Newmark (NMRK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.63 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Newmark (NMRK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.63Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 117% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NMRK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are potential key points explaining a -2.2% movement in Newmark (NMRK) stock for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA_20) falling below the 60-day Simple Moving Average (SMA_60) as of December 3, 2025, indicated a strong bearish trend in the mid-term.
2. Newmark's forecast annual earnings growth rate of 51.03% for 2025 was not projected to outperform the US Real Estate Services industry's average forecast earnings growth rate of 73.76%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NMRK Return | -45% | 157% | -57% | 40% | 18% | 36% | 38% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 10% | -39% | 72% | -13% | 74% | 80% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NMRK Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 48% | 40% | 52% | 38% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NMRK Max Drawdown | -81% | -7% | -60% | -35% | -13% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -21% | -47% | -10% | -23% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NMRK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 261.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 853 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 438.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 454 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 918 days | 120 days |
Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ
In The Past
Newmark's stock fell -72.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -72.3% loss requires a 261.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Newmark Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Big Move for NMRK, but Do NEM's Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| With NMRK Up 40% in a Month, Is It Time to Compare It Against RYN? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Does Newmark Stock Lead the Pack? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than NMRK Stock: Pay Less Than Newmark To Get More From VST, BMRN | |||
| Newmark (NMRK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newmark (NMRK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newmark (NMRK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newmark (NMRK) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Newmark (NMRK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 8th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NMRK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Newmark
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 14 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | 0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 0 |
| CFO LTM | 0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | -22.9 |
| P/E | -18.7 |
| P/CFO | -0.5 |
| Total Yield | -0.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real estate services | 2,470 | 2,706 | |||
| Commercial mortgage origination, net | 406 | ||||
| Investment sales | 758 | ||||
| Leasing and other commissions | 827 | 514 | 855 | ||
| Management services, servicing fees and other | 916 | 626 | 624 | ||
| Capital markets | 454 | 541 | |||
| Gains from mortgage banking activities/origination, net | 311 | 198 | |||
| Total | 2,470 | 2,706 | 2,906 | 1,905 | 2,218 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |