Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $19.15 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $19.15
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 157x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%

Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 157x
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%
9 Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

NCNO in ETFs

Weight = NCNO's share of each fund

ITOT0.00%
IWM0.07%
VB0.02%
IWO0.12%
IGV0.07%
VTWO0.05%
VBK0.04%
SCHA0.04%
+7 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/4/2026

Ncino (NCNO) stock has gained about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance. nCino reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter, which ended April 30, 2026. Total revenue increased 11% year-over-year to $159.4 million, with subscription revenue also rising 12% to $140.9 million. The company significantly improved profitability, with non-GAAP operating income surging 79% year-over-year to $44.5 million, resulting in a 28% non-GAAP operating margin. Additionally, free cash flow grew 54% year-over-year to $80.8 million. These figures generally exceeded analyst revenue expectations.

2. Upward Revision of Fiscal Year 2027 Guidance. Following its strong fiscal Q1 2027 performance, nCino raised its full fiscal year 2027 guidance. The company now expects total revenue between $642.0 million and $646.0 million. It also increased its non-GAAP operating income guidance to a range of $166.0 million to $171.0 million and projected free cash flow between $135.0 million and $140.0 million. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in continued growth and profitability.

Show more
Updated on 8/4/2026

Ncino (NCNO) stock has gained about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance. nCino reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter, which ended April 30, 2026. Total revenue increased 11% year-over-year to $159.4 million, with subscription revenue also rising 12% to $140.9 million. The company significantly improved profitability, with non-GAAP operating income surging 79% year-over-year to $44.5 million, resulting in a 28% non-GAAP operating margin. Additionally, free cash flow grew 54% year-over-year to $80.8 million. These figures generally exceeded analyst revenue expectations.

2. Upward Revision of Fiscal Year 2027 Guidance. Following its strong fiscal Q1 2027 performance, nCino raised its full fiscal year 2027 guidance. The company now expects total revenue between $642.0 million and $646.0 million. It also increased its non-GAAP operating income guidance to a range of $166.0 million to $171.0 million and projected free cash flow between $135.0 million and $140.0 million. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in continued growth and profitability.

3. Significant Share Repurchase Program. In fiscal Q1 2027, nCino demonstrated its commitment to returning value to shareholders by repurchasing approximately 6.1 million shares of its common stock. This amounted to approximately $93.1 million at an average price of $15.20 per share.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and AI Product Strategy. Analyst sentiment turned more favorable, with Piper Sandler upgrading nCino's stock from Neutral to Overweight on April 1, 2026. The company's focus on its Artificial Intelligence (AI) product strategy, including the unveiling of its Agentic Operating System (AOS) and persona-based AI agents, was highlighted as a strategic priority and a potential tailwind for future growth. The company currently holds a consensus analyst rating of "Moderate Buy" or "Buy".

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.7% change in NCNO stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 149.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020268072026Change
Stock Price ($)17.4819.179.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5956102.6%
Net Income Margin (%)0.9%2.2%149.6%
P/E Multiple373.7156.9-58.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111092.1%
Cumulative Contribution9.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO9.7% 
Market (SPY)7.6%-9.2%
Sector (XLK)17.8%-19.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.2% change in NCNO stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268072026Change
Stock Price ($)21.3519.17-10.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5866104.0%
P/S Multiple4.23.4-18.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1141095.4%
Cumulative Contribution-10.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-10.2% 
Market (SPY)12.1%15.5%
Sector (XLK)30.8%5.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -31.4% change in NCNO stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258072026Change
Stock Price ($)27.9319.17-31.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5576109.6%
P/S Multiple5.83.4-40.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151095.8%
Cumulative Contribution-31.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-31.4% 
Market (SPY)23.4%20.6%
Sector (XLK)43.7%12.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -40.7% change in NCNO stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238072026Change
Stock Price ($)32.3519.17-40.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)42861042.6%
P/S Multiple8.53.4-59.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1121093.3%
Cumulative Contribution-40.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-40.7% 
Market (SPY)74.9%34.8%
Sector (XLK)114.7%26.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCNO Return--48%27%-0%-24%-26%-63%
Peers Return-9%-25%21%50%-19%-17%-16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCNO Win Rate-33%50%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%57%65%45%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCNO Max Drawdown---31%-22%-38%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-39%-26%-10%-38%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNCNOS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven95 days31 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNCNOS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven95 days31 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ncino (NCNO)

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) is a software-as-a-service (SaaS) company that provides cloud-based applications designed to digitize, automate, and streamline complex operations for financial institutions globally. Leveraging data analytics and artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML), nCino helps banks and credit unions enhance efficiency and improve their customer experience. Its core offering, the nCino Bank Operating System, is a unified cloud platform that assists institutions with critical functions such as client onboarding, managing the entire loan life cycle, opening various accounts, and ensuring regulatory compliance.

Beyond its operating system, nCino offers specialized product suites to further empower its customers. The nCino IQ suite utilizes AI/ML to provide advanced insights and automation for areas like credit risk analysis and compliance management. Additionally, the company's SimpleNexus platform facilitates the homeownership process, enabling seamless interaction between loan officers, borrowers, and real estate agents through internet-enabled devices. nCino serves a wide array of financial institutions, including global enterprises, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, and independent mortgage banks across the United States and international markets.

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  • Salesforce for financial institutions.
  • Workday for banking operations.

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  • nCino Bank Operating System: A cloud-based platform that digitizes and automates complex banking processes, including client onboarding, loan management, account opening, and regulatory compliance, utilizing AI/ML and data analytics.
  • nCino IQ: An application suite that leverages data analytics and AI/ML to provide financial institutions with automation and insights for operations, credit risk management, and regulatory compliance.
  • SimpleNexus: A suite of products designed for the mortgage industry, enabling loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled devices.

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nCino (NCNO) primarily sells its software-as-a-service applications to other companies, specifically financial institutions. The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies. However, it does describe the categories of financial institutions that nCino serves:

  • Global financial institutions
  • Enterprise banks
  • Regional banks
  • Community banks
  • Credit unions
  • New market entrants
  • Independent mortgage banks

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Sean Desmond

President and Chief Executive Officer

Sean Desmond joined nCino in 2013 as Chief Customer Success Officer. He has decades of experience within global technology and financial services organizations. Desmond's responsibilities expanded over time, and he most recently served as Chief Product Officer before being appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in February 2025.

Greg Orenstein

Chief Financial Officer

Greg Orenstein has served as nCino's Chief Financial Officer since January 2023, overseeing global financial and administrative functions. He joined nCino in 2015 and has held various executive positions, including Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer and Chief Corporate Development & Legal Officer. Orenstein played a critical role in driving nCino's growth, including leading its initial public offering (IPO) and secondary offering in 2020. Prior to nCino, he was Of Counsel at DLA Piper and held executive positions at S1 Corporation.

Chris Gufford

Chief Product Officer

Chris Gufford serves as nCino's Chief Product Officer, where he oversees the company's global Product Development & Engineering organization. Before this role, he was the Executive Director, General Manager - Commercial Banking Solution at nCino. Gufford has over 15 years of experience in credit, banking operations, and software, having previously held multiple roles at FIS and First National Bank of Omaha.

April Rieger

Chief Legal and Administrative Officer, Corporate Secretary

April Rieger is nCino's Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary. She is responsible for the company's Legal & Compliance and People Operations teams, as well as corporate governance. Rieger joined nCino in 2018 after practicing law for 10 years at Williams & Connolly LLP and serving as a law clerk in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

Ben Miller

CEO, SimpleNexus, an nCino Company

Ben Miller is the CEO of SimpleNexus, an nCino Company. He co-founded SimpleNexus and was instrumental in scaling it into a leading digital homeownership software company in the U.S. SimpleNexus was later acquired by nCino. Miller possesses over 15 years of experience driving innovative business strategy, operations, and go-to-market activities, particularly in mortgage lending.

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Key Business Risks for nCino (NCNO)

  1. Reliance on Salesforce Platform and Potential Cost Increases: A significant portion of nCino's banking operating system is fundamentally built on the Salesforce platform. This reliance means that any adverse changes to Salesforce's platform pricing, strategy, or terms, including announced price increases, could materially and adversely affect nCino's business and profitability.
  2. Intense Competition in the Fintech Sector: The fintech industry, where nCino operates, is highly competitive and fragmented. nCino faces substantial competition from both established software providers and emerging fintech companies. This intense competition could lead to pricing pressures, potential erosion of market share, and challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory, particularly as competitors expand their offerings and target nCino's core customer base.
  3. Macroeconomic Downturns Affecting Financial Institution Customers: nCino generates its revenue primarily from financial institutions. Consequently, any economic downturns, instability in the financial services industry, or decreased technology spending by banks and credit unions could directly and adversely impact the demand for nCino's services and its financial results. Furthermore, specific market segments like the U.S. mortgage market have shown choppy trends, which could affect a key growth driver for nCino.

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nCino (NCNO) operates in several significant addressable markets globally for its cloud-based software applications for financial institutions.

  • Overall Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM): nCino estimates its total serviceable addressable market globally to be $19.5 billion.

  • Cloud-Based Banking Software:

    • The global cloud core banking software market was valued at approximately $5.11 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $9.58 billion by 2030.
    • The global SaaS-based core banking software market size was approximately $13.48 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to about $83.67 billion by 2035.
    • The global cloud computing in retail banking market reached approximately $70.69 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $80.93 billion by 2025. North America is the largest market, holding approximately 45% of the global market share.
    • The global cloud-based financial platform market size was around $20.62 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to approximately $54.03 billion by 2032.
  • Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning (AI/ML) in Financial Services:

    • The global AI for financial services market was valued at $13.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $123.2 billion by 2032.
    • The global AI in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance) market size was valued at $26.2 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $192.7 billion by 2034.
    • The global AI in Finance Market size is estimated at $39.62 billion in 2025, with projections to boost to $350.01 billion by 2033. North America held the major market share for more than 37% of the global revenue in 2025.
    • The global Generative AI in financial services market size was estimated at $2.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $25.71 billion by 2033. North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 39.2% in 2024.
    • The global AI agents in financial services market size accounted for $1.79 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $6.54 billion by 2035.
  • Mortgage Technology (SimpleNexus):

    • The global digital mortgage software market size was valued at approximately $4.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $13.5 billion by 2032. North America is expected to dominate this market, accounting for approximately 40% of the global market share in 2023.
    • Another estimate indicates the global digital mortgage solution market reached $108.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to hit $747.69 billion by 2033.
    • The global Digital Mortgage Software market size was recorded at $3.50 billion in 2021, is expected to reach $8.15 billion by the end of 2025, and $44.11 billion by 2033.
    • The global e-mortgage market is projected to grow from $12.1 billion in 2024 to $62.1 billion by 2034.

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nCino (NCNO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion of AI and Machine Learning Solutions: nCino is heavily focused on integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) into its platform, notably through its Banking Advisor solutions. This initiative aims to provide financial institutions with automation and insights, leading to significant efficiency gains and driving customer adoption and early renewals. The company has reported that over 110 customers have already purchased Banking Advisor intelligence units, indicating strong momentum in this area.
  2. International Market Expansion: International growth is a significant driver for nCino, with international subscription revenues showing substantial year-over-year increases. The company continues to secure new and expanded contracts in regions such as Japan, Norway, Luxembourg, and the broader EMEA market, diversifying its revenue streams beyond the U.S.
  3. Growth in Customer Base and Cross-selling: nCino's strategy includes attracting new financial institution customers, encompassing global, enterprise, regional, and community banks, as well as credit unions and independent mortgage banks. The company also focuses on expanding relationships with its existing customer base through multi-solution deals and increasing product adoption, aiming for larger deal sizes.
  4. Impact of New Pricing and Monetization Strategy: The introduction of a new pricing and monetization strategy, referred to as the Intelligent Solution Framework or an asset-based pricing model, is expected to align revenue more closely with customer value. This approach aims to incentivize broader adoption, larger deal sizes, and a more favorable product mix, thereby stimulating future revenue growth, including through increased asset portfolios and AI usage.
  5. Recovery and Strength in the U.S. Mortgage Business: Despite some macroeconomic challenges, nCino has reported outperformance in its U.S. mortgage subscription revenues and has raised guidance for this segment. The successful rollout and "go-live" with large national homebuilders have contributed to this strength, indicating that the mortgage business will continue to be a meaningful contributor to overall revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • nCino's board of directors authorized a new stock repurchase program of up to $100 million in December 2025, representing approximately 3.7% of outstanding shares.
  • In Q3 Fiscal Year 2026, the company repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares for about $39.7 million, completing its previous $100 million repurchase program (approximately 4.0 million shares).
  • In Q1 Fiscal Year 2026, nCino repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares for $40.6 million at an average price of $22.17.

Share Issuance

  • Stock issuance under the employee stock purchase plan amounted to $2.514 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 and $2.444 million in Q3 Fiscal Year 2025.
  • nCino has historically funded its capital needs through issuances of common stock, including its initial public offering in July 2020.

Inbound Investments

  • Ophir Asset Management acquired a new position in nCino on February 17, 2026, purchasing 1,325,484 shares valued at approximately $33.99 million.
  • Vanguard Group increased its stake in nCino by 1.7% in Q3, holding 10.30% ownership valued at $323 million.
  • Picton Mahoney Asset Management initiated an approximately $11 million position in nCino in Q3.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2025, nCino acquired Sandbox Banking for $52.5 million, with a potential additional earn-out of up to $10 million.
  • nCino acquired FullCircl in October 2024 for $135 million.
  • In March 2024, nCino acquired DocFox, an automated onboarding solutions provider, for $75.0 million.
  • In January 2022, nCino acquired SimpleNexus, a cloud-based mobile-first homeownership software company.

Capital Expenditures

  • nCino's capital expenditures coverage for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 averaged 7.4x.
  • The capital expenditures coverage peaked in January 2025 at 24.4x.
  • The company anticipated capital expenditures to be "appreciably higher in absolute dollars in fiscal 2025" for planned office build-outs, primarily an international office, estimated at approximately $8.5 million to support growth.

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Price19.1752.4142.77155.9562.81150.3057.61
Mkt Cap2.127.922.111.23.984.816.6
Rev LTM61020,86612,2012,51684613,4267,358
Op Inc LTM264,4682,036654885,5481,345
FCF LTM1113,9261,9215411894,6411,231
FCF 3Y Avg804,3112,3103791384,0221,344
CFO LTM1175,8312,9767862265,5141,881
CFO 3Y Avg845,9763,2216141694,7771,918

Growth & Margins

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%-1.2%18.3%8.4%13.9%6.9%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.6%4.3%8.0%7.5%12.2%12.0%10.0%
Rev Chg Q10.6%-4.1%29.1%8.7%12.6%10.7%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%-1.1%6.7%2.1%3.0%2.7%2.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM264.9%-29.6%14.7%21.4%1,689.9%15.8%18.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg124.3%5.5%12.9%12.6%609.6%13.7%13.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%21.4%16.7%26.0%10.4%41.3%19.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.9%26.2%16.8%23.8%0.6%39.4%20.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.7%-3.0%-0.2%0.1%2.2%-0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.2%27.9%24.4%31.3%26.7%41.1%27.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.2%29.0%30.2%26.0%22.1%38.8%27.5%
FCF/Rev LTM18.2%18.8%15.7%21.5%22.3%34.6%20.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.5%20.9%21.8%16.0%18.0%32.7%19.5%

Valuation

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Cap2.127.922.111.23.984.816.6
P/S3.41.31.84.44.66.33.9
P/Op Inc78.96.210.817.144.415.316.2
P/EBIT68.65.811.316.538.413.815.2
P/E156.910.06.521.642.721.021.3
P/CFO17.84.87.414.217.315.414.8
Total Yield0.6%10.0%19.2%6.2%2.3%6.1%6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.0%1.5%0.0%1.3%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%8.3%7.2%3.4%3.6%4.9%4.3%
D/E0.21.01.00.00.00.20.2
Net D/E0.11.00.90.0-0.00.20.2

Returns

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
1M Rtn10.6%3.6%4.7%5.8%21.6%9.6%7.7%
3M Rtn8.0%-5.5%-0.5%7.4%25.3%-3.2%3.4%
6M Rtn5.6%-12.7%-16.0%-9.3%10.2%-10.4%-9.9%
12M Rtn-28.7%-60.5%-37.0%-3.5%-15.8%-19.0%-23.9%
3Y Rtn-35.9%-58.1%-19.7%-4.7%89.5%35.9%-12.2%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%-1.4%-0.0%1.0%17.6%8.4%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn2.1%-13.5%-14.2%1.5%18.2%-9.1%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-7.4%-24.4%-28.3%-25.3%-0.3%-24.2%-24.3%
12M Excs Rtn-51.1%-83.2%-59.1%-27.3%-39.1%-41.3%-46.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-109.2%-129.8%-94.1%-76.2%11.5%-36.2%-85.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment595541477  
Professional services and other revenues   6449
Subscription revenues   345225
Total595541477408274


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202620252024
Single Segment10-33-44
Total10-33-44


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$19.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.1 
First Trading Date01/10/2022 
Distance from 52W High-41.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$16.93$19.66
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA13.2%-2.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility52.8%49.1%
Downside Capture-33.23125.31
Upside Capture6.7456.95
Correlation (SPY)-7.6%19.4%
NCNO Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.38-0.39-0.580.510.750.98
Up Beta-4.66-2.85-2.64-0.840.020.84
Down Beta0.480.930.470.991.020.87
Up Capture155%28%-17%57%42%73%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days14253466119370
Down Capture-37%-67%-61%109%120%107%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days8182959132375

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-29.0%49.0%-0.54-
Sector ETF (XLK)43.7%25.9%1.3611.1%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.3619.6%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.87-7.9%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-15.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.7217.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.9%-1.2319.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-18.2%54.1%-0.21-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.5%25.8%0.7140.3%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6145.8%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.81-0.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.314.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0239.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.8%53.0%0.3525.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-9.6%54.1%-0.21-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.6%24.9%0.8940.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7345.8%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.61-0.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.334.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2039.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.9825.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-8.4%
Average Daily Volume2.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7
Basic Shares Quantity108.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/30/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/27/20264.3%4.5%2.9%
3/31/202610.6%18.4%16.7%
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
5/28/2025-1.7%1.7%3.3%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
8/27/2024-13.9%-12.6%-10.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91010
# Negative877
Median Positive10.6%8.2%5.8%
Median Negative-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%18.4%16.7%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/27/20264.3%4.5%2.9%
3/31/202610.6%18.4%16.7%
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
5/28/2025-1.7%1.7%3.3%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
8/27/2024-13.9%-12.6%-10.6%
5/29/2024-0.1%-1.8%4.3%
3/26/202419.0%16.3%-1.3%
11/29/2023-7.8%-1.3%12.2%
8/29/20239.7%9.9%7.3%
5/31/2023-10.3%-11.5%9.6%
3/28/20232.4%7.8%11.6%
11/30/20225.4%-6.3%1.2%
6/1/202214.6%13.5%0.7%
3/31/202213.7%8.6%-5.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91010
# Negative877
Median Positive10.6%8.2%5.8%
Median Negative-9.1%-11.5%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%18.4%16.7%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/31/202610-K
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/01/202210-Q
01/31/202203/31/202210-K
10/31/202112/01/202110-Q
07/31/202109/01/202110-Q
04/30/202106/02/202110-Q
01/31/202103/31/202110-K
10/31/202012/10/202010-Q
07/31/202009/10/202010-Q
04/30/202007/14/2020424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Total Revenues157.75 Mil158.75 Mil159.75 Mil   
Q2 2027 Subscription Revenues140.25 Mil141.25 Mil142.25 Mil   
Q2 2027 Non-GAAP operating income35.50 Mil36.50 Mil37.50 Mil   
2027 Total Revenues642.00 Mil644.00 Mil646.00 Mil0.5% RaisedGuidance: 641.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Subscription Revenues571.50 Mil573.50 Mil575.50 Mil0.4% RaisedGuidance: 571.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Non-GAAP operating income166.00 Mil168.50 Mil171.00 Mil0.6% RaisedGuidance: 167.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Free Cash Flow135.00 Mil137.50 Mil140.00 Mil2.2% RaisedGuidance: 134.50 Mil for 2027
2027 Annual Contract Value (ACV)662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 665.00 Mil for 2027

Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/31/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Total Revenues154.50 Mil155.50 Mil156.50 Mil  Higher New
Q1 2026 Subscription Revenues137.00 Mil138.00 Mil139.00 Mil  Higher New
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income38.00 Mil39.00 Mil40.00 Mil  Higher New
2027 Total Revenues639.00 Mil641.00 Mil643.00 Mil8.2% Higher NewGuidance: 592.65 Mil for 2026
2027 Subscription Revenues569.00 Mil571.00 Mil573.00 Mil9.5% Higher NewGuidance: 521.25 Mil for 2026
2027 Non-GAAP Operating Income165.00 Mil167.50 Mil170.00 Mil31.2% Higher NewGuidance: 127.70 Mil for 2026
2027 Free Cash Flow132.00 Mil134.50 Mil137.00 Mil  Higher New
2027 Annual Contract Value662.50 Mil665.00 Mil667.50 Mil17.6% Higher NewGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Total Revenues146.75 Mil147.50 Mil148.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Subscription Revenues130.75 Mil131.50 Mil132.25 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income32.50 Mil33.00 Mil33.50 Mil   
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted Share0.210.210.22   
2026 Total Revenues591.90 Mil592.65 Mil593.40 Mil1.0% RaisedGuidance: 587.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Subscription Revenues520.50 Mil521.25 Mil522.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 515.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income127.20 Mil127.70 Mil128.20 Mil6.9% RaisedGuidance: 119.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Non-GAAP Net Income per Diluted Share0.90.910.9115.3% RaisedGuidance: 0.79 for 2026
2026 Annual Contract Value (ACV)564.00 Mil565.50 Mil567.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 565.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.531,53629,998946,287Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.5311,815230,74724,042,992Form
3Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.2288717,046960,689Form
4Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell806202619.227,852150,9007,221,144Form
5Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell806202619.2211,780226,38813,270,279Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.531,53629,998946,287Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.5311,815230,74724,042,992Form
3Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell806202619.2288717,046960,689Form
4Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell806202619.227,852150,9007,221,144Form
5Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell806202619.2211,780226,38813,270,279Form
6Naude, Pierre DirectSell806202619.224,67789,88321,460,875Form
7Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202619.2228,675551,07623,730,982Form
8Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell708202617.478,064140,87822,055,735Form
9Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell605202616.268,064131,12120,528,120Form
10Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell507202618.043,69566,658917,803Form
11Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell507202618.0416,589299,26622,775,356Form
12Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell505202618.021,48626,770983,097Form
13Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell505202618.029,693174,6196,910,572Form
14Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell505202618.0214,650263,92012,651,808Form
15Naude, Pierre DirectSell505202618.0235,650642,23519,969,141Form
16Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell505202618.0222,073397,64522,897,353Form
17Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell416202617.551,87332,862712,520Form
18Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell408202617.0615,440263,40610,055,642Form
19Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell403202616.7573512,314711,777Form
20Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell403202616.755,74796,2853,618,010Form
21Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell403202616.758,840148,1057,411,031Form
22Naude, Pierre DirectSell403202616.7522,700380,31619,168,637Form
23Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell403202616.755,74796,2859,998,837Form
24Naude, Pierre DirectSell204202618.6824,273453,46821,798,587Form
25Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1219202524.491,50736,9061,144,442Form
26Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1209202524.117,331176,75014,914,374Form
27Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1106202525.8110,006258,28515,967,844Form
28Naude, Pierre DirectSell1106202525.814,881125,99330,655,003Form
29Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell1106202525.814,353112,36411,919,049Form
30Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell1106202525.814,731122,1215,931,156Form
31Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1106202525.8164016,5201,245,167Form
32Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell917202530.406,018182,9717,129,890Form
33Horing, Jeff See footnoteSell909202530.003,889,254  Form
34Horing, Jeff See footnoteSell909202531.1226,168814,225121,015,305Form
35Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell909202530.7452916,2611,502,510Form
36Horing, Jeff See FootnoteSell902202532.23282,3679,099,672126,179,956Form
37Horing, Jeff See FootnoteSell902202532.46260,8028,465,926136,264,947Form
38Rieger, AprilChief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., SecDirectSell806202527.453,02883,1036,601,154Form
39Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell806202527.454,155114,03412,792,087Form
40Naude, Pierre DirectSell806202527.454,659127,86632,727,092Form
41Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell806202527.459,550262,10017,252,009Form
42Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell805202527.452115,7911,355,975Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 8, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.5 Mil13.5%11Hold13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$25.3 Mil6.2%12Hold13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC$40.7 Mil11.3%13ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd$34.0 Mil3.8%32ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$29.1 Mil4.6%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP$17.2 Mil2.0%22ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.5 Mil13.5%11Hold13F
Senvest Management, LLC$79.5 Mil2.6%49ADD +30.2%13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$67.1 Mil2.4%48ADD +625.4%13F
Spyglass Capital Management LLC$46.2 Mil3.3%25ADD +6.0%13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$25.3 Mil6.2%12Hold13F
Tensile Capital Management LP$15.1 Mil2.2%25TRIM -7.4%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/7/2026