Tearsheet

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $16.14 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Ncino (NCNO)


Market Price (2/18/2026): $16.14
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 523x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
4   Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 523x
8 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
10 Key risks
NCNO key risks include [1] significant revenue churn from its U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ncino (NCNO) stock has lost about 40% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. NCNO's slowing growth trajectory and decelerating revenue projections. Analysts raised concerns about nCino's billings growth and anticipated revenue slowdown, with estimated sales growth of only 6.1% for the next 12 months, indicating a significant deceleration from previous trends. Additionally, there are specific worries regarding the slowdown in the U.S. mortgage market, which has seen growth slow to 2% year-over-year, potentially impacting nCino's revenue growth.

2. Broader software sector sell-off driven by the "AI replacement" narrative. In early February 2026, nCino's stock, along with other software companies, experienced a significant decline. This was largely attributed to growing concerns about the disruptive impact of advanced artificial intelligence models on traditional SaaS providers. The emergence of new autonomous AI agents from companies like Anthropic and OpenAI led to fears that these agents could "cannibalize traditional software," threatening the recurring revenue models of established software giants and prompting a market-wide re-evaluation of the software application layer.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.4% change in NCNO stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)26.6816.18-39.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5735862.3%
P/S Multiple5.43.2-41.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151140.7%
Cumulative Contribution-39.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-39.4% 
Market (SPY)0.1%41.1%
Sector (XLK)-7.2%38.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -42.1% change in NCNO stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)27.9316.18-42.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5575865.3%
P/S Multiple5.83.2-45.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151140.3%
Cumulative Contribution-42.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-42.1% 
Market (SPY)8.3%35.5%
Sector (XLK)6.3%31.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -52.4% change in NCNO stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -58.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252172026Change
Stock Price ($)34.0116.18-52.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)52358612.1%
P/S Multiple7.53.2-58.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1161141.1%
Cumulative Contribution-52.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-52.4% 
Market (SPY)14.5%39.3%
Sector (XLK)21.4%38.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -43.4% change in NCNO stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -62.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232172026Change
Stock Price ($)28.6016.18-43.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37458656.8%
P/S Multiple8.53.2-62.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)111114-3.1%
Cumulative Contribution-43.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCNO-43.4% 
Market (SPY)74.2%40.3%
Sector (XLK)109.4%34.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCNO Return--48%27%-0%-24%-37%-68%
Peers Return-9%-25%21%50%-19%-18%-17%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCNO Win Rate-33%50%58%42%0% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%57%65%45%10% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCNO Max Drawdown--54%-19%-16%-36%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-34%-16%-3%-31%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/17/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNCNOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FISV, FIS, JKHY, QTWO, ICE

In The Past

Ncino's stock fell -59.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/11/2022. A -59.6% loss requires a 147.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Ncino (NCNO)

nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally. Its nCino Bank Operating System, a tenant cloud platform, which digitizes, automates, and streamlines complex processes and workflow; and utilizes data analytics and artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) to enable banks and credit unions to onboard new clients, make loans and manage the entire loan life cycle, open deposit and other accounts, and manage regulatory compliance. The company's nCino IQ, an application suite that utilizes data analytics and AI/ML to provide its customers with automation and insights into their operations, such as tools for analyzing, measuring, and managing credit risk, as well as to enhance their ability to comply with regulatory requirements. It also offers SimpleNexus, a suite of products that enables loan officers, borrowers, real estate agents, settlement agents, and others to engage in the homeownership process from internet-enabled device. The company serves financial institution customers, including global financial institutions, enterprise banks, regional banks, community banks, credit unions, new market entrants, and independent mortgage banks through sales team comprising business development representatives, account executives, field sales engineers, and customer success managers. nCino, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.

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  • Salesforce for banks
  • ServiceNow for banks

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • nCino Bank Operating System: A cloud-based platform that unifies customer relationship management, digital account opening, loan origination, and other critical banking functions for financial institutions.
  • Commercial & Small Business Origination: A service enabling banks to streamline and automate the entire commercial and small business lending process from application to closing.
  • Retail & Mortgage Origination: Services designed to digitize and accelerate the application, underwriting, and closing processes for consumer loans and residential mortgages.
  • Deposit Account Opening: A service allowing financial institutions to offer a seamless, digital experience for customers to open new deposit accounts across various channels.
  • Customer Relationship Management (CRM) & Portfolio Management: Integrated tools that help banks manage customer interactions, relationships, and the overall performance of their loan and deposit portfolios.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ncino (NCNO) sells primarily to other companies, specifically financial institutions. Its business model is a B2B (business-to-business) SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) provider.

Ncino serves a diverse range of financial institutions globally, spanning various sizes and segments. Rather than relying on a few singular "major customers" in terms of revenue concentration, Ncino's customer base is broadly distributed across the financial services industry, serving over 1,850 financial institutions worldwide. Its customers are primarily:

  • Global and National Banks: Large, often multinational banking corporations that leverage Ncino's platform for various lending and onboarding processes.
    • Examples of public companies that are known Ncino clients include: Truist (TFC), Fifth Third Bank (FITB), KeyBank (KEY), and U.S. Bank (USB). International examples include Barclays (BARC.L).
  • Regional and Community Banks: Mid-sized and smaller banks that serve specific regions or communities, utilizing Ncino to modernize their operations and compete with larger institutions.
  • Credit Unions: Member-owned financial cooperatives that use Ncino's technology to enhance member experience and operational efficiency.
  • Mortgage Lenders: With the acquisition of SimpleNexus, Ncino also serves dedicated mortgage lenders and brokers, enabling digital mortgage workflows.

The examples provided illustrate the types of major institutions Ncino serves across the financial sector rather than representing a definitive list of its top revenue contributors.

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Amazon Web Services (part of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN))

Microsoft Azure (part of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT))

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Sean Desmond, President and Chief Executive Officer

Sean Desmond was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of nCino, effective February 3, 2025. He joined nCino in 2013, initially serving as Chief Customer Success Officer, ensuring the successful delivery and implementation of the nCino Platform globally. Prior to his appointment as CEO, he held the position of Chief Product Officer, overseeing the company's Product Development & Engineering organization.

Greg Orenstein, Chief Financial Officer

Greg Orenstein serves as nCino's Chief Financial Officer, a role he assumed on January 1, 2023. He oversees the company's global financial and administrative functions. Orenstein joined nCino in 2015 and has held several executive positions, including Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer and Chief Corporate Development & Legal Officer and Secretary. He played a critical role in driving nCino's growth, corporate strategy, acquisition, investment, and corporate finance activities, including leading the company's initial public offering and secondary offering in 2020. Prior to nCino, he was Of Counsel at the global law firm of DLA Piper and held various executive positions at S1 Corporation.

Pierre Naudé, Executive Chairman of the Board

Pierre Naudé is a co-founder of nCino and served as its Chief Executive Officer since the company's inception in 2012 until February 2025. He led nCino's IPO in 2020. Naudé continues to be actively involved with the company as Executive Chairman of the Board. Before founding nCino, he was a colleague of Live Oak founder Chip Mahan at S1, a financial technology company that was acquired in 2011.

April Rieger, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer, Corporate Secretary

April Rieger is nCino's Chief Legal & Administrative Officer, overseeing all aspects of the company's Legal & Compliance and People Operations teams, and serves as Corporate Secretary, responsible for corporate governance. She joined nCino in 2018. Prior to nCino, April practiced law for 10 years at Williams & Connolly LLP in Washington, DC, and served as a law clerk in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

Chris Gufford, Chief Product Officer

Chris Gufford serves as nCino's Chief Product Officer, where he oversees the company's Product Development & Engineering organization globally. Before his current role, Chris was the Executive Director, General Manager - Commercial Banking Solution. Prior to joining nCino, he held multiple roles at FIS and First National Bank of Omaha, bringing over 15 years of experience in credit, banking operations, and software to help financial institutions achieve business outcomes.

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Here are the key risks to nCino's business:

  1. U.S. Mortgage Market and Macroeconomic Headwinds: nCino faces significant challenges due to the current high-interest-rate environment, which has created a substantial headwind for the U.S. mortgage market. This directly impacts nCino's mortgage point-of-sale product, a considerable revenue stream, and contributed to an expected churn of approximately $20.5 million for the full fiscal year 2025. Broader macroeconomic slowdowns and potential recessions also lead to longer sales cycles and reduced IT spending by financial institutions, further impacting nCino's revenue growth trajectory. Management has even modeled zero growth in U.S. mortgage-related subscription revenue for fiscal year 2026.
  2. Intense Competition in the Fintech Sector: The cloud banking sector is highly competitive, with nCino encountering increasing competition from both established technology giants like Salesforce, Microsoft, and Oracle, and emerging fintech companies such as Blend Labs. This intense competition could lead to market share erosion, pressure on pricing, and difficulties in differentiating its offerings across various banking segments, particularly as competitors develop more specialized solutions.
  3. Reliance on Third-Party Platforms and Ongoing Profitability Challenges: A notable portion of nCino's platform is built on Salesforce's technology, creating a dependency on this external relationship. Any disruption or changes in the agreement with Salesforce could materially impact service delivery and customer satisfaction. Furthermore, despite robust revenue growth, nCino has consistently reported GAAP net losses, with a substantial $(37.9) million GAAP net loss for fiscal year 2025. This indicates ongoing challenges in achieving overall profitability, potentially due to high operating expenses, and suggests the business is not yet fully self-funding under strict accounting rules.

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The increasing trend among larger financial institutions to leverage hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) and modern low-code/no-code development platforms to build customized, modular, and API-driven banking solutions in-house. This strategic shift can reduce reliance on third-party packaged software vendors for core functionalities, challenging Ncino's market position by offering an alternative 'build-it-yourself' approach to a bank operating system.

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nCino's main product is the nCino Bank Operating System, also referred to as the nCino Platform. This cloud-based software provides solutions for financial institutions, encompassing commercial, consumer, and mortgage lending, client onboarding, account opening, loan origination, document management, lifecycle management, and business intelligence.

The company estimates its total serviceable addressable market (SAM) to be approximately $19.5 billion globally. Other analyses also indicate the serviceable addressable market to be around $18.7 billion globally. In earlier estimates, nCino stated that the serviceable market for its Bank Operating System was greater than $10 billion globally.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for nCino (NCNO) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Product Innovation and AI Integration: nCino is accelerating its AI strategy by embedding intelligence across its platform and launching new AI-powered tools such as Banking Advisor. This focus on AI is expected to reimagine banking workflows, enhance strategic decision-making and risk management, and drive a transition to a new, higher-margin pricing model, which has already gained traction with over 80 customers.
  2. Expansion of Existing Customer Relationships: The company continues to prioritize increasing its Annual Contract Value (ACV) by signing multi-solution expansion agreements with current clients. This involves cross-selling additional products and services and upgrading existing customer deployments, which has historically been a significant growth avenue for nCino.
  3. International Market Expansion: International subscription revenue is a key growth engine, demonstrating strong year-over-year increases. nCino is actively expanding its global footprint into new regions, including recent entries into the Spanish market and a first win in the Czech Republic, alongside continued strong performance in established international markets like Australia and New Zealand.
  4. U.S. Mortgage Business Recovery and Market Share Gains: The U.S. mortgage segment has transitioned from a challenging area to a growth driver. Strong execution and strategic wins with large independent mortgage bankers and homebuilders are contributing to market share gains and positive segment growth, even amidst a fluctuating macroeconomic environment.
  5. Strategic Acquisitions: Recent acquisitions, such as FullCircl, are expanding nCino's platform capabilities, particularly in areas like onboarding and data aggregation. These acquisitions are expected to increase nCino's total addressable market and contribute to subscription revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • nCino's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million of its outstanding common stock on April 1, 2025.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended April 30, 2025), nCino repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares for a total consideration of $40.6 million.

Share Issuance

  • nCino has historically funded its capital needs through issuances of common stock.
  • The number of shares outstanding has generally increased, from 94,367,482 as of March 26, 2021, to 116,449,936 as of March 27, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • No large investments made in the company by third-parties were identified within the last 3-5 years (fiscal years 2021-2025/2026).

Outbound Investments

  • nCino acquired SimpleNexus for approximately $1.2 billion in January 2022, consisting of $240 million in cash and 13.2 million shares of nCino common stock.
  • The company acquired DocFox for $75 million in March 2024.
  • nCino purchased London-based FullCircl for $135 million in cash in October 2024.
  • In February 2025, nCino acquired Sandbox Banking for $52.5 million in cash, with a potential additional earn-out of up to $10 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • nCino completed the construction of a parking deck in September 2021 for approximately $17.7 million.
  • The company expects capital expenditures for planned office build-outs, mainly for an international office, to be approximately $8.5 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for planned office build-outs, primarily for an international office, are estimated to be approximately $8.4 million in fiscal year 2026.

Better Bets vs. Ncino (NCNO)

Trade Ideas

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CVLT_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026CVLTCommVault SystemsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
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NTNX_1302026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE01302026NTNXNutanixDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
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FICO_1302026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01302026FICOFair IsaacMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
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-8.1%-8.1%-9.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Price16.1863.4547.52158.5952.59153.4458.02
Mkt Cap1.934.324.811.53.387.318.1
Rev LTM58621,16010,4642,46579512,6406,464
Op Inc LTM-56,0781,742638444,9991,190
FCF LTM604,6191,7794701733,8711,125
FCF 3Y Avg504,3127863261073,594556
CFO LTM676,3392,6327082014,6621,670
CFO 3Y Avg565,8481,6425581364,2711,100

Growth & Margins

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Rev Chg LTM12.1%5.2%4.2%8.4%14.1%7.5%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.3%6.8%6.2%7.3%12.0%9.7%8.5%
Rev Chg Q9.6%0.9%5.7%7.9%13.8%3.7%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%0.2%1.4%1.9%3.3%0.9%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-0.8%28.7%16.6%25.9%5.5%39.5%21.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.6%27.0%16.1%23.6%-3.8%39.0%19.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.2%-1.3%-0.6%1.0%2.1%0.9%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.4%30.0%25.2%28.7%25.3%36.9%27.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.4%29.1%16.0%24.1%18.7%37.3%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM10.2%21.8%17.0%19.1%21.8%30.6%20.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%21.5%7.5%14.0%14.5%31.4%14.2%

Valuation

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
Mkt Cap1.934.324.811.53.387.318.1
P/S3.21.62.44.74.16.93.6
P/EBIT522.95.714.717.354.717.017.1
P/E-85.09.5162.922.663.326.324.5
P/CFO27.65.49.416.216.318.716.3
Total Yield-1.2%10.5%4.0%5.2%1.6%5.1%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.4%0.7%0.0%1.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%7.1%2.0%2.6%2.4%4.3%2.5%
D/E0.10.90.50.00.10.20.2
Net D/E0.10.90.5-0.0-0.00.20.1

Returns

NCNOFISVFISJKHYQTWOICEMedian
NameNcino Fiserv Fidelity.Jack Hen.Q2 Intercon. 
1M Rtn-33.3%-4.3%-25.0%-16.7%-19.2%-11.8%-17.9%
3M Rtn-34.3%3.4%-24.3%-2.9%-24.3%0.7%-13.6%
6M Rtn-41.9%-54.4%-30.6%-0.6%-30.2%-13.4%-30.4%
12M Rtn-52.8%-72.5%-29.5%-3.4%-42.3%-6.9%-35.9%
3Y Rtn-43.4%-45.0%-26.2%-2.4%58.0%48.9%-14.3%
1M Excs Rtn-31.9%-3.5%-23.6%-15.6%-19.8%-10.0%-17.7%
3M Excs Rtn-38.1%-3.2%-29.4%-5.3%-28.2%-0.8%-16.8%
6M Excs Rtn-47.8%-59.7%-38.2%-6.5%-35.6%-20.9%-36.9%
12M Excs Rtn-64.9%-84.3%-43.0%-17.6%-55.3%-19.9%-49.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.2%-113.2%-98.3%-69.2%-8.6%-19.3%-83.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment477    
Professional services and other revenues 64494235
Subscription revenues 345225162103
Total477408274204138


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment-44    
Total-44    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.18 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.9 
First Trading Date01/10/2022 
Distance from 52W High-52.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$23.22$26.14
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-30.3%-38.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.2%46.3%
Downside Capture319.04146.70
Upside Capture22.2150.99
Correlation (SPY)39.4%38.9%
NCNO Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.951.311.101.090.871.18
Up Beta1.803.511.221.631.001.13
Down Beta1.791.161.241.110.721.05
Up Capture-14%10%23%36%37%122%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days6172753110372
Down Capture446%182%161%136%109%109%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days14243472139373

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-54.5%46.2%-1.56-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.3%27.5%0.5638.6%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5139.5%
Gold (GLD)67.2%25.5%1.99-5.8%
Commodities (DBC)5.2%16.8%0.134.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.8%16.6%0.2829.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%44.9%-0.6235.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-20.9%54.3%-0.33-
Sector ETF (XLK)16.2%24.8%0.5945.9%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.0%0.6249.1%
Gold (GLD)21.3%17.1%1.021.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%18.9%0.428.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%18.8%0.1941.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.2%57.2%0.3627.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCNO
NCNO-11.1%54.3%-0.33-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.1%24.2%0.8745.9%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7649.1%
Gold (GLD)14.8%15.6%0.791.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%17.6%0.378.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2941.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.5%66.7%1.0827.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520265.1%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity114.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.8%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/3/2025-4.8%1.2%-3.9%
8/26/202513.9%6.7%-1.9%
4/1/2025-19.7%-21.6%-18.7%
12/4/2024-12.3%-14.3%-19.6%
8/27/2024-13.9%-12.6%-10.6%
3/26/202419.0%16.3%-1.3%
11/29/2023-7.8%-1.3%12.2%
8/29/20239.7%9.9%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive664
# Negative557
Median Positive11.7%8.2%9.4%
Median Negative-12.3%-12.6%-5.2%
Max Positive19.0%16.3%12.2%
Max Negative-19.7%-21.6%-19.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
10/31/202512/03/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/28/202510-Q
01/31/202504/01/202510-K
10/31/202412/04/202410-Q
07/31/202408/27/202410-Q
04/30/202405/29/202410-Q
01/31/202403/26/202410-K
10/31/202311/29/202310-Q
07/31/202308/29/202310-Q
04/30/202305/31/202310-Q
01/31/202303/28/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/01/202210-Q
01/31/202203/31/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sellers, JeanetteSVP of AccountingDirectSell1219202524.491,50736,9061,144,442Form
2Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1209202524.117,331176,75014,914,374Form
3Desmond, SeanCEO & PresidentDirectSell1106202525.8110,006258,28515,967,844Form
4Naude, Pierre DirectSell1106202525.814,881125,99330,655,003Form
5Orenstein, GregoryCFO & TreasurerDirectSell1106202525.814,353112,36411,919,049Form