2019 and was President and CEO of Kymeta Corporation from April 2024 to November 2025.

Victor Peng, President, Adaptive and Embedded Computing Group

Victor Peng rejoined AMD in 2022 as President, Adaptive and Embedded Computing Group, following AMD's acquisition of Xilinx. He previously served as President and CEO of Xilinx from 2018 to 2022, and prior to that, was COO and Executive Vice President & General Manager of Products at Xilinx. Before joining Xilinx in 2008, Peng worked at AMD as Corporate Vice President of the graphics products group silicon engineering. He has held executive and engineering leadership roles at TZero Technologies, MIPS Technologies, Silicon Graphics (SGI), and Digital Equipment Corporation. He announced his retirement from his presidential role at AMD effective August 30, 2024, continuing in an advisory capacity. In February 2025, he joined the Board of Directors of Microchip Technology, and he has also served on the Board of Directors of KLA Corporation since 2019.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive nature of the semiconductor industry, cyclical demand for certain products, and its manufacturing model.

  1. Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Obsolescence: AMD operates in highly competitive markets for microprocessors (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs), where it directly competes with established giants like Intel and NVIDIA. AMD's success relies heavily on its ability to continuously innovate and introduce new products with superior features and performance on a timely basis. Failure to keep pace with technological advancements, particularly in critical areas like AI accelerators where NVIDIA holds a dominant position with its CUDA software ecosystem, could lead to a loss of market share and reduced revenue. Intel's aggressive product roadmaps also pose a constant threat in the client and server CPU segments.
  2. Decline in Gaming Segment Revenue due to Maturing Console Cycles and Customer Concentration: A significant portion of AMD's semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) revenue is derived from providing processors for game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox. These console markets are cyclical, and as current console generations mature, demand for these SoCs naturally declines, leading to a contraction in AMD's gaming segment revenue. AMD's reliance on a limited number of key customers for these high-volume semi-custom products makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in console sales and potential shifts in supplier choices by these manufacturers. For instance, the gaming segment experienced a significant year-over-year decline in revenue in early 2024 due to waning demand as consoles entered their fifth year in the market.
  3. Dependence on Third-Party Manufacturing and Supply Chain Disruptions: Advanced Micro Devices operates a fabless business model, meaning it relies on third-party foundries, primarily Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), for the manufacturing of its chips. This dependence exposes AMD to risks related to manufacturing capacity constraints, potential production issues at these foundries, and broader global supply chain disruptions. Such issues can lead to product shortages, delays in bringing new products to market, increased costs, and ultimately, an inability to meet customer demand, thereby negatively impacting revenue and profitability.

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The clear emerging threats for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are:

  • The increasing trend among major customers, particularly public cloud service providers, to design and develop their own custom silicon (CPUs and AI accelerators) for their data centers. This strategic shift directly threatens AMD's market share and revenue from its EPYC server processors and Instinct accelerators by reducing reliance on external vendors for these critical components.
  • The growing adoption and performance capabilities of ARM-based processors in core AMD markets, specifically for desktop personal computers, notebooks, and servers. The success of ARM-based solutions like Apple Silicon and the push by other companies into Windows on ARM, alongside the increasing use of ARM server processors by cloud providers, presents a fundamental architectural challenge to AMD's predominant x86 offerings in these segments.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) participates in several large and growing addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Computing and Graphics Segment:
    • Processors for Desktop and Notebook Personal Computers (CPUs): The global PC Processor Market was valued at approximately USD 120.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 168.26 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.3%.
    • Discrete and Integrated Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) for PCs: The global discrete GPU market was valued at USD 11.71 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 18.67 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 6.5%. The broader global Graphics Card Market, which includes both discrete and integrated, was valued at USD 23.57 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 97.4 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 17.0%. The overall global GPU market is projected to expand from USD 82.99 billion in 2025 to USD 325.96 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 25.61%.
  • Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom Segment:
    • Data Center and Professional GPUs (Accelerators): AMD projects the overall data center total addressable market (TAM) to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030 globally, growing from an estimated USD 200 billion in 2025 at a CAGR of over 40%. Specifically for AI accelerators, AMD estimates this market will exceed USD 526 billion by 2028 globally. Other reports suggest the global data center accelerator market was estimated at USD 68.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 393.8 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 34.0%.
    • Server and Embedded Processors: The global CPU for Server market was valued at USD 21.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 33.26 billion by 2031, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.2%. Another estimate for the global Server Microprocessor Market is USD 24.0 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 43.0 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 6.0%. For embedded solutions, AMD has secured over USD 50 billion in design wins since 2022 for its adaptive and embedded portfolio, which also includes semi-custom solutions.
    • Semi-Custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products (Game Consoles): AMD provides custom chips for leading game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox. AMD has powered over one billion gaming devices, including game consoles, with its processors and graphics from 2008 to 2025. The value of AMD's secured semi-custom designs for various customers, including those in gaming, has been reported as $15 billion since 2022.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Accelerated Demand for Data Center AI Processors (Instinct GPUs): AMD anticipates significant growth from its Instinct MI300 series GPUs, including the MI350, MI450, and future MI500 series, which are designed for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing. The company expects its data center AI revenues to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 80% in the next 3-5 years. This growth is fueled by substantial multi-year deals with major hyperscalers, such as Meta Platforms, which is poised to deploy up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of Instinct GPUs, and a partnership with OpenAI to deploy 6 GW of chips starting in the second half of 2026. AMD's strategy to foster an open software ecosystem with ROCm 7 is also aimed at reducing developer switching costs from competitors.
  2. Expansion and Market Share Gains in Server CPUs (EPYC Processors): AMD's EPYC server processors are a crucial driver, benefiting from strong demand and an expanding market. The company aims to achieve more than 50% server CPU revenue market share. The overall server CPU market is projected to grow by strong double digits in 2026, with AI-driven CPU workloads contributing significantly to this expansion, projected to fuel an 18% annual growth rate by 2030. Next-generation EPYC CPUs, such as "Turin" (based on Zen 5 architecture) and "Venice" (2nm), are expected to further bolster market share gains in cloud and enterprise environments.
  3. Growth in the Client and Gaming Segments: AMD expects to achieve a greater than 10% revenue CAGR across its Client and Gaming businesses. The client business, driven by AMD Ryzen processors, experienced 34% year-over-year growth in Q4 2025. AMD projects it will exceed 40% client revenue market share. The introduction of new Ryzen processors featuring integrated AI accelerators, such as the Ryzen 8000 series and upcoming "Strix Point," is set to capitalize on the emerging "AI PC" market, contributing to continued growth in 2026 despite potential broader market contractions.
  4. Diversification and Expansion in the Embedded Segment: The Embedded segment, encompassing adaptive SoCs, FPGAs, embedded x86 processors, and semi-custom silicon, returned to growth in Q4 2025. AMD anticipates a greater than 10% revenue CAGR for this segment and aims to exceed 70% revenue market share. The company plans to expand opportunities by growing its embedded x86 and semi-custom silicon markets, with automotive AI identified as a multi-billion dollar growth opportunity.

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Share Repurchases

  • In May 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) authorized a new $6 billion share repurchase program. This increased the total repurchase authority to approximately $10 billion, adding to the remaining balance of its existing program.
  • AMD repurchased $1.3 billion in stock in 2025. As of December 27, 2025, approximately $9.4 billion remained available for future stock repurchases under the program.
  • In February 2022, AMD approved a new $8 billion share repurchase program, building on a $4 billion program announced in May 2021. Under the May 2021 program, approximately $3 billion of shares had been repurchased.

Share Issuance

  • As part of the ZT Systems acquisition in March and October 2025, AMD issued 9.1 million shares of its common stock.
  • In February 2026, AMD issued Meta Platforms a performance-based warrant for up to 160 million shares of AMD common stock, structured to vest as specific milestones associated with Instinct GPU shipments are achieved under their strategic partnership.
  • AMD issued a warrant to OpenAI in October 2025 to purchase up to an aggregate of 160 million shares of AMD's common stock at an exercise price of $0.01 per share, contingent on certain GPU purchase milestones and stock performance.

Outbound Investments

  • AMD completed the acquisition of ZT Systems in March and October 2025, which involved a total of $2.0 billion in cash (net of cash acquired) and the issuance of 9.1 million shares of common stock, aimed at strengthening AI infrastructure.
  • In February 2026, AMD announced a strategic investment of $150 million in Nutanix common stock and up to $100 million for joint engineering initiatives, as part of a multi-year strategic partnership to develop an open and scalable platform for enterprise AI.
  • AMD made several acquisitions to bolster its AI capabilities, including Nod.ai (October 2023) for open-source AI software, Silo AI (July 2024, for $665 million) for AI model development, and Mipsology (August 2023) for AI inference software.

Capital Expenditures

  • AMD's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 reached $974 million, marking a peak in the last five years.
  • The average capital expenditures for fiscal years 2021 to 2025 was $581.4 million. Capital expenditures increased annually from $301 million in 2021 to $974 million in 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for the upcoming fiscal year (2026) are projected to be approximately $1,371.6 million, supporting increased investments in product development, AI solutions, and go-to-market strategies.

Better Bets vs. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Price483.36101.65223.96427.76167.86218.72221.34
Mkt Cap788.8518.85,439.12,030.6177.4192.9653.8
Rev LTM41,30557,032253,49175,46544,0698,71750,550
Op Inc LTM6,4884,308162,28533,25310,2581,4308,373
FCF LTM8,4032,831119,07632,76210,4161,6629,410
FCF 3Y Avg4,601-6,89976,82524,64011,5351,3938,068
CFO LTM10,08014,936125,64833,62212,4012,05613,668
CFO 3Y Avg5,62412,17880,77725,26612,9031,74412,541

Growth & Margins

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Rev Chg LTM39.5%7.5%70.7%32.3%1.9%34.1%33.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.4%1.9%121.7%29.3%4.8%16.0%20.2%
Rev Chg Q50.1%25.4%85.2%47.9%-4.0%27.6%37.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.3%6.1%17.4%10.5%-0.9%6.4%8.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM164.5%198.0%88.3%55.5%-15.9%3,466.6%126.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg225.5%-214.9%376.9%31.7%-0.6%1,056.4%128.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.7%7.6%64.0%44.1%23.3%16.4%19.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%0.1%60.6%38.4%25.6%2.8%17.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.1%5.6%3.6%2.6%-2.3%0.1%3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM24.4%26.2%49.6%44.6%28.1%23.6%27.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%22.0%50.5%43.2%31.3%25.8%28.6%
FCF/Rev LTM20.3%5.0%47.0%43.4%23.6%19.1%22.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.3%-12.8%48.3%42.2%28.1%20.5%24.3%

Valuation

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Cap788.8518.85,439.12,030.6177.4192.9653.8
P/S19.19.121.526.94.022.120.3
P/Op Inc121.6120.433.561.117.3134.990.7
P/EBIT102.6-59.628.760.414.958.043.3
P/E122.6-46.034.169.319.276.351.7
P/CFO78.334.743.360.414.393.851.8
Total Yield0.8%-2.2%3.0%2.0%7.4%1.4%1.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%2.2%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%-6.8%1.9%2.0%5.9%1.5%1.7%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

AMDINTCNVDAAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameAdvanced.Intel NVIDIA Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
1M Rtn-6.6%-7.8%9.7%10.1%-10.0%-5.6%-6.1%
3M Rtn6.2%-18.6%4.2%-0.4%-23.1%28.6%1.9%
6M Rtn131.9%100.9%20.9%29.0%23.5%172.7%64.9%
12M Rtn180.4%414.2%24.1%41.9%17.5%189.0%111.1%
3Y Rtn326.9%195.1%402.4%402.1%52.3%256.3%291.6%
1M Excs Rtn-14.4%-12.5%7.6%3.8%-15.0%-12.9%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn12.6%-13.0%0.3%-1.9%-22.6%31.0%-0.8%
6M Excs Rtn137.0%96.6%16.3%24.2%10.3%180.8%60.4%
12M Excs Rtn174.1%375.8%2.7%20.6%-4.7%168.7%94.7%
3Y Excs Rtn270.1%129.7%335.0%325.1%-33.3%183.5%226.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Data Center16,63512,5796,4966,0433,694
Client10,6407,0544,6516,2016,887
Gaming3,9102,5956,2126,8055,607
Embedded3,4543,5575,3214,552246
Total34,63925,78522,68023,60116,434


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Data Center3,6033,4821,2671,848991
Client and Gaming2,8551,187925  
Embedded1,2431,4212,6282,25244
All Other-4,007-4,190-4,419-4,979-409
Client   1,1902,088
Gaming   953934
Total3,6941,9004011,2643,648


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2002200120001998
Core products5,6195,647  
Core Products  5,506 
AMD   4,118
Vantis   135
Total5,6195,6475,5064,253


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$483.36 
Market Cap ($ Bil)788.4 
First Trading Date03/21/1983 
Distance from 52W High-16.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$507.25$316.49
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-4.7%52.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility78.6%71.5%
Downside Capture424.39323.42
Upside Capture371.12368.22
Correlation (SPY)71.5%57.5%
AMD Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta4.794.004.723.563.132.30
Up Beta11.936.347.423.702.912.31
Down Beta1.432.802.622.432.691.91
Up Capture223%442%806%1057%1548%7047%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days9213268132387
Down Capture460%310%326%226%176%112%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days13223158120364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD197.6%71.6%1.81-
Sector ETF (XLK)43.7%25.9%1.3671.9%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.3657.2%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.8728.2%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-0.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.72-6.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.9%-1.2334.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD36.2%57.0%0.76-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.5%25.8%0.7174.4%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6164.8%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.8116.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.319.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0229.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.8%53.0%0.3530.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AMD
AMD53.6%57.0%0.99-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.6%24.9%0.8965.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7356.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.6112.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.3313.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2027.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.9817.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity39.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-4.4%
Average Daily Volume25.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,632.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/2026-7.0%  
5/5/202618.6%26.2%47.3%
2/3/2026-17.3%-11.8%-17.6%
11/4/20252.5%-5.0%-12.8%
8/5/2025-6.4%0.4%-7.2%
5/6/20251.8%14.0%17.3%
2/4/2025-6.3%-7.0%-17.3%
10/29/2024-10.6%-14.8%-18.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9912
# Negative151411
Median Positive7.6%14.0%18.1%
Median Negative-6.4%-6.1%-12.8%
Max Positive18.6%26.2%47.3%
Max Negative-17.3%-14.8%-18.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/2026-7.0%  
5/5/202618.6%26.2%47.3%
2/3/2026-17.3%-11.8%-17.6%
11/4/20252.5%-5.0%-12.8%
8/5/2025-6.4%0.4%-7.2%
5/6/20251.8%14.0%17.3%
2/4/2025-6.3%-7.0%-17.3%
10/29/2024-10.6%-14.8%-18.1%
7/30/20244.4%-6.0%5.7%
4/30/2024-8.9%-2.5%5.3%
1/30/2024-2.5%-2.4%11.9%
10/31/20239.7%15.2%23.0%
8/1/2023-7.0%-3.7%-9.4%
5/2/2023-9.2%5.7%32.9%
1/31/202312.6%14.3%7.0%
10/6/2022-13.9%-13.1%-8.3%
8/2/2022-1.2%-3.8%-14.5%
5/3/20229.1%-2.6%19.2%
2/1/20225.1%9.8%-4.1%
10/26/2021-0.5%3.8%28.4%
7/27/20217.6%23.7%19.0%
4/27/2021-1.4%-7.7%-8.1%
1/26/2021-6.2%-6.2%-13.0%
10/27/2020-4.1%-9.2%3.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9912
# Negative151411
Median Positive7.6%14.0%18.1%
Median Negative-6.4%-6.1%-12.8%
Max Positive18.6%26.2%47.3%
Max Negative-17.3%-14.8%-18.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/05/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202301/31/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/05/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202301/31/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/03/202210-K
09/30/202110/27/202110-Q
06/30/202107/28/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202001/29/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202007/29/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201902/04/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/5/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Revenue12.70 Bil13.00 Bil13.30 Bil16.1% Higher NewGuidance: 11.20 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 56.0%  0.0%Same NewGuidance: 56.0% for Q2 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue10.90 Bil11.20 Bil11.50 Bil14.3% Higher NewGuidance: 9.80 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 56.0%  1.0%Higher NewGuidance: 55.0% for Q1 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue9.50 Bil9.80 Bil10.10 Bil2.1% Higher NewGuidance: 9.60 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 55.0%  0.5%Higher NewGuidance: 54.5% for Q4 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue9.30 Bil9.60 Bil9.90 Bil10.3% Higher NewActual: 8.70 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Gross Margin 54.5%  0.5%Higher NewActual: 54.0% for Q3 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162026556.436,0003,338,580686,460,457Form
2Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell6172026536.336,0003,217,980661,663,349Form
3Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell6122026460.69125,00057,585,7151,334,559,991Form
4Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.008,6264,502,77245,504,306Form
5Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.001,821950,56250,007,078Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162026556.436,0003,338,580686,460,457Form
2Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell6172026536.336,0003,217,980661,663,349Form
3Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell6122026460.69125,00057,585,7151,334,559,991Form
4Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.008,6264,502,77245,504,306Form
5Denzel, Nora DirectSell6022026522.001,821950,56250,007,078Form
6Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell5212026431.4019,4878,406,784140,002,483Form
7Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell5192026433.796,0002,602,740535,161,084Form
8Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell5152026445.51125,00055,688,3591,346,276,778Form
9Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell5112026444.3924,37610,832,45146,759,605Form
10Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4282026350.0031,32010,962,000432,612,950Form
11Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4162026275.0027,1097,454,975348,523,175Form
12Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4162026255.546,0001,533,240330,787,842Form
13Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell4082026225.003,293740,925291,254,850Form
14Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell3162026198.7785,00016,895,157625,320,780Form
15Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell3122026204.877,5001,536,52526,550,742Form
16Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell3052026200.003,034606,800259,551,800Form
17Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell2192026198.6528656,8143,419,958Form
18Hu, Jean XEVP, CFO and TreasurerDirectSell2182026201.6219,9564,023,5815,030,081Form
19Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell2122026216.8119,4504,216,96962,679,548Form
20Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell2122026214.36125,00026,794,875675,761,605Form
21Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell1202026234.422,442572,4543,834,877Form
22Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell12122025215.14125,00026,891,905705,100,585Form
23Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell12082025218.7710,0002,187,70029,171,667Form
24Hu, Jean XEVP, CFO and TreasurerDirectSell11252025209.9614,5063,045,7415,360,806Form
25Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell11212025229.3719,4504,461,29668,891,587Form
26Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell11172025240.1217,1084,107,935411,683,151Form
27Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell10162025224.2816,8003,767,863384,524,964Form
28Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell10072025226.012,868648,1972,041,548Form
29Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell9252025165.012,250371,27251,416,786Form
30Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell9162025159.2016,8002,674,513272,944,412Form
31Norrod, Forrest EugeneEVP & GM DESGDirectSell9112025160.9317,2002,768,02150,508,021Form
32Hahn, AvaSVP, GC & Corporate SecretaryDirectSell9042025158.1014322,6081,881,548Form
33Su, Lisa TChair, President & CEODirectSell8232025163.97225,00036,893,351550,899,394Form
34Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell8192025178.1116,8002,992,244306,592,843Form
35Grasby, Paul DarrenEVP & CSODirectSell8122025173.2110,0001,732,10021,738,721Form
36Papermaster, Mark DChief Technology Officer & EVPDirectSell7162025155.0317,9982,790,187265,672,383Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 8, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$44.6 Mil9.0%23Hold13F
Once Capital Management, LLC$25.5 Mil6.8%22Hold13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%13F
Estuary Capital Management LP$34.5 Mil5.8%22Hold13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Firetrail Investments PTY LTD$15.5 Mil5.3%28Hold13F
Nepsis Inc.$15.7 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$28.5 Mil5.0%28Hold13F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$12.4 Mil4.7%28TRIM -42.0%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
California First Leasing Corp$11.0 Mil3.5%39Hold13F
Ithaka Group LLC$15.9 Mil3.3%38Hold13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Bender Robert & Associates$12.4 Mil3.0%45Hold13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$10.4 Mil2.7%17ADD +15.6%13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$107.2 Mil2.5%40New13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
CTC LLC$32.2 Mil2.6%25New13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.$10.4 Mil2.7%17ADD +15.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
RK Capital Management, LLC/FL$77.1 Mil4.8%20ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Appaloosa LP$69.6 Mil1.0%38ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Long Walk Management LP$28.8 Mil6.4%10ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$18.7 Mil2.7%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Nationale-Nederlanden Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A.$10.9 Mil1.0%48ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Benchstone Capital Management LP$10.0 Mil1.1%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Proem Advisors LLC$7.5 Mil2.5%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$5.5 Mil1.2%25ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Paloma Partners Management Co$5.0 Mil1.7%47ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$12.4 Mil4.7%28TRIM -42.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Boothe Investment Group, Inc.$6.2 Mil2.0%40TRIM -39.5%Mar 31, 202613F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$51.8 Mil2.4%41TRIM -33.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%Mar 31, 202613F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Ratan Capital Management LP$5.4 Mil2.0%37TRIM -11.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ossiam$808.3 Mil14.2%388ADD +39.7%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$293.5 Mil3.1%29TRIM -11.8%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$239.4 Mil5.5%33ADD +21.5%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$183.1 Mil3.8%41ADD +50.0%13F
Glenview Capital Management, LLC$132.4 Mil3.6%41ADD +65.1%13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$107.2 Mil2.5%40New13F
Dream Peak Capital Ltd$91.5 Mil13.6%6New13F
Soma Equity Partners LP$79.1 Mil5.8%20TRIM -25.3%13F
BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd$51.8 Mil2.4%41TRIM -33.5%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$47.0 Mil2.6%49ADD +133.8%13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$44.6 Mil9.0%23Hold13F
Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P.$36.5 Mil6.2%21ADD +42.8%13F
Estuary Capital Management LP$34.5 Mil5.8%22Hold13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$32.6 Mil3.5%44New13F
CTC LLC$32.2 Mil2.6%25New13F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$28.5 Mil5.0%28Hold13F
Once Capital Management, LLC$25.5 Mil6.8%22Hold13F
FengHe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.$21.6 Mil3.0%31New13F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$19.0 Mil2.7%39New13F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$19.0 Mil6.5%34New13F
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$18.9 Mil2.6%39New13F
Ithaka Group LLC$15.9 Mil3.3%38Hold13F
Nepsis Inc.$15.7 Mil5.3%29Hold13F
Firetrail Investments PTY LTD$15.5 Mil5.3%28Hold13F
Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd$14.2 Mil1.4%41Hold13F

AMD Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is high as AMD executes a successful pivot into a primary supplier for the AI infrastructure buildout. Its Data Center segment is accelerating, now 58% of revenue with 107% YoY growth. Multi-gigawatt commitments from top AI labs provide strong visibility, while the company maintains a pristine execution record on its product roadmap.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Product Cycle / Cyclical Growth

Revenue = (Unit Shipments per Segment) x (Average Selling Price per Segment) Mix shift to the high-growth, high-margin Data Center segment and ASP uplift from new, more powerful product generations.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can AMD's Data Center become a second, durable engine for the AI buildout?

Evidence suggests yes. The Data Center segment is accelerating, capturing share in server CPUs and securing large-scale AI accelerator deployments.

Mechanism: The business mix is shifting to the Data Center, which grew 107% YoY to $6.7 billion and now represents 58% of total revenue, driving both top-line growth and margin expansion.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Data Center revenue grew 107% year-over-year in Q2 2026.
  • The Data Center segment now represents 58% of total revenue.
  • Announced multi-generation, gigawatt scale deployments with OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic.
  • Server CPU sales to both cloud and enterprise customers grew over 70% YoY.
  • The company is on track for over $18 billion in new embedded design wins for 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
Insurmountable Competition and Execution Risk

NVIDIA's dominant AI software ecosystem and scale, combined with the risk of delays in AMD's complex Helios platform ramp, could cap market share gains and leave AMD a distant second.

Mechanism: Any announced delay or supply constraint related to the Helios platform ramp, which is scheduled to begin this quarter.
Supporting Evidence:
  • NVIDIA is the discrete GPU market share leader with an entrenched software ecosystem.
  • NVIDIA's trailing-twelve-month revenue is 6.1 times AMD's revenue.
  • A partnership between NVIDIA and Intel was announced in September 2025.
  • The industry faces severe supply constraints in wafers, memory, and substrates.
  • Management is planning for a softer PC market in the second half of 2026.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Data Center Segment Revenue Growth107% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - AcceleratingThe Data Center segment's year-over-year growth has been dramatically accelerating over the past three quarters, from 39% to 57%, and most recently to 107%. Management attributes this to strong demand for both EPYC server processors and Instinct AI accelerators. The segment now represents 58% of total company revenue, up from 42% a year ago, highlighting its central role in the company's growth story.
Server CPU Revenue GrowthOver 70% year-over-year growth in Q2 2026 - AcceleratingServer CPU revenue growth is also accelerating, with management noting the fifth consecutive quarter of record revenue. The growth is broad-based, with both cloud and enterprise sales growing over 70% year-over-year. This is driven by customer adoption of both the latest 5th-gen 'Turin' and prior 4th-gen 'a recently discussed product' EPYC families.
Embedded Segment Design WinsOn track for over $18 billion (Full Year 2026 forecast as of Q2 2026 call)Market rewards Achieving a 'record year' is the stated goal.. Indicates future revenue potential and market share gains in the Embedded segment, as design wins translate into product sales over a multi-year period.
Core Investment Debate

Proven CPU Share Gains vs. High-Stakes AI Accelerator Ramp

BULL VIEW

Proven success taking server CPU share from Intel provides a strong foundation of growth and cash flow while the company ramps its new AI accelerators into a supply-starved market.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating server CPU growth (over 70% YoY) offset the execution risk of the new Helios platform ramp, which the market reacted to negatively?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

Current evidence favors the bull view. Management has a strong execution record and reaffirmed that initial Helios shipments are on track to begin this quarter.

BEAR VIEW

The AI accelerator market is the real prize, and any execution slip or supply issue with the new Helios platform will be severely punished, ceding the massive opportunity to NVIDIA.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
9/2/2026
Broadcom Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Broadcom (AVGO) is scheduled to report earnings.
this quarter
Helios Shipments Commence
Watch: Initial shipments of the Helios rack-scale AI platform are set to begin.
10/21/2026
Peer Competitive Data
Watch: Intel's server CPU results and outlook; NVIDIA's data center revenue growth and commentary on AI accelerator supply/demand.
11/2/2026
Gaming Segment Contraction
Watch: The magnitude of the gaming decline and any change to the outlook for the semi-custom business.
11/2/2026
PC Market Softness
Watch: Commentary on PC channel inventory, end-demand, and the impact of component costs on the Client segment.
11/17/2026
NVIDIA Earnings Report
Watch: Peer NVIDIA (NVDA) is scheduled to report earnings.
the second half of 2026
OpenAI GPU Deployment Begins
Watch: The first gigawatt of MI450 series accelerators for OpenAI is scheduled to start coming online.
Q4
Vultr Cloud GPU Availability
Watch: Cloud provider Vultr will begin offering access to AMD Instinct MI450 series GPUs.
the fourth quarter
Helios Production Ramp
Watch: The Helios platform is expected to ramp through the fourth quarter.
later this year
EPYC Venice Cloud Deployments
Watch: Deployments of the 6th Gen EPYC 'Venice' CPU by leading cloud providers are planned to begin.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-08-04
Record Q2 Results Reported
Details: On August 4, 2026, AMD reported record Q2 revenue of $11.5 billion, a 50% year-over-year increase, and raised Q3 revenue guidance by 16.1%.
-0.5%
$484.64 -> $482.05
2026-07-23
Advancing AI Partner Showcase
Details: In late July 2026, multiple partners including Schneider Electric, Supermicro, and Vultr announced support and new products for AMD's AI platforms, including the Helios rack-scale solution.
-5.5%
$552.33 -> $521.95
2026-05-21
Taiwan AI Ecosystem Investment
Details: The company announced over $10 billion in investments across the Taiwan ecosystem on May 21, 2026, to accelerate AI infrastructure and scale advanced packaging capabilities.
+4.5%
$447.58 -> $467.51
2026-05-21
Venice CPU Production Ramp
Details: On May 21, 2026, the company announced the production ramp of its 6th Gen EPYC CPUs, codenamed "Venice," on TSMC's 2nm process technology.
+4.5%
$447.58 -> $467.51
2026-05-05
Strong Q1 Earnings Reaction
Details: The stock had a 23.0% positive two-day reaction around the May 5, 2026 earnings call, driven by an outstanding start to the year and accelerating AI demand.
+23.4%
$341.54 -> $421.39
2026-02-03
Stock Slides Post-Earnings
Details: The stock experienced a -19.0% two-day reaction around the February 3, 2026 earnings call, as Wall Street adjusted AI revenue expectations.
-18.7%
$246.27 -> $200.19
Risk Management
Position Sizing

2% - 4%

REDUCED POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: AMD trades at roughly 68% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (5.2x the market), around the 80th percentile of its own trailing year. A 2% - 4% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA Corporation
Dominant AI Leader

NVIDIA offers dominant, pure-play exposure to the AI accelerator market with a deeply entrenched proprietary software ecosystem (CUDA) and significantly larger scale.

Core Thesis: Investing in the established market leader that has become the industry standard for AI training and inference.
INTC - Intel Corporation
Incumbent Turnaround

Intel is the historical incumbent in CPUs with greater scale and direct control over its manufacturing. It represents a turnaround story with potential for aggressive pricing.

Core Thesis: A value-oriented investment in an incumbent fighting to regain technology leadership and defend its market share.
How Is The Market Pricing AMD?

AMD is a primary arms dealer for the AI revolution, with a dual-engine growth story in both essential server CPUs (EPYC) and high-demand AI accelerators (Instinct).

AMD has successfully transitioned into a data center-first company, capitalizing on the explosive demand for AI compute. Its EPYC server CPUs are gaining significant share in a rapidly expanding market, while its Instinct AI accelerators are being adopted by the world's largest AI labs and cloud providers for massive, multi-gigawatt deployments. This positions AMD to capture a significant share of a data center market opportunity that management now sees approaching $1.4 trillion by 2030.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of additional multi-gigawatt scale deployments for Helios/Instinct GPUs with major AI labs or cloud providers. Evidence of continued server CPU market share gains against competitors. On-time launch and rapid customer adoption of next-generation products like the Venice CPU and a new MI GPU.

