Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.12 | Market Cap: $353.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $217.12Market Cap: $353.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AMD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Record Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Upbeat Q4 Guidance. Advanced Micro Devices reported record third-quarter 2025 revenue of $9.2 billion, representing a 36% year-over-year increase, significantly exceeding Wall Street's expectations. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $0.75, or a non-GAAP $1.20. The company also provided strong guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting approximately $9.6 billion in revenue, indicating a 25% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.
2. Landmark AI Partnership with OpenAI. On October 6, 2025, AMD announced a significant strategic partnership with OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT. This long-term agreement involves OpenAI purchasing multiple generations of AMD's AI chips, starting with the MI450 GPUs in 2026. This collaboration is anticipated to generate tens of billions in revenue for AMD and positions the company as a strong contender against NVIDIA in the artificial intelligence market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AMD Return | 100% | 57% | -55% | 128% | -18% | 78% | 369% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 31% | -31% | 78% | 8% | 36% | 220% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AMD Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 43% | 28% | 55% | 40% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AMD Max Drawdown | -16% | -20% | -61% | -4% | -19% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -6% | -39% | -3% | -29% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ. See AMD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AMD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 189.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 461 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1030.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3556 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NVDA, INTC, MCHP, QRVO, AMBQ
In The Past
Advanced Micro Devices's stock fell -65.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -65.4% loss requires a 189.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312021 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -48.8% | -55.0% | -61.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312021 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -48.8% | -55.0% | -61.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Advanced Micro Devices
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | 6,496 | 6,043 | 3,694 | ||
| Gaming | 6,212 | 6,805 | 5,607 | ||
| Embedded | 5,321 | 4,552 | 246 | ||
| Client | 4,651 | 6,201 | 6,887 | ||
| Computing and Graphics | 6,432 | 4,709 | |||
| Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom | 3,331 | 2,022 | |||
| Total | 22,680 | 23,601 | 16,434 | 9,763 | 6,731 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embedded | 2,628 | 2,252 | 44 | ||
| Data Center | 1,267 | 1,848 | 991 | ||
| Gaming | 971 | 953 | 934 | ||
| Client | -46 | 1,190 | 2,088 | ||
| All Other | -4,419 | -4,979 | -409 | -288 | -209 |
| Computing and Graphics | 1,266 | 577 | |||
| Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom | 391 | 263 | |||
| Total | 401 | 1,264 | 3,648 | 1,369 | 631 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-K 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
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