Tearsheet

Sanmina (SANM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.46 | Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services

Sanmina (SANM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.46
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Network Equipment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SANM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results: Sanmina reported robust financial results for its fourth quarter, which ended on September 27, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.57. Revenue reached $2.1 billion, also above analysts' projections of $2.06 billion and representing a 7.4% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Sanmina achieved a non-GAAP operating margin of 6.0% and generated $199 million in cash flow from operations during the quarter.



2. Exceptional First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Following its strong Q4 performance, Sanmina provided an optimistic outlook for its first fiscal quarter ending December 27, 2025, which significantly exceeded Wall Street estimates. The company forecasted revenue to be between $2.9 billion and $3.2 billion, with the midpoint of $3.05 billion dramatically surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.13 billion, reflecting 52% growth compared to the prior year. Furthermore, Sanmina anticipated adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.95 to $2.25, well above analysts' expectations of $1.67.



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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SANM Return-7%30%38%-10%47%104%350%
Peers Return19%37%12%88%12%8%315%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SANM Win Rate42%42%67%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate45%57%37%55%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SANM Max Drawdown-45%-2%-14%-21%-4%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-1%-21%-4%-14%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SMCI, ONTO, BMI, AVT, TEL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSANMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven297 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven814 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1855.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1965 days1480 days

Compare to SMCI, ONTO, BMI, AVT, TEL


In The Past

Sanmina's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sanmina (SANM)

Better Bets than Sanmina (SANM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SANM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sanmina

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SANMSMCIONTOBMIAVTTELMedian
NameSanmina Super Mi.Onto Inn.Badger M.Avnet TE Conne. 
Mkt Price157.4633.68158.12178.3049.31230.80157.79
Mkt Cap8.420.17.85.24.168.38.1
Rev LTM8,04921,0531,00290122,49516,58112,315
Op Inc LTM3799261691806043,200491
FCF LTM3662182611663332,882297
FCF 3Y Avg214-5682051292122,661208
CFO LTM4733332891814743,760403
CFO 3Y Avg360-4652331414003,424297

Growth & Margins

SANMSMCIONTOBMIAVTTELMedian
NameSanmina Super Mi.Onto Inn.Badger M.Avnet TE Conne. 
Rev Chg LTM5.9%11.9%6.4%12.1%-2.3%4.9%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%63.1%1.4%17.7%-3.9%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q10.9%-15.5%-13.5%13.1%5.3%13.9%8.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%-4.2%-3.3%3.1%1.3%3.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM4.7%4.4%16.8%19.9%2.7%19.3%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%7.4%17.7%18.3%3.6%18.2%12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.3%-2.1%0.0%-0.1%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.9%1.6%28.9%20.1%2.1%22.7%13.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%-0.8%24.8%17.6%1.8%21.1%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%1.0%26.1%18.5%1.5%17.4%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.7%-1.4%21.7%16.1%1.0%16.4%9.4%

Valuation

SANMSMCIONTOBMIAVTTELMedian
NameSanmina Super Mi.Onto Inn.Badger M.Avnet TE Conne. 
Mkt Cap8.420.17.85.24.168.38.1
P/S0.71.46.35.80.23.02.2
P/EBIT14.128.937.529.38.816.522.7
P/E20.236.036.237.918.634.335.2
P/CFO11.185.721.929.09.213.317.6
Total Yield4.9%2.8%2.8%3.4%8.0%4.5%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%2.6%1.6%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%-1.8%2.8%2.5%4.5%-2.8%
D/E0.10.20.00.00.70.10.1
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.2-0.00.70.1-0.0

Returns

SANMSMCIONTOBMIAVTTELMedian
NameSanmina Super Mi.Onto Inn.Badger M.Avnet TE Conne. 
1M Rtn12.2%-33.6%20.1%-1.8%3.2%-6.2%0.7%
3M Rtn35.2%-16.0%54.0%-1.7%-4.6%12.4%5.4%
6M Rtn79.0%-23.7%64.6%-28.1%-1.2%43.4%21.1%
12M Rtn96.9%-16.2%-8.4%-17.9%-8.4%54.4%-8.4%
3Y Rtn133.6%288.5%98.0%58.0%19.3%-98.0%
1M Excs Rtn12.2%-33.6%20.1%-1.7%3.2%-6.2%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn26.0%-22.6%49.7%-7.8%-12.0%5.7%-1.1%
6M Excs Rtn64.3%-38.4%49.9%-42.8%-15.9%28.7%6.4%
12M Excs Rtn84.7%-10.4%-17.2%-30.7%-20.4%41.5%-13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn68.0%191.3%34.9%-12.4%-50.2%-34.9%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,566,045
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.1%
Average Daily Volume998,900
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.57
Basic Shares Quantity53,614,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025728202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024128202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241127202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023522202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022803202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021202202210-Q 1/1/2022
93020211112202110-K 10/2/2021