Tearsheet

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $183.67 | Market Cap: $436.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)


Market Price (12/13/2025): $183.67
Market Cap: $436.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 111x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 510x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 239x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 396x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
4  Short seller report
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 111x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 510x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 239x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 396x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
7 Short seller report

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PLTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 13, 2025:

1. Palantir reported exceptional Q3 2025 earnings results. The company announced its third-quarter results on November 3, 2025, with total revenue growing 63% year-over-year to $1.181 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. U.S. commercial revenue surged by 121% year-over-year. Palantir also reported a GAAP net income of $476 million, representing a 40% margin, and adjusted EPS of $0.21, beating expectations. Furthermore, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to 53% year-over-year.

2. The company secured a major U.S. Navy contract. On December 10, 2025, Palantir announced a partnership with the U.S. Navy for its ShipOS initiative, a contract valued at up to $448 million. This agreement aims to modernize the nation's Maritime Industrial Base by deploying Palantir's Foundry and Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) across shipbuilding operations to enhance efficiency and streamline the supply chain.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PLTR Return-23%-65%167%340%148%
Peers Return31%-33%52%22%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PLTR Win Rate67%33%42%67%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate57%63%32%67%58%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PLTR Max Drawdown-24%-67%-2%-7%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-41%-8%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, SNOW, IBM. See PLTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPLTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven550.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven646 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days

Compare to DDOG, TYL, VRNT, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

Palantir Technologies's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 550.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Better Bets than Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PLTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Palantir Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PLTRMSFTAMZNGOOGLSNOWIBMMedian
NamePalantir.MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet SnowflakeInternat. 
Mkt Price183.57478.53226.19309.29217.93309.24267.72
Mkt Cap436.43,556.92,406.03,738.176.6288.81,421.2
Rev LTM3,896293,812670,038385,4774,38765,402179,607
Op Inc LTM850135,93776,190124,077-1,50411,54443,867
FCF LTM1,79478,01713,48173,55276911,85412,668
FCF 3Y Avg1,08371,30221,67768,99873111,75316,715
CFO LTM1,818147,039121,137151,42487413,48367,310
CFO 3Y Avg1,101121,38496,977120,99082213,49855,237

Growth & Margins

PLTRMSFTAMZNGOOGLSNOWIBMMedian
NamePalantir.MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet SnowflakeInternat. 
Rev Chg LTM47.2%15.6%10.9%13.4%28.5%4.5%14.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.3%13.2%11.3%11.0%33.2%2.6%12.2%
Rev Chg Q62.8%18.4%13.3%15.9%28.7%9.1%17.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.2%4.3%3.0%3.8%6.6%2.1%4.0%
Op Mgn LTM21.8%46.3%11.4%32.2%-34.3%17.7%19.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.4%44.6%7.9%29.9%-38.0%16.4%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.3%0.6%0.3%-0.5%3.1%0.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM46.6%50.0%18.1%39.3%19.9%20.6%29.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.8%47.2%15.8%35.3%24.3%21.4%29.8%
FCF/Rev LTM46.0%26.6%2.0%19.1%17.5%18.1%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg35.1%28.0%3.5%20.5%21.6%18.6%21.1%

Valuation

PLTRMSFTAMZNGOOGLSNOWIBMMedian
NamePalantir.MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet SnowflakeInternat. 
Mkt Cap436.43,556.92,406.03,738.176.6288.81,421.2
P/S111.313.13.57.617.54.010.4
P/EBIT510.429.627.419.3-23.227.4
P/E395.936.733.123.6-56.833.333.2
P/CFO238.626.219.319.487.719.522.9
Total Yield0.3%3.4%3.0%4.6%-1.8%5.4%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%0.3%0.0%2.4%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%2.3%1.1%3.3%-6.4%2.3%
D/E0.00.00.10.0-0.30.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.2-0.0

Returns

PLTRMSFTAMZNGOOGLSNOWIBMMedian
NamePalantir.MicrosoftAmazon.c.Alphabet SnowflakeInternat. 
1M Rtn-0.3%-6.2%-7.4%7.9%-19.2%-1.8%-4.0%
3M Rtn7.1%-6.0%-0.9%28.5%-1.5%22.7%3.1%
6M Rtn33.6%1.1%6.6%77.3%4.7%12.9%9.8%
12M Rtn150.8%7.2%-1.2%61.8%28.2%36.6%32.4%
3Y Rtn2,347.6%90.7%144.6%225.9%44.7%129.1%136.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.0%-5.9%-7.0%8.3%-18.9%-1.5%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn4.0%-10.2%-5.5%19.8%-6.7%18.1%-0.7%
6M Excs Rtn19.4%-13.1%-7.6%63.1%-9.5%-1.3%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn145.8%-4.4%-12.6%54.6%13.9%23.8%18.8%
3Y Excs Rtn2,422.9%27.0%82.1%154.7%-15.0%60.7%71.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Government1,2221,072897610346
Commercial1,003834645482397
Total2,2251,9061,5421,093743


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Government725621   
Commercial521414   
Research and development expenses-307-266   
General and administrative expenses-343-366   
Stock-based compensation expense-476-565   
Total120-161   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity47,421,769
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume48,924,709
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,377,167,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-7.9%-6.5%-14.1%
8/4/20257.8%13.7%-3.6%
5/5/2025-12.0%-4.3%5.0%
2/3/202524.0%39.3%7.6%
11/4/202423.5%45.5%68.7%
8/5/202410.4%22.0%27.0%
5/6/2024-15.1%-16.9%-8.9%
2/5/202430.8%49.8%56.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative10910
Median Positive20.4%22.5%30.9%
Median Negative-12.4%-12.5%-13.0%
Max Positive30.8%49.8%89.8%
Max Negative-21.3%-16.9%-36.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Buckley JeffreySee Remarks11242025Sell155.3114622,6757,892,022Form
1Taylor Ryan D.See Remarks11242025Sell155.311,097170,37447,582,454Form
2Glazer David A.See Remarks11242025Sell155.31961149,25266,815,131Form
3Moore Alexander D. 11052025Sell202.632,305467,056253,420,493Form