Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (9/22/2026): $19.825 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (9/22/2026): $19.825
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%

Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
8 Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

NCNO in ETFs

Weight = NCNO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.08%
VB0.03%
IWO0.15%
VTWO0.08%
IGV0.07%
VBK0.06%
+8 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/18/2026

Ncino (NCNO) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Performance and Upbeat Guidance.

Ncino (NCNO) reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 30, 2026) and fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 31, 2026). In fiscal Q1 2027, the company exceeded all financial guidance, with free cash flow increasing by 54% year-over-year to $80.8 million. For fiscal Q2 2027, total revenues grew 8% year-over-year to $161.0 million, and subscription revenues rose 10% year-over-year to $143.5 million. GAAP operating income reached $13.6 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $9.3 million in the comparable prior year quarter. Following these results, Ncino raised its full fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to a range of $644.0 million to $647.0 million. These consistent beats and increased outlook signaled robust company health and future growth prospects to investors.

2. Renewed Analyst Confidence and Elevated Price Targets.

During the period, analysts significantly reaffirmed and raised their ratings and price targets for NCNO. As of September 15, 2026, Ncino held a "Buy" consensus rating from 12 analysts, with 75% recommending a "Strong Buy" or "Buy." Major firms such as Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Piper Sandler increased their price objectives in August 2026, generally pushing targets into the $23-$25 range. This surge in positive sentiment followed earlier price target cuts in April 2026, indicating a strong rebound in confidence due to the company's performance and strategic direction.

Show more
Updated on 9/18/2026

Ncino (NCNO) stock has gained about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Performance and Upbeat Guidance.

Ncino (NCNO) reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 30, 2026) and fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 31, 2026). In fiscal Q1 2027, the company exceeded all financial guidance, with free cash flow increasing by 54% year-over-year to $80.8 million. For fiscal Q2 2027, total revenues grew 8% year-over-year to $161.0 million, and subscription revenues rose 10% year-over-year to $143.5 million. GAAP operating income reached $13.6 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $9.3 million in the comparable prior year quarter. Following these results, Ncino raised its full fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to a range of $644.0 million to $647.0 million. These consistent beats and increased outlook signaled robust company health and future growth prospects to investors.

2. Renewed Analyst Confidence and Elevated Price Targets.

During the period, analysts significantly reaffirmed and raised their ratings and price targets for NCNO. As of September 15, 2026, Ncino held a "Buy" consensus rating from 12 analysts, with 75% recommending a "Strong Buy" or "Buy." Major firms such as Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Piper Sandler increased their price objectives in August 2026, generally pushing targets into the $23-$25 range. This surge in positive sentiment followed earlier price target cuts in April 2026, indicating a strong rebound in confidence due to the company's performance and strategic direction.

3. Strategic Focus and Advancement in AI Banking Solutions.

Ncino has increasingly emphasized its position as "the platform for agentic AI banking," highlighting accelerating demand for its industry-focused AI capabilities. In fiscal Q1 2027, operational efficiency gains attributed to AI included a more than 40% reduction in professional services hours per engagement and a rise to approximately 57% of code written with AI assistance. This focus was further solidified with the release of new AI-driven products, such as Mortgage MCP in August 2026, and expanded customer adoption, including Hachijuni Nagano Bank selecting Ncino to transform its consumer lending operations with AI.

4. Ongoing Share Repurchase Programs.

Management's confidence in Ncino's financial trajectory was underscored by sustained share repurchase initiatives. Building on a December 2025 authorization and a $100 million accelerated share repurchase program announced in March 2026, Ncino repurchased approximately 6.1 million shares for about $93.1 million in fiscal Q1 2027. Subsequently, on August 25, 2026, alongside its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings release, the company's Board of Directors authorized an additional $100 million stock repurchase program. These programs likely contributed to the stock's positive trend by reducing share count and signaling management's belief in the company's intrinsic value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.1% change in NCNO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 148.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120269212026Change
Stock Price ($)16.0820.4327.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6106222.0%
Net Income Margin (%)2.2%5.4%148.4%
P/E Multiple131.663.8-51.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1091053.4%
Cumulative Contribution27.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO27.1% 
Market (SPY)2.5%4.3%
Sector (XLK)2.1%-15.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.6% change in NCNO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269212026Change
Stock Price ($)16.1420.4326.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5866226.1%
P/S Multiple3.13.49.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1141059.1%
Cumulative Contribution26.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO26.6% 
Market (SPY)13.4%8.8%
Sector (XLK)40.8%-2.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.4% change in NCNO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259212026Change
Stock Price ($)32.1120.43-36.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5736228.6%
P/S Multiple6.53.4-46.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151059.9%
Cumulative Contribution-36.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-36.4% 
Market (SPY)21.2%19.7%
Sector (XLK)49.3%10.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.8% change in NCNO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239212026Change
Stock Price ($)32.8720.43-37.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)44562239.7%
P/S Multiple8.33.4-58.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1121057.2%
Cumulative Contribution-37.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/21/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-37.8% 
Market (SPY)78.3%34.2%
Sector (XLK)126.3%25.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCNO Return--48%27%-0%-24%-18%-59%
Peers Return-9%-25%21%50%-19%-22%-21%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCNO Win Rate-33%50%58%42%44% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%57%65%45%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCNO Max Drawdown---31%-22%-38%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-39%-26%-10%-38%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNCNOS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven95 days31 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNCNOS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven95 days31 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ncino (NCNO)

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) is a software-as-a-service (SaaS) company that provides cloud-based applications designed to digitize, automate, and streamline complex operations for financial institutions globally. Leveraging data analytics and artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML), nCino helps banks and credit unions enhance efficiency and improve their customer experience. Its core offering, the nCino Bank Operating System, is a unified cloud platform that assists institutions with critical functions such as client onboarding, managing the entire loan life cycle, opening various accounts, and ensuring regulatory compliance.

Beyond its operating system, nCino offers specialized product suites to further empower its customers. The nCino IQ suite utilizes AI/ML to provide advanced insights and automation for areas like credit risk analysis and compliance management. Additionally, the company's SimpleNexus platform facilitates the homeownership process, enabling seamless interaction between loan officers, borrowers, and real estate agents through internet-enabled devices. nCino serves a wide array of financial institutions, including global enterprises, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, and independent mortgage banks across the United States and international markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Salesforce for financial institutions.
  • Workday for banking operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • nCino Bank Operating System: A cloud-based platform that digitizes and automates complex banking processes, including client onboarding, loan management, account opening, and regulatory compliance, utilizing AI/ML and data analytics.
  • nCino IQ: An application suite that leverages data analytics and AI/ML to provide financial institutions with automation and insights for operations, credit risk management, and regulatory compliance.
  • SimpleNexus: A suite of products designed for the mortgage industry, enabling loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled devices.

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nCino (NCNO) primarily sells its software-as-a-service applications to other companies, specifically financial institutions. The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies. However, it does describe the categories of financial institutions that nCino serves:

  • Global financial institutions
  • Enterprise banks
  • Regional banks
  • Community banks
  • Credit unions
  • New market entrants
  • Independent mortgage banks

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Sean Desmond

President and Chief Executive Officer

Sean Desmond joined nCino in 2013 as Chief Customer Success Officer. He has decades of experience within global technology and financial services organizations. Desmond's responsibilities expanded over time, and he most recently served as Chief Product Officer before being appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in February 2025.

Greg Orenstein

Chief Financial Officer

Greg Orenstein has served as nCino's Chief Financial Officer since January 2023, overseeing global financial and administrative functions. He joined nCino in 2015 and has held various executive positions, including Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer and Chief Corporate Development & Legal Officer. Orenstein played a critical role in driving nCino's growth, including leading its initial public offering (IPO) and secondary offering in 2020. Prior to nCino, he was Of Counsel at DLA Piper and held executive positions at S1 Corporation.

Chris Gufford

Chief Product Officer

Chris Gufford serves as nCino's Chief Product Officer, where he oversees the company's global Product Development & Engineering organization. Before this role, he was the Executive Director, General Manager - Commercial Banking Solution at nCino. Gufford has over 15 years of experience in credit, banking operations, and software, having previously held multiple roles at FIS and First National Bank of Omaha.

April Rieger

Chief Legal and Administrative Officer, Corporate Secretary

April Rieger is nCino's Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary. She is responsible for the company's Legal & Compliance and People Operations teams, as well as corporate governance. Rieger joined nCino in 2018 after practicing law for 10 years at Williams & Connolly LLP and serving as a law clerk in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

Ben Miller

CEO, SimpleNexus, an nCino Company

Ben Miller is the CEO of SimpleNexus, an nCino Company. He co-founded SimpleNexus and was instrumental in scaling it into a leading digital homeownership software company in the U.S. SimpleNexus was later acquired by nCino. Miller possesses over 15 years of experience driving innovative business strategy, operations, and go-to-market activities, particularly in mortgage lending.

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Key Business Risks for nCino (NCNO)

  1. Reliance on Salesforce Platform and Potential Cost Increases: A significant portion of nCino's banking operating system is fundamentally built on the Salesforce platform. This reliance means that any adverse changes to Salesforce's platform pricing, strategy, or terms, including announced price increases, could materially and adversely affect nCino's business and profitability.
  2. Intense Competition in the Fintech Sector: The fintech industry, where nCino operates, is highly competitive and fragmented. nCino faces substantial competition from both established software providers and emerging fintech companies. This intense competition could lead to pricing pressures, potential erosion of market share, and challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory, particularly as competitors expand their offerings and target nCino's core customer base.
  3. Macroeconomic Downturns Affecting Financial Institution Customers: nCino generates its revenue primarily from financial institutions. Consequently, any economic downturns, instability in the financial services industry, or decreased technology spending by banks and credit unions could directly and adversely impact the demand for nCino's services and its financial results. Furthermore, specific market segments like the U.S. mortgage market have shown choppy trends, which could affect a key growth driver for nCino.

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nCino (NCNO) operates in several significant addressable markets globally for its cloud-based software applications for financial institutions.

  • Overall Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM): nCino estimates its total serviceable addressable market globally to be $19.5 billion.

  • Cloud-Based Banking Software:

    • The global cloud core banking software market was valued at approximately $5.11 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $9.58 billion by 2030.
    • The global SaaS-based core banking software market size was approximately $13.48 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to about $83.67 billion by 2035.
    • The global cloud computing in retail banking market reached approximately $70.69 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $80.93 billion by 2025. North America is the largest market, holding approximately 45% of the global market share.
    • The global cloud-based financial platform market size was around $20.62 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to approximately $54.03 billion by 2032.
  • Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning (AI/ML) in Financial Services:

    • The global AI for financial services market was valued at $13.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $123.2 billion by 2032.
    • The global AI in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance) market size was valued at $26.2 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $192.7 billion by 2034.
    • The global AI in Finance Market size is estimated at $39.62 billion in 2025, with projections to boost to $350.01 billion by 2033. North America held the major market share for more than 37% of the global revenue in 2025.
    • The global Generative AI in financial services market size was estimated at $2.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $25.71 billion by 2033. North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 39.2% in 2024.
    • The global AI agents in financial services market size accounted for $1.79 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $6.54 billion by 2035.
  • Mortgage Technology (SimpleNexus):

    • The global digital mortgage software market size was valued at approximately $4.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $13.5 billion by 2032. North America is expected to dominate this market, accounting for approximately 40% of the global market share in 2023.
    • Another estimate indicates the global digital mortgage solution market reached $108.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to hit $747.69 billion by 2033.
    • The global Digital Mortgage Software market size was recorded at $3.50 billion in 2021, is expected to reach $8.15 billion by the end of 2025, and $44.11 billion by 2033.
    • The global e-mortgage market is projected to grow from $12.1 billion in 2024 to $62.1 billion by 2034.

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nCino (NCNO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion of AI and Machine Learning Solutions: nCino is heavily focused on integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) into its platform, notably through its Banking Advisor solutions. This initiative aims to provide financial institutions with automation and insights, leading to significant efficiency gains and driving customer adoption and early renewals. The company has reported that over 110 customers have already purchased Banking Advisor intelligence units, indicating strong momentum in this area.
  2. International Market Expansion: International growth is a significant driver for nCino, with international subscription revenues showing substantial year-over-year increases. The company continues to secure new and expanded contracts in regions such as Japan, Norway, Luxembourg, and the broader EMEA market, diversifying its revenue streams beyond the U.S.
  3. Growth in Customer Base and Cross-selling: nCino's strategy includes attracting new financial institution customers, encompassing global, enterprise, regional, and community banks, as well as credit unions and independent mortgage banks. The company also focuses on expanding relationships with its existing customer base through multi-solution deals and increasing product adoption, aiming for larger deal sizes.
  4. Impact of New Pricing and Monetization Strategy: The introduction of a new pricing and monetization strategy, referred to as the Intelligent Solution Framework or an asset-based pricing model, is expected to align revenue more closely with customer value. This approach aims to incentivize broader adoption, larger deal sizes, and a more favorable product mix, thereby stimulating future revenue growth, including through increased asset portfolios and AI usage.
  5. Recovery and Strength in the U.S. Mortgage Business: Despite some macroeconomic challenges, nCino has reported outperformance in its U.S. mortgage subscription revenues and has raised guidance for this segment. The successful rollout and "go-live" with large national homebuilders have contributed to this strength, indicating that the mortgage business will continue to be a meaningful contributor to overall revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • nCino's board of directors authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $100 million in December 2025, representing approximately 3.7% of outstanding shares.
  • In Q3 Fiscal Year 2026, the company repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares for about $39.7 million, completing its previous $100 million repurchase program (approximately 4.0 million shares).
  • In Q1 Fiscal Year 2026, nCino repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares for $40.6 million at an average price of $22.17.

Share Issuance

  • Stock issuance under the employee stock purchase plan amounted to $2.514 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 and $2.444 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2025.
  • nCino has historically funded its capital needs through issuances of common stock, including its initial public offering in July 2020.

Inbound Investments

  • Ophir Asset Management acquired a new position in nCino on February 17, 2026, purchasing 1,325,484 shares valued at approximately $33.99 million.
  • Vanguard Group increased its stake in nCino by 1.7% in Q3, holding 10.30% ownership valued at $323 million.
  • Picton Mahoney Asset Management initiated an approximately $11 million position in nCino in Q3.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2025, nCino acquired Sandbox Banking for $52.5 million, with a potential additional earn-out of up to $10 million.
  • nCino acquired FullCircl in October 2024 for $135 million.
  • In March 2024, nCino acquired DocFox, an automated onboarding solutions provider, for $75.0 million.
  • In January 2022, nCino acquired SimpleNexus, a cloud-based mobile-first homeownership software company.

Capital Expenditures

  • nCino's capital expenditures coverage for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 averaged 7.4x.
  • The capital expenditures coverage peaked in January 2025 at 24.4x.
  • The company anticipated capital expenditures to be "appreciably higher in absolute dollars in fiscal 2025" for planned office build-outs, primarily an international office, estimated at approximately $8.5 million to support growth.

Better Bets vs. Ncino (NCNO)

Peer Outperformance in Application Software

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Share of Application Software constituents that NCNO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
48%
of 152 industry peers · -31.0% return
3Y
39%
of 140 industry peers · -35.3% return
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Application Software is NCNO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 9 59.1%183.8%286.8% TTMI 903% · FLEX 727% · SANM 445%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 27 101.6%91.7%103.9% AXTI 880% · AEHR 715% · LRCX 430%
Technology Distributors 9 31.6%72.7%96.9% CLMB 357% · AVT 193% · SNX 168%
Communications Equipment 36 17.8%81.5%74.8% AAOI 1457% · FEIM 1044% · LITE 1031%
Electronic Components 26 36.2%71.0%67.9% CLS 3541% · BELFA 1335% · COHR 427%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 20 35.9%96.6%43.2% DELL 1166% · STX 1118% · SMCI 992%
Semiconductors 55 27.7%41.7%41.0% POET 1965% · MU 1347% · NVDA 941%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 9.5%55.1%35.8% DOCN 72% · GDDY 46% · VRSN 46%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 26 -14.9%11.8%-12.6% PI 207% · OSIS 116% · KEYS 94%
IT Consulting & Other Services 28 -24.3%-9.7%-29.2% CHRN 570689% · APLD 1282% · TSSI 697%
Application Software ← 124 -30.3%-13.5%-46.4% VIDA 152400% · INLX 5065% · PLTR 567%
Systems Software 69 -16.4%18.2%-53.9% QNC 539% · ZETA 425% · PANW 369%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Price20.4346.4735.19151.5657.93155.3752.20
Mkt Cap2.124.718.210.73.687.614.4
Rev LTM62220,86612,2012,54484613,4267,373
Op Inc LTM494,4682,036635885,5481,336
FCF LTM1323,9261,9215071894,6411,214
FCF 3Y Avg884,3112,3104171384,0221,364
CFO LTM1345,8312,9767622265,5141,869
CFO 3Y Avg925,9763,2216571694,7771,939

Growth & Margins

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Rev Chg LTM8.6%-1.2%18.3%7.1%13.9%6.9%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.8%4.3%8.0%7.0%12.2%12.0%9.9%
Rev Chg Q8.2%-4.1%29.1%4.7%12.6%10.7%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%-1.1%6.7%1.1%3.0%2.7%2.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM383.6%-29.6%14.7%11.7%1,689.9%15.8%15.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg159.5%5.5%12.9%9.9%609.6%13.7%13.3%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%21.4%16.7%25.0%10.4%41.3%19.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.2%26.2%16.8%23.7%0.6%39.4%20.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.6%-3.0%-0.2%-1.0%2.2%-0.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM21.5%27.9%24.4%29.9%26.7%41.1%27.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.9%29.0%30.2%27.5%22.1%38.8%28.3%
FCF/Rev LTM21.2%18.8%15.7%19.9%22.3%34.6%20.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.3%20.9%21.8%17.4%18.0%32.7%19.5%

Valuation

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Cap2.124.718.210.73.687.614.4
P/S3.41.21.54.24.36.53.8
P/Op Inc43.55.58.916.941.015.816.3
P/EBIT41.65.19.316.335.414.315.3
P/E63.88.85.421.339.421.721.5
P/CFO16.04.26.114.116.015.915.0
Total Yield1.6%11.3%23.4%6.3%2.5%5.9%6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.8%1.6%0.0%1.3%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%8.3%7.2%3.7%3.6%4.9%4.4%
D/E0.21.11.20.00.00.20.2
Net D/E0.11.11.10.0-0.00.20.2

Returns

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
1M Rtn-0.9%-11.6%-13.9%-8.5%-9.4%-3.3%-8.9%
3M Rtn40.0%-1.5%-5.6%23.2%37.6%18.7%21.0%
6M Rtn31.6%-19.5%-27.7%-6.4%19.2%-0.4%-3.4%
12M Rtn-31.0%-64.7%-43.9%1.2%-25.9%-7.3%-28.5%
3Y Rtn-35.3%-60.0%-32.0%6.8%82.0%46.4%-12.6%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%-11.2%-13.9%-9.5%-10.8%-3.3%-10.2%
3M Excs Rtn36.1%-5.4%-9.5%19.3%33.7%14.8%17.1%
6M Excs Rtn15.1%-37.9%-47.0%-26.9%0.9%-20.6%-23.8%
12M Excs Rtn-50.2%-82.1%-61.9%-17.5%-48.3%-25.1%-49.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-108.6%-134.3%-104.7%-69.0%3.9%-34.4%-86.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment595541477408 
Professional services and other revenues    49
Subscription revenues    225
Total595541477408274


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2026202520242023
Single Segment10-33-44-102
Total10-33-44-102


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$20.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.1 
First Trading Date01/10/2022 
Distance from 52W High-32.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$20.03$19.02
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA2.0%7.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.8%48.6%
Downside Capture43.97135.04
Upside Capture201.5067.05
Correlation (SPY)18.0%20.6%
NCNO Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.590.900.190.330.770.99
Up Beta0.94-1.40-1.77-0.800.090.85
Down Beta0.81-0.450.450.330.960.84
Up Capture498%340%164%105%51%87%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days11243667119369
Down Capture213%106%-7%49%119%107%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days10182859131374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-33.2%48.6%-0.67-
Sector ETF (XLK)42.1%26.5%1.2911.1%
Equity (SPY)18.2%13.0%1.0119.8%
Gold (GLD)18.8%29.3%0.59-7.0%
Commodities (DBC)47.0%20.6%1.76-16.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%13.6%0.1514.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.0%44.4%-0.7120.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-17.2%53.9%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.9%26.0%0.7239.8%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5845.5%
Gold (GLD)18.9%18.8%0.81-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.5%0.443.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.8%-0.0439.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.6%0.4225.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-9.0%53.9%-0.18-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.1%25.0%0.9139.8%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7445.5%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.61-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.383.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2039.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.7%66.2%1.0325.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 81520263.9%
Average Daily Volume3.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares18.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/25/20263.4%7.2% 
5/27/20264.3%4.5%2.9%
3/31/202610.6%18.4%16.7%
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
5/28/2025-1.7%1.7%3.3%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101110
# Negative877
Median Positive10.2%7.8%5.8%
Median Negative-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%18.4%16.7%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/25/20263.4%7.2% 
5/27/20264.3%4.5%2.9%
3/31/202610.6%18.4%16.7%
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
5/28/2025-1.7%1.7%3.3%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
8/27/2024-13.9%-12.6%-10.6%
5/29/2024-0.1%-1.8%4.3%
3/26/202419.0%16.3%-1.3%
11/29/2023-7.8%-1.3%12.2%
8/29/20239.7%9.9%7.3%
5/31/2023-10.3%-11.5%9.6%
3/28/20232.4%7.8%11.6%
11/30/20225.4%-6.3%1.2%
6/1/202214.6%13.5%0.7%
3/31/202213.7%8.6%-5.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101110
# Negative877
Median Positive10.2%7.8%5.8%
Median Negative-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%18.4%16.7%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/25/202610-Q
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202608/25/202610-Q
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/01/202210-Q
01/31/202203/31/202210-K
10/31/202112/01/202110-Q
07/31/202109/01/202110-Q
04/30/202106/02/202110-Q
01/31/202103/31/202110-K
10/31/202012/10/202010-Q
07/31/202009/10/202010-Q
04/30/202007/14/2020424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/26/2026

Latest: Q2 2027 Earnings Reported 8/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2027 Total RevenuesReported161.25 Mil162.25 Mil163.25 Mil2.2% Higher NewGuidance: 158.75 Mil for Q2 2027
Q3 2027 Subscription RevenuesReported143.25 Mil144.25 Mil145.25 Mil2.1% Higher NewGuidance: 141.25 Mil for Q2 2027
Q3 2027 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported42.00 Mil43.00 Mil44.00 Mil17.8% Higher NewGuidance: 36.50 Mil for Q2 2027
2027 Annual Contract Value (ACV)Reported662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 665.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Total RevenuesReported644.00 Mil645.50 Mil647.00 Mil0.2% RaisedGuidance: 644.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Subscription RevenuesReported573.50 Mil575.00 Mil576.50 Mil0.3% RaisedGuidance: 573.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported171.00 Mil172.50 Mil174.00 Mil2.4% RaisedGuidance: 168.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Free Cash FlowReported137.00 Mil139.50 Mil142.00 Mil1.5% RaisedGuidance: 137.50 Mil for 2027


Prior: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Total RevenuesReported157.75 Mil158.75 Mil159.75 Mil   
Q2 2027 Subscription RevenuesReported140.25 Mil141.25 Mil142.25 Mil   
Q2 2027 Non-GAAP operating incomeReported35.50 Mil36.50 Mil37.50 Mil   
2027 Annual Contract Value (ACV)Reported662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 665.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Total RevenuesReported642.00 Mil644.00 Mil646.00 Mil0.5% RaisedGuidance: 641.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Subscription RevenuesReported571.50 Mil573.50 Mil575.50 Mil0.4% RaisedGuidance: 571.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Non-GAAP operating incomeReported166.00 Mil168.50 Mil171.00 Mil0.6% RaisedGuidance: 167.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Free Cash FlowReported135.00 Mil137.50 Mil140.00 Mil2.2% RaisedGuidance: 134.50 Mil for 2027

Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/31/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Total RevenuesReported154.50 Mil155.50 Mil156.50 Mil  Higher New
Q1 2026 Subscription RevenuesReported137.00 Mil138.00 Mil139.00 Mil  Higher New
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported38.00 Mil39.00 Mil40.00 Mil  Higher New
2027 Annual Contract ValueReported662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil17.6% Higher NewGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026
2027 Total RevenuesReported639.00 Mil641.00 Mil643.00 Mil8.2% Higher NewGuidance: 592.65 Mil for 2026
2027 Subscription RevenuesReported569.00 Mil571.00 Mil573.00 Mil9.5% Higher NewGuidance: 521.25 Mil for 2026
2027 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported165.00 Mil167.50 Mil170.00 Mil31.2% Higher NewGuidance: 127.70 Mil for 2026
2027 Free Cash FlowReported132.00 Mil134.50 Mil137.00 Mil  Higher New

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Total RevenuesReported146.75 Mil147.50 Mil148.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Subscription RevenuesReported130.75 Mil131.50 Mil132.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported32.50 Mil33.00 Mil33.50 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted ShareReported0.210.210.22   
2026 Annual Contract Value (ACV)Reported564.00 Mil565.50 Mil567.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Total RevenuesReported591.90 Mil592.65 Mil593.40 Mil1.0% RaisedGuidance: 587.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Subscription RevenuesReported520.50 Mil521.25 Mil522.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 515.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported127.20 Mil127.70 Mil128.20 Mil6.9% RaisedGuidance: 119.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted ShareReported0.90.910.9115.3% RaisedGuidance: 0.79 for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 9/17/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell917202621.986,098134,0528,126,038Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell908202623.668,064190,79429,127,353Form
3Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell831202622.7069015,6661,084,459Form
4Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.531,53629,998946,287Form
5Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.5311,815230,74724,042,992Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell917202621.986,098134,0528,126,038Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell908202623.668,064190,79429,127,353Form
3Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell831202622.7069015,6661,084,459Form
4Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.531,53629,998946,287Form
5Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.5311,815230,74724,042,992Form
6Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.2288717,046960,689Form
7Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell806202619.227,852150,9007,221,144Form
8Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell806202619.2211,780226,38813,270,279Form
9Naude, Pierre DirectSell806202619.224,67789,88321,460,875Form
10Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.2228,675551,07623,730,982Form
11Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell708202617.478,064140,87822,055,735Form
12Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell605202616.268,064131,12120,528,120Form
13Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell507202618.043,69566,658917,803Form
14Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell507202618.0416,589299,26622,775,356Form
15Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell505202618.021,48626,770983,097Form
16Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell505202618.029,693174,6196,910,572Form
17Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell505202618.0214,650263,92012,651,808Form
18Naude, Pierre DirectSell505202618.0235,650642,23519,969,141Form
19Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell505202618.0222,073397,64522,897,353Form
20Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell416202617.551,87332,862712,520Form
21Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell408202617.0615,440263,40610,055,642Form
22Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell403202616.7573512,314711,777Form
23Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell403202616.755,74796,2853,618,010Form
24Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell403202616.758,840148,1057,411,031Form
25Naude, Pierre DirectSell403202616.7522,700380,31619,168,637Form
26Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell403202616.755,74796,2859,998,837Form
27Naude, Pierre DirectSell204202618.6824,273453,46821,798,587Form
28Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1219202524.491,50736,9061,144,442Form
29Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1209202524.117,331176,75014,914,374Form
30Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1106202525.8110,006258,28515,967,844Form
31Naude, Pierre DirectSell1106202525.814,881125,99330,655,003Form
32Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell1106202525.814,353112,36411,919,049Form
33Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell1106202525.814,731122,1215,931,156Form
34Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1106202525.8164016,5201,245,167Form
35Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell917202530.406,018182,9717,129,890Form
36Horing, Jeff See footnoteSell909202530.003,889,254  Form
37Horing, Jeff See footnoteSell909202531.1226,168814,225121,015,305Form
38Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell909202530.7452916,2611,502,510Form
39Horing, Jeff See FootnoteSell902202532.23282,3679,099,672126,179,956Form
40Horing, Jeff See FootnoteSell902202532.46260,8028,465,926136,264,947Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 22, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.5 Mil13.5%11Hold13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$25.3 Mil6.2%12Hold13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC$40.7 Mil11.3%13ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd$34.0 Mil3.8%32ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$29.1 Mil4.6%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$17.2 Mil2.0%22ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.5 Mil13.5%11Hold13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$25.3 Mil6.2%12Hold13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/21/2026