Badger Meter (BMI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $180.76 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Badger Meter (BMI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $180.76Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% | Key risksBMI key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the unpredictable spending of public utilities and [2] intense competition within the smart water solutions market. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Smart Metering, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% |
| Key risksBMI key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the unpredictable spending of public utilities and [2] intense competition within the smart water solutions market. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BMI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Technical analysis around December 5, 2025, indicated "Sell" signals for Badger Meter (BMI), with its stock price trading below key moving averages, such as the 200-day simple moving average of $201.99. 2. Weiss Ratings downgraded Badger Meter's rating from a "buy (b-)" to a "hold (c+)" on October 8, 2025, which may have dampened investor enthusiasm within the specified period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BMI Return | 46% | 14% | 3% | 43% | 38% | -13% | 197% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 22% | -24% | 40% | 29% | 12% | 122% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BMI Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 83% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 63% | 35% | 58% | 57% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BMI Max Drawdown | -34% | -4% | -31% | -3% | -9% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -11% | -38% | -4% | -8% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITRI, XYL, MWA, WTS, PNR. See BMI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BMI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2290 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AEIS, ITRI, OSIS, PAR, MVIS
In The Past
Badger Meter's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 08312022 | BMI | Badger Meter | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 27.3% | 76.6% | -4.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 08312022 | BMI | Badger Meter | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 27.3% | 76.6% | -4.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Badger Meter
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 120.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,381 |
| Op Inc LTM | 374 |
| FCF LTM | 343 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 252 |
| CFO LTM | 377 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 282 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.3 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 22.0 |
| P/E | 28.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 93.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | -5.4% | -2.3% | -8.0% |
| 7/22/2025 | -16.5% | -21.5% | -23.5% |
| 4/17/2025 | 9.6% | 18.3% | 33.2% |
| 1/31/2025 | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| 10/17/2024 | -6.3% | -7.8% | -0.1% |
| 7/19/2024 | -1.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| 4/18/2024 | 16.7% | 19.7% | 28.3% |
| 1/26/2024 | -5.6% | -4.6% | 3.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| # Negative | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.5% | -4.6% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 16.7% | 19.7% | 33.2% |
| Max Negative | -16.5% | -21.5% | -23.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4182025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10182024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7222024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4192024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |