Macerich (MAC)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $17.37 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Macerich (MAC)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $17.37Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 469x | |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 7.1% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 469x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MAC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Macerich's (MAC) stock movement of -4.8% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Broader REIT Sector Weakness: The general Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) sector experienced a stalled recovery and negative year-to-date returns as of August 2025. Lingering risks, such as soft property fundamentals in some sub-sectors and the impact of higher interest rates, contributed to a cautious outlook for REITs, with malls specifically showing lower Funds From Operations (FFO) multiples.
2. High Debt Levels and Negative Profitability: Macerich continued to carry a high net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 7.9 times in the second quarter of 2025. Additionally, the company reported a net loss of $87.4 million in the third quarter of 2025, which, despite being an improvement year-over-year, indicates ongoing profitability challenges that could concern investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAC Return | -57% | 68% | -32% | 46% | 34% | -10% | -12% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 48% | -8% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAC Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 42% | 83% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAC Max Drawdown | -81% | -0% | -54% | -18% | -12% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -27% | -17% | -8% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 436.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 181.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1681.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG
In The Past
Macerich's stock fell -65.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -65.2% loss requires a 187.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MAC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 07312021 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.1% | -32.4% | -44.5% |
| 12312020 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 77.4% | 68.5% | -0.1% |
| 01312020 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -64.1% | -23.1% | -76.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| 07312021 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 5.1% | -32.4% | -44.5% |
| 12312020 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 77.4% | 68.5% | -0.1% |
| 01312020 | MAC | Macerich | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -64.1% | -23.1% | -76.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Macerich
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,140 |
| Op Inc LTM | 316 |
| FCF LTM | 331 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 288 |
| CFO LTM | 462 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 436 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 54.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 53.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 42.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 42.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 16.8 |
| P/E | 22.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Lowenthal Marianne | 9252025 | Sell | 17.13 | 6,000 | 102,780 | 631,686 | Form | |
| 1 | Zecchini Christopher J | Chief Accounting Officer | 8182025 | Sell | 17.16 | 9,500 | 163,068 | 61,571 | Form |
| 2 | Murphy Devin Ignatius | 3172025 | Buy | 16.40 | 7,000 | 114,800 | 149,535 | Form | |
| 3 | Hsieh Jackson | President and CEO | 3052025 | Buy | 17.75 | 56,000 | 993,832 | 4,019,696 | Form |
| 4 | Stephen Andrea M | 12302024 | Sell | 20.59 | 63,289 | 1,303,121 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |