NVIDIA (NVDA)
Market Price (7/23/2026): $210.52 | Market Cap: $5.1 TrilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
NVIDIA (NVDA)
Market Price (7/23/2026): $210.52Market Cap: $5.1 TrilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 64% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 126 Bil, FCF LTM is 119 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 103 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more. | Key risksNVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 64% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 126 Bil, FCF LTM is 119 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 103 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more. |
| Key risksNVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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NVIDIA (NVDA) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Record Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance and Robust Guidance Fueled by Data Center Growth. NVIDIA reported record revenue of $81.6 billion for fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 26, 2026), marking an 85% year-over-year increase and a 20% sequential rise, significantly exceeding analyst estimates. This was largely driven by its Data Center segment, which achieved record revenue of $75.2 billion, up 92% from the prior year. The company also provided strong guidance for fiscal Q2 2027, projecting revenue of $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, with an anticipated gross margin of 75.0%, signaling continued strong growth.
2. Enhanced Shareholder Returns Through Increased Dividends and Substantial Share Repurchase Authorization. During fiscal Q1 2027, NVIDIA returned approximately $20.0 billion to shareholders via share repurchases and cash dividends. The company further bolstered investor confidence by approving an additional $80.0 billion share repurchase authorization without expiration and significantly increasing its quarterly cash dividend from $0.01 to $0.25 per share.
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NVIDIA (NVDA) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Record Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance and Robust Guidance Fueled by Data Center Growth. NVIDIA reported record revenue of $81.6 billion for fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 26, 2026), marking an 85% year-over-year increase and a 20% sequential rise, significantly exceeding analyst estimates. This was largely driven by its Data Center segment, which achieved record revenue of $75.2 billion, up 92% from the prior year. The company also provided strong guidance for fiscal Q2 2027, projecting revenue of $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, with an anticipated gross margin of 75.0%, signaling continued strong growth.
2. Enhanced Shareholder Returns Through Increased Dividends and Substantial Share Repurchase Authorization. During fiscal Q1 2027, NVIDIA returned approximately $20.0 billion to shareholders via share repurchases and cash dividends. The company further bolstered investor confidence by approving an additional $80.0 billion share repurchase authorization without expiration and significantly increasing its quarterly cash dividend from $0.01 to $0.25 per share.
3. Sustained and Accelerating Global Demand for AI Infrastructure. The "buildout of AI factories" is accelerating, described by NVIDIA's CEO as the "largest infrastructure expansion in human history". The extraordinary growth in Data Center revenue, particularly a 199% year-over-year increase in Data Center networking revenue, reflects robust demand for NVIDIA's Blackwell 300 products and related networking solutions. Analysts anticipate Data Center compute revenue for the second half of fiscal 2027 to be approximately 20% above Wall Street consensus, underscoring the ongoing strong demand for AI processing capabilities.
4. Easing of U.S. Export Controls to the UAE Opening New Market Opportunities. On July 10, 2026, NVIDIA's stock experienced a 4.03% increase following news that the U.S. administration eased some export policies concerning the United Arab Emirates. This development is seen as potentially allowing the UAE to acquire advanced AI chips, thus expanding NVIDIA's addressable market and creating a new revenue stream.
5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Favorable Valuation Reset. Wall Street analysts have maintained a bullish outlook on NVIDIA, with a median price target of $308.5 and numerous "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings issued in the last six months. Despite hitting historic highs, the company's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had contracted to 21.18x, approaching its valuation prior to the major AI boom, which analysts viewed as attractive given its strong earnings momentum.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.7% change in NVDA stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 174.20 | 212.06 | 21.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 215,938 | 253,491 | 17.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 55.6% | 63.0% | 13.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 35.3 | 32.3 | -8.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24,302 | 24,286 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 21.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.9% | 62.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 35.6% | 65.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.8% change in NVDA stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 186.27 | 212.06 | 13.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 187,142 | 253,491 | 35.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 53.0% | 63.0% | 18.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 45.7 | 32.3 | -29.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24,327 | 24,286 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 13.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 68.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 25.4% | 70.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.4% change in NVDA stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 157.78 | 212.06 | 34.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 148,515 | 253,491 | 70.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 51.7% | 63.0% | 21.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 50.2 | 32.3 | -35.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24,441 | 24,286 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 34.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.0% | 64.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 43.0% | 73.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 402.3% change in NVDA stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 879.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.22 | 212.06 | 402.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25,878 | 253,491 | 879.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.5% | 63.0% | 240.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 217.6 | 32.3 | -85.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24,700 | 24,286 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 402.3% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 402.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.6% | 66.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 111.3% | 77.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVDA Return | 125% | -50% | 239% | 171% | 39% | 11% | 1494% |
| Peers Return | 45% | -42% | 85% | 25% | 41% | 100% | 446% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVDA Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 38% | 65% | 53% | 52% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVDA Max Drawdown | -24% | -63% | -18% | -27% | -37% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -51% | -22% | -40% | -41% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMD, INTC, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL. See NVDA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVDA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 417 days | 105 days |
In The Past
NVIDIA's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | NVDA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 215 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 417 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 160 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 514.4% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2680 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
NVIDIA's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About NVIDIA (NVDA)
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a leading technology company that designs and manufactures graphics processing units (GPUs) and develops sophisticated computing and networking solutions. While initially renowned for revolutionizing PC gaming with its GeForce GPUs, the company has significantly diversified its portfolio. Today, NVIDIA's core business involves creating advanced hardware and software that power everything from immersive gaming experiences and professional visualization to artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance computing (HPC), and autonomous systems.
The company's main products and services are primarily categorized into two segments. Its Graphics segment provides GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs and cloud gaming services like GeForce NOW, alongside Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstations and professional design. This segment also includes software for cloud-based visual computing and its Omniverse platform for 3D design and virtual world development. The Compute & Networking segment offers Data Center platforms for AI and accelerated computing, Mellanox networking solutions, and comprehensive automotive platforms for AI cockpits, autonomous driving, and infotainment systems. Other products include Jetson for robotics and embedded platforms, and NVIDIA AI Enterprise software.
NVIDIA serves a broad global customer base across several key markets, including gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive. Its innovative products and solutions are sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), cloud and Internet service providers, automotive manufacturers and their suppliers, system builders, retailers, and various other technology ecosystem participants. Essentially, NVIDIA provides the underlying GPU and accelerated computing technology that enables cutting-edge applications and advancements across a multitude of industries worldwide.
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1. Intel for AI and advanced graphics chips.
2. The electric utility for AI and high-performance computing.
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- GeForce GPUs: Graphics processing units primarily for gaming and personal computers.
- GeForce NOW: A cloud-based game streaming service.
- NVIDIA RTX/Quadro GPUs: Professional-grade graphics processing units for enterprise workstations and creative applications.
- vGPU Software: Software enabling virtualized graphics and computing in cloud environments.
- Omniverse Software: A platform for 3D design collaboration and building virtual worlds.
- Data Center Platforms: Integrated hardware and software systems for AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and accelerated computing in data centers.
- Mellanox Networking: High-performance networking and interconnect solutions for data centers and supercomputers.
- Autonomous Driving Solutions: Comprehensive platforms, software, and development agreements for autonomous vehicles and AI-powered automotive cockpits.
- Jetson Platforms: Compact, high-performance computing platforms for robotics and other embedded AI applications.
- NVIDIA AI Enterprise: A software suite and framework for accelerating enterprise AI deployment and development.
- Cryptocurrency Mining Processors (CMPs): Specialized processors designed for efficient cryptocurrency mining.
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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The company's customer base includes various enterprise segments as outlined in its description.
Based on the provided background and general market knowledge consistent with NVIDIA's operations, its major customers are found within the categories of Internet and Cloud Service Providers, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)/System Builders, and Automotive Manufacturers. While the background description lists categories of customers, the following are prominent examples of major companies within those categories that are widely recognized as significant customers of NVIDIA:
- Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - As a major cloud service provider (Azure) and enterprise software vendor, Microsoft utilizes NVIDIA's data center GPUs for AI, HPC, and cloud computing infrastructure.
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) - Through its Amazon Web Services (AWS) division, Amazon is a substantial consumer of NVIDIA's data center GPUs to power its cloud AI, machine learning, and high-performance computing services.
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) - Google Cloud Platform, a subsidiary of Alphabet, also heavily relies on NVIDIA's GPU technology for its AI workloads, data analytics, and various cloud services.
- Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) - As a leading OEM and system builder, Dell integrates NVIDIA's GPUs into its servers, workstations, and personal computers, catering to enterprise, professional visualization, and gaming markets.
- Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG.DE) - Mercedes-Benz has a strategic partnership with NVIDIA for developing software-defined vehicles and next-generation in-car computing platforms, including AI Cockpit and autonomous driving solutions.
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
SK Hynix Inc. (000660.KS)
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (005930.KS)
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)
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Jensen Huang
Founder, President, and Chief Executive Officer
Jensen Huang co-founded NVIDIA in 1993 and has served as its President and CEO since its inception. He previously gained experience in the tech industry, working at Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and LSI Logic Corporation, where he rose to become a division director. Huang earned a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering from Oregon State University and a master's degree in electrical engineering from Stanford University. Under his leadership, NVIDIA navigated early challenges, including near-bankruptcy in the 1990s, and expanded into GPU production, high-performance computing, and artificial intelligence.
Colette Kress
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Colette Kress joined NVIDIA in September 2013 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, overseeing the company's financial strategy and operations. She has over three decades of experience in senior finance roles within the technology sector. Before NVIDIA, Kress spent three years as Senior Vice President and CFO of Cisco's Business Technology and Operations Finance organization. Prior to that, she worked for 13 years at Microsoft, including four years as CFO of the Server and Tools division, and held various senior corporate planning and finance positions. She began her career at Texas Instruments. Kress holds an MBA from Southern Methodist University and a bachelor's degree in finance from the University of Arizona.
Chris A. Malachowsky
Founder and NVIDIA Fellow
Chris A. Malachowsky is a co-founder of NVIDIA and currently serves as an NVIDIA Fellow. He has held various positions at the company since its founding in 1993, overseeing areas such as IT, operations, and product engineering. Before co-founding NVIDIA, Malachowsky held engineering and technical leadership roles at companies including Hewlett-Packard and Sun Microsystems.
Debora Shoquist
Executive Vice President, Operations
Debora Shoquist serves as the Executive Vice President of Operations at NVIDIA, a role she has held since joining the company in 2007. With over two decades of experience prior to NVIDIA, she managed operations at various companies, including Quantum and Coherent.
Jay Puri
Executive Vice President, Worldwide Field Operations
Jay Puri is the Executive Vice President of Worldwide Field Operations at NVIDIA, responsible for overseeing the company's global business, including sales, partnerships, program management, and support services. Prior to joining NVIDIA in 2005, Puri accumulated over two decades of experience in sales, marketing, and management, including a significant tenure as Senior Vice President of the Asia-Pacific Group at Sun Microsystems, and roles at Hewlett-Packard, Booz Allen, and Texas Instruments.
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The key risks to NVIDIA's business include:
- Intensifying Competition from Hyperscalers and Rivals: A significant risk to NVIDIA stems from its largest customers, major hyperscalers such as Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, increasingly developing their own custom artificial intelligence (AI) chips and accelerators (e.g., Google's TPU, Amazon's Inferentia/Tranium, Microsoft's Maia, Meta's MTIA, and Tesla's Dojo D1). This trend aims to reduce their dependence on NVIDIA and optimize hardware for their specific AI workloads, particularly for inference, which could erode NVIDIA's market share and revenue from its critical Data Center segment. Additionally, traditional rivals like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) with its MI300 series and Intel with its Gaudi accelerators are ramping up competition in the AI chip market.
- Geopolitical Tensions and Export Controls: NVIDIA operates in a global market and faces substantial geopolitical risks, especially regarding U.S. government restrictions on selling advanced AI chips to China and other regions. China has historically been a major market for NVIDIA, significantly contributing to its data center revenue. These export controls can directly reduce sales, necessitate product redesigns, create uncertainty for customers, and enable local competitors to gain traction, thereby impacting NVIDIA's growth prospects and operational complexity.
- Reliance on the AI Boom and Potential for Decelerating AI Spending: NVIDIA's recent explosive revenue growth has been largely fueled by the high demand for AI infrastructure, particularly for training large AI models. However, the business faces a risk if enterprises or hyperscalers slow down their AI capital expenditures, overbuild their infrastructure, or if the evolution of AI workloads shifts away from NVIDIA's primary offerings (e.g., toward more efficient inference or custom accelerators). The market's extremely high expectations for NVIDIA's continued rapid growth also make the company vulnerable to any perceived deceleration in AI spending or shifts in technological requirements.
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The following are clear emerging threats for NVIDIA:
- Major cloud service providers and hyperscalers developing their own custom AI accelerators and chips: Companies such as Google (TPUs), Amazon (Inferentia/Trainium), and Microsoft are investing significantly in designing specialized silicon tailored for AI and machine learning workloads within their own data centers. This strategic shift aims to optimize performance, reduce operational costs, and decrease reliance on third-party GPU manufacturers like NVIDIA for critical AI infrastructure.
- Automotive manufacturers and autonomous driving companies designing their own custom AI and autonomous driving chips: A growing number of prominent automotive companies and autonomous vehicle developers are pursuing in-house development of specialized silicon for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving capabilities. This trend could reduce the market demand for NVIDIA's automotive AI platforms and solutions.
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Here are the addressable market sizes for NVIDIA's main products and services:
- Gaming GPUs (GeForce GPUs): The global gaming GPU market size was estimated at USD 87.57 billion in 2025.
- Professional Visualization (Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs): The global advanced visualization market was valued at US$3.78 billion in 2024.
- Automotive Platforms (AI Cockpit, Autonomous Driving, ADAS): The global automotive advanced driver assistance system market size was estimated at USD 68.26 billion in 2025.
-
Data Center Platforms and Systems:
- AI Data Center (including GPU-based compute servers): The global AI Data Center Market size is anticipated to grow from USD 236.44 billion in 2025.
- High Performance Computing (HPC): The global high performance computing market size was valued at USD 59.33 billion in 2025.
- Data Center Networking Solutions (Mellanox): The global Data Center Networking Market is projected to grow from USD 55.64 billion in 2025.
- Omniverse Software (Industrial Metaverse): The global industrial metaverse market size was valued at USD 29.05 billion in 2025.
- Jetson (Robotics and Embedded Platforms): The global embedded AI market size was valued at USD 11.7 billion in 2025.
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NVIDIA (NVDA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
- Sustained Demand for Data Center AI Infrastructure: NVIDIA anticipates continued exponential growth in demand for its AI computing power and data center platforms. Hyperscalers, cloud service providers, and enterprises are expected to maintain heavy investments in AI infrastructure, including NVIDIA's GPUs and accelerated computing solutions. The company's Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin architectures are key to meeting this demand. NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang has projected cumulative revenue from 2025-2027 for AI infrastructure to exceed $1 trillion.
- Expansion into Diverse AI Applications and Vertical Markets: Beyond traditional data center applications, NVIDIA expects significant growth from the expansion of AI into new and diverse vertical industries. These include automotive, financial services, healthcare, and robotics. The adoption of generative AI workloads, such as data preparation, large language model (LLM) fine-tuning, and retrieval augmented generation, is increasingly driving enterprise demand.
- Growth in the Automotive Segment: The automotive sector is a crucial growth driver, particularly with the increasing adoption of autonomous driving and AI cockpit solutions. Automakers are incorporating NVIDIA's DRIVE platform for software-defined autonomous vehicle fleets. Strategic partnerships with companies like Li Auto, Great Wall Motor, ZEEKR, Xiaomi EV, Hyundai, and Kia underscore this growth.
- Continuous Introduction of New Products and Architectural Advancements: NVIDIA's pipeline of new product launches and architectural innovations will be vital for future revenue. This includes new generations of GPUs like the Blackwell Ultra GB300 and B300 series chips, and the forthcoming Vera Rubin AI system, which are designed to offer substantial performance improvements and drive upgrade cycles.
- Development and Expansion of Software and Services: Growth in NVIDIA's software and services offerings, such as the NVIDIA AI Enterprise suite and the Omniverse platform, is also an expected revenue driver. These solutions enable various industrial applications, from digital twin creation and simulation in automotive design to broader AI development and deployment for enterprises.
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Share Repurchases
- In August 2024, NVIDIA's board approved a $50 billion share repurchase authorization.
- In August 2025, the board authorized an additional $60 billion increase to its share repurchase program, which has no expiration date.
- NVIDIA's annual share buybacks amounted to $10.039 billion in 2023, $9.533 billion in 2024, and $33.706 billion in 2025.
Share Issuance
- NVIDIA's annual stock-based compensation for 2023 was $2.709 billion.
- The company's annual stock-based compensation for 2024 was $3.549 billion.
- NVIDIA's annual stock-based compensation for 2025 was $4.737 billion.
Outbound Investments
- NVIDIA committed up to $100 billion to OpenAI in September 2025 for AI infrastructure deployment, structured as 10 separate $10 billion investments, with the first tranche tied to infrastructure deployment goals.
- The company announced plans to acquire a $5 billion stake in Intel in September 2025, aiming for collaboration on AI processors.
- NVIDIA entered into an approximately $20 billion agreement with Groq in December 2025, which includes non-exclusive licensing of Groq's AI inference technology, acquisition of key assets, and key personnel joining NVIDIA.
Capital Expenditures
- NVIDIA's capital expenditures were $1.833 billion in fiscal year 2023, $1.069 billion in fiscal year 2024, and increased to $3.236 billion in fiscal year 2025.
- Capital expenditures for the fiscal year ending January 2026 peaked at $6.042 billion.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is to support the rapid development of AI infrastructure and data center buildouts to meet the surging demand for its GPUs.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 211.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 711.2 |
| Rev LTM | 49,125 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,879 |
| FCF LTM | 10,538 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,160 |
| CFO LTM | 12,132 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,119 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 32.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 71.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 130.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 711.2 |
| P/S | 20.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 93.4 |
| P/EBIT | 41.5 |
| P/E | 48.3 |
| P/CFO | 54.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 31.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 55.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 118.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 297.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 28.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 55.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 95.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 225.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compute & Networking | 193,479 | 116,193 | 47,405 | 15,068 | 11,046 |
| Graphics | 22,459 | 14,304 | 13,517 | 11,906 | 15,868 |
| All Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 215,938 | 130,497 | 60,922 | 26,974 | 26,914 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compute & Networking | 130,141 | 82,875 | 32,016 | 5,083 | 4,598 |
| Graphics | 9,156 | 5,085 | 5,846 | 4,552 | 8,492 |
| Acquisition-related and other costs | -527 | -599 | |||
| Unallocated operating expenses | -1,997 | -1,171 | |||
| Stock-based compensation expense | -6,386 | -4,737 | |||
| All Other | -4,890 | -5,411 | -3,049 | ||
| Total | 130,387 | 81,453 | 32,972 | 4,224 | 10,041 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $212.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5,150.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/22/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $209.59 | $192.50 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.2% | 10.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.0% | 35.9% |
| Downside Capture | 232.61 | 196.24 |
| Upside Capture | 202.85 | 183.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 64.3% | 66.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.17 | 2.21 | 1.91 | 1.89 | 1.86 | 2.06 |
| Up Beta | 0.85 | 1.95 | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.61 | 2.01 |
| Down Beta | 2.18 | 2.46 | 2.52 | 1.99 | 2.11 | 1.92 |
| Up Capture | 255% | 205% | 193% | 222% | 259% | 3183% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 35 | 64 | 131 | 408 |
| Down Capture | 243% | 226% | 216% | 171% | 150% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 28 | 61 | 121 | 342 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVDA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 24.0% | 35.9% | 0.66 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 38.8% | 24.7% | 1.27 | 73.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.0% | 12.6% | 1.16 | 65.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 28.1% | 0.67 | 20.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 33.0% | 19.1% | 1.36 | 0.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.9% | 14.0% | 0.70 | -7.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -43.6% | 42.9% | -1.21 | 37.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVDA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 60.8% | 51.8% | 1.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 19.6% | 25.6% | 0.68 | 80.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 70.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 8.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 19.5% | 0.37 | 10.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 28.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.2% | 53.5% | 0.46 | 32.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVDA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 66.5% | 49.8% | 1.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.5% | 24.8% | 0.89 | 76.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 65.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.5% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 5.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 17.9% | 0.31 | 15.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 32.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.5% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 21.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/24/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/20/2026 | -1.8% | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| 2/25/2026 | -5.5% | -6.4% | -12.4% |
