Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Key risks
NMRK key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure reliant on debt financing and [2] a high operational expense ratio combined with strategic execution risks from its global expansion and acquisition strategy.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Data Center REITs, Show more.
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
4 Key risks
NMRK key risks include [1] a highly leveraged financial structure reliant on debt financing and [2] a high operational expense ratio combined with strategic execution risks from its global expansion and acquisition strategy.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NMRK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Newmark (NMRK) stock experienced a movement of approximately -4.9% during the period leading up to December 18, 2025:

1. Macroeconomic Sensitivity and Shifting Market Dynamics: The stock experienced a decline around September 2025, with a reported intraday fall of 1.79% and a 20-day closing low event showing a minimum return of -4.92%. This selloff was linked to broader macroeconomic sensitivity and shifting market dynamics, which can impact the commercial real estate sector.

2. Rising Short Interest: During late September 2025, there was an increase in short interest for NMRK. Rising short interest often indicates that more investors are betting against the stock, which can contribute to downward pressure and increased volatility in its price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NMRK Return-45%157%-57%40%18%35%37%
Peers Return-5%62%-37%19%19%11%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NMRK Win Rate50%75%33%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%33%53%58%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NMRK Max Drawdown-81%-7%-60%-35%-13%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-6%-44%-22%-17%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBRE, JLL, CWK, CIGI, MMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNMRKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven261.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven853 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven438.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven454 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven918 days120 days

Compare to OPEN, MAYS, GBR, GYRO, CLBZ


In The Past

Newmark's stock fell -72.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -72.3% loss requires a 261.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Newmark (NMRK)

Better Bets than Newmark (NMRK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NMRK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Newmark

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NMRKCBREJLLCWKCIGIMMIMedian
NameNewmark CBRE Jones La.Cushman .Colliers.Marcus &. 
Mkt Price17.28160.01333.5215.41143.2827.7385.50
Mkt Cap3.347.615.83.67.31.15.4
Rev LTM3,16139,32625,31810,0045,4547517,729
Op Inc LTM1711,5401,036461388-22425
FCF LTM-701,36391216522170193
FCF 3Y Avg26802522188193-10191
CFO LTM-441,6781,11019828977244
CFO 3Y Avg701,113715229268-2248

Growth & Margins

NMRKCBREJLLCWKCIGIMMIMedian
NameNewmark CBRE Jones La.Cushman .Colliers.Marcus &. 
Rev Chg LTM21.0%14.6%12.5%6.8%19.7%20.7%17.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.9%8.2%6.3%-0.9%6.5%-15.7%4.6%
Rev Chg Q25.9%13.5%10.9%11.2%24.1%15.1%14.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.0%3.2%2.6%2.7%5.5%3.5%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%3.9%4.1%4.6%7.1%-3.0%4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.3%3.4%3.6%3.5%7.7%-5.7%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%0.2%0.1%-0.1%1.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.4%4.3%4.4%2.0%5.3%10.3%4.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%3.1%3.1%2.4%5.6%-0.4%3.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.2%3.5%3.6%1.6%4.1%9.3%3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%2.2%2.2%2.0%4.0%-1.7%2.1%

Valuation

NMRKCBREJLLCWKCIGIMMIMedian
NameNewmark CBRE Jones La.Cushman .Colliers.Marcus &. 
Mkt Cap3.347.615.83.67.31.15.4
P/S1.01.20.60.41.51.51.1
P/EBIT-30.913.67.521.4-292.413.6
P/E31.938.822.416.567.8-171.727.1
P/CFO-75.228.412.718.627.514.916.7
Total Yield3.3%2.6%4.5%6.1%1.7%1.2%2.9%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%1.8%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.0%4.4%7.1%3.0%-0.7%3.0%
D/E-0.20.20.80.30.10.2
Net D/E-0.20.20.70.3-0.10.2

Returns

NMRKCBREJLLCWKCIGIMMIMedian
NameNewmark CBRE Jones La.Cushman .Colliers.Marcus &. 
1M Rtn9.8%7.1%14.1%4.3%2.9%-2.3%5.7%
3M Rtn-9.9%-2.6%5.2%-7.4%-13.3%-13.0%-8.6%
6M Rtn54.0%19.9%40.5%48.2%11.2%-9.3%30.2%
12M Rtn23.4%17.8%24.3%5.4%0.1%-28.3%11.6%
3Y Rtn126.3%111.1%110.6%37.1%61.9%-14.6%86.3%
1M Excs Rtn9.0%6.4%13.3%3.6%2.2%-3.1%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn-12.9%-4.8%3.0%-10.0%-15.2%-15.6%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn41.6%7.5%28.1%35.8%-1.2%-21.6%17.8%
12M Excs Rtn9.2%5.5%12.6%-7.4%-12.4%-40.9%-1.0%
3Y Excs Rtn61.6%40.7%36.3%-38.9%-12.4%-87.0%11.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real estate services2,470    
Commercial mortgage origination, net 358406  
Investment sales 606758  
Leasing and other commissions 832827514855
Management services, servicing fees and other 909916626624
Capital markets   454541
Gains from mortgage banking activities/origination, net   311198
Total2,4702,7062,9061,9052,218


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,000,245
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.6%
Average Daily Volume1,271,836
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.15
Basic Shares Quantity177,230,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-3.0%-7.6%-7.2%
7/30/20253.2%10.6%26.6%
4/30/2025-0.6%-0.2%0.1%
2/14/20256.3%2.5%-8.4%
11/5/20241.7%7.5%3.9%
8/2/2024-5.3%-3.4%8.8%
5/3/20240.1%3.0%1.5%
2/22/20244.6%0.9%9.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121314
# Negative121110
Median Positive5.2%10.6%9.1%
Median Negative-2.4%-7.6%-9.7%
Max Positive14.8%30.2%82.5%
Max Negative-14.7%-19.7%-45.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021