Broadcom (AVGO)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $355.01 | Market Cap: $1.7 TrilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Broadcom (AVGO)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $355.01
Market Cap: $1.7 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 39 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 28 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cybersecurity, Show more.

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%

Key risks
AVGO key risks include [1] heavy reliance on a few key AI customers, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 39 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 28 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cybersecurity, Show more.
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
7 Key risks
AVGO key risks include [1] heavy reliance on a few key AI customers, Show more.

AVGO in ETFs

Weight = AVGO's share of each fund

SPY2.5%
VOO2.7%
IVV2.5%
VTI2.4%
ITOT2.2%
QQQ2.5%
QQQM2.5%
IWB2.3%
+47 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Broadcom (AVGO) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Cautious investor reaction to fiscal Q4 2026 guidance, despite strong Q3 performance. Broadcom's fiscal year (FY) ends on November 1, with fiscal Q3 2026 concluding on August 1, 2026, and fiscal Q4 2026 covering August 1, 2026, to November 1, 2026. On September 2, 2026, Broadcom announced its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, reporting an 85.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $29.59 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.32, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.16. Despite these strong results, AI semiconductor revenue reaching $16.7 billion (up 221% year-over-year), and projecting fiscal Q4 2026 revenue of approximately $34.8 billion (an expected 93% year-over-year increase), investors reacted cautiously as the guidance for Q4 came in slightly below some Wall Street forecasts. This led to a sharp reversal and downward pressure on the stock after the announcement.

2. Investor concerns regarding the Anthropic financing deal and customer concentration. Broadcom's agreement to provide Anthropic with up to $42 billion in financing for chip leasing and AI infrastructure expansion raised investor concerns. This significant financial commitment, along with reports highlighting Anthropic's substantial lease obligations and infrastructure commitments, generated negative sentiment due to perceived credit exposure and increased customer concentration risks for Broadcom.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Broadcom (AVGO) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Cautious investor reaction to fiscal Q4 2026 guidance, despite strong Q3 performance. Broadcom's fiscal year (FY) ends on November 1, with fiscal Q3 2026 concluding on August 1, 2026, and fiscal Q4 2026 covering August 1, 2026, to November 1, 2026. On September 2, 2026, Broadcom announced its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, reporting an 85.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $29.59 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.32, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.16. Despite these strong results, AI semiconductor revenue reaching $16.7 billion (up 221% year-over-year), and projecting fiscal Q4 2026 revenue of approximately $34.8 billion (an expected 93% year-over-year increase), investors reacted cautiously as the guidance for Q4 came in slightly below some Wall Street forecasts. This led to a sharp reversal and downward pressure on the stock after the announcement.

2. Investor concerns regarding the Anthropic financing deal and customer concentration. Broadcom's agreement to provide Anthropic with up to $42 billion in financing for chip leasing and AI infrastructure expansion raised investor concerns. This significant financial commitment, along with reports highlighting Anthropic's substantial lease obligations and infrastructure commitments, generated negative sentiment due to perceived credit exposure and increased customer concentration risks for Broadcom.

3. Increased geopolitical risk stemming from China's scrutiny of Broadcom hardware. Reports surfaced indicating that Chinese authorities are examining Broadcom's hardware deployments in state-backed data centers. This initiative, part of Beijing's broader effort to reduce reliance on foreign technology, introduced a new layer of geopolitical risk for Broadcom, potentially impacting its business operations and market access in China.

4. Significant insider selling activity during the period. Several Broadcom insiders executed substantial stock sales since June 30, 2026. Notably, Mark Brazeal, an insider, sold 25,000 shares for over $10 million on July 10, 2026. Additionally, Henry Samueli, a director, sold shares totaling over $48 million in September 2026. These significant divestments, totaling over $317 million in sales from insiders, contributed to negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.8% change in AVGO stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)377.06355.14-5.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)75,46589,10418.1%
Net Income Margin (%)38.8%42.9%10.5%
P/E Multiple61.144.2-27.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4,7474,766-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-5.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVGO-5.8% 
Market (SPY)3.1%52.5%
Sector (XLK)4.9%73.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.1% change in AVGO stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 30.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)331202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)308.46355.1415.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)68,28289,10430.5%
Net Income Margin (%)36.6%42.9%17.4%
P/E Multiple58.644.2-24.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4,7414,766-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution15.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVGO15.1% 
Market (SPY)18.6%55.0%
Sector (XLK)50.5%71.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.4% change in AVGO stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202510042026Change
Stock Price ($)327.48355.148.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59,92689,10448.7%
Net Income Margin (%)31.6%42.9%35.9%
P/E Multiple81.544.2-45.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4,7144,766-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution8.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVGO8.4% 
Market (SPY)16.5%60.1%
Sector (XLK)42.3%72.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 341.7% change in AVGO stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 151.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202310042026Change
Stock Price ($)80.41355.14341.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)35,45489,104151.3%
Net Income Margin (%)39.3%42.9%9.4%
P/E Multiple23.944.285.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4,1304,766-13.3%
Cumulative Contribution341.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AVGO341.7% 
Market (SPY)86.2%61.5%
Sector (XLK)148.1%73.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AVGO Return56%-13%104%110%51%2%797%
Peers Return61%-42%94%52%21%99%558%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVGO Win Rate75%58%83%75%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate62%37%60%53%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVGO Max Drawdown-14%-35%-12%-25%-40%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-50%-25%-31%-39%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NVDA, QCOM, MRVL, AMD, TXN. See AVGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAVGOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.9%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven157 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-46.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven44 days105 days

Compare to NVDA, QCOM, MRVL, AMD, TXN

In The Past

Broadcom's stock fell -35.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAVGOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.9%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven157 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-46.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-26.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven42 days123 days

Compare to NVDA, QCOM, MRVL, AMD, TXN

In The Past

Broadcom's stock fell -35.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Broadcom (AVGO)

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is a leading global technology company that primarily designs, develops, and supplies a wide range of semiconductor devices. These devices are crucial components, largely focusing on complex digital, mixed-signal, and analog integrated circuits. Beyond its strong semiconductor business, Broadcom also operates a significant segment dedicated to infrastructure software.

In its Semiconductor Solutions segment, Broadcom's extensive product portfolio includes system-on-chips (SoCs) for set-top boxes, various networking equipment (such as cable, digital subscriber line, and wireless LAN), and Ethernet switching and routing products. The company also provides RF front-end modules for wireless communication, storage controllers for data centers, and a variety of fiber optic and motion control components. These essential components power critical infrastructure and devices across numerous industries.

Broadcom's products are integral to a diverse set of applications and markets worldwide. Its semiconductor solutions are vital for enterprise and data center networking, home connectivity, broadband access, and telecommunications equipment. Additionally, the company serves the smartphone and base station markets, data center servers and storage systems, industrial automation, power generation, and electronic display sectors, making it a foundational supplier for the digital economy.

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Broadcom is like Intel for the data center and networking world, providing the specialized chips that power servers, switches, and communication equipment.

Broadcom is like a blend of Intel's chipmaking and Oracle's enterprise software, supplying foundational technology for the digital economy.

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  • Networking and Broadband Communication Chips: Broadcom develops system-on-chips (SoCs) for a wide range of applications including set-top boxes, broadband access, wireless local area networks, and Ethernet switching and routing.
  • Wireless and RF Components: The company provides RF front-end modules, filters, power amplifiers, and SoCs for Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and global positioning systems used in smartphones and base stations.
  • Storage Connectivity and Controllers: Broadcom offers various controllers and adapters for storage and server systems, such as SAS, RAID, Fibre Channel host bus adapters, PCIe switches, and custom flash controllers.
  • Optical and Industrial Devices: This category includes fiber optic transmitter and receiver components, optocouplers, industrial fiber optics, and motion control encoders and subsystems for diverse applications.
  • Infrastructure Software: Broadcom provides a suite of software solutions primarily aimed at enterprise and data center management, though specific product names are not detailed here.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) primarily sells its semiconductor devices and infrastructure software to other companies, which integrate Broadcom's products into their own offerings or use them as essential components in their operations. Based on the company's product descriptions and common industry knowledge, its major customers include:

  • Apple Inc. (AAPL): A highly significant customer for Broadcom's RF front end modules, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and GPS/GNSS SoCs, and custom touch controllers, which are integrated into Apple's smartphones and other mobile devices. Apple consistently accounts for a substantial portion of Broadcom's revenue.
  • Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO): A major customer for Broadcom's Ethernet switching and routing merchant silicon products, embedded processors, and physical layer components, used in Cisco's enterprise and data center networking equipment.
  • Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL): A key customer for Broadcom's serial attached SCSI (SAS) and redundant array of independent disks (RAID) controllers and adapters, peripheral component interconnect express (PCIe) switches, and Fibre Channel host bus adapters, which are critical for Dell's servers and storage systems.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE): Similar to Dell, HPE utilizes Broadcom's components like SAS/RAID controllers, PCIe switches, and Fibre Channel host bus adapters for its enterprise servers, storage, and networking solutions.
  • Other major companies in telecommunications equipment (e.g., Ericsson, Nokia), broadband access, and industrial automation sectors also purchase Broadcom's specialized components, though specific names are not consistently disclosed as major customers in the same way as Apple.

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Major Suppliers:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)

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Hock E. Tan, President and Chief Executive Officer

Hock E. Tan has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Broadcom since March 2006, leading its transformation and growth through strategic acquisitions. Prior to Broadcom, he was chairman of the board of Integrated Device Technology from 2005 to 2008 and President and Chief Executive Officer of Integrated Circuit Systems from 1999 to 2005. Mr. Tan also held senior management positions at General Motors and PepsiCo, served as Vice President of Finance for Commodore International from 1992 to 1994, and was Managing Director of Hume Industries in Malaysia from 1983 to 1988. He co-founded and served as Managing Director of Pacven Investment, a venture capital fund in Singapore, from 1988 to 1992. He led the sale of Integrated Circuit Systems to Integrated Device Technology in 2005. His career is characterized by an extensive track record in leading and integrating companies through mergers and acquisitions, significantly expanding their market reach and technological capabilities.

Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer

Kirsten Spears is the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer at Broadcom, where she oversees all financial functions including planning, funding, and the integration of acquisitions such as VMware. She previously served as Vice President and Corporate Controller at Broadcom from May 2014 to December 2020. Before joining Broadcom, Ms. Spears was the Vice President and Corporate Controller at LSI Corporation, having joined LSI in September 1997 and holding various management positions in accounting and reporting before becoming Corporate Controller in 2007. Her earlier career included roles in audit at PriceWaterhouseCoopers, managing accounting functions at Raychem, and managing branch operations at Bank of America.

Charlie Kawwas, Ph.D., President, Semiconductor Solutions Group

Charlie Kawwas is the President of the Semiconductor Solutions Group at Broadcom, responsible for the company's 15 Semiconductor Divisions and the Brocade Storage Networking Division, and also leads Global Operations and Intellectual Property. Before this role, he was Broadcom's Chief Operating Officer from December 2020 to July 2022, and Senior Vice President and Chief Sales Officer from May 2014. Dr. Kawwas joined Broadcom through the acquisition of LSI, where he was the head of Worldwide Sales. His prior experience at LSI included Vice President of Sales and Marketing for the networking division and Vice President of Marketing for the networking and storage products group. He also held several senior management and engineering positions at Nortel before joining LSI.

Ram Velaga, President, Infrastructure Software Group

Ram Velaga serves as the President of the Infrastructure Software Group at Broadcom. He is also the Senior Vice President and General Manager of the Core Switching Group, focusing on product management and data center technologies. His professional background includes significant experience at Cisco Systems, where he honed his skills in product management and led various teams within the Data Center Technology Group.

Mark Brazeal, Chief Legal and Corporate Affairs Officer

Mark Brazeal holds the position of Chief Legal and Corporate Affairs Officer at Broadcom, overseeing the company's legal and corporate affairs.

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Key Risks to Broadcom (AVGO)

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance, primarily stemming from customer relationships, integration challenges from recent acquisitions, and global geopolitical and supply chain vulnerabilities.

The most significant risk is customer concentration. A substantial portion of Broadcom's revenue, particularly from its AI custom silicon and wireless components, is derived from a limited number of major customers, including prominent hyperscalers like Google, Apple, Meta, Anthropic, and Amazon. Any shift in these key relationships, such as a customer opting for in-house chip production, switching to a competitor due to price adjustments, or significantly reducing orders, could lead to a multi-billion dollar revenue gap and materially impact the company's financial results.

Another considerable risk stems from the integration and customer retention challenges following the VMware acquisition. Broadcom's strategy, which has included significant price increases (reportedly between 800% and 1,500% for some European customers) and a shift to subscription-only licensing for VMware products, has led to customer dissatisfaction and a potential exodus of users seeking alternative solutions. This could result in a loss of high-margin recurring software revenue and negatively affect Broadcom's profitability. Furthermore, the integration of VMware presents operational challenges in aligning product roadmaps and fostering a cohesive organizational culture.

Finally, geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions pose ongoing threats. Broadcom's extensive global operations, including a significant revenue exposure to China (approximately 30%), make it vulnerable to escalating trade wars, export controls, and potential retaliatory measures. Additionally, the company relies heavily on a limited number of contract manufacturers and suppliers, notably TSMC. This dependence introduces risks related to capacity constraints, manufacturing disruptions, and broader geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning key manufacturing regions.

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1. Custom Silicon Development by Hyperscalers and Major Customers: Large cloud providers (hyperscalers) and major tech companies are increasingly designing their own custom semiconductor devices for critical infrastructure components, such as networking switches, AI accelerators, and smart NICs. This vertical integration strategy reduces their reliance on merchant silicon providers like Broadcom, directly threatening Broadcom's market share and profitability in high-value data center and enterprise semiconductor segments. This trend reflects a fundamental shift in how key customers procure and deploy essential hardware, aiming for optimized performance and cost.

2. Industry Shift to Cloud-Native Architectures and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) for Infrastructure Software: The broader enterprise software market, which Broadcom's Infrastructure Software segment addresses, is undergoing a significant transformation towards cloud-native architectures and subscription-based SaaS models. Enterprises are increasingly adopting solutions offered natively by public cloud providers or from born-in-the-cloud vendors. This trend challenges Broadcom's acquired software portfolio, which historically has strong roots in on-premise deployments and traditional licensing models, potentially eroding demand for legacy solutions if not effectively transitioned to modern consumption models.

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Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) operates in two primary segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The company addresses several significant global markets within these segments.

Infrastructure Software Segment

  • Broadcom has stated that its Infrastructure Software segment had an addressable market of more than $100 billion as of November 2021.
  • The broader global enterprise software market was valued at approximately $539.45 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $923.06 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global enterprise software market at $899.9 billion in 2024, when using a broader definition that includes infrastructure, security software, and databases.
  • Within the software segment, the global virtualization software industry, which includes offerings like VMware, was valued at $65 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $90 billion by 2026. The global server virtualization market specifically was estimated at $9.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $17.25 billion by 2033. VMware holds nearly 40% of the virtual machine market share globally.

Semiconductor Solutions Segment

  • RF Front End Modules: The global RF front-end module market size was valued at $25.6 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach $65.0 billion by 2033. Another projection indicates the market was estimated at $28.7 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $87.7 billion by 2035. The Asia-Pacific region dominated this market in 2024.
  • Data Center Networking and Ethernet Switching:
    • The global data center networking market size was estimated at $38.49 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $154.83 billion by 2033. Other estimates include $39.52 billion in 2025, projected to reach $114.08 billion by 2034, or $55.64 billion in 2025, projected to reach $139.08 billion by 2031. North America held the largest revenue share in the data center networking market in both 2024 and 2025.
    • The global Ethernet switch market size was valued at $43.84 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $76.4 billion by 2034. Another report valued the global Ethernet switch market at $18.2 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $29.6 billion by 2034.
    • The global Ethernet switch chips market size was valued at $3.50 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $5.10 billion by 2032. Broadcom is a significant player in the Ethernet switch chips market, holding approximately 54.6% revenue share in 2024.
  • Broadband Access Equipment: The global broadband access equipment market size was valued at $139.71 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to $231.33 billion by 2032. Another source indicates the market size reached $16.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to achieve $33.1 billion by 2033. North America is noted as the largest market, while Asia-Pacific also holds a significant share.
  • Fiber Optic Components: The global optical fiber components market size was valued at $26.53 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $50.20 billion by 2032. Another projection shows the fiber optic components market growing from $36.69 billion in 2025 to $58.65 billion by 2030. Asia-Pacific dominated this market with a 44.5% revenue share in 2024.
  • AI Semiconductors / Custom AI Chips: Broadcom's AI chip sales surged by 65% in fiscal year 2025, reaching $20 billion and accounting for over 31% of its total revenue. The company's management has projected that AI semiconductor revenue alone could exceed $100 billion by 2027.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Broadcom (AVGO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Accelerated Growth in AI Semiconductors: Broadcom anticipates substantial revenue growth from its Artificial Intelligence (AI) semiconductor business, particularly from custom AI accelerators (XPUs) and AI networking chips. The company projects significant year-over-year increases, with management having a line of sight to achieve AI revenue from chips exceeding $100 billion in 2027. This growth is fueled by strong demand from hyperscale customers for both training and inference in AI semiconductors, with custom accelerator business more than doubling year-over-year.
  2. Expansion of the Infrastructure Software Segment through VMware: The strategic acquisition of VMware and its transition to a subscription-based model is a crucial driver for Broadcom's infrastructure software revenue. This segment is expected to deliver stable, recurring revenue streams with anticipated low double-digit percentage growth. VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) is highlighted as a key growth driver, offering a full-stack private cloud solution that contributes to the infrastructure software's high gross margins.
  3. Expanding Customer Base for Custom AI Accelerators: Broadcom is actively qualifying new custom AI chip customers, which is expected to further accelerate its AI revenue growth. The company has secured component supply for 2026 through 2028 to meet this demand, and has potential for additional XPU sales with other customers in discussions. This expansion beyond existing hyperscaler relationships contributes to the significant backlog of AI-related products.

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Broadcom (AVGO) has made several significant capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years.

Share Repurchases

  • Broadcom's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $10 billion through December 31, 2026.
  • As of February 2026, $7.5 billion remained from a previous share repurchase authorization, also extended through the end of calendar year 2026.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended February 1, 2026), Broadcom repurchased $7.8 billion of common stock. The company reported returning $10.9 billion to shareholders in Q1 FY26 through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Broadcom executed share repurchases of $6.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, $7.176 billion in fiscal year 2024, and $5.824 billion in fiscal year 2023.

Share Issuance

  • While specific dollar amounts for share issuances are not readily available, Broadcom's shares outstanding increased by 1.57% in 2025 to 4.853 billion, by 11.84% in 2024 to 4.778 billion, and by 0.95% in 2023 to 4.272 billion.
  • The acquisition of VMware in November 2023 was a cash-and-stock transaction, implying some shares were issued as part of the deal.

Outbound Investments

  • Broadcom completed the acquisition of VMware in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at $69 billion on November 22, 2023. This strategic move aimed to expand Broadcom's infrastructure software segment.
  • Net acquisitions/divestitures for the twelve months ending October 31, 2025, amounted to $600 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Broadcom's capital expenditures were $623 million in fiscal year 2025, $548 million in fiscal year 2024, and $452 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures were $250 million.
  • Capital expenditures generally focus on maintaining existing assets and expanding property, plant, and equipment to support its semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions businesses.

Better Bets vs. Broadcom (AVGO)

Peer Outperformance in Semiconductors

AVGO has outperformed 94% of its 54 Semiconductors peers over 5Y. Semiconductors ranks 6th of 12 industries in Information Technology by median 5Y return.
Share of Semiconductors constituents that AVGO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
32%
of 65 industry peers · 5.7% return
3Y
86%
of 58 industry peers · 345.3% return
5Y
94%
of 54 industry peers · 699.2% return
No Semiconductors peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten AVGO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Semiconductors is AVGO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 9 72.0%194.8%342.7% TTMI 927% · FLEX 789% · SANM 478%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 27 102.0%118.1%135.4% AXTI 986% · AEHR 681% · LRCX 558%
Technology Distributors 9 44.1%98.0%108.7% CLMB 415% · AVT 220% · SNX 177%
Electronic Components 26 43.3%84.4%82.0% CLS 4156% · BELFA 1424% · COHR 506%
Communications Equipment 36 7.5%104.3%77.4% AAOI 1583% · LITE 1224% · FEIM 959%
Semiconductors ← 55 28.5%65.3%39.4% POET 1813% · MU 1461% · NVDA 1049%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 20 23.9%126.2%35.7% SMCI 1072% · DELL 1060% · STX 1049%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 -6.6%47.2%22.6% DOCN 77% · VRSN 42% · GDDY 40%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 26 -21.7%27.9%-3.7% PI 245% · KEYS 136% · VPG 123%
IT Consulting & Other Services 28 -22.9%-7.7%-18.9% CHRN 505426% · APLD 1054% · TSSI 831%
Application Software 125 -29.5%-14.1%-45.2% VIDA 132400% · INLX 4812% · PLTR 713%
Systems Software 70 -19.2%17.3%-51.2% QNC 555% · PAYS 456% · PANW 409%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVGONVDAQCOMMRVLAMDTXNMedian
NameBroadcom NVIDIA Qualcomm Marvell .Advanced.Texas In. 
Mkt Price355.01234.22185.16273.03633.50293.84283.43
Mkt Cap1,692.05,665.8195.7245.01,033.9268.0650.9
Rev LTM89,104302,96944,0699,45041,30519,45342,687
Op Inc LTM43,237197,57910,2581,5886,4887,4058,832
FCF LTM39,403127,00610,4161,7238,4035,3559,410
FCF 3Y Avg27,66381,93811,5351,5514,6012,7848,068
CFO LTM40,653134,36012,4012,20010,0808,66711,240
CFO 3Y Avg28,42686,68612,9031,9095,6247,18510,044

Growth & Margins

AVGONVDAQCOMMRVLAMDTXNMedian
NameBroadcom NVIDIA Qualcomm Marvell .Advanced.Texas In. 
Rev Chg LTM48.7%83.4%1.9%30.6%39.5%16.7%35.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg36.2%116.5%4.8%20.5%24.4%1.9%22.5%
Rev Chg Q85.5%105.9%-4.0%36.5%50.1%22.8%43.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM18.1%19.5%-0.9%8.4%10.3%5.5%9.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM85.0%105.9%-15.9%264.9%164.5%27.3%95.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg45.6%206.3%-0.6%96.3%225.5%-2.4%70.9%
Op Mgn LTM48.5%65.2%23.3%16.8%15.7%38.1%30.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg39.4%61.7%25.6%5.1%9.2%36.4%31.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.5%1.2%-2.3%0.4%4.1%2.0%1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM45.6%44.3%28.1%23.3%24.4%44.6%36.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.0%47.2%31.3%26.9%16.4%41.1%36.2%
FCF/Rev LTM44.2%41.9%23.6%18.2%20.3%27.5%25.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg41.9%44.7%28.1%22.0%13.3%15.3%25.0%

Valuation

AVGONVDAQCOMMRVLAMDTXNMedian
NameBroadcom NVIDIA Qualcomm Marvell .Advanced.Texas In. 
Mkt Cap1,692.05,665.8195.7245.01,033.9268.0650.9
P/S19.018.74.425.925.013.818.8
P/Op Inc39.128.719.1154.3159.436.237.7
P/EBIT38.824.616.470.0134.435.937.3
P/E44.229.421.192.8160.744.344.2
P/CFO41.642.215.8111.4102.630.941.9
Total Yield3.0%3.5%6.7%1.2%0.6%4.2%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.1%2.0%0.1%0.0%1.9%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.1%2.0%5.9%1.7%1.0%1.2%1.9%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.00.10.0
Net D/E0.0-0.00.00.0-0.00.00.0

Returns

AVGONVDAQCOMMRVLAMDTXNMedian
NameBroadcom NVIDIA Qualcomm Marvell .Advanced.Texas In. 
1M Rtn-0.6%1.8%9.7%22.1%32.7%13.7%11.7%
3M Rtn-1.3%20.4%5.6%11.3%22.3%0.8%8.5%
6M Rtn13.2%32.3%47.4%155.1%191.3%52.3%49.8%
12M Rtn5.7%25.1%11.7%217.3%284.7%67.2%46.2%
3Y Rtn345.1%425.7%79.7%418.4%515.6%106.4%381.8%
1M Excs Rtn-3.9%3.8%8.8%31.5%37.9%14.6%11.7%
3M Excs Rtn-7.3%17.4%-2.6%7.1%12.3%-5.1%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn-4.1%15.0%30.0%137.7%174.0%35.0%32.5%
12M Excs Rtn-7.8%10.3%-1.6%211.0%271.2%52.0%31.2%
3Y Excs Rtn268.3%372.4%-0.1%343.5%465.4%21.8%305.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Semiconductor solutions36,85830,09628,18225,81820,383
Infrastructure software27,02921,4787,6377,3857,067
Total63,88751,57435,81933,20327,450


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Semiconductor solutions21,23216,75916,48615,07510,976
Infrastructure software20,76513,9775,6395,2194,936
Acquisition-related costs-216-549-252  
Restructuring and other charges-667-1,787-248  
Stock-based compensation-7,568-5,670-2,171  
Amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets-8,062-9,267-3,247  
Unallocated expenses   -6,069-7,393
Total25,48413,46316,20714,2258,519


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$355.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1,692.6 
First Trading Date08/06/2009 
Distance from 52W High-26.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$372.67$366.26
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-4.7%-3.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility39.0%46.9%
Downside Capture164.94225.76
Upside Capture130.45194.68
Correlation (SPY)51.4%60.0%
AVGO Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.741.591.862.062.152.01
Up Beta1.402.712.932.052.411.86
Down Beta2.660.881.682.232.021.91
Up Capture25%89%135%221%324%2898%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days11203165129402
Down Capture96%200%178%193%157%112%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days11223361123349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVGO
AVGO7.3%46.6%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLK)41.2%26.5%1.2772.5%
Equity (SPY)16.2%13.0%0.8860.1%
Gold (GLD)6.8%29.6%0.2215.0%
Commodities (DBC)44.9%20.8%1.67-4.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.5%13.6%-0.15-10.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.9%44.3%-0.6430.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVGO
AVGO50.4%44.3%1.05-
Sector ETF (XLK)21.5%25.9%0.7374.2%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5863.8%
Gold (GLD)18.4%18.9%0.7910.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.4110.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.8%-0.0726.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.6%52.2%0.4524.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AVGO
AVGO39.1%39.9%0.95-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.9%25.0%0.9073.5%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7265.4%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.4%0.579.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3719.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1636.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.1%66.2%1.0418.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity51.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120262.9%
Average Daily Volume30.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity4,766.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/5/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/2/2026-2.7%-1.7%-3.1%
6/3/2026-12.6%-22.4%-21.9%
3/4/20264.8%7.6%-0.7%
12/11/2025-11.4%-18.8%-12.6%
9/4/20259.4%17.5%10.7%
6/5/2025-5.0%-1.5%7.2%
3/6/20258.6%6.6%-18.2%
12/12/202424.4%20.8%26.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161814
# Negative8610
Median Positive3.3%6.3%10.6%
Median Negative-6.2%-8.7%-5.5%
Max Positive24.4%20.8%26.5%
Max Negative-12.6%-22.4%-21.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/2/2026-2.7%-1.7%-3.1%
6/3/2026-12.6%-22.4%-21.9%
3/4/20264.8%7.6%-0.7%
12/11/2025-11.4%-18.8%-12.6%
9/4/20259.4%17.5%10.7%
6/5/2025-5.0%-1.5%7.2%
3/6/20258.6%6.6%-18.2%
12/12/202424.4%20.8%26.5%
9/5/2024-10.4%7.7%16.0%
6/12/202412.3%16.0%15.0%
3/7/2024-7.0%-10.3%-4.6%
12/7/20232.4%20.0%17.9%
8/31/2023-5.5%-7.1%-9.0%
6/1/20232.8%1.8%11.5%
3/2/20235.7%4.0%7.9%
12/8/20222.6%5.1%9.2%
9/1/20221.7%6.2%-6.4%
5/26/20223.6%8.5%-4.1%
3/3/20223.0%1.6%9.1%
12/9/20218.3%6.4%7.1%
9/2/20211.2%1.3%-2.5%
6/3/20212.2%0.8%1.5%
3/4/20211.5%2.3%11.0%
12/10/2020-1.0%3.9%10.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161814
# Negative8610
Median Positive3.3%6.3%10.6%
Median Negative-6.2%-8.7%-5.5%
Max Positive24.4%20.8%26.5%
Max Negative-12.6%-22.4%-21.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/10/202610-Q
04/30/202606/09/202610-Q
01/31/202603/11/202610-Q
10/31/202512/18/202510-K
07/31/202509/10/202510-Q
04/30/202506/11/202510-Q
01/31/202503/12/202510-Q
10/31/202412/20/202410-K
07/31/202409/11/202410-Q
04/30/202406/13/202410-Q
01/31/202403/14/202410-Q
10/31/202312/14/202310-K
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/16/202210-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/10/202610-Q
04/30/202606/09/202610-Q
01/31/202603/11/202610-Q
10/31/202512/18/202510-K
07/31/202509/10/202510-Q
04/30/202506/11/202510-Q
01/31/202503/12/202510-Q
10/31/202412/20/202410-K
07/31/202409/11/202410-Q
04/30/202406/13/202410-Q
01/31/202403/14/202410-Q
10/31/202312/14/202310-K
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/16/202210-K
07/31/202209/08/202210-Q
04/30/202206/09/202210-Q
01/31/202203/10/202210-Q
10/31/202112/17/202110-K
07/31/202109/09/202110-Q
04/30/202106/11/202110-Q
01/31/202103/12/202110-Q
10/31/202012/18/202010-K
07/31/202009/11/202010-Q
04/30/202006/12/202010-Q
01/31/202003/13/202010-Q
10/31/201912/20/201910-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/3/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 9/2/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 RevenueReported 34.80 Bil 18.4% Higher NewGuidance: 29.40 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 AI Semiconductor RevenueReported 21.70 Bil 35.6% Higher NewGuidance: 16.00 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Operating MarginReported 66.0%  -1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 67.0% for Q3 2026


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 6/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 RevenueReported 29.40 Bil 33.6% Higher NewActual: 22.00 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 AI Semiconductor RevenueReported 16.00 Bil 49.5% Higher NewActual: 10.70 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Non-GAAP Operating IncomeReported 0.67    
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported 0.68  0.0%Same NewActual: 0.68 for Q2 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 3/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 RevenueReported 22.00 Bil 15.2% Higher NewGuidance: 19.10 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 AI Semiconductor RevenueReported 10.70 Bil 30.5% Higher NewGuidance: 8.20 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA MarginReported 68.0%  1.0%Higher NewGuidance: 67.0% for Q1 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 12/11/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 RevenueReported 19.10 Bil 9.8% Higher NewGuidance: 17.40 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 AI Semiconductor RevenueReported 8.20 Bil 32.3% Higher NewGuidance: 6.20 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported 0.67  0Same NewGuidance: 0.67 for Q4 2025
2026 Quarterly DividendReported 0.65 10.0% RaisedGuidance: 0.59 for 2025
2026 Annual DividendReported 2.6   Higher New

Insider Activity

Updated 9/25/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell9252026356.04702,190250,006,18410,650,451,410Form
2Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell7142026401.3325,00010,033,22578,254,740Form
3Delly, Gayla J DirectSell7102026385.381,890728,36812,072,414Form
4Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell7102026379.1925,0009,479,70083,417,189Form
5Page, Justine DirectSell7012026373.861,602598,9166,514,797Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell9252026356.04702,190250,006,18410,650,451,410Form
2Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell7142026401.3325,00010,033,22578,254,740Form
3Delly, Gayla J DirectSell7102026385.381,890728,36812,072,414Form
4Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell7102026379.1925,0009,479,70083,417,189Form
5Page, Justine DirectSell7012026373.861,602598,9166,514,797Form
6Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell6292026387.0025,0009,675,00094,810,743Form
7Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell6262026382.13654,241250,005,85211,558,680,604Form
8Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell6182026394.914,8251,905,454106,622,095Form
9Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell6182026381.873,3271,270,465104,941,868Form
10You, Harry L DirectBuy6152026373.571,000373,57014,369,744Form
11Velaga, S. RamPresident, ISGDirectSell4142026370.528,0002,964,17821,465,098Form
12Delly, Gayla J DirectSell4132026358.311,000358,31011,592,045Form
13Velaga, S. RamPresident, ISGDirectSell4102026352.1217,2606,077,56423,215,870Form
14Velaga, S. RamPresident, ISGDirectSell4102026352.0212,9554,560,44929,285,439Form
15Page, Justine DirectSell4102026353.002,018712,3546,411,894Form
16Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, SSGTrustSell4102026345.2310,0003,452,270271,757,171Form
17Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell3272026319.71781,967250,000,3029,878,241,753Form
18Velaga, S. RamPresident, ISGDirectSell3182026321.6038,84112,491,27230,920,891Form
19Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3182026321.6036,29211,671,572105,408,201Form
20Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, SSGDirectSell3182026321.6139,11612,579,95324,000,194Form
21Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell3182026321.6050,48816,236,99089,450,415Form
22Velaga, S. RamPresident, ISGDirectSell3182026326.1025,5388,327,83144,019,001Form
23Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3182026326.0923,8627,781,144118,713,477Form
24Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, SSGDirectSell3182026326.1025,7188,386,72237,091,628Form
25Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell3182026326.1033,19410,824,704107,167,309Form
26Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1052026347.8230,00010,434,60396,428,599Form
27Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell12302025352.0725,9219,126,05884,699,017Form
28Tan, Hock EPresident and CEOTrustSell12292025345.65100,00034,564,807171,316,320Form
29You, Harry L DirectBuy12222025325.131,000325,12911,900,372Form
30Tan, Hock EPresident and CEOTrustSell12222025326.02130,00042,382,600194,189,901Form
31Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell12192025327.6538,28112,542,61587,315,682Form
32Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, Semi Solutions GrpDirectSell12182025327.801,928631,9997,730,191Form
33Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell12182025327.793,7141,217,397100,707,934Form
34Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, Semi Solutions GrpDirectSell12182025340.981,235421,1138,698,454Form
35Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell12182025340.922,379811,043106,008,711Form
36Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell12182025340.9124,5278,361,500103,900,844Form
37Page, Justine DirectSell12172025361.89800289,5127,448,420Form
38Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell12092025400.53320,316128,297,55314,950,560,542Form
39Page, Justine DirectSell11182025331.14800264,9127,080,435Form
40Page, Justine DirectSell10162025350.15800280,1207,767,027Form
41Samueli, HenrySee FootnoteSell9262025337.91368,797124,620,22212,746,824,276Form
42Tan, Hock EPresident and CEOTrustSell9252025339.58100,00033,958,393246,415,006Form
43Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell9182025347.6116,5585,755,739114,468,921Form
44Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, Semi Solutions GrpDirectSell9182025347.823,8931,354,0488,798,011Form
45Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell9182025347.667,4982,606,782108,933,449Form
46Brazeal, Mark DavidChief Legal & Corp Affairs OfcDirectSell9182025360.3810,6463,836,648124,642,405Form
47Kawwas, Charlie BPresident, Semi Solutions GrpDirectSell9182025360.392,504902,41110,519,001Form
48Spears, Kirsten MCFO & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell9182025360.384,8211,737,399115,620,430Form
49Page, Justine DirectSell9172025360.00800288,0008,273,520Form
50Tan, Hock EPresident and CEOTrustSell9122025336.67148,15449,879,007278,088,747Form
51You, Harry L DirectBuy9102025363.38500181,68812,936,877Form
52You, Harry L DirectBuy9102025339.381,000339,38511,913,092Form
53You, Harry L DirectBuy9102025344.782,050706,79811,757,667Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 5, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ask Capital Management, LLC$524.6 Mil98.5%3Hold13F
Inspire Investing, LLC$69.0 Mil13.9%313New13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$56.4 Mil13.7%46TRIM -53.2%13F
Proem Advisors LLC$40.2 Mil13.3%29ADD +76.9%13F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$53.7 Mil13.2%19ADD +31.8%13F
FUKOKU MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE Co$195.0 Mil12.8%235Hold13F
Carmel Capital Management L.L.C.$43.8 Mil12.5%25Hold13F
Broad Peak Investment Advisers Pte Ltd$57.3 Mil11.6%23New13F
Glass Wealth Management Co LLC$28.5 Mil11.0%67Hold13F
Hillman Co$27.1 Mil10.5%14Hold13F
UNICOM Systems, Inc.$92.9 Mil9.5%32Hold13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$46.4 Mil9.3%23Hold13F
Boulder Wealth Advisors, LLC$22.9 Mil9.1%32New13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$499.9 Mil8.8%44Hold13F
Randolph Co Inc$91.9 Mil8.8%43Hold13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$28.6 Mil8.6%37Hold13F
Oaktop Capital Management Ii, L.P.$112.3 Mil8.4%14Hold13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$232.7 Mil8.1%20New13F
Harvard Management Co Inc$146.7 Mil8.1%17New13F
Scge Management, L.P.$245.3 Mil7.4%21New13F
Michael & Susan Dell Foundation$197.6 Mil6.9%8Hold13F
FFG Partners, LLC$16.5 Mil6.5%35New13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$136.0 Mil6.5%26ADD +23.5%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$111.7 Mil6.3%49New13F
Hamilton Capital Partners, LLC$19.7 Mil6.1%30New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Scge Management, L.P.$245.3 Mil7.4%21New13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$232.7 Mil8.1%20New13F
Harvard Management Co Inc$146.7 Mil8.1%17New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$111.7 Mil6.3%49New13F
Inspire Investing, LLC$69.0 Mil13.9%313New13F
Broad Peak Investment Advisers Pte Ltd$57.3 Mil11.6%23New13F
Retail Employees Superannuation Pty Ltd as trustee for Retail Employees Superannuation Trust$40.3 Mil6.0%28New13F
Boulder Wealth Advisors, LLC$22.9 Mil9.1%32New13F
Hamilton Capital Partners, LLC$19.7 Mil6.1%30New13F
FFG Partners, LLC$16.5 Mil6.5%35New13F
Proem Advisors LLC$40.2 Mil13.3%29ADD +76.9%13F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$53.7 Mil13.2%19ADD +31.8%13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$136.0 Mil6.5%26ADD +23.5%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Trivest Advisors Ltd$252.7 Mil11.5%30ExitedDec 31, 202513F
SurgoCap Partners LP$231.9 Mil6.4%17ExitedDec 31, 202513F
RK Capital Management, LLC/FL$98.6 Mil6.1%20ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Oxbow Capital Management (HK) Ltd$86.1 Mil23.9%8ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Gladstone Capital Management LLP$73.7 Mil7.6%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Tree Line Advisors (Hong Kong) Ltd.$55.4 Mil12.6%6ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cypress Funds LLC$40.1 Mil6.6%14ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Estuary Capital Management LP$36.3 Mil6.4%23ExitedDec 31, 202513F
ADAPT Investment Managers SA$35.5 Mil7.2%28ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Aragon Global Management, LP$26.9 Mil8.2%32ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$56.4 Mil13.7%46TRIM -53.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Ask Capital Management, LLC$524.6 Mil98.5%3Hold13F
DSM Capital Partners LLC$499.9 Mil8.8%44Hold13F
Scge Management, L.P.$245.3 Mil7.4%21New13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$232.7 Mil8.1%20New13F
Michael & Susan Dell Foundation$197.6 Mil6.9%8Hold13F
FUKOKU MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE Co$195.0 Mil12.8%235Hold13F
Harvard Management Co Inc$146.7 Mil8.1%17New13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$136.0 Mil6.5%26ADD +23.5%13F
Oaktop Capital Management Ii, L.P.$112.3 Mil8.4%14Hold13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$111.7 Mil6.3%49New13F
UNICOM Systems, Inc.$92.9 Mil9.5%32Hold13F
Randolph Co Inc$91.9 Mil8.8%43Hold13F
Inspire Investing, LLC$69.0 Mil13.9%313New13F
Broad Peak Investment Advisers Pte Ltd$57.3 Mil11.6%23New13F
Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance CO$56.4 Mil13.7%46TRIM -53.2%13F
M & L Capital Management Ltd$53.7 Mil13.2%19ADD +31.8%13F
Light Street Capital Management, LLC$46.4 Mil9.3%23Hold13F
Carmel Capital Management L.L.C.$43.8 Mil12.5%25Hold13F
Retail Employees Superannuation Pty Ltd as trustee for Retail Employees Superannuation Trust$40.3 Mil6.0%28New13F
Proem Advisors LLC$40.2 Mil13.3%29ADD +76.9%13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$28.6 Mil8.6%37Hold13F
Glass Wealth Management Co LLC$28.5 Mil11.0%67Hold13F
Hillman Co$27.1 Mil10.5%14Hold13F
Boulder Wealth Advisors, LLC$22.9 Mil9.1%32New13F
Hamilton Capital Partners, LLC$19.7 Mil6.1%30New13F

AVGO Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Broadcom's AI business is inflecting, with revenue growth accelerating to 221% year-over-year. Management provides rare multi-year visibility, forecasting AI revenue to reach $230 billion by fiscal 2028, with supply secured. Massive operating leverage is driving operating margins toward 66%, demonstrating a powerful and profitable pivot to custom AI silicon.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Long-Cycle Custom Product

(Number of AI customers) x (Compute capacity deployed per customer in gigawatts) x (Revenue content per gigawatt) Operating leverage from massive AI revenue growth on a relatively stable operating expense base.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can custom silicon leadership drive a multi-year AI hyper-growth cycle?

Evidence points to a durable, multi-year growth phase driven by deep partnerships for custom AI accelerators (XPUs) that outperform general-purpose chips for specific workloads.

Mechanism: Massive AI revenue growth, guided to reach $115 billion in FY27 and $230 billion in FY28, drives extreme operating leverage. With operating expenses growing just 8.1% against 48.7% revenue growth, operating margins are guided to expand to approximately 66%, fueling significant profit and cash flow expansion.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Management forecasts AI revenue to reach approximately $115 billion in fiscal 2027.
  • The company has line of sight for AI revenue to double again to $230 billion in fiscal 2028.
  • Q3 fiscal 2026 AI semiconductor revenue grew 221% year-over-year.
  • Q4 fiscal 2026 operating margin is guided to be approximately 66% of revenue.
  • Trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 48.7% while operating expenses grew only 8.1%.
PRIMARY RISK
Extreme Customer Concentration

The business is highly dependent on a handful of large customers, with the top five accounting for approximately 55% of revenue. A strategic shift, successful in-house chip development, or loss of a single key XPU customer could materially damage the company's growth trajectory and invalidate its multi-year outlook.

Mechanism: A downward revision to the multi-year AI revenue forecast would confirm a key customer has reduced its buildout plans.
Supporting Evidence:
  • The top five end customers accounted for approximately 55% of net revenue in Q3 2026.
  • Customer concentration has increased from approximately 40% in fiscal year 2025.
  • The company's AI business is dependent on six core XPU customers.
  • The stock reacted negatively by -3.0% to the most recent earnings report despite strong results.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
AI Semiconductor Revenue Growth221% year-over-year growth in Q3 FY2026 - AcceleratingThe year-over-year growth rate for AI Semiconductor revenue has shown dramatic and consistent acceleration over the past three quarters, moving from 106% to 143% and now 221%. This indicates an explosive ramp in demand and shipments for the company's custom accelerators (XPUs) and networking products.
Infrastructure Software Revenue Growth29% year-over-year growth in Q3 FY2026 - AcceleratingInfrastructure Software revenue growth has accelerated significantly on a year-over-year basis, driven by the VMware acquisition. However, management's commentary notes that underlying Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth has moderated from 19% in Q1 to 15% in Q3. The forecast for a sequential stabilization in Q4 suggests the initial post-acquisition surge is leveling off.
Infrastructure Software ARR Growth15% year-over-year (Q3 FY2026)The health and predictability of the recurring revenue base in the high-margin software segment.
AI Revenue as % of Total Revenue56% (Q3 FY2026)The company's increasing concentration and strategic pivot towards the AI market.
Core Investment Debate

Custom Silicon Leverage vs. Customer Concentration Risk

BULL VIEW

Bulls believe the deep, multi-year co-development partnerships with six key XPU customers create high switching costs and provide unparalleled visibility, justifying the concentration risk with a clear path to $230 billion in AI revenue by fiscal 2028.

CORE TENSION

Can the supply-secured growth to $230 billion in AI revenue by FY28 outweigh the structural risk from the top five customers representing 55% of sales?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence favors the bulls. Management has consistently raised its multi-year AI outlook and has secured the supply chain through 2028 to meet its targets.

