Tearsheet

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (4/11/2026): $17.45 | Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (4/11/2026): $17.45
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 80x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 373x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%

Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 80x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 373x
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
9 Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Ncino (NCNO) stock has lost about 30% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Multiple analyst firms significantly reduced their price targets for Ncino during the first quarter of 2026. For example, between January and March 2026, J.P. Morgan adjusted its price target down by 46.67% to $16.00, Morgan Stanley lowered its target by 41.67% to $21.00, and Barclays reduced its target by 38.24% to $21.00. Baird also cut its price target by 29.41% to $24.00 in late March 2026. These widespread downgrades reflected a more conservative outlook on the company's valuation, putting downward pressure on the stock.

2. Concerns over slowing bank technology adoption and challenging contract renewals were cited as company-specific headwinds. Analysts directly mentioned these factors as reasons for trimming their price targets for NCNO in early 2026. This suggested a more difficult operating environment for Ncino in securing new business and retaining existing clients within the banking technology sector.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -31.9% change in NCNO stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254102026Change
Stock Price ($)25.6417.45-31.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5865951.4%
P/S Multiple5.03.2-35.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1141113.3%
Cumulative Contribution-31.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-31.9% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%31.2%
Sector (XLK)-0.9%37.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -35.6% change in NCNO stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254102026Change
Stock Price ($)27.1117.45-35.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5735953.8%
P/S Multiple5.53.2-40.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151114.1%
Cumulative Contribution-35.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-35.6% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%29.2%
Sector (XLK)1.4%31.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.5% change in NCNO stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254102026Change
Stock Price ($)27.4717.45-36.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)52359513.7%
P/S Multiple6.13.2-46.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1161114.4%
Cumulative Contribution-36.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-36.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%34.0%
Sector (XLK)38.8%33.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.6% change in NCNO stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234102026Change
Stock Price ($)24.7817.45-29.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)40859545.7%
P/S Multiple6.73.2-51.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111110.4%
Cumulative Contribution-29.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-29.6% 
Market (SPY)63.3%36.8%
Sector (XLK)92.6%31.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCNO Return--48%27%-0%-24%-31%-65%
Peers Return-9%-25%21%50%-19%-20%-19%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCNO Win Rate-33%50%58%42%25% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%57%65%45%15% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCNO Max Drawdown--54%-19%-16%-36%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-34%-16%-3%-31%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNCNOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell -59.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/11/2022. A -59.6% loss requires a 147.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Ncino (NCNO)

nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally. Its nCino Bank Operating System, a tenant cloud platform, which digitizes, automates, and streamlines complex processes and workflow; and utilizes data analytics and artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) to enable banks and credit unions to onboard new clients, make loans and manage the entire loan life cycle, open deposit and other accounts, and manage regulatory compliance. The company's nCino IQ, an application suite that utilizes data analytics and AI/ML to provide its customers with automation and insights into their operations, such as tools for analyzing, measuring, and managing credit risk, as well as to enhance their ability to comply with regulatory requirements. It also offers SimpleNexus, a suite of products that enables loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, settlement agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled device. The company serves financial institution customers, including global financial institutions, enterprise banks, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, new market entrants, and independent mortgage banks through sales team comprising business development representatives, account executives, field sales engineers, and customer success managers. nCino, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.

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  • Salesforce for financial institutions.
  • Workday for banking operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • nCino Bank Operating System: A cloud-based platform that digitizes and automates complex banking processes, including client onboarding, loan management, account opening, and regulatory compliance, utilizing AI/ML and data analytics.
  • nCino IQ: An application suite that leverages data analytics and AI/ML to provide financial institutions with automation and insights for operations, credit risk management, and regulatory compliance.
  • SimpleNexus: A suite of products designed for the mortgage industry, enabling loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled devices.

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nCino (NCNO) primarily sells its software-as-a-service applications to other companies, specifically financial institutions. The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies. However, it does describe the categories of financial institutions that nCino serves:

  • Global financial institutions
  • Enterprise banks
  • Regional banks
  • Community banks
  • Credit unions
  • New market entrants
  • Independent mortgage banks

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Sean Desmond

President and Chief Executive Officer

Sean Desmond joined nCino in 2013 as Chief Customer Success Officer. He has decades of experience within global technology and financial services organizations. Desmond's responsibilities expanded over time, and he most recently served as Chief Product Officer before being appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in February 2025.

Greg Orenstein

Chief Financial Officer

Greg Orenstein has served as nCino's Chief Financial Officer since January 2023, overseeing global financial and administrative functions. He joined nCino in 2015 and has held various executive positions, including Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer and Chief Corporate Development & Legal Officer. Orenstein played a critical role in driving nCino's growth, including leading its initial public offering (IPO) and secondary offering in 2020. Prior to nCino, he was Of Counsel at DLA Piper and held executive positions at S1 Corporation.

Chris Gufford

Chief Product Officer

Chris Gufford serves as nCino's Chief Product Officer, where he oversees the company's global Product Development & Engineering organization. Before this role, he was the Executive Director, General Manager - Commercial Banking Solution at nCino. Gufford has over 15 years of experience in credit, banking operations, and software, having previously held multiple roles at FIS and First National Bank of Omaha.

April Rieger

Chief Legal and Administrative Officer, Corporate Secretary

April Rieger is nCino's Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary. She is responsible for the company's Legal & Compliance and People Operations teams, as well as corporate governance. Rieger joined nCino in 2018 after practicing law for 10 years at Williams & Connolly LLP and serving as a law clerk in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

Ben Miller

CEO, SimpleNexus, an nCino Company

Ben Miller is the CEO of SimpleNexus, an nCino Company. He co-founded SimpleNexus and was instrumental in scaling it into a leading digital homeownership software company in the U.S. SimpleNexus was later acquired by nCino. Miller possesses over 15 years of experience driving innovative business strategy, operations, and go-to-market activities, particularly in mortgage lending.

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Key Business Risks for nCino (NCNO)

  1. Reliance on Salesforce Platform and Potential Cost Increases: A significant portion of nCino's banking operating system is fundamentally built on the Salesforce platform. This reliance means that any adverse changes to Salesforce's platform pricing, strategy, or terms, including announced price increases, could materially and adversely affect nCino's business and profitability.
  2. Intense Competition in the Fintech Sector: The fintech industry, where nCino operates, is highly competitive and fragmented. nCino faces substantial competition from both established software providers and emerging fintech companies. This intense competition could lead to pricing pressures, potential erosion of market share, and challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory, particularly as competitors expand their offerings and target nCino's core customer base.
  3. Macroeconomic Downturns Affecting Financial Institution Customers: nCino generates its revenue primarily from financial institutions. Consequently, any economic downturns, instability in the financial services industry, or decreased technology spending by banks and credit unions could directly and adversely impact the demand for nCino's services and its financial results. Furthermore, specific market segments like the U.S. mortgage market have shown choppy trends, which could affect a key growth driver for nCino.

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nCino (NCNO) operates in several significant addressable markets globally for its cloud-based software applications for financial institutions.

  • Overall Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM): nCino estimates its total serviceable addressable market globally to be $19.5 billion.

  • Cloud-Based Banking Software:

    • The global cloud core banking software market was valued at approximately $5.11 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $9.58 billion by 2030.
    • The global SaaS-based core banking software market size was approximately $13.48 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to about $83.67 billion by 2035.
    • The global cloud computing in retail banking market reached approximately $70.69 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $80.93 billion by 2025. North America is the largest market, holding approximately 45% of the global market share.
    • The global cloud-based financial platform market size was around $20.62 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to approximately $54.03 billion by 2032.
  • Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning (AI/ML) in Financial Services:

    • The global AI for financial services market was valued at $13.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $123.2 billion by 2032.
    • The global AI in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance) market size was valued at $26.2 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $192.7 billion by 2034.
    • The global AI in Finance Market size is estimated at $39.62 billion in 2025, with projections to boost to $350.01 billion by 2033. North America held the major market share for more than 37% of the global revenue in 2025.
    • The global Generative AI in financial services market size was estimated at $2.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $25.71 billion by 2033. North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 39.2% in 2024.
    • The global AI agents in financial services market size accounted for $1.79 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $6.54 billion by 2035.
  • Mortgage Technology (SimpleNexus):

    • The global digital mortgage software market size was valued at approximately $4.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $13.5 billion by 2032. North America is expected to dominate this market, accounting for approximately 40% of the global market share in 2023.
    • Another estimate indicates the global digital mortgage solution market reached $108.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to hit $747.69 billion by 2033.
    • The global Digital Mortgage Software market size was recorded at $3.50 billion in 2021, is expected to reach $8.15 billion by the end of 2025, and $44.11 billion by 2033.
    • The global e-mortgage market is projected to grow from $12.1 billion in 2024 to $62.1 billion by 2034.

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nCino (NCNO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion of AI and Machine Learning Solutions: nCino is heavily focused on integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) into its platform, notably through its Banking Advisor solutions. This initiative aims to provide financial institutions with automation and insights, leading to significant efficiency gains and driving customer adoption and early renewals. The company has reported that over 110 customers have already purchased Banking Advisor intelligence units, indicating strong momentum in this area.
  2. International Market Expansion: International growth is a significant driver for nCino, with international subscription revenues showing substantial year-over-year increases. The company continues to secure new and expanded contracts in regions such as Japan, Norway, Luxembourg, and the broader EMEA market, diversifying its revenue streams beyond the U.S.
  3. Growth in Customer Base and Cross-selling: nCino's strategy includes attracting new financial institution customers, encompassing global, enterprise, regional, and community banks, as well as credit unions and independent mortgage banks. The company also focuses on expanding relationships with its existing customer base through multi-solution deals and increasing product adoption, aiming for larger deal sizes.
  4. Impact of New Pricing and Monetization Strategy: The introduction of a new pricing and monetization strategy, referred to as the Intelligent Solution Framework or an asset-based pricing model, is expected to align revenue more closely with customer value. This approach aims to incentivize broader adoption, larger deal sizes, and a more favorable product mix, thereby stimulating future revenue growth, including through increased asset portfolios and AI usage.
  5. Recovery and Strength in the U.S. Mortgage Business: Despite some macroeconomic challenges, nCino has reported outperformance in its U.S. mortgage subscription revenues and has raised guidance for this segment. The successful rollout and "go-live" with large national homebuilders have contributed to this strength, indicating that the mortgage business will continue to be a meaningful contributor to overall revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • nCino's board of directors authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $100 million in December 2025, representing approximately 3.7% of outstanding shares.
  • In Q3 Fiscal Year 2026, the company repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares for about $39.7 million, completing its previous $100 million repurchase program (approximately 4.0 million shares).
  • In Q1 Fiscal Year 2026, nCino repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares for $40.6 million at an average price of $22.17.

Share Issuance

  • Stock issuance under the employee stock purchase plan amounted to $2.514 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 and $2.444 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2025.
  • nCino has historically funded its capital needs through issuances of common stock, including its initial public offering in July 2020.

Inbound Investments

  • Ophir Asset Management acquired a new position in nCino on February 17, 2026, purchasing 1,325,484 shares valued at approximately $33.99 million.
  • Vanguard Group increased its stake in nCino by 1.7% in Q3, holding 10.30% ownership valued at $323 million.
  • Picton Mahoney Asset Management initiated an approximately $11 million position in nCino in Q3.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2025, nCino acquired Sandbox Banking for $52.5 million, with a potential additional earn-out of up to $10 million.
  • nCino acquired FullCircl in October 2024 for $135 million.
  • In March 2024, nCino acquired DocFox, an automated onboarding solutions provider, for $75.0 million.
  • In January 2022, nCino acquired SimpleNexus, a cloud-based mobile-first homeownership software company.

Capital Expenditures

  • nCino's capital expenditures coverage for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 averaged 7.4x.
  • The capital expenditures coverage peaked in January 2025 at 24.4x.
  • The company anticipated capital expenditures to be "appreciably higher in absolute dollars in fiscal 2025" for planned office build-outs, primarily an international office, estimated at approximately $8.5 million to support growth.

Better Bets vs. Ncino (NCNO)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Price17.4556.0943.37147.2045.87160.6050.98
Mkt Cap1.930.122.410.62.991.416.5
Rev LTM59521,19310,6772,46579512,6406,571
Op Inc LTM45,6981,759638444,9991,198
FCF LTM834,2991,8274701733,8711,149
FCF 3Y Avg634,3782,2123261073,5941,269
CFO LTM906,0622,8167082014,6621,762
CFO 3Y Avg685,9523,0745581364,2711,816

Growth & Margins

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Rev Chg LTM10.0%3.6%5.4%8.4%14.1%7.5%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.4%6.1%-3.5%7.3%12.0%9.7%8.5%
Rev Chg Q5.9%0.6%8.2%7.9%13.8%3.7%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%0.2%2.0%1.9%3.3%0.9%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%26.9%16.5%25.9%5.5%39.5%21.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.7%27.0%16.6%23.6%-3.8%39.0%20.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%-1.8%-0.2%1.0%2.1%0.9%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%28.6%26.4%28.7%25.3%36.9%27.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%29.4%30.3%24.1%18.7%37.3%26.7%
FCF/Rev LTM13.9%20.3%17.1%19.1%21.8%30.6%19.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.7%21.6%21.9%14.0%14.5%31.4%18.0%

Valuation

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Cap1.930.122.410.62.991.416.5
P/S3.21.42.14.33.67.23.4
P/EBIT80.05.214.316.047.717.716.9
P/E373.18.658.921.055.227.641.4
P/CFO21.55.08.015.014.219.614.6
Total Yield0.3%11.6%5.5%5.6%1.8%4.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.8%0.8%0.0%1.2%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%7.0%6.1%2.6%2.4%4.3%3.5%
D/E0.11.00.60.00.10.20.2
Net D/E0.10.90.6-0.0-0.00.20.1

