Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LEN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Lennar's (LEN) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Lennar's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Missed Expectations. On September 18, 2025, Lennar reported its fiscal third-quarter results, which fell short of analyst expectations. The company announced net earnings of $591 million, or $2.29 per diluted share, a decrease from the prior year. Total revenues also declined by 6.4% to $8.81 billion, missing analyst forecasts. This earnings miss led to an immediate drop in Lennar's stock price, falling 4.18% in aftermarket trading.

2. Analyst Downgrade and Concerns Over Operational Transition. On December 1, 2025, BTIG downgraded Lennar's stock to a "Sell" rating, setting a price target of $96.00. The downgrade stemmed from concerns about Lennar's ongoing operational strategy transition, noting that the company's margins, earnings, and return on equity had "declined materially" during this period. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods also reiterated a "Market Perform" rating and lowered its fourth-quarter and 2026 earnings estimates for Lennar.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LEN Return38%54%-21%67%-7%-3%152%
Peers Return17%47%-20%74%13%8%191%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LEN Win Rate75%75%42%58%67%30% 
Peers Win Rate70%72%42%62%63%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LEN Max Drawdown-47%-4%-44%0%-7%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-5%-37%-2%-5%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, PHM, NVR, J, TOL. See LEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLENS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven142.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven581 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1441.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3239 days1480 days

Compare to DHI, PHM, NVR, J, TOL


In The Past

Lennar's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lennar (LEN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
LEN_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025LENLennarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.2%9.2%-3.9%
LEN_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022LENLennarDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.7%31.9%-20.2%
LEN_9302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302018LENLennarDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%20.0%-18.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
LEN_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025LENLennarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.2%9.2%-3.9%
LEN_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022LENLennarDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.7%31.9%-20.2%
LEN_9302018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302018LENLennarDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%20.0%-18.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lennar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LENDHIPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameLennar D.R. Hor.PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
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Growth & Margins

LENDHIPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameLennar D.R. Hor.PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
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Valuation

LENDHIPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameLennar D.R. Hor.PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
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Returns

LENDHIPHMNVRJTOLMedian
NameLennar D.R. Hor.PulteGro.NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Homebuilding33,62832,68427,46825,52924,789
Financial Services3,5673,2542,9642,7083,006
Multifamily1,3821,2571,3121,1761,069
Lennar Other6587891,464522495
Total39,23437,98433,20829,93529,360


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,388,933
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202537.8%
Average Daily Volume3,772,883
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.40
Basic Shares Quantity255,601,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251003202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025701202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025404202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024123202510-K 11/30/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024628202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024329202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023126202410-K 11/30/2023
8312023929202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023630202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022126202310-K 11/30/2022
83120221004202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022701202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022401202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021128202210-K 11/30/2021