BEAR VIEW

Bears argue that dependence on so few customers (top five are 55% of revenue) creates fragility. A single customer loss could erase billions in projected growth, a risk the market acknowledges with negative reactions to strong results.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
late 2026
New XPU Customer Shipments
Watch: Shipments to two XPU customers are expected to begin.
late 2026
Fifth XPU Customer Delivery
Watch: A fifth XPU customer order is scheduled for delivery.
11/4/2026
Qualcomm Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Qualcomm (QCOM) is scheduled to report earnings.
11/17/2026
Peer-Driven Sector Sentiment
Watch: NVIDIA's commentary on AI demand, supply constraints, and pricing, which could reset sector expectations.
11/30/2026
Marvell Technology Earnings
Watch: Peer Marvell Technology (MRVL) is scheduled to report earnings.
In Q4
Meta MTIA Shipments
Watch: Initial production shipments for Meta's custom MTIA accelerator are expected.
12/9/2026
Negative Earnings Reaction
Watch: Q1 guidance, particularly gross margin outlook and AI revenue growth trajectory versus elevated expectations.
12/9/2026
AI Margin Dilution
Watch: Actual Q4 gross margin versus the 73% guide and any change to the margin trajectory for fiscal 2027.
No set date
Supply Chain Disruption
Watch: News related to TSMC production, Taiwan geopolitics, or key material shortages impacting leading-edge semiconductors.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-09-02
Guidance Update and Market Reaction
Details: The company guided Q4 revenue to $34.8 billion. The stock dropped on the guidance, which fell short of expectations, resulting in a two-day stock reaction of -3.0%.
-3.4%
$369.01 -> $356.51
2026-09-02
Broadcom Reports Q3 Results
Details: The company reported Q3 revenue of $29.6 billion, up 86% year-over-year, with AI semiconductor revenue of $16.7 billion, a 221% jump from the prior year.
-3.4%
$369.01 -> $356.51
2026-08-25
Institutional Investors Increase Stakes
Details: Press reports in August noted several investment firms, including Bridgewater Advisors and Bellars Harris Wealth Management, took new or increased positions in the company during the second quarter.
-0.9%
$358.11 -> $354.94
2026-07-06
Apple Chip Deal Extended
Details: Broadcom extended its chip partnership with Apple through 2031, covering custom semiconductor development and production for multiple generations of Apple products.
+2.9%
$359.79 -> $370.11
2026-06-03
Market Reacts to Q2
Details: The two-day stock reaction around the earnings call was -13.0%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's flat performance.
-13.0%
$479.94 -> $417.49
2026-06-03
Broadcom Reports Q2 Results
Details: The company reported Q2 revenue of $22.2 billion, up 48% year-on-year, driven by AI semiconductor revenue of $10.8 billion, which was up 143% year-on-year.
-13.0%
$479.94 -> $417.49
Risk Management
Position Sizing

4% - 6%

NORMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: AVGO trades at roughly 37% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (2.8x the market), around the 4th percentile of its own trailing year. A 4% - 6% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA
Full-Stack AI Platform

NVIDIA offers a general-purpose, full-stack AI platform with a powerful software moat via its CUDA ecosystem, providing broader exposure to the entire AI market beyond a few custom silicon clients.

Core Thesis: NVIDIA is the dominant provider of the picks and shovels for the AI gold rush, with a defensible software ecosystem.
MRVL - Marvell Technology
Diversified Custom Silicon

Marvell provides exposure to the custom silicon trend across a more diversified set of end-markets, including data center, carrier infrastructure, and automotive, potentially offering a less concentrated risk profile.

Core Thesis: Marvell is a key enabler of custom silicon and high-speed connectivity for next-generation infrastructure.
How Is The Market Pricing AVGO?

A custom silicon powerhouse for the AI era, co-designing the core compute and networking for the world's largest AI model developers, complemented by a high-margin, cash-cow infrastructure software business.

Broadcom's core strategy is to partner with a handful of the largest AI players (Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta) to build custom, high-performance AI accelerators (XPUs) and networking hardware. This allows it to capture a massive share of AI infrastructure spend by delivering solutions optimized for specific workloads, which outperform and undercut general-purpose GPUs on cost. This hyper-growth semiconductor business is paired with a stable, high-margin infrastructure software portfolio (from VMware, CA, Symantec acquisitions) that generates significant, predictable cash flow.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of new or expanded XPU partnerships with major AI labs; evidence of XPU performance surpassing next-gen GPUs; continued strong growth in AI networking revenue; stable or growing ARR in the software segment.

What will damage the thesis

The loss of a key XPU customer to a competitor or a successful in-house chip (COT); evidence of next-gen GPUs closing the performance/cost gap with XPUs; a significant slowdown in AI infrastructure buildout; erosion of VMware's position in private cloud.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarterly fluctuations in the non-AI semiconductor business; short-term stock price reactions to gross margin compression as long as operating margin remains strong.

Repricing Catalyst

The company's multi-year visibility and explicit guidance for AI revenue to double in fiscal 2027 to approximately $115 billion and double again in fiscal 2028 to $230 billion, a trajectory far exceeding prior expectations.

What AVGO Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on fiscal year 2025 filings (the latest reported segment data)
Semiconductor solutions
$36.9B TTM (58% of Total)
What It Is

Sells a broad portfolio of semiconductor solutions, including custom AI accelerators (XPUs), Ethernet switching and routing silicon, optical components, and wireless connectivity chips. Key customers are hyperscalers, AI frontier model companies, and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).

Who Pays & How

Hyperscalers and leading AI labs (such as Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Meta) pay for custom-designed silicon to achieve superior performance, cost, and power efficiency for their specific AI workloads, which they believe outperforms general-purpose GPUs.

Primarily unit sales of individual chips, components, and in some cases, full systems or racks under multi-year supply agreements.
Competition
NVIDIA
NVIDIA offers a full-stack, general-purpose AI factory platform that runs every model and has a vast developer ecosystem.
Broadcom's moat is its deep IP portfolio in silicon design, industry-leading a recently discussed product and advanced packaging, and a consistent track record of delivering complex custom chips with the fastest time-to-market.
Infrastructure software
$27.0B TTM (42% of Total)
What It Is

Sells a portfolio of software for private cloud (VMware Cloud Foundation), mainframe, cybersecurity, and Fibre Channel SAN management to large enterprises, including most of the Fortune 500, and government agencies.

Who Pays & How

Large enterprises and government agencies pay to modernize, optimize, and secure their complex IT environments, run mission-critical workloads, and repatriate applications from public clouds to gain greater control and improve infrastructure economics.

Subscriptions and licenses, with an emphasis on enterprise-wide license models to reduce complexity for customers.
Competition
Large enterprise software vendors that provide cloud, security, and mainframe solutions.
The VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) acts as an essential software layer in data centers, integrating diverse hardware into a common private cloud environment that is difficult to disintermediate.
AVGO Evolution: Price Return by Era
Pre-2020s · Diversified Acquirer
+42%
Broadcom grew into a technology leader through a series of strategic acquisitions, including LSI, Broadcom Corporation, Brocade, CA, and Symantec, building a broad portfolio across semiconductor and infrastructure software markets.
Present · AI Custom Silicon Juggernaut
The company has pivoted to become a primary enabler of the AI buildout, focusing on deep, multi-year partnerships with a few key AI leaders to develop custom accelerators (XPUs) and networking solutions, making AI the dominant driver of growth and revenue.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is in a downtrend. Multiple SMA levels broken and declining. Thesis requires reclaiming 200D before any bull case is credible. Relative to SPY: Lagging the market on the 63D window, but 'relative strength' is beginning to stabilize; watch for inflection. Volume and momentum are mixed. There is no clear institutional footprint in either direction. Earnings history is clearly negative. The market punished the print and the drift confirms distribution. Thesis is under pressure.
① Structure
-4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
0
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-2
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-6 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Broken In Short Term · - ▾
2 Momentum Mixed ▾
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Neutral Relative Strength ▾
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Neutral / Mixed ▾
5 Volatility Normal ▾
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Flat ▾
7 Earnings Reaction History Consistent Pressure ▾
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/4/2026