| 11/19/2025 | -3.2% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 8/27/2025 | -0.8% | -5.5% | -1.9% |
| 5/28/2025 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 17.0% |
| 2/26/2025 | -8.5% | -10.6% | -15.1% |
| 11/20/2024 | 0.5% | -7.2% | -7.7% |
| 8/28/2024 | -6.4% | -14.6% | -3.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 10.5% | 21.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -5.9% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 24.4% | 30.2% | 35.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -14.6% | -29.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/20/2026 | -1.8% | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| 2/25/2026 | -5.5% | -6.4% | -12.4% |
| 11/19/2025 | -3.2% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 8/27/2025 | -0.8% | -5.5% | -1.9% |
| 5/28/2025 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 17.0% |
| 2/26/2025 | -8.5% | -10.6% | -15.1% |
| 11/20/2024 | 0.5% | -7.2% | -7.7% |
| 8/28/2024 | -6.4% | -14.6% | -3.3% |
| 5/22/2024 | 9.3% | 16.4% | 24.4% |
| 2/21/2024 | 16.4% | 15.1% | 35.5% |
| 11/21/2023 | -2.5% | -3.6% | -1.9% |
| 8/23/2023 | 0.1% | 4.6% | -11.7% |
| 5/24/2023 | 24.4% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| 2/22/2023 | 14.0% | 9.4% | 31.0% |
| 11/16/2022 | -1.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| 8/8/2022 | -6.3% | -1.5% | -29.1% |
| 5/25/2022 | 5.2% | 15.4% | -0.6% |
| 2/16/2022 | -7.6% | -10.4% | -0.2% |
| 11/17/2021 | 8.2% | 11.7% | -5.0% |
| 8/18/2021 | 4.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| 5/26/2021 | -1.4% | 8.1% | 21.2% |
| 2/24/2021 | -8.2% | -11.7% | -13.5% |
| 11/18/2020 | 0.1% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 8/19/2020 | 0.0% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 10.5% | 21.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -5.9% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 24.4% | 30.2% | 35.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -14.6% | -29.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 05/20/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 11/19/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 08/27/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 05/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 11/20/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/28/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 05/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/21/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 05/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 11/18/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/31/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 05/20/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 11/19/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 08/27/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 05/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 11/20/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/28/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 05/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/21/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 05/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 11/18/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/31/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 05/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/18/2022 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2021 | 11/22/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 08/20/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 05/26/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 11/18/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 08/19/2020 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2020 | 05/21/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 02/20/2020 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2019 | 11/14/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 08/15/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/20/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2027 Revenue | 89.18 Bil | 91.00 Bil | 92.82 Bil | 16.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 78.00 Bil for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 GAAP Gross Margin | 74.4% | 74.9% | 75.4% | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 74.9% for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 74.5% | 75.0% | 75.5% | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 75.0% for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 GAAP Operating Expenses | 8.50 Bil | 10.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 7.70 Bil for Q1 2027 | |||
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses | 8.30 Bil | 10.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 7.50 Bil for Q1 2027 | |||
| 2027 Tax Rate | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 18.0% for 2027 | |
Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2027 Revenue | 76.44 Bil | 78.00 Bil | 79.56 Bil | 20.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 65.00 Bil for Q4 2026 | |
| Q1 2027 GAAP Gross Margin | 74.4% | 74.9% | 75.4% | 0.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 74.8% for Q4 2026 | |
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 74.5% | 75.0% | 75.5% | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 75.0% for Q4 2026 | |
| Q1 2027 GAAP Operating Expenses | 7.70 Bil | 14.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 6.70 Bil for Q4 2026 | |||
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses | 7.50 Bil | 50.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 5.00 Bil for Q4 2026 | |||
| 2027 GAAP Tax Rate | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | ||||
| 2027 Non-GAAP Tax Rate | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | ||||
Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/19/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Revenue | 65.00 Bil | 20.4% | Higher New | Actual: 54.00 Bil for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 GAAP Gross Margin | 74.8% | 1.5% | Higher New | Actual: 73.3% for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 75.0% | 1.5% | Higher New | Actual: 73.5% for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 GAAP Operating Expenses | 6.70 Bil | 13.6% | Higher New | Actual: 5.90 Bil for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses | 5.00 Bil | 19.0% | Higher New | Actual: 4.20 Bil for Q3 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 210.17 | 885,000 | 185,999,938 | 1,094,409,135 | Form | |
| 2 | Neal, Stephen C | The Neal/Rhyu Revocable Trust dated 5/2/2017 | Sell | 6052026 | 215.73 | 15,500 | 3,343,863 | 25,054,164 | Form | |
| 3 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6042026 | 219.83 | 500,000 | 109,913,900 | 1,406,847,579 | Form | |
| 4 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6042026 | 222.38 | 500,000 | 111,188,700 | 1,534,353,136 | Form | |
| 5 | Dabiri, John | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 214.00 | 625 | 133,750 | 3,030,882 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6232026 | 210.17 | 885,000 | 185,999,938 | 1,094,409,135 | Form | |
| 2 | Neal, Stephen C | The Neal/Rhyu Revocable Trust dated 5/2/2017 | Sell | 6052026 | 215.73 | 15,500 | 3,343,863 | 25,054,164 | Form | |
| 3 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6042026 | 219.83 | 500,000 | 109,913,900 | 1,406,847,579 | Form | |
| 4 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 6042026 | 222.38 | 500,000 | 111,188,700 | 1,534,353,136 | Form | |
| 5 | Dabiri, John | Direct | Sell | 5292026 | 214.00 | 625 | 133,750 | 3,030,882 | Form | |
| 6 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 3242026 | 173.68 | 221,682 | 38,502,524 | 1,285,218,746 | Form | |
| 7 | Robertson, Donald F JR | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 174.75 | 5,396 | 942,944 | 58,911,286 | Form |
| 8 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 174.89 | 42,650 | 7,458,954 | 154,143,618 | Form |
| 9 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 3202026 | 174.89 | 10,000 | 1,748,876 | 14,526,164 | Form |
| 10 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 3202026 | 174.89 | 10,000 | 1,748,876 | 124,683,295 | Form |
| 11 | Shah, Aarti S | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 176.71 | 19,000 | 3,357,549 | 6,362,909 | Form | |
| 12 | Puri, Ajay K | EVP, Worldwide Field Ops | Trust | Sell | 3202026 | 182.25 | 300,000 | 54,676,140 | 550,141,658 | Form |
| 13 | Dabiri, John | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 184.90 | 3,004 | 555,440 | 2,734,301 | Form | |
| 14 | Puri, Ajay K | EVP, Worldwide Field Ops | Trust | Sell | 3112026 | 182.52 | 300,000 | 54,756,044 | 605,701,681 | Form |
| 15 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2062026 | 175.72 | 27,640 | 4,856,861 | 148,793,566 | Form |
| 16 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 2062026 | 175.72 | 10,000 | 1,757,186 | 16,352,372 | Form |
| 17 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 2062026 | 175.72 | 10,000 | 1,757,186 | 127,032,942 | Form |
| 18 | Puri, Ajay K | EVP, Worldwide Field Ops | Trust | Sell | 1232026 | 180.04 | 200,000 | 36,007,160 | 651,468,004 | Form |
| 19 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1152026 | 184.92 | 27,640 | 5,111,185 | 161,696,145 | Form |
| 20 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 1152026 | 184.92 | 10,000 | 1,849,199 | 19,057,842 | Form |
| 21 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 1152026 | 184.92 | 10,000 | 1,849,198 | 135,534,045 | Form |
| 22 | Puri, Ajay K | EVP, Worldwide Field Ops | Trust | Sell | 1092026 | 187.82 | 200,000 | 37,563,619 | 717,192,230 | Form |
| 23 | Robertson, Donald F JR | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 189.85 | 80,000 | 15,187,742 | 65,850,253 | Form |
| 24 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 12222025 | 180.17 | 222,500 | 40,087,380 | 1,373,141,944 | Form | |
| 25 | Robertson, Donald F JR | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 179.98 | 24,590 | 4,425,727 | 76,826,583 | Form |
| 26 | Jones, Harvey C | H.C. Jones Living Trust | Sell | 12172025 | 177.33 | 250,000 | 44,333,450 | 1,229,504,889 | Form | |
| 27 | Shoquist, Debora | EVP, Operations | Trust | Sell | 12122025 | 177.85 | 69,840 | 12,420,972 | 253,364,165 | Form |
| 28 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 178.11 | 30,500 | 5,432,499 | 229,202,640 | Form |
| 29 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 12122025 | 178.11 | 10,000 | 1,781,147 | 20,137,647 | Form |
| 30 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 12122025 | 178.11 | 10,000 | 1,781,147 | 132,327,462 | Form |
| 31 | Shoquist, Debora | EVP, Operations | Trust | Sell | 12122025 | 178.90 | 80,000 | 14,311,661 | 267,349,523 | Form |
| 32 | Shoquist, Debora | EVP, Operations | Trust | Sell | 12122025 | 183.52 | 80,000 | 14,681,882 | 288,947,330 | Form |
| 33 | Shoquist, Debora | EVP, Operations | Trust | Sell | 12102025 | 184.65 | 80,000 | 14,771,657 | 305,485,807 | Form |
| 34 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 12092025 | 181.73 | 350,000 | 63,604,065 | 1,281,131,795 | Form | |
| 35 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 12042025 | 183.93 | 12,728 | Form | |||
| 36 | Dabiri, John | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 179.42 | 626 | 112,317 | 3,192,241 | Form | |
| 37 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11052025 | 208.33 | 27,640 | 5,758,257 | 589,184,237 | Form |
| 38 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 11052025 | 208.33 | 10,000 | 2,083,307 | 25,637,172 | Form |
| 39 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 11052025 | 208.33 | 10,000 | 2,083,306 | 156,859,158 | Form |
| 40 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10312025 | 207.91 | 25,000 | 5,197,790 | 14,498,342,411 | Form |
| 41 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 195.54 | 25,000 | 4,888,535 | 13,640,617,644 | Form |
| 42 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 190.73 | 25,000 | 4,768,182 | 13,309,561,796 | Form |
| 43 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 185.35 | 75,000 | 13,901,544 | 12,939,224,349 | Form |
| 44 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10232025 | 181.80 | 75,000 | 13,635,063 | 12,704,825,415 | Form |
| 45 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10232025 | 179.91 | 75,000 | 13,493,288 | 12,586,215,469 | Form |
| 46 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 10232025 | 181.42 | 27,640 | 5,014,328 | 518,079,827 | Form |
| 47 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 10232025 | 181.42 | 10,000 | 1,814,157 | 24,139,172 | Form |
| 48 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 10232025 | 181.42 | 10,000 | 1,814,156 | 138,408,121 | Form |
| 49 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10232025 | 181.41 | 75,000 | 13,606,049 | 12,705,002,559 | Form |
| 50 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 183.38 | 75,000 | 13,753,151 | 12,856,116,475 | Form |
| 51 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 182.31 | 75,000 | 13,673,240 | 12,795,090,611 | Form |
| 52 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 181.76 | 75,000 | 13,632,010 | 12,770,140,804 | Form |
| 53 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10152025 | 181.01 | 75,000 | 13,575,880 | 12,731,134,941 | Form |
| 54 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10152025 | 181.92 | 75,000 | 13,644,305 | 12,808,947,064 | Form |
| 55 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10152025 | 188.25 | 75,000 | 14,118,378 | 13,268,113,081 | Form |
| 56 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 190.20 | 75,000 | 14,264,674 | 13,419,863,572 | Form |
| 57 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 193.22 | 75,000 | 14,491,149 | 13,647,417,176 | Form |
| 58 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 188.39 | 75,000 | 14,129,278 | 13,320,744,763 | Form |
| 59 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 186.48 | 75,000 | 13,986,018 | 13,199,668,594 | Form |
| 60 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 185.79 | 75,000 | 13,934,390 | 13,164,877,814 | Form |
| 61 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 188.40 | 75,000 | 14,130,231 | 13,364,033,567 | Form |
| 62 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 189.32 | 75,000 | 14,199,274 | 13,443,532,145 | Form |
| 63 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 186.61 | 75,000 | 13,995,480 | 13,264,580,200 | Form |
| 64 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 185.31 | 75,000 | 13,898,548 | 13,186,608,871 | Form |
| 65 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 182.34 | 75,000 | 13,675,415 | 12,988,581,220 | Form |
| 66 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 176.96 | 75,000 | 13,272,108 | 12,618,802,515 | Form |
| 67 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 177.15 | 75,000 | 13,286,198 | 12,645,484,793 | Form |
| 68 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 177.60 | 75,000 | 13,320,009 | 12,690,985,011 | Form |
| 69 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 179.48 | 75,000 | 13,460,870 | 12,838,655,038 | Form |
| 70 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 179.01 | 75,000 | 13,425,474 | 12,818,321,241 | Form |
| 71 | Drell, Persis | The Welch-Drell 2009 Revocable Trust | Sell | 9232025 | 177.65 | 40,000 | 7,106,120 | 24,647,577 | Form | |
| 72 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 9232025 | 176.39 | 350,000 | 61,737,305 | 1,305,268,271 | Form | |
| 73 | Jones, Harvey C | H.C. Jones Living Trust | Sell | 9222025 | 176.21 | 250,000 | 44,053,700 | 1,265,800,249 | Form | |
| 74 | Robertson, Donald F JR | Principal Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 176.37 | 3,500 | 617,298 | 80,573,281 | Form |
| 75 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 176.40 | 30,500 | 5,380,183 | 508,630,538 | Form |
| 76 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 9192025 | 176.40 | 10,000 | 1,763,995 | 25,235,706 | Form |
| 77 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 9192025 | 176.40 | 10,000 | 1,763,994 | 136,345,084 | Form |
| 78 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 176.42 | 75,000 | 13,231,586 | 12,646,432,400 | Form |
| 79 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 175.69 | 75,000 | 13,177,125 | 12,607,557,409 | Form |
| 80 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9192025 | 170.30 | 75,000 | 12,772,838 | 12,233,518,447 | Form |
| 81 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 175.68 | 75,000 | 13,176,267 | 12,640,145,431 | Form |
| 82 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 176.57 | 75,000 | 13,242,958 | 12,717,365,726 | Form |
| 83 | Neal, Stephen C | The Neal/Rhyu Revocable Trust dated 5/2/2017 | Sell | 9162025 | 177.58 | 28,000 | 4,972,344 | 25,467,278 | Form | |
| 84 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 177.72 | 75,000 | 13,329,006 | 12,813,327,606 | Form |
| 85 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 9152025 | 178.19 | 297,797 | 53,064,418 | 1,380,936,622 | Form | |
| 86 | Stevens, Mark A | Trust | Sell | 9152025 | 177.47 | 200,000 | 35,494,020 | 1,428,208,377 | Form | |
| 87 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 177.69 | 75,000 | 13,326,447 | 12,824,193,709 | Form |
| 88 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 177.57 | 75,000 | 13,317,962 | 12,829,346,607 | Form |
| 89 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 168.52 | 75,000 | 12,639,334 | 12,188,255,542 | Form |
| 90 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 169.71 | 75,000 | 12,728,128 | 12,286,608,761 | Form |
| 91 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 166.47 | 75,000 | 12,485,261 | 12,064,652,152 | Form |
| 92 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 170.68 | 75,000 | 12,800,957 | 12,382,513,902 | Form |
| 93 | Hudson, Dawn E | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 172.00 | 18,000 | 3,096,000 | 63,448,564 | Form | |
| 94 | Hudson, Dawn E | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 170.63 | 72,000 | 12,285,065 | 66,012,943 | Form | |
| 95 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 170.69 | 75,000 | 12,801,717 | 12,396,050,223 | Form |
| 96 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 169.65 | 75,000 | 12,723,419 | 12,332,956,887 | Form |
| 97 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 174.46 | 75,000 | 13,084,531 | 12,696,071,448 | Form |
| 98 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 179.76 | 75,000 | 13,482,287 | 13,095,476,058 | Form |
| 99 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 181.82 | 75,000 | 13,636,256 | 13,258,663,933 | Form |
| 100 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 181.38 | 75,000 | 13,603,815 | 13,240,725,078 | Form |
| 101 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 182.01 | 75,000 | 13,650,506 | 13,299,820,009 | Form |
| 102 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 182.74 | 75,000 | 13,705,213 | 13,366,826,325 | Form |
| 103 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 182.38 | 75,000 | 13,678,621 | 13,354,569,819 | Form |
| 104 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 181.30 | 75,000 | 13,597,693 | 13,289,157,132 | Form |
| 105 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 178.42 | 75,000 | 13,381,240 | 13,090,996,200 | Form |
| 106 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8062025 | 178.06 | 27,640 | 4,921,456 | 526,488,225 | Form |
| 107 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 8062025 | 178.06 | 10,000 | 1,780,555 | 27,253,181 | Form |
| 108 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 8062025 | 178.06 | 10,000 | 1,780,555 | 139,405,725 | Form |
| 109 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 178.24 | 75,000 | 13,367,986 | 13,091,398,102 | Form |
| 110 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 178.16 | 75,000 | 13,362,129 | 13,099,024,675 | Form |
| 111 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 174.00 | 75,000 | 13,049,778 | 12,805,873,476 | Form |
| 112 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7312025 | 179.94 | 75,000 | 13,495,365 | 13,256,627,492 | Form |
| 113 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7312025 | 178.74 | 75,000 | 13,405,475 | 13,181,733,210 | Form |
| 114 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7312025 | 177.06 | 75,000 | 13,279,434 | 13,071,074,838 | Form |
| 115 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7282025 | 175.22 | 75,000 | 13,141,830 | 12,948,771,718 | Form |
| 116 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7282025 | 173.88 | 75,000 | 13,041,334 | 12,862,793,433 | Form |
| 117 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7282025 | 172.96 | 75,000 | 12,971,847 | 12,807,229,746 | Form |
| 118 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 169.54 | 75,000 | 12,715,423 | 12,566,775,694 | Form |
| 119 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 167.65 | 75,000 | 12,574,020 | 12,439,599,258 | Form |
| 120 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 172.42 | 75,000 | 12,931,301 | 12,805,992,491 | Form |
| 121 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7182025 | 172.52 | 75,000 | 12,938,765 | 12,826,322,858 | Form |
| 122 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7182025 | 173.05 | 75,000 | 12,978,797 | 12,878,985,664 | Form |
| 123 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7182025 | 170.59 | 75,000 | 12,794,200 | 12,708,602,947 | Form |
| 124 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7172025 | 170.89 | 27,650 | 4,724,971 | 510,009,118 | Form |
| 125 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Trust | Sell | 7172025 | 170.88 | 10,000 | 1,708,850 | 27,864,507 | Form |
| 126 | Kress, Colette | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Limited Liability Company | Sell | 7172025 | 170.88 | 10,000 | 1,708,850 | 135,500,501 | Form |
| 127 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7152025 | 170.89 | 75,000 | 12,816,805 | 12,743,872,834 | Form |
| 128 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7152025 | 163.96 | 48,792 | 7,999,924 | 283,564,761 | Form | |
| 129 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7152025 | 164.36 | 75,000 | 12,327,082 | 12,269,264,015 | Form |
| 130 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7152025 | 166.28 | 48,112 | 7,999,983 | 295,687,752 | Form | |
| 131 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7152025 | 166.00 | 75,000 | 12,450,159 | 12,404,213,811 | Form |
| 132 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7102025 | 163.26 | 75,000 | 12,244,385 | 12,211,443,250 | Form |
| 133 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7102025 | 162.83 | 49,131 | 7,999,868 | 297,384,829 | Form | |
| 134 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7102025 | 163.11 | 75,000 | 12,233,616 | 12,212,936,834 | Form |
| 135 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7102025 | 163.36 | 48,971 | 7,999,963 | 306,386,101 | Form | |
| 136 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7102025 | 159.36 | 75,000 | 11,952,013 | 11,943,761,854 | Form |
| 137 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7102025 | 159.05 | 50,300 | 7,999,967 | 306,079,698 | Form | |
| 138 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7072025 | 158.35 | 75,000 | 11,876,160 | 11,879,837,339 | Form |
| 139 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7072025 | 158.37 | 50,514 | 7,999,871 | 312,745,324 | Form | |
| 140 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7072025 | 159.32 | 75,000 | 11,948,717 | 11,964,366,069 | Form |
| 141 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7072025 | 156.39 | 75,000 | 11,729,115 | 11,756,205,742 | Form |
| 142 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7072025 | 155.61 | 51,411 | 7,999,918 | 315,150,821 | Form | |
| 143 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7012025 | 154.62 | 51,740 | 7,999,955 | 243,788,203 | Form | |
| 144 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 154.27 | 75,000 | 11,570,584 | 11,608,878,855 | Form |
| 145 | Seawell, A Brooke | Administrative Trust | Sell | 7012025 | 157.13 | 50,912 | 7,999,893 | 255,881,084 | Form | |
| 146 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 157.53 | 75,000 | 11,815,013 | 11,865,932,220 | Form |
| 147 | Huang, Jen Hsun | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 157.02 | 75,000 | 11,776,126 | 11,838,653,022 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 23, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Unicorn (BVI) Ltd | $413.1 Mil | 59.3% | 4 | Hold | 13F |
| M & L Capital Management Ltd | $204.2 Mil | 50.2% | 19 | Hold | 13F |
| Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd | $257.9 Mil | 47.8% | 15 | ADD +73.8% | 13F |
| Ketron Financial | $124.0 Mil | 44.4% | 55 | Hold | 13F |
| Mindset Wealth Management, LLC | $165.0 Mil | 44.3% | 176 | Hold | 13F |
| Westwood Wealth Management | $98.3 Mil | 38.6% | 42 | New | 13F |
| Nelson Capital Management, LLC | $284.3 Mil | 34.7% | 108 | Hold | 13F |
| Hoey Investments, Inc | $232.9 Mil | 34.4% | 416 | Hold | 13F |
| Lynch Asset Management, Inc. | $93.9 Mil | 31.5% | 51 | Hold | 13F |
| Clear Street Group Inc. | $5.5 Bil | 31.1% | 1065 | Hold | 13F |
| Trybe Capital Management LP | $136.2 Mil | 30.8% | 6 | Hold | 13F |
| IronBridge Private Wealth, LLC | $94.0 Mil | 30.3% | 78 | Hold | 13F |
| Builder Investment Group Inc /Adv | $137.0 Mil | 29.7% | 101 | Hold | 13F |
| Altimeter Capital Management, LP | $1.6 Bil | 28.6% | 13 | ADD +15.3% | 13F |
| Voyager Global Management LP | $819.7 Mil | 27.9% | 8 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| Once Capital Management, LLC | $98.0 Mil | 26.2% | 22 | Hold | 13F |
| KLCM Advisors, Inc. | $261.5 Mil | 22.8% | 256 | Hold | 13F |
| Belvedere Trading LLC | $163.8 Mil | 21.9% | 227 | New | 13F |
| BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd | $463.5 Mil | 21.8% | 41 | New | 13F |
| Matthew 25 Management Corp | $65.6 Mil | 21.8% | 20 | TRIM -11.5% | 13F |
| Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC | $650.2 Mil | 21.7% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Franchise GP Ltd | $56.9 Mil | 20.9% | 36 | ADD +158.3% | 13F |
| Yarbrough Capital, LLC | $569.0 Mil | 19.9% | 85 | Hold | 13F |
| MayTech Global Investments, LLC | $162.6 Mil | 19.8% | 23 | Hold | 13F |
| Oriental Harbor Investment Master Fund | $224.2 Mil | 19.8% | 12 | Hold | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC | $650.2 Mil | 21.7% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Scge Management, L.P. | $529.1 Mil | 16.0% | 21 | New | 13F |
| BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd | $463.5 Mil | 21.8% | 41 | New | 13F |
| Quintet Private Bank (Europe) S.A. | $222.0 Mil | 14.9% | 187 | New | 13F |
| Belvedere Trading LLC | $163.8 Mil | 21.9% | 227 | New | 13F |
| Westwood Wealth Management | $98.3 Mil | 38.6% | 42 | New | 13F |
| Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych Pzu SA | $49.2 Mil | 16.5% | 687 | New | 13F |
| Franchise GP Ltd | $56.9 Mil | 20.9% | 36 | ADD +158.3% | 13F |
| Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd | $257.9 Mil | 47.8% | 15 | ADD +73.8% | 13F |
| Voyager Global Management LP | $819.7 Mil | 27.9% | 8 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| Altimeter Capital Management, LP | $1.6 Bil | 28.6% | 13 | ADD +15.3% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK Capital Management, LLC/FL | $829.5 Mil | 51.4% | 20 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Cantor Fitzgerald, L. P. | $559.6 Mil | 16.7% | 159 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Cable Car Capital, LP | $414.0 Mil | 25.7% | 107 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Himension Capital (Singapore) PTE. LTD. | $282.4 Mil | 17.4% | 95 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Traynor Capital Management, Inc. | $266.8 Mil | 14.7% | 327 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Harbour Trust & Investment Management Co | $151.8 Mil | 15.5% | 286 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Institute for Wealth Management, LLC. | $140.5 Mil | 14.9% | 538 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Marathon Trading Investment Management LLC | $131.6 Mil | 15.7% | 233 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| CFM Wealth Partners LLC | $101.9 Mil | 14.7% | 144 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Quarry LP | $93.6 Mil | 15.3% | 2064 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Austin Asset Management Co Inc | $91.9 Mil | 15.1% | 76 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Oak Grove Capital LLC | $81.1 Mil | 16.1% | 74 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Berkshire Capital Holdings Inc | $73.1 Mil | 24.2% | 109 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Ariose Capital Management Ltd | $60.7 Mil | 20.3% | 14 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Proem Advisors LLC | $43.8 Mil | 14.8% | 28 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Weiss Asset Management LP | $973.4 Mil | 17.9% | 472 | TRIM -16.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Matthew 25 Management Corp | $65.6 Mil | 21.8% | 20 | TRIM -11.5% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Bender Robert & Associates | $77.7 Mil | 18.6% | 45 | TRIM -6.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| DSM Capital Partners LLC | $908.3 Mil | 16.1% | 44 | TRIM -5.7% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clear Street Group Inc. | $5.5 Bil | 31.1% | 1065 | Hold | 13F |
| Altimeter Capital Management, LP | $1.6 Bil | 28.6% | 13 | ADD +15.3% | 13F |
| Weiss Asset Management LP | $973.4 Mil | 17.9% | 472 | TRIM -16.0% | 13F |
| DSM Capital Partners LLC | $908.3 Mil | 16.1% | 44 | TRIM -5.7% | 13F |
| Voyager Global Management LP | $819.7 Mil | 27.9% | 8 | ADD +22.1% | 13F |
| Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC | $650.2 Mil | 21.7% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Yarbrough Capital, LLC | $569.0 Mil | 19.9% | 85 | Hold | 13F |
| Scge Management, L.P. | $529.1 Mil | 16.0% | 21 | New | 13F |
| BSN CAPITAL PARTNERS Ltd | $463.5 Mil | 21.8% | 41 | New | 13F |
| Golden Unicorn (BVI) Ltd | $413.1 Mil | 59.3% | 4 | Hold | 13F |
| Nelson Capital Management, LLC | $284.3 Mil | 34.7% | 108 | Hold | 13F |
| KLCM Advisors, Inc. | $261.5 Mil | 22.8% | 256 | Hold | 13F |
| Palidye Holdings (Caymans) Ltd | $257.9 Mil | 47.8% | 15 | ADD +73.8% | 13F |
| Hoey Investments, Inc | $232.9 Mil | 34.4% | 416 | Hold | 13F |
| Oriental Harbor Investment Master Fund | $224.2 Mil | 19.8% | 12 | Hold | 13F |
| Quintet Private Bank (Europe) S.A. | $222.0 Mil | 14.9% | 187 | New | 13F |
| M & L Capital Management Ltd | $204.2 Mil | 50.2% | 19 | Hold | 13F |
| Dock Street Asset Management Inc | $176.6 Mil | 18.6% | 58 | Hold | 13F |
| Mindset Wealth Management, LLC | $165.0 Mil | 44.3% | 176 | Hold | 13F |
| Belvedere Trading LLC | $163.8 Mil | 21.9% | 227 | New | 13F |
| MayTech Global Investments, LLC | $162.6 Mil | 19.8% | 23 | Hold | 13F |
| Prime Capital Management Co Ltd | $154.2 Mil | 17.3% | 7 | Hold | 13F |
| Builder Investment Group Inc /Adv | $137.0 Mil | 29.7% | 101 | Hold | 13F |
| Trybe Capital Management LP | $136.2 Mil | 30.8% | 6 | Hold | 13F |
| Ketron Financial | $124.0 Mil | 44.4% | 55 | Hold | 13F |
NVDA Trade Sentinel
High Conviction
CONVICTION RATIONALE
NVIDIA's Data Center revenue growth accelerated to 92% year-over-year, driven by its next-generation Blackwell platform. The company's competitive position is secured by a 7.5 million-strong CUDA developer ecosystem. Management has expressed confidence in securing $1 trillion in revenue from its Blackwell and Rubin platforms through calendar 2027, indicating a durable growth runway.
STOCK ARCHETYPE
Capital Equipment / Infrastructure Provider(Number of AI systems sold) x (Average Selling Price per system) Mix shift towards higher-value, higher-margin, full-stack data center solutions which include compute, networking, and software.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Evidence suggests yes. NVIDIA's integrated hardware and software platform is the industry standard, with massive forward visibility into future demand from every major cloud provider and AI model maker.
- Management has visibility to $1 trillion in revenue from its Blackwell and Rubin platforms through 2027.
- Data Center revenue growth accelerated to 92% year-over-year in the most recent quarter.
- The CUDA software ecosystem has grown to over 7.5 million developers, creating high switching costs.
- The company powers over 78% of the supercomputers on the global TOP500 list.
- Cloud rental prices for the H100 GPU have risen 20% year-to-date, indicating intense demand.
PRIMARY RISK
The primary risk is an expansion of U.S. government export controls. The company is already 'effectively foreclosed' from China's data center market, which it states has harmed its competitive position. Further restrictions on other geographies or products would structurally impair the company's addressable market and revenue potential.
- The company is 'effectively foreclosed from competing in China's data center computing/compute market'.
- Export controls have already harmed the company's competitive position and may continue to do so.
- A prior $4.5 billion charge was incurred for excess inventory related to products impacted by export rules.
- Three direct customers accounted for 21%, 17%, and 16% of revenue, concentrating geographic risk.
| KPI | Status | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Data Center Revenue Growth | $75.2 billion for the quarter ended April 26, 2026 - Accelerating | The year-over-year growth rate has increased for three consecutive quarters, indicating powerful acceleration. Management attributes this to the rapid ramp of its Blackwell architecture systems and strong demand across its diverse customer base, including hyperscalers, AI cloud providers, and sovereign AI initiatives. |
| Networking Revenue Growth | $15 billion for the quarter ended April 26, 2026 - Stable | Networking is consistently highlighted as a cornerstone of the data-center-scale strategy. Management stated its Spectrum-X Ethernet platform is now larger than all Ethernet network peers combined, reinforcing its critical role in building large-scale 'AI factories'. |
| CUDA Developer Ecosystem Size | Over 7.5 million developers (Fiscal Year 2026) | Indicates the breadth and depth of the software moat, as a large developer base creates a powerful flywheel effect, increasing the value of the platform for customers. |
| TOP500 Supercomputer Share | Powers over 78% of systems (Fiscal Year 2026) | Demonstrates dominance in the high-performance computing (HPC) market, a key indicator of technological leadership and a leading indicator for broader data center adoption. |
Inventory Build: Strategic Foresight or Demand Misread?
BULL VIEW
Bulls see the 127.6% inventory growth and $145 billion in supply commitments as necessary investments to meet 'parabolic' demand for next-generation platforms, securing future revenue and preventing supply shortages that would cede share to rivals.
CORE TENSION
Can 'parabolic' demand absorb a 127.6% inventory build, or will this lead to a margin-crushing supply glut?
PREVAILING SENTIMENT
The bull case is currently stronger. Management's $1 trillion revenue visibility and new major customer wins provide confidence that the inventory build is a planned response to unprecedented demand.
BEAR VIEW
Bears worry the inventory build, which significantly outpaces 85.2% revenue growth, signals a potential future supply glut. If demand softens, this could lead to significant inventory write-downs and severe margin pressure, repeating past cyclical downturns.
| Timeline | Event & Metric To Watch |
|---|---|
8/20/2026 | Marvell Technology Earnings Report Watch: Peer Marvell Technology (MRVL) is scheduled to report earnings. |
starting in Q3 | VeraRubin Platform Shipments Begin Watch: Production shipments of the VeraRubin platform are scheduled to commence. |
9/2/2026 | Broadcom Earnings Report Watch: Peer Broadcom (AVGO) is scheduled to report earnings. |
10/21/2026, 11/2/2026 | Peer Competitive Pressure Watch: Peer commentary on AI accelerator market share, supply, customer wins, and future product roadmaps. |
11/17/2026 | Product Transition Execution Friction Watch: Management commentary on Rubin ramp progress, supply chain status, and any new inventory provisions in the Q3 report. |
11/17/2026 | NVIDIA Q3 Earnings Report Watch: NVIDIA is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings. |
after a two-year transitional period | EU AI Act Compliance Deadline Watch: The EU AI Act is scheduled to become fully applicable after a two-year transitional period that began August 1, 2024. |
No set date | China Export Control Escalation Watch: New US Commerce Dept rules or Chinese regulatory announcements targeting NVIDIA or US semiconductors. |
No set date | Antitrust Investigation Developments Watch: Official announcements from competition authorities in key jurisdictions regarding investigations into NVIDIA. |
| Date | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
2026-07-20 | New Customer Wins Announced Details: In July, Bristol Myers Squibb announced it would build an AI factory with NVIDIA, and neocloud provider QumulusAI announced the purchase of 1,632 Blackwell B300 GPUs. | +2.2% $202.81 -> $207.29 |
2026-05-20 | Q1 Earnings and Guidance Raise Details: The company reported Q1 revenue of $81.6 billion, up 85% year-over-year, and raised its Q2 revenue guidance by 16.7%. | -0.5% $220.35 -> $219.25 |
2026-05-18 | Dividend Increased and New Buyback Details: The company increased its quarterly dividend from $0.01 to $0.25 per share and announced a new $80 billion share repurchase authorization. | -2.1% $225.06 -> $220.35 |
2026-04-19 | SK Hynix Starts Rubin Memory Production Details: SK Hynix announced it began mass production of 192GB high-capacity memory products specifically designed for the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform. | +1.9% $198.12 -> $201.82 |
2026-02-25 | Rubin Platform Unveiled Details: The company unveiled the Rubin platform at CES, comprised of six new chips including the Vera CPU and Rubin GPU, expected to reduce inference token costs by up to 10x. | -4.1% $192.62 -> $184.66 |
Position Sizing
4% - 6%
NORMAL POSITION
Sizing is volatility-based: NVDA trades at roughly 40% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 15% for the S&P 500 (2.7x the market), around the 67th percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.
Diversification Alternatives
AMD - Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AI Accelerator CompetitorOffers direct exposure to the AI accelerator market without NVIDIA's extreme valuation. AMD is aggressively targeting this space, with management expressing confidence in delivering tens of billions in annual Data Center AI revenue by 2027.
INTC - Intel Corporation
CPU-Centric AI TurnaroundProvides exposure to the AI buildout through the data center CPU, which management sees as an 'indispensable foundation'. Intel offers a value-oriented turnaround story compared to NVIDIA's high-growth profile.
NVIDIA is not a chip company; it is the full-stack provider of 'AI factories,' the fundamental capital equipment for the AI industrial revolution.
NVIDIA has evolved from a graphics chip maker into a data center-scale AI infrastructure company. Its integrated platform of hardware, software (CUDA), and networking is the de facto standard for building and operating AI models. This platform strategy, with its deep software moat and rapid annual product cadence, allows it to capture a significant portion of the value in the AI infrastructure build-out.
Announcements of new large-scale 'AI factory' build-outs by hyperscalers, enterprises, or sovereign nations; benchmarks showing continued performance leadership (e.g., MLPerf); expansion of the CUDA software ecosystem.
Evidence of competitors (e.g., AMD, Intel, cloud-internal ASICs) achieving comparable performance at scale on key AI workloads; a significant slowdown in the complexity or training requirements of frontier AI models; further tightening of export controls to key markets.
Short-term stock price volatility; individual competitor product announcements without accompanying performance benchmarks at scale; minor shifts in consumer gaming demand.
Repricing Catalyst
The production ramp and market adoption of the Blackwell and upcoming Rubin platforms, which promise significant generational performance gains and are expected to drive the next leg of revenue growth.
Compute & Networking
$193.5B TTM (90% of Total) · 67% MarginWhat It Is
Sells Data Center accelerated computing platforms, AI solutions, networking platforms (InfiniBand, Ethernet), and Automotive platforms to cloud providers, AI model makers, enterprises, startups, and public sector entities.
Who Pays & How
Cloud service providers and large enterprises write the checks to build 'AI factories' that can train and deploy complex AI models, as NVIDIA's integrated platform offers the lowest cost per token and highest performance per watt.
Competition
Graphics
$22.5B TTM (10% of Total) · 41% MarginWhat It Is
Sells GeForce GPUs for gaming PCs, the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service, and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics to gamers, creators, artists, architects, and designers.
Who Pays & How
PC gamers and professionals pay for GPUs to enable high-quality graphics for immersive gaming and to accelerate workflows in design, engineering, and digital content creation.
Competition
NVIDIA — Investor Video Playlist










Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Semiconductors Resources |
| EE Times |
| Semiconductor Engineering |
| Semiconductor Digest |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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