What will damage the thesis

Delays in the MI product roadmap, loss of a key strategic AI partner to a competitor, or evidence that supply chain constraints are preventing the company from meeting its aggressive growth targets.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term fluctuations in the consumer PC or gaming markets, which are now a smaller part of the overall business and subject to different cyclical pressures.

Repricing Catalyst

The significant upward revision of the Total Addressable Market (TAM) for both AI accelerators (to $1.4 trillion by 2030) and server CPUs (to $220 billion by 2030), combined with accelerating revenue growth and expanding strategic partnerships with key AI leaders.

What AMD Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Data Center
$16.6B TTM (48% of Total)
What It Is

Sells AI accelerators (Instinct GPUs), server CPUs (EPYC), data processing units (DPUs), AI Network Interface Cards (AI NICs), and FPGAs to hyperscale data centers, cloud providers, OEMs, and enterprises.

Who Pays & How

Hyperscale cloud providers (like AWS, Microsoft, Google), AI labs (like OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta), and enterprises pay for server processors and AI accelerators to build out infrastructure for cloud services and AI workloads. They choose AMD for leadership performance, efficiency, and total cost of ownership advantages.

Unit sales of semiconductor components and rack-scale platform solutions, with pricing based on performance, features, and product generation.
Competition
NVIDIA and Intel
NVIDIA has a dominant market position in data center GPUs and a proprietary software ecosystem. Intel has a historical market position in microprocessors and significant financial resources.
A broad portfolio of leadership CPUs and GPUs, deep co-engineering relationships with key AI players, and an open AI software platform (ROCm) that supports a growing ecosystem of models and developers.
Client and Gaming
$10.6B TTM (31% of Total)
What It Is

Sells CPUs and APUs (Ryzen) for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs (Radeon) for PCs, and semi-custom SoC products for game consoles. Customers are primarily PC OEMs, distributors, and game console manufacturers like Sony and Microsoft.

Who Pays & How

PC OEMs (like Dell, HP, a business partner) and game console manufacturers pay for processors that power their devices. End-users and channel partners also purchase components. They choose AMD for performance in gaming and content creation, and increasingly for AI capabilities in commercial PCs.

Unit sales of processors and chipsets to OEMs and through distribution channels.
Competition
Intel (for CPUs) and NVIDIA (for discrete GPUs)
Intel is the primary competitor in CPUs. NVIDIA is the discrete GPU market share leader.
Leadership performance in specific segments like gaming (Ryzen X3D processors), a strong position in the game console market, and an expanding portfolio of AI-enabled PC processors.
Embedded
$3.5B TTM (10% of Total)
What It Is

Sells embedded CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, and adaptive SoCs to a wide range of markets including aerospace and defense, automotive, industrial, healthcare, and communications infrastructure.

Who Pays & How

Manufacturers in various industrial and high-tech sectors pay for high-performance, scalable, and often low-power processors for specialized applications that can require long lifecycles and operate in harsh conditions.

Unit sales of embedded processors and adaptive computing devices, sold directly or through distributors.
Competition
Intel (Altera), Lattice Semiconductor, Broadcom, Marvell, and NVIDIA
A wide range of established competitors offer Application-Specific Standard Products (ASSPs) and competing FPGAs.
A broad portfolio combining high-performance x86 CPUs with adaptive SoCs and FPGAs from the Xilinx acquisition, enabling customized solutions for diverse end markets.
AMD Evolution: Price Return by Era
2021-2023 · Pre-2023: Diversified Challenger
+60%
AMD's revenue was more balanced across its segments. The Client and Gaming segments were significant contributors, with Gaming revenue peaking in 2022-2023. The Data Center segment was growing steadily but had not yet become the dominant part of the business.
· 2024-Present: AI-Driven Data Center Inflection
Beginning in 2024, the company experienced a massive acceleration in its Data Center business, driven by the AI boom. This segment's revenue more than doubled year-over-year, becoming the majority of company revenue and its primary growth and profit engine, fueled by large-scale deployments of Instinct AI accelerators and surging demand for EPYC server CPUs.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is neutral. The price is in a holding pattern with no clear directional commitment from the moving average stack. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum are clearly negative. OBV (on-balance volume) and volume character point to institutional exit. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
0
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-2
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-3 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Potential Bottoming · -
2 Momentum Pausing
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Facing Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Flat
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/7/2026