Tearsheet

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $37.96 | Market Cap: $171.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $37.96
Market Cap: $171.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 765x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 765x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strategic Focus on AI Expansion

Intel has intensified its focus on artificial intelligence, introducing the Gaudi 3 accelerator and an AI Open Systems Strategy at Vision 2024, aiming to make enterprise AI more accessible and scalable. This strategy includes new customer wins and collaborations to accelerate generative AI adoption, positioning Intel to lead in the AI revolution.

2. Growth in Foundry Business and Process Leadership

Intel is actively working towards becoming a significant player in the foundry market by 2030, with its Intel Foundry services expected to expand operating margins. The company has secured key design awards, including its fourth external Intel 18A customer win in 2023, and has more than 50 test chips in the pipeline for 2024 and 2025, with 75% on Intel 18A. Intel also aims for "process leadership" by 2025 with advancements like Intel 18A.

3. Achievement of Cost Savings and Operational Efficiencies

Intel successfully delivered $3 billion in cost savings in 2023 and anticipates further efficiencies in 2024 and beyond. This is partly due to the implementation of a new internal foundry model designed to enhance transparency, accountability, and returns on capital.

4. Stronger-than-Expected Financial Results for Q4 2023

Intel reported strong fourth-quarter 2023 financial results, surpassing expectations for the fourth consecutive quarter. The company's revenue of $15.4 billion was up 10 percent year-over-year, marking the end of a seven-quarter streak of declining revenue.

5. Development of Future Product Roadmaps

Intel has outlined ambitious product roadmaps extending to 2024 and beyond, including plans for next-generation Xeon products and client processors like Arrow Lake and Lunar Lake, which are expected to utilize advanced manufacturing processes like Intel 20A and Intel 18A, targeting improved performance per watt.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INTC Return-15%6%-47%95%-60%97%-25%
Peers Return77%57%-41%116%54%85%912%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INTC Win Rate58%50%33%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%57%42%65%55%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INTC Max Drawdown-25%-2%-50%-5%-62%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-13%-49%-3%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMD, NVDA, QCOM, AVGO, MU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1127 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ


In The Past

Intel's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intel (INTC)

Interactive Breakdown

Intel Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Intel (INTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Mkt Price37.81210.78175.02178.29359.93241.14194.53
Mkt Cap170.7342.74,538.9192.21,696.7270.6306.6
Rev LTM53,43932,027187,14244,28459,92637,37848,862
Op Inc LTM-1042,999110,12212,39423,3669,80911,102
FCF LTM-8,4185,44877,32412,82024,9301,6689,134
FCF 3Y Avg-11,2272,77550,46211,27720,319-1,4437,026
CFO LTM8,5746,40883,15914,01225,43817,52515,768
CFO 3Y Avg10,9573,46153,65212,50420,8219,19711,731

Growth & Margins

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%31.8%65.2%13.7%28.0%48.9%29.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.6%12.9%91.6%1.2%24.0%20.3%16.6%
Rev Chg Q2.8%35.6%62.5%10.0%22.0%46.0%28.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%8.2%13.3%2.4%5.0%10.5%6.6%
Op Mgn LTM-0.2%9.4%58.8%28.0%39.0%26.2%27.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.7%4.9%55.8%25.9%38.4%-1.1%15.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.1%1.1%0.8%-0.2%1.5%3.7%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%20.0%44.4%31.6%42.4%46.9%37.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%12.4%46.2%31.5%44.6%30.3%30.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.8%17.0%41.3%28.9%41.6%4.5%23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.9%9.8%43.4%28.4%43.5%-11.5%19.1%

Valuation

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Mkt Cap170.7342.74,538.9192.21,696.7270.6306.6
P/S2.88.224.34.021.75.06.6
P/EBIT53.085.7-13.556.518.553.0
P/E764.979.645.832.468.622.057.2
P/CFO17.741.154.612.851.110.729.4
Total Yield0.1%1.3%2.2%5.2%1.5%4.8%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%0.0%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.1%1.2%-7.0%3.1%-2.4%1.2%
D/E0.30.0-0.10.00.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.00.00.00.0

Returns

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
1M Rtn6.4%-14.6%-8.0%3.0%5.1%-2.3%0.3%
3M Rtn57.0%32.9%-1.6%10.7%0.2%53.5%21.8%
6M Rtn87.7%81.5%23.3%16.5%45.3%108.9%63.4%
12M Rtn85.9%66.1%30.4%15.0%61.7%136.2%63.9%
3Y Rtn44.4%216.8%933.5%63.6%579.0%371.0%293.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%-18.2%-9.3%1.8%1.7%-1.2%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn49.4%27.6%-4.7%7.9%-4.3%49.7%17.8%
6M Excs Rtn73.5%67.2%9.1%2.3%31.1%94.7%49.2%
12M Excs Rtn74.4%51.9%16.5%3.4%98.4%133.7%63.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-35.1%127.0%913.3%-12.1%557.1%281.9%204.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)29,25831,77341,06740,05737,146
Intel Foundry18,910469786  
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)12,63519,44522,691  
Network and Edge (NEX)5,7748,4097,976  
All Other5,6081,0895,019522289
Corporate unallocated0    
Intersegment eliminations-17,957    
Mobileye 1,8691,386  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  774  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics intersegment revenue  -675  
Data Center Group   26,10323,481
Internet of Things Group   3,9744,700
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   5,3584,362
Programmable Solutions Group   1,8531,987
Total54,22863,05479,02477,86771,965


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)9,5135,56915,70415,12915,202
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)1,6201,3008,439  
All Other1,079-5,977-5,722-3,381-3,878
Network and Edge (NEX)2041,0331,711  
Intersegment eliminations-203    
Corporate unallocated-5,165    
Intel Foundry-6,955-281-23  
Mobileye 690554  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  -1,207  
Data Center Group   10,57110,227
Internet of Things Group   7381,342
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   361-1,176
Programmable Solutions Group   260318
Total932,33419,45623,67822,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity132,752,358
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.6%
Average Daily Volume79,151,015
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.68
Basic Shares Quantity4,514,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.3%5.2%-9.6%
7/24/2025-8.5%-12.5%9.6%
4/24/2025-6.7%-7.0%-6.7%
1/30/2025-2.9%-3.1%13.6%
10/31/20247.8%21.9%11.2%
8/1/2024-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%
4/25/2024-9.2%-13.1%-12.1%
1/25/2024-11.9%-12.5%-13.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive897
# Negative161517
Median Positive7.2%5.0%10.8%
Median Negative-7.8%-9.3%-9.8%
Max Positive10.7%21.9%36.0%
Max Negative-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/25/2021