Sanmina (SANM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.46 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Sanmina (SANM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.46Market Cap: $8.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.0% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SANM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results: Sanmina reported robust financial results for its fourth quarter, which ended on September 27, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.57. Revenue reached $2.1 billion, also above analysts' projections of $2.06 billion and representing a 7.4% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Sanmina achieved a non-GAAP operating margin of 6.0% and generated $199 million in cash flow from operations during the quarter.
2. Exceptional First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Following its strong Q4 performance, Sanmina provided an optimistic outlook for its first fiscal quarter ending December 27, 2025, which significantly exceeded Wall Street estimates. The company forecasted revenue to be between $2.9 billion and $3.2 billion, with the midpoint of $3.05 billion dramatically surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.13 billion, reflecting 52% growth compared to the prior year. Furthermore, Sanmina anticipated adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.95 to $2.25, well above analysts' expectations of $1.67.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SANM Return | -7% | 30% | 38% | -10% | 47% | 104% | 350% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 37% | 12% | 88% | 12% | 8% | 315% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SANM Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 57% | 37% | 55% | 50% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SANM Max Drawdown | -45% | -2% | -14% | -21% | -4% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -1% | -21% | -4% | -14% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SMCI, ONTO, BMI, AVT, TEL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SANM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 205 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 297 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 814 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1855.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1965 days | 1480 days |
Compare to SMCI, ONTO, BMI, AVT, TEL
In The Past
Sanmina's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SANM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sanmina
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 157.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| Rev LTM | 12,315 |
| Op Inc LTM | 491 |
| FCF LTM | 297 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 208 |
| CFO LTM | 403 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 297 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 22.7 |
| P/E | 35.2 |
| P/CFO | 17.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 98.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 34.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1282025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11272024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11162023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-K 10/2/2021 |
External Quote Links
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