Tearsheet

Sanmina (SANM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $144.28 | Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services

Sanmina (SANM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $144.28
Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more.
Key risks
SANM key risks include [1] a heavy sales concentration with a few major customers and [2] a slowdown in its diverse end markets.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more.
1 Key risks
SANM key risks include [1] a heavy sales concentration with a few major customers and [2] a slowdown in its diverse end markets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SANM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Sanmina's (SANM) stock moved by 21.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Strategic Partnership with AMD and OpenAI-related Boost:** Sanmina's shares surged following the announcement of a deal between AMD and OpenAI, as Sanmina became a preferred manufacturing partner for AMD's cloud rack and cluster-scale AI products through its ZT Systems acquisition. **2. Completion of ZT Systems Acquisition:** Sanmina completed the acquisition of ZT Systems' data center infrastructure manufacturing business from AMD for an aggregate consideration of $1.6 billion on October 27, 2025. This acquisition is considered transformative, significantly increasing Sanmina's scale and capabilities within the high-growth Cloud and AI end-markets. **3. Strong Q4 Fiscal 2025 Financial Results and Bullish Q1 2026 Guidance:** On November 3, 2025, Sanmina reported robust fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, with revenue of $2.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, both exceeding analyst expectations. More significantly, the company issued exceptionally strong guidance for Q1 fiscal 2026, projecting revenue and adjusted EPS well above consensus estimates, which led to a substantial jump in the stock price. **4. Analyst Price Target Increases:** Following the positive financial reports and strategic developments, analysts increased their one-year price targets for Sanmina. On November 17, 2025, the average price target was revised to $192.10 per share, an increase of 16.02% from previous estimates, reflecting growing investor confidence. **5. Expansion into Energy Business with New Houston Factory:** Sanmina announced a major expansion of its Energy business on December 16, 2025, including plans for a new state-of-the-art factory in Houston, Texas. This facility will focus on the U.S. energy market, producing medium-voltage distribution transformers, instrument transformers, and switchgear, with production expected to commence in 2027 and initial customer commitments already secured. This strategic move, coupled with an agreement with Končar – Electrical Industry Inc., signals a significant push into grid-level energy infrastructure manufacturing.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SANM Return-7%30%38%-10%47%94%329%
Peers Return11%33%5%68%74%122%914%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SANM Win Rate42%42%67%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%67%50%63%67%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SANM Max Drawdown-45%-2%-14%-21%-4%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-8%-27%-15%-11%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JBL, FLEX, CLS, FN, TTMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSANMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven297 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven814 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1855.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,965 days1,480 days

Compare to SMCI, ONTO, BMI, AVT, TEL


In The Past

Sanmina's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sanmina (SANM)

Better Bets than Sanmina (SANM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SANM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sanmina

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SANMJBLFLEXCLSFNTTMIMedian
NameSanmina Jabil Flex CelesticaFabrinet TTM Tech. 
Mkt Price142.87216.3062.85275.83426.5361.58179.59
Mkt Cap6.223.223.531.715.36.419.2
Rev LTM8,12829,80226,33311,2823,5932,7839,705
Op Inc LTM3951,4361,300954343233675
FCF LTM4731,1721,19139820136436
FCF 3Y Avg24993696726324345256
CFO LTM6211,6401,698552348315586
CFO 3Y Avg3991,6971,497408332244403

Growth & Margins

SANMJBLFLEXCLSFNTTMIMedian
NameSanmina Jabil Flex CelesticaFabrinet TTM Tech. 
Rev Chg LTM7.4%3.2%3.5%22.1%19.7%17.9%12.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%-3.3%-1.0%18.9%14.9%4.5%3.1%
Rev Chg Q3.9%18.5%4.0%27.8%21.6%22.1%20.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%4.5%1.0%6.6%5.1%5.1%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%4.8%4.9%8.5%9.5%8.4%6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.9%4.8%4.0%6.2%9.7%6.7%5.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.2%0.1%1.2%0.0%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%5.5%6.4%4.9%9.7%11.3%7.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%5.5%5.7%4.2%10.8%9.8%5.6%
FCF/Rev LTM5.8%3.9%4.5%3.5%5.6%1.3%4.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.1%3.1%3.7%2.7%8.0%1.9%3.1%

Valuation

SANMJBLFLEXCLSFNTTMIMedian
NameSanmina Jabil Flex CelesticaFabrinet TTM Tech. 
Mkt Cap6.223.223.531.715.36.419.2
P/S0.80.80.82.53.62.11.5
P/EBIT-22.416.830.735.428.828.8
P/E25.135.524.739.537.245.136.3
P/CFO9.914.212.851.337.518.916.6
Total Yield4.0%2.9%4.0%2.5%2.7%2.2%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.3%6.8%3.7%3.0%2.5%3.7%
D/E-0.10.20.00.00.20.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.0-0.10.10.1

Returns

SANMJBLFLEXCLSFNTTMIMedian
NameSanmina Jabil Flex CelesticaFabrinet TTM Tech. 
1M Rtn-10.1%7.9%7.0%-10.8%2.4%-4.3%-1.0%
3M Rtn23.0%1.3%11.3%11.4%19.1%25.6%15.2%
6M Rtn58.7%5.8%36.1%102.4%60.6%66.6%59.6%
12M Rtn80.2%61.7%68.0%182.0%84.0%134.7%82.1%
3Y Rtn141.4%215.6%287.3%2,400.7%240.8%294.2%264.0%
1M Excs Rtn-10.8%7.2%6.2%-11.6%1.6%-5.0%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn18.3%-4.4%6.8%8.1%11.5%15.2%9.8%
6M Excs Rtn46.3%-6.6%23.7%90.1%48.2%54.2%47.3%
12M Excs Rtn67.4%49.3%52.7%167.0%61.0%128.2%64.2%
3Y Excs Rtn59.6%134.1%211.1%2,362.1%157.9%210.5%184.2%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Reportable segment - Integrated Manufacturing Solutions (IMS)6,0727,3296,4145,4865,733
Other segments - Components, Products and Services (CPS)1,5981,7481,6551,3981,366
Intersegment revenue-102-141-149-127-139
Total7,5688,9357,9206,7576,960


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Reportable segment - Integrated Manufacturing Solutions (IMS)2,592    
Other unallocated assets2,231    
Total4,823    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,461,988
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.1%
Average Daily Volume704,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.50
Basic Shares Quantity53,566,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/202516.6%24.3%14.6%
7/28/202522.8%18.7%17.2%
4/28/2025-2.1%-2.3%4.8%
1/27/20253.2%4.7%7.3%
11/4/20242.2%14.5%9.1%
7/29/2024-1.9%-12.2%-8.0%
4/29/2024-5.2%-0.7%4.5%
1/29/202428.2%17.2%23.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151419
# Negative9105
Median Positive5.8%10.6%7.3%
Median Negative-5.2%-4.3%-8.6%
Max Positive28.2%24.3%23.2%
Max Negative-14.3%-12.2%-16.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024128202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241127202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023522202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022803202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021202202210-Q 1/1/2022