Returns

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
1M Rtn10.6%-4.1%-13.5%-11.9%-9.2%2.3%-6.7%
3M Rtn-31.8%-19.7%-34.6%-21.9%-35.0%-2.9%-26.9%
6M Rtn-30.3%-54.3%-34.2%-2.2%-26.3%2.6%-28.3%
12M Rtn-25.4%-72.6%-36.0%-12.3%-36.9%4.7%-30.7%
3Y Rtn-27.4%-51.2%-16.3%-0.1%93.8%57.2%-8.2%
1M Excs Rtn10.0%-4.7%-14.1%-12.5%-9.8%1.7%-7.3%
3M Excs Rtn-29.0%-17.8%-33.7%-19.8%-32.9%1.0%-24.4%
6M Excs Rtn-34.1%-56.6%-36.3%-1.7%-29.6%0.5%-31.8%
12M Excs Rtn-57.7%-108.1%-71.5%-45.6%-70.1%-29.6%-63.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.9%-116.0%-77.8%-63.3%26.7%-9.0%-70.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment477    
Professional services and other revenues 64494235
Subscription revenues 345225162103
Total477408274204138


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment-44    
Total-44    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.45 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.0 
First Trading Date01/10/2022 
Distance from 52W High-46.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.58$24.35
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA5.3%-28.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility59.8%43.9%
Downside Capture1.160.74
Upside Capture52.4167.50
Correlation (SPY)29.8%29.5%
NCNO Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.191.181.311.030.851.10
Up Beta0.320.360.781.500.961.02
Down Beta-0.790.780.961.040.650.96
Up Capture-57%51%29%7%30%100%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days10202656115373
Down Capture45%207%230%149%118%108%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days11213669134370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-23.2%45.3%-0.45-
Sector ETF (XLK)59.7%25.3%1.8038.1%
Equity (SPY)31.2%17.3%1.4740.5%
Gold (GLD)60.1%27.8%1.69-9.0%
Commodities (DBC)29.8%16.6%1.583.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)21.3%15.2%1.0734.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-5.7%43.7%-0.0130.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-19.7%54.4%-0.28-
Sector ETF (XLK)16.5%24.7%0.6045.2%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5048.4%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.8%1.02-0.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.8%18.8%0.527.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1041.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.5%0.2926.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-10.4%54.4%-0.28-
Sector ETF (XLK)21.7%24.3%0.8245.2%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6648.4%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.74-0.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.417.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2241.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.9%1.0726.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202610.8%
Average Daily Volume2.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity110.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/31/202610.6%18.4% 
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
8/27/2024-13.9%-12.6%-10.6%
3/26/202419.0%16.3%-1.3%
11/29/2023-7.8%-1.3%12.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive774
# Negative557
Median Positive10.6%8.6%9.4%
Median Negative-12.3%-12.6%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%18.4%12.2%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/01/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/31/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Total Revenues154.50 Mil155.50 Mil156.50 Mil   
Q1 2026 Subscription Revenues137.00 Mil138.00 Mil139.00 Mil   
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income38.00 Mil39.00 Mil40.00 Mil   
2027 Total Revenues639.00 Mil641.00 Mil643.00 Mil8.2% Higher NewGuidance: 592.65 Mil for 2026
2027 Subscription Revenues569.00 Mil571.00 Mil573.00 Mil9.5% Higher NewGuidance: 521.25 Mil for 2026
2027 Non-GAAP Operating Income165.00 Mil167.50 Mil170.00 Mil31.2% Higher NewGuidance: 127.70 Mil for 2026
2027 Free Cash Flow132.00 Mil134.50 Mil137.00 Mil   
2027 Annual Contract Value662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil17.6% Higher NewGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Total Revenues146.75 Mil147.50 Mil148.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Subscription Revenues130.75 Mil131.50 Mil132.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income32.50 Mil33.00 Mil33.50 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted Share0.210.210.22   
2026 Total Revenues591.90 Mil592.65 Mil593.40 Mil1.0% RaisedGuidance: 587.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Subscription Revenues520.50 Mil521.25 Mil522.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 515.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income127.20 Mil127.70 Mil128.20 Mil6.9% RaisedGuidance: 119.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted Share0.90.910.9115.3% RaisedGuidance: 0.79 for 2026
2026 Annual Contract Value (ACV)564.00 Mil565.50 Mil567.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1219202524.491,50736,9061,144,442Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1209202524.117,331176,75014,914,374Form
3Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1106202525.8110,006258,28515,967,844Form
4Naude, Pierre DirectSell1106202525.814,881125,99330,655,003Form
5Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell1106202525.814,353112,36411,919,049Form

Industry Resources

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