CGI (GIB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.39 | Market Cap: $20.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
CGI (GIB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $92.39Market Cap: $20.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Key risksGIB key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration with the U.S. Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.01 | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.01 |
| Key risksGIB key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration with the U.S. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GIB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the movement of CGI (GIB) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions. Several financial institutions revised their outlooks for CGI during this period. CIBC Capital Markets downgraded CGI Group from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" rating in December 2025. Jefferies Financial Group reaffirmed a "hold" rating while lowering its price target to $81.00 from $105.00 in November 2025. Additionally, Royal Bank of Canada decreased its price target from $175.00 to $165.00 in November 2025, and UBS lowered its target from $112.00 to $105.00 around September 2025.
2. Significant Revenue Miss in Q4 2025. For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, which ended September 30, 2025, CGI reported revenue of $2.88 billion, substantially missing the analyst consensus estimate of $4 billion. This considerable revenue shortfall likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GIB Return | -5% | 12% | -3% | 24% | 2% | -16% | 9% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 19% | -11% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GIB Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 60% | 45% | 60% | 62% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GIB Max Drawdown | -44% | -6% | -16% | -2% | -9% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -11% | -24% | -15% | -14% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACN, IBM, CTSH, DXC, LDOS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GIB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 388 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -12.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 331 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI, IBM
In The Past
CGI's stock fell -20.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/20/2021. A -20.4% loss requires a 25.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can CGI Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| GIB Testing Price Floor: Time to Load Up? | Actionable | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GIB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CGI
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 136.83 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| Rev LTM | 19,094 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,943 |
| FCF LTM | 2,308 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,996 |
| CFO LTM | 2,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,289 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 16.3 |
| P/CFO | 12.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1292025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12182024 | 40-F 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12152023 | 40-F 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12162022 | 40-F 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12172021 | 40-F 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |