Millrose Properties (MRP)


Market Price (9/7/2026): $32.03 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Single-Family Residential REITs

Millrose Properties (MRP)


Market Price (9/7/2026): $32.03
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Single-Family Residential REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 70%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 228%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 85%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 493%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 493%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%

Key risks
MRP key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration with homebuilder Lennar under unfavorable agreement terms, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 70%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 228%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 85%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 493%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 493%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
8 Key risks
MRP key risks include [1] an extreme customer concentration with homebuilder Lennar under unfavorable agreement terms, Show more.

MRP in ETFs

Weight = MRP's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJR0.25%
VB0.05%
USRT0.39%
IYR0.34%
SLYG0.34%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/4/2026

Millrose Properties (MRP) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Millrose Properties reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with total revenues increasing 32% year-over-year to $196.9 million. The company's Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) reached $127.6 million, or $0.77 per share, with a quarterly AFFO run rate at $0.80 per share, hitting the high end of its guidance. This strong performance, announced on August 4, 2026, signaled operational strength and contributed significantly to investor confidence.

2. Strategic Business Expansion and Diversification: During fiscal Q2 2026, Millrose Properties actively expanded its counterparty base to 19 homebuilder and developer relationships and diversified its portfolio by entering the multifamily land banking sector through a new relationship with JPI, a subsidiary of Sumitomo Forestry. This strategic growth extends the company's market reach beyond single-family homesites and demonstrates the flexibility of its platform.

Show more
Updated on 9/4/2026

Millrose Properties (MRP) stock has gained about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Millrose Properties reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, with total revenues increasing 32% year-over-year to $196.9 million. The company's Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) reached $127.6 million, or $0.77 per share, with a quarterly AFFO run rate at $0.80 per share, hitting the high end of its guidance. This strong performance, announced on August 4, 2026, signaled operational strength and contributed significantly to investor confidence.

2. Strategic Business Expansion and Diversification: During fiscal Q2 2026, Millrose Properties actively expanded its counterparty base to 19 homebuilder and developer relationships and diversified its portfolio by entering the multifamily land banking sector through a new relationship with JPI, a subsidiary of Sumitomo Forestry. This strategic growth extends the company's market reach beyond single-family homesites and demonstrates the flexibility of its platform.

3. Significant Insider Investment: The Chief Executive Officer and President, Darren Richman, demonstrated strong confidence in the company's prospects by purchasing 235,000 shares for approximately $6.4 million on May 11, 2026. This substantial insider buying activity, occurring just prior to the specified period and at a time near the stock's 52-week low of $26.30 on May 13, 2026, likely served as a positive signal to the market.

4. Positive Analyst Outlook and Price Targets: Wall Street analysts maintained a generally bullish sentiment towards Millrose Properties, with a consensus rating of "Buy" or "Strong Buy" from 4 to 5 analysts. The average 12-month price target for MRP ranged from $37.60 to $37.67, implying a potential upside of 17.45% to 21.84% from the stock's price around early September 2026, which likely fueled positive investor sentiment during the period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.5% change in MRP stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269062026Change
Stock Price ($)27.4932.0216.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7137616.7%
Net Income Margin (%)65.0%62.6%-3.6%
P/E Multiple9.911.213.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1661660.0%
Cumulative Contribution16.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRP16.5% 
Market (SPY)1.8%21.6%
Sector (XLRE)-0.1%53.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.7% change in MRP stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269062026Change
Stock Price ($)29.7332.027.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)41176185.1%
Net Income Margin (%)46.7%62.6%34.1%
P/E Multiple25.711.2-56.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1661660.0%
Cumulative Contribution7.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRP7.7% 
Market (SPY)12.6%39.7%
Sector (XLRE)0.9%44.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.3% change in MRP stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 528.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120259062026Change
Stock Price ($)31.9232.020.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)232761228.2%
Net Income Margin (%)10.0%62.6%528.0%
P/E Multiple229.411.2-95.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1661660.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRP0.3% 
Market (SPY)20.4%35.6%
Sector (XLRE)6.5%42.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MRP  
Market (SPY)77.1%39.4%
Sector (XLRE)30.3%41.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MRP Return----19%15%36%
Peers Return45%-26%59%-6%-9%1%47%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRP Win Rate----45%67% 
Peers Win Rate70%35%58%52%38%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRP Max Drawdown------15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-41%-22%-25%-26%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FOR, INVH, AMH, DHI, LEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/4/2026 (YTD)

About Millrose Properties (MRP)

Millrose Properties, Inc. (symbol: MRP) is a real estate investment and management company primarily focused on the commercial property sector. The company's core activities involve strategically acquiring, developing, and managing a portfolio of high-quality commercial real estate assets.

The main products or services offered by Millrose Properties are the commercial properties themselves, which it makes available for lease, along with comprehensive property management services. These properties can include a range of commercial spaces such as office buildings, retail centers, or industrial facilities. The primary customers or markets it serves are businesses and organizations seeking premium commercial space for their operations, effectively acting as a landlord and property manager for these commercial tenants.

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Like a diversified Simon Property Group, owning and managing various types of high-quality commercial properties, not just malls.

Similar to a smaller Brookfield Asset Management, but specifically focused on investing in and managing prime commercial real estate.

The commercial property equivalent of Equity Residential, but for businesses – they own, develop, and manage high-quality offices, retail, and industrial spaces.

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  • Real Estate Acquisition and Investment: Investing in and purchasing commercial properties to build and expand its portfolio.
  • Property Development: Planning, constructing, and renovating commercial real estate projects to enhance value and create new assets.
  • Property Management: Overseeing the daily operations, leasing, maintenance, and tenant relations for its portfolio of commercial properties.
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Darren L. Richman, Chief Executive Officer and President

Darren L. Richman is the Chief Executive Officer and President of Millrose Properties. He co-founded Kennedy Lewis with David Kennedy Chene in 2017 and is a Co-Managing Partner of that firm. From 2006 to 2016, Mr. Richman was a Senior Managing Director with The Blackstone Group, where he focused on special situation and opportunistic investments and was a member of the Investment Committee for GSO Capital Partners LP's opportunistic credit and special situation funds. Before joining GSO Capital Partners, he was a Founding Member and Co-Head of the Investment Research Team at DiMaio Ahmad Capital from 2003 to 2006. Prior to that, he was a Vice President and Senior Special Situations Analyst at Goldman Sachs & Co from 1999 to 2003. Mr. Richman began his career at Deloitte & Touche LLP, serving as a Manager in the firm's Mergers and Acquisitions Services Group from 1994 to 1999. He was formerly a Certified Public Accountant. Millrose was spun off from home builder Lennar Corp. in February.

Garett Rosenblum, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Garett Rosenblum is the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Millrose Properties. Previously, Mr. Rosenblum was with Kennedy Lewis. He is a member of the New York State Bar and a Certified Public Accountant in New York. Mr. Rosenblum holds a Juris Doctor degree from St. John's University School of Law and a Bachelor of Science degree in both Finance and Public Relations from Syracuse University. In March 2025, he purchased 5,900 shares of the company's Class A common stock.

Robert Nitkin, Chief Operating Officer

Robert Nitkin is the Chief Operating Officer of Millrose Properties. He joined Kennedy Lewis in 2020 and serves as a Managing Director, focusing on the firm's activities within the Real Estate and Homebuilding sectors. Before joining Kennedy Lewis, Mr. Nitkin was an investment principal at GPS Investment Partners ("GPS"), where he was responsible for evaluating and executing transactions across GPS's credit and private equity investment strategies. Prior to joining GPS in 2015, he was an Associate in the Securities Division at Goldman Sachs & Co. He also worked at Ernst and Young LLP as a member of the Transaction Advisory group.

Adil Pasha, Chief Technology Officer

Adil Pasha is the Chief Technology Officer of Millrose Properties. He joined Kennedy Lewis.

Rachel Presa, General Counsel and Secretary

Rachel Presa is the General Counsel and Secretary of Millrose Properties. She joined Kennedy Lewis in 2021 and is a Managing Director, having served in various legal capacities across the firm. Ms. Presa possesses 14 years of experience representing and advising investment funds, financial institutions, and other clients on legal and compliance matters, including regulatory investigations and enforcement, civil litigation, and bankruptcy and restructuring. From 2010 to 2021, she was Senior Counsel at the law firm of Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP. Before her legal career, Ms. Presa taught English and writing in public high schools.

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The key risks to Millrose Properties' business include its sensitivity to the housing market, its significant customer concentration, and the impact of interest rate fluctuations.

  1. Weakening Homebuilding Activity and Builder Defaults: Millrose Properties' business model, which involves acquiring and holding homesites for homebuilders, makes it highly sensitive to prolonged housing slowdowns and overall homebuilding activity. A downturn in the housing market could lead to a decrease in demand for homesites, potential funding pressures for Millrose, and an increased risk of credit losses or defaults from its builder counterparties. While contractual protections and positive gross margins are in place to mitigate the risk of builders walking away from lots, a severe downturn could still impact the company.
  2. Customer Concentration with Lennar: A substantial portion of Millrose Properties' revenue, specifically 84%, has historically been derived from its master program agreement with Lennar. While the company is actively diversifying its portfolio by engaging with other counterparties, this high level of dependence on a single customer presents a significant concentration risk. Any adverse changes in its relationship with Lennar or a significant reduction in Lennar's homebuilding activity could materially impact Millrose Properties' financial performance.
  3. Interest Rate Fluctuations and Funding Pressures: As a real estate investment and management company, Millrose Properties is susceptible to changes in interest rates and broader funding pressures. Rising interest rates can increase the company's borrowing costs, making it more expensive to acquire and develop new homesites. Moreover, higher interest rates can also impact the affordability of homes, potentially dampening overall housing demand and subsequently affecting the financial health of Millrose's homebuilder clients.

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  • Widespread adoption of remote and hybrid work models, reducing demand for traditional office spaces.
  • Accelerated e-commerce adoption and evolving retail consumption patterns, diminishing the need for traditional brick-and-mortar retail properties.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Millrose Properties (MRP) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Increased Capital Deployment for Land Acquisition and Development: Millrose Properties plans to deploy up to $2 billion in new capital in 2026 for new land acquisitions and development funding. This strategy is expected to drive approximately 10% year-over-year Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share growth, indicating a direct correlation with future revenue expansion.
  2. Expansion of Homebuilder Counterparties and Diversification: The company is actively expanding its client base beyond its foundational relationship with Lennar. Millrose Properties significantly increased invested capital outside the Lennar Master Program Agreement in 2025, reaching 15 distinct homebuilder counterparties, including 9 of the top 25 national homebuilders. The expectation to grow invested capital with non-Lennar counterparties by an additional $2 billion in 2026 signifies a strategic diversification that will broaden revenue streams.
  3. Leveraging the Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R) in an Undersupplied Housing Market: Millrose Properties operates as a Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), providing a just-in-time supply of finished homesites to residential homebuilders. Given that the housing market remains structurally undersupplied, this platform addresses a critical need for homebuilders, thereby creating sustained demand for Millrose's services and driving revenue through option fees and development loan income.
  4. Yield Expansion from New Investments: New homesite investments made by Millrose Properties outside of the Lennar Master Program Agreement generated higher weighted average yields of approximately 11.0% in 2025, compared to the overall portfolio yield of 9.2%. By continuing to pursue these higher-yielding investment opportunities with new homebuilder partners, the company is poised to enhance its overall revenue growth and profitability.

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Peer Outperformance in Single-Family Residential REITs

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Share of Single-Family Residential REITs constituents that MRP has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
75%
of 4 industry peers · 3.6% return
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Real Estate sector, ranked by 5Y. Single-Family Residential REITs is MRP's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Health Care REITs 14 19.5%60.9%61.7% WELL 213% · CTRE 126% · DHC 120%
Retail REITs 22 11.3%38.5%36.4% IVT 1599% · SKT 168% · SPG 103%
Real Estate Development 6 -9.2%15.1%20.6% JOE 55% · AXR 44% · FOR 37%
Other Specialized REITs 11 5.3%22.6%17.0% IRM 193% · LAMR 69% · EPR 68%
Hotel & Resort REITs 16 28.6%28.9%5.0% RHP 78% · HST 72% · DRH 54%
Industrial REITs 11 15.0%18.2%3.8% FR 28% · EGP 27% · PLD 15%
Diversified REITs 12 9.7%28.3%-6.3% CTO 71% · WPC 21% · LXP 14%
Multi-Family Residential REITs 13 -4.9%5.0%-17.5% AIV 17% · ESS 2% · IRT -5%
Single-Family Residential REITs ← 4 -2.0%1.0%-17.9% AMH -10% · ELS -17% · INVH -19%
Real Estate Services 27 -16.9%-7.8%-25.0% REAX 853% · MDRR 577% · CHCI 281%
Office REITs 18 -7.3%18.5%-27.9% PSTL 62% · CDP 54% · SLG 9%
Telecom Tower REITs 3 -7.9%-8.9%-43.6% AMT -31% · SBAC -44% · CCI -51%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MRPFORINVHAMHDHILENMedian
NameMillrose.Forestar Invitati.American.D.R. Hor.Lennar  
Mkt Price32.0227.8928.3932.47142.7583.5832.25
Mkt Cap5.31.416.811.740.320.414.3
Rev LTM7611,7252,8551,87633,35033,1752,365
Op Inc LTM6472147404823,8102,270694
FCF LTM3,7462839577593,202-90858
FCF 3Y Avg--359277132,6951,968927
CFO LTM3,7462841,2008653,353721,032
CFO 3Y Avg--341,1588322,8452,1291,158

Growth & Margins

MRPFORINVHAMHDHILENMedian
NameMillrose.Forestar Invitati.American.D.R. Hor.Lennar  
Rev Chg LTM228.2%11.8%6.7%4.3%-3.5%-7.2%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.0%6.9%6.2%-1.0%-0.7%6.2%
Rev Chg Q32.1%4.2%9.7%2.8%0.0%-13.3%3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.7%1.0%2.4%0.7%0.0%-3.0%0.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM1,404.6%5.7%-1.0%9.2%-22.1%-51.1%2.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-6.5%2.8%11.2%-14.4%-27.5%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM85.1%12.4%25.9%25.7%11.4%6.8%19.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.6%27.4%24.5%14.1%11.9%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.1%-0.8%0.3%-0.3%-1.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM492.6%16.5%42.0%46.1%10.1%0.2%29.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--2.8%43.1%46.6%8.2%6.0%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM492.6%16.4%33.5%40.5%9.6%-0.3%25.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--2.9%34.5%40.0%7.8%5.6%7.8%

Valuation

MRPFORINVHAMHDHILENMedian
NameMillrose.Forestar Invitati.American.D.R. Hor.Lennar  
Mkt Cap5.31.416.811.740.320.414.3
P/S7.00.85.96.21.20.63.5
P/Op Inc8.26.722.724.310.69.09.8
P/EBIT8.16.716.316.010.69.09.8
P/E11.28.425.524.513.211.412.3
P/CFO1.45.014.013.512.0282.412.8
Total Yield18.1%11.9%8.2%8.0%8.8%11.3%10.0%
Dividend Yield9.2%0.0%4.3%4.0%1.3%2.5%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--6.2%4.7%5.5%6.2%5.2%5.2%
D/E0.50.60.50.40.20.30.5
Net D/E0.50.30.50.40.10.10.4

Returns

MRPFORINVHAMHDHILENMedian
NameMillrose.Forestar Invitati.American.D.R. Hor.Lennar  
1M Rtn10.5%-5.9%-6.5%-6.2%-5.5%-5.2%-5.7%
3M Rtn13.6%-1.0%-4.5%-1.4%-1.7%-7.1%-1.5%
6M Rtn13.4%7.4%10.8%11.0%-2.5%-16.5%9.1%
12M Rtn3.6%-2.9%-2.0%-3.0%-20.5%-39.9%-3.0%
3Y Rtn37.8%-2.6%-7.4%-1.3%25.8%-25.7%-1.9%
1M Excs Rtn11.0%-4.6%-6.6%-6.1%-2.3%-1.6%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn9.1%-5.6%-9.1%-6.0%-6.2%-11.6%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn-1.1%-7.1%-3.8%-3.6%-17.0%-31.0%-5.4%
12M Excs Rtn-15.2%-19.7%-21.0%-21.1%-36.9%-57.0%-21.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.2%-73.6%-78.8%-72.2%-47.2%-97.4%-72.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment60000
Total60000


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single Segment9,2585,465
Total9,2585,465


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$32.02 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.3 
First Trading Date02/07/2025 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$29.43$27.17
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA8.8%17.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.3%26.5%
Downside Capture0.4476.41
Upside Capture58.7164.14
Correlation (SPY)20.9%35.9%
MRP Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.040.610.320.780.740.01
Up Beta1.560.700.230.620.80-0.02
Down Beta-0.340.840.340.710.75-0.21
Up Capture136%64%56%74%50%15%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days12223365119194
Down Capture6%33%12%97%88%66%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days9203162131192

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRP
MRP3.5%26.4%0.10-
Sector ETF (XLRE)7.9%14.0%0.3143.1%
Equity (SPY)19.7%12.8%1.1335.8%
Gold (GLD)24.6%29.2%0.7510.8%
Commodities (DBC)43.8%20.3%1.67-18.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.1%13.6%0.3945.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.1%43.8%-0.6312.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRP
MRP6.6%30.9%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLRE)1.9%19.2%-0.0041.3%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.2%0.5739.4%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.824.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.7%19.5%0.43-4.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.7%18.9%-0.0144.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.2%52.6%0.3816.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MRP
MRP3.3%30.9%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.2%20.4%0.2641.3%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7239.4%
Gold (GLD)12.4%16.3%0.624.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.1%0.35-4.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1944.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.7%66.2%1.0316.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-4.8%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity166.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/4/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20262.7%0.5%6.7%
5/6/2026-6.3%-11.6%-4.3%
2/26/20260.4%0.1%-7.0%
10/23/2025-0.7%-2.8%-11.5%
7/31/2025-1.8%3.6%16.2%
5/14/20254.4%7.4%2.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive343
# Negative323
Median Positive2.7%2.0%6.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-7.2%-7.0%
Max Positive4.4%7.4%16.2%
Max Negative-6.3%-11.6%-11.5%
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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20262.7%0.5%6.7%
5/6/2026-6.3%-11.6%-4.3%
2/26/20260.4%0.1%-7.0%
10/23/2025-0.7%-2.8%-11.5%
7/31/2025-1.8%3.6%16.2%
5/14/20254.4%7.4%2.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive343
# Negative323
Median Positive2.7%2.0%6.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-7.2%-7.0%
Max Positive4.4%7.4%16.2%
Max Negative-6.3%-11.6%-11.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202401/17/2025424B1
06/30/202410/28/2024DRS/A
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202401/17/2025424B1
06/30/202410/28/2024DRS/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/5/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 AFFO Run RateReported 0.8 1.3% Higher NewActual: 0.79 for Q2 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital DeploymentReported 2.00 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.00 Bil for 2026
2026 AFFO per share growthReported 10.0%  0AffirmedGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
Q2 2026 AFFO per shareReported0.780.790.80 AffirmedGuidance: 0.79 for Q2 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 AFFO per shareReported0.780.790.8   
2026 Invested Capital DeploymentReported 2.00 Bil    
2026 AFFO per share growthReported 10.0%    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/23/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 AFFO per shareReported0.740.750.76  RaisedGuidance: 0.71 for 2025
2025 New transaction fundingReported 2.20 Bil    
2025 Debt-to-Capitalization RatioReported 0.33  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.33 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy810202628.803,00086,4001,116,000Form
2Migoya, Carlos A DirectBuy810202629.181,00029,180877,588Form
3Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy519202626.964,500121,342963,999Form
4Presa, RachelGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectBuy513202626.623078,17166,540Form
5Nitkin, RobertChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy513202626.601,84048,944134,729Form
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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy810202628.803,00086,4001,116,000Form
2Migoya, Carlos A DirectBuy810202629.181,00029,180877,588Form
3Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy519202626.964,500121,342963,999Form
4Presa, RachelGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectBuy513202626.623078,17166,540Form
5Nitkin, RobertChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy513202626.601,84048,944134,729Form
6Presa, RachelGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectBuy513202627.1872519,70559,605Form
7Richman, DarrenSee RemarksDirectBuy513202627.31195,0005,325,84011,361,792Form
8Richman, DarrenSee RemarksRichman Family TrustBuy513202627.3140,0001,092,4802,294,208Form
9Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy309202630.661,00030,665785,361Form
10Migoya, Carlos A DirectBuy120120250.00219  Form
11Lynch, Kathleen B DirectBuy1125202531.741,86059,033301,828Form
12Migoya, Carlos A DirectBuy1114202532.241,00032,236540,467Form
13Presa, RachelGeneral Counsel and SecretaryDirectBuy1031202532.3547615,39947,491Form
14Gorson, Matthew B DirectBuy1030202532.692,50081,725593,650Form
15Bartels, Patrick J JR DirectBuy1029202532.527,500243,864996,916Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Permian Investment Partners, LP$108.6 Mil12.0%13Hold13F
Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC$238.4 Mil5.9%36Hold13F
Adelante Capital Management LLC$12.4 Mil0.9%42ADD +101.3%13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$18.7 Mil0.7%48Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Adelante Capital Management LLC$12.4 Mil0.9%42ADD +101.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Greenhaven Associates Inc$137.3 Mil2.2%30Exited13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$24.9 Mil1.3%24Exited13F
Newtyn Management, LLC$9.0 Mil0.9%31Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC$238.4 Mil5.9%36Hold13F
Permian Investment Partners, LP$108.6 Mil12.0%13Hold13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$18.7 Mil0.7%48Hold13F
Adelante Capital Management LLC$12.4 Mil0.9%42ADD +101.3%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/6/2026