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Marvell Technology (MRVL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $98.35 | Market Cap: $84.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Marvell Technology (MRVL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $98.35
Market Cap: $84.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 650x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 650x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MRVL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, saw significant positive developments for Marvell Technology (MRVL) that contributed to its stock movement.

**1. Strong Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings and Upbeat Guidance.** Marvell Technology reported record net revenue of $2.075 billion for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, exceeding guidance and representing a 37% year-over-year increase. The company also reported a substantial GAAP net income of $1.901 billion, a significant turnaround from a net loss in the prior year. This strong performance was driven by robust demand for data center products, with the company forecasting over 40% full-year revenue growth and accelerating data center revenue growth for the next fiscal year.

**2. Acquisition of Celestial AI.** Marvell announced its definitive agreement to acquire Celestial AI, a pioneer in Photonic Fabric technology, for an upfront consideration of approximately $3.25 billion, with the potential to increase to $5.5 billion based on performance milestones. This strategic acquisition is set to accelerate Marvell's connectivity strategy for next-generation AI and cloud data centers, expanding its leadership in optical interconnects and positioning it at the forefront of the AI infrastructure market.

**3. Increased Share Repurchase Program and Insider Confidence.** In September 2025, Marvell's Board of Directors authorized a new $5 billion share repurchase program, including a $1 billion accelerated share repurchase. This move, which allows the company to buy back up to 7.8% of its stock, signals management's belief that the stock is undervalued and demonstrates confidence in future performance. Additionally, several top executives, including the CEO, purchased Marvell stock with their own money in September 2025, with individual transactions ranging from approximately $265,000 to over $1 million.

**4. Accelerated Growth in Data Center and 5G Infrastructure Markets.** The company experienced substantial growth in its data center segment, with revenue increasing 78% year-over-year in Q4 fiscal year 2025 due to high demand for semiconductor solutions. Furthermore, recovery in Marvell's multi-market businesses and strong demand in 5G infrastructure contributed to overall revenue expansion.

**5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases.** Following these developments, several analysts reiterated "buy" or "outperform" ratings and raised their price targets for Marvell Technology. For instance, Needham & Company LLC increased their price target from $95.00 to $120.00, and Evercore ISI upped theirs from $122.00 to $156.00. Roth Capital Markets also raised its price target to $135.00 from $105.00. This reflected improved visibility for the company and its strengthened position in key growth areas like AI.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MRVL Return80%85%-57%64%84%-11%280%
Peers Return40%21%11%25%-6%39%207%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRVL Win Rate75%75%33%58%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%44%33%46%31%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRVL Max Drawdown-35%-16%-59%-6%-7%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-8%-26%-5%-16%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KLAC, MCHP, FSLR, AMBQ, GLSA. See MRVL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMRVLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven672 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven336.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days1480 days

Compare to KLAC, MCHP, FSLR, AMBQ, GLSA


In The Past

Marvell Technology's stock fell -62.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -62.1% loss requires a 163.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Marvell Technology (MRVL)

Better Bets than Marvell Technology (MRVL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MRVL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
19.1%19.1%-8.9%
MRVL_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312025MRVLMarvell TechnologyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
34.1%63.2%-19.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
19.1%19.1%-8.9%
MRVL_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312025MRVLMarvell TechnologyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
34.1%63.2%-19.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marvell Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MRVLKLACMCHPFSLRAMBQGLSAMedian
NameMarvell .KLA Microchi.First So.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Mkt Price98.191,208.0864.72257.2827.99-98.19
Mkt Cap84.7159.234.927.6--59.8
Rev LTM7,23512,5244,2124,34369-4,343
Op Inc LTM4355,2311551,362-38-435
FCF LTM1,5303,873754-943-21-754
FCF 3Y Avg1,2323,4131,807-557--1,520
CFO LTM1,8454,248841299-16-841
CFO 3Y Avg1,5363,7372,047762--1,792

Growth & Margins

MRVLKLACMCHPFSLRAMBQGLSAMedian
NameMarvell .KLA Microchi.First So.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Rev Chg LTM37.1%22.1%-23.4%15.4%--18.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.9%8.7%-14.9%20.6%--9.8%
Rev Chg Q57.6%13.0%-2.0%8.6%--10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.3%3.0%-0.6%2.0%--2.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%41.8%3.7%31.3%-54.6%-6.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.3%38.9%21.0%22.9%--22.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.4%0.5%-1.2%-0.9%---0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM25.5%33.9%20.0%6.9%-22.6%-20.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.5%34.0%30.4%21.7%--28.0%
FCF/Rev LTM21.1%30.9%17.9%-21.7%-29.7%-17.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.4%31.1%26.9%-14.8%--23.7%

Valuation

MRVLKLACMCHPFSLRAMBQGLSAMedian
NameMarvell .KLA Microchi.First So.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Mkt Cap84.7159.234.927.6--59.8
P/S9.211.38.25.4--8.7
P/EBIT650.127.5731.617.1--338.8
P/E-645.733.5-187.418.8---84.3
P/CFO36.233.541.279.1--38.7
Total Yield0.2%3.7%1.6%5.3%--2.6%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.7%2.1%0.0%--0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%3.6%4.4%-2.6%--2.8%
D/E0.10.00.20.0--0.1
Net D/E0.10.00.1-0.0--0.0

Returns

MRVLKLACMCHPFSLRAMBQGLSAMedian
NameMarvell .KLA Microchi.First So.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
1M Rtn12.1%1.4%9.8%-2.1%1.6%-1.6%
3M Rtn53.3%38.6%1.4%27.4%-31.0%-27.4%
6M Rtn50.9%53.1%2.2%57.0%--52.0%
12M Rtn-16.6%82.9%8.3%27.6%--18.0%
3Y Rtn131.3%220.2%-9.1%53.9%--92.6%
1M Excs Rtn10.8%0.1%8.5%-3.3%0.4%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn49.4%27.9%-6.7%19.6%-24.5%-19.6%
6M Excs Rtn35.5%37.7%-13.3%41.6%--36.6%
12M Excs Rtn-11.7%69.5%-18.4%10.3%---0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn58.3%159.1%-79.5%-14.3%--22.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Design, development and sale of integrated circuits5,5085,9204,4622,969 
Networking    1,378
Other    184
Storage    1,138
Total5,5085,9204,4622,9692,699


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Design, development and sale of integrated circuits-933-164   
Total-933-164   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity36,853,216
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.0%
Average Daily Volume16,088,857
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.29
Basic Shares Quantity862,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025829202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025530202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025312202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024830202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024531202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024313202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023309202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022527202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/30/2021