Tearsheet

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.5 | Market Cap: $196.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $43.5
Market Cap: $196.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Intel's (INTC) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results: Intel reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenue increasing 3% year-over-year to $13.7 billion, surpassing expectations. The company returned to profitability, with net income surging 124% year-over-year to $4.06 billion and earnings per share (EPS) rising 150% to $0.23, marking a sustained period of top-line growth since 2021 and a significant rebound in gross margin.

2. Significant Strategic Investments and Government Funding: Intel secured substantial financial backing, including $8.9 billion in funding from the U.S. Government, with $5.7 billion received in Q3 2025. Additionally, NVIDIA agreed to invest $5.0 billion in Intel common stock as part of a collaboration to jointly develop data center and PC products, and SoftBank Group invested $2.0 billion in Intel common stock. These investments highlight confidence in Intel's strategic direction and financial stability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INTC Return-15%6%-47%95%-60%117%-18%
Peers Return61%58%-38%101%31%73%620%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INTC Win Rate58%50%33%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%30%53%43%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INTC Max Drawdown-25%-2%-50%-5%-62%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-9%-45%-1%-8%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1127 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ


In The Past

Intel's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Intel (INTC)

Interactive Breakdown

Intel Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
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Growth & Margins

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
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FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap-------
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Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
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Returns

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)29,25831,77341,06740,05737,146
Intel Foundry18,910469786  
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)12,63519,44522,691  
Network and Edge (NEX)5,7748,4097,976  
All Other5,6081,0895,019522289
Corporate unallocated0    
Intersegment eliminations-17,957    
Mobileye 1,8691,386  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  774  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics intersegment revenue  -675  
Data Center Group   26,10323,481
Internet of Things Group   3,9744,700
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   5,3584,362
Programmable Solutions Group   1,8531,987
Total54,22863,05479,02477,86771,965


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)9,5135,56915,70415,12915,202
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)1,6201,3008,439  
All Other1,079-5,977-5,722-3,381-3,878
Network and Edge (NEX)2041,0331,711  
Intersegment eliminations-203    
Corporate unallocated-5,165    
Intel Foundry-6,955-281-23  
Mobileye 690554  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  -1,207  
Data Center Group   10,57110,227
Internet of Things Group   7381,342
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   361-1,176
Programmable Solutions Group   260318
Total932,33419,45623,67822,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity131,905,538
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.6%
Average Daily Volume75,711,769
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.74
Basic Shares Quantity4,514,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/25/2021