Kyndryl (KD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.11 | Market Cap: $6.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Kyndryl (KD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.11Market Cap: $6.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.5% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.5% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -17.3% stock movement for Kyndryl (KD) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Consecutive Revenue Misses: Kyndryl reported revenues below analyst consensus estimates for both the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended June 30, 2025, reported August 4, 2025) and the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended September 30, 2025, reported November 4, 2025). The Q1 revenue of $3.74 billion missed expectations by 4.6%, and the Q2 revenue of $3.72 billion missed by 2.49% year-over-year, indicating persistent challenges in achieving top-line growth.
2. Ongoing Pressure from Legacy Contracts: The company continued to face risks and revenue volatility stemming from the erosion of inherited legacy contracts. This ongoing exposure likely contributed to investor uncertainty regarding the completeness and effectiveness of Kyndryl's transformation towards higher-margin services.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KD Return | - | - | -39% | 87% | 67% | -26% | 42% |
| Peers Return | -19% | 7% | -17% | 29% | -24% | -43% | -60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KD Win Rate | - | 50% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 54% | 38% | 67% | 46% | 35% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KD Max Drawdown | - | - | -55% | 0% | -7% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -13% | -28% | -7% | -31% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 395.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 845 days | 464 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI
In The Past
Kyndryl's stock fell -79.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/22/2021. A -79.8% loss requires a 395.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kyndryl
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| Rev LTM | 15,008 |
| Op Inc LTM | 593 |
| FCF LTM | 302 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 376 |
| CFO LTM | 863 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 569 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.1 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.3 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -33.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -48.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -37.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5302025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5302024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5262023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-QT 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |