Micron Technology (MU)


Market Price (10/12/2026): $1028.65 | Market Cap: $1.2 TrilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Micron Technology (MU)


Market Price (10/12/2026): $1028.65
Market Cap: $1.2 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 5.1%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 256%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 75%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 90 Bil, FCF LTM is 59 Bil

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 467%

Key risks
MU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 256%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 75%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 90 Bil, FCF LTM is 59 Bil
4 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 467%
7 Key risks
MU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more.

MU in ETFs

Weight = MU's share of each fund

SPY1.8%
VOO1.6%
IVV1.7%
VTI1.5%
ITOT1.6%
QQQ4.9%
QQQM5.0%
IWB1.7%
+43 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/8/2026

Micron Technology (MU) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant insider selling by Micron's CEO occurred at the beginning of the period. On June 26, 2026, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 40,000 Micron shares totaling over $46 million across two transactions (one for $32.76 million and another for $13.57 million), which can be interpreted by investors as a bearish signal for the company's near-term prospects.

2. Despite record fiscal Q4 2026 earnings, investor concerns arose from increased capital expenditures and a projected moderation in memory price increases. Micron Technology reported record fiscal Q4 2026 results (which ended September 3, 2026), with revenue of $54.23 billion and adjusted EPS of $33.42, exceeding analyst expectations. However, the company's shares experienced a slip in after-hours trading as investors focused on substantial capital expenditure plans, including $10.77 billion for fiscal Q4 2026 and a projected $11.5 billion for fiscal Q1 2027. Additionally, management noted an expected "meaningful moderation in the rate of price increases" for fiscal Q4 2026, suggesting a slowdown in the strong pricing environment that had boosted previous quarters.

Show more
Updated on 10/8/2026

Micron Technology (MU) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant insider selling by Micron's CEO occurred at the beginning of the period. On June 26, 2026, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra sold 40,000 Micron shares totaling over $46 million across two transactions (one for $32.76 million and another for $13.57 million), which can be interpreted by investors as a bearish signal for the company's near-term prospects.

2. Despite record fiscal Q4 2026 earnings, investor concerns arose from increased capital expenditures and a projected moderation in memory price increases. Micron Technology reported record fiscal Q4 2026 results (which ended September 3, 2026), with revenue of $54.23 billion and adjusted EPS of $33.42, exceeding analyst expectations. However, the company's shares experienced a slip in after-hours trading as investors focused on substantial capital expenditure plans, including $10.77 billion for fiscal Q4 2026 and a projected $11.5 billion for fiscal Q1 2027. Additionally, management noted an expected "meaningful moderation in the rate of price increases" for fiscal Q4 2026, suggesting a slowdown in the strong pricing environment that had boosted previous quarters.

3. Broader market skepticism regarding the sustainability of the memory supercycle, despite strong AI-driven demand, contributed to caution. Although AI infrastructure is driving unprecedented demand for memory and storage, leading to strong growth in the semiconductor industry and for Micron, there remains market skepticism about the long-term sustainability of higher earnings for memory chip makers. Analysts have cautioned that coordinated increases in production capacity by major players like Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung could eventually normalize pricing. This general sentiment, coupled with an overall underperformance of the semiconductor sector in fiscal Q3 2026, created headwinds for Micron's stock despite its strong financial performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.8% change in MU stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610112026Change
Stock Price ($)1154.111029.00-10.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)90,274133,18847.5%
Net Income Margin (%)55.9%63.8%14.1%
P/E Multiple25.813.7-46.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1281,130-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-10.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU-10.8% 
Market (SPY)4.3%41.8%
Sector (XLK)4.3%79.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 204.6% change in MU stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 129.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)331202610112026Change
Stock Price ($)337.791029.00204.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)58,119133,188129.2%
Net Income Margin (%)41.5%63.8%53.8%
P/E Multiple15.813.7-13.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1261,130-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution204.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU204.6% 
Market (SPY)20.0%52.2%
Sector (XLK)49.7%78.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 516.0% change in MU stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 293.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202510112026Change
Stock Price ($)167.051029.00516.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)33,813133,188293.9%
Net Income Margin (%)18.4%63.8%246.5%
P/E Multiple30.013.7-54.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1181,130-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution516.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU516.0% 
Market (SPY)17.8%52.2%
Sector (XLK)41.6%74.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1429.5% change in MU stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 632.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202310112026Change
Stock Price ($)67.281029.001429.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,173133,188632.9%
P/S Multiple4.18.7115.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0941,130-3.2%
Cumulative Contribution1429.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU1429.5% 
Market (SPY)88.4%55.8%
Sector (XLK)146.8%70.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MU Return24%-46%72%-1%240%263%1313%
Peers Return46%-48%112%23%100%107%717%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MU Win Rate42%42%58%50%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%37%63%53%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MU Max Drawdown-30%-50%-18%-45%-41%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-56%-23%-39%-36%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM. See MU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMUS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-36.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven399 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven10 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven522 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven207 days105 days

Compare to WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM

In The Past

Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMUS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-36.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven399 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven522 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven207 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-43.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven210 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-70.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven236.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven568 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-46.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven128 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-33.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven189 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-77.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven343.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven281 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-22.9%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.6%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2133 days47 days

Compare to WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM

In The Past

Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Micron Technology (MU)

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of advanced memory and storage products. The company provides essential semiconductor devices, primarily focusing on DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) for high-speed data retrieval and NAND (Non-Volatile) products for persistent data storage. It also offers NOR memory, known for its fast read speeds. These critical components are supplied under the company's Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels.

Micron's diverse portfolio of memory and storage solutions serves a wide range of industries and applications. Its DRAM products are vital for cloud servers, enterprise systems, client computing, graphics, and networking markets, as well as powering smartphones and other mobile devices. The company's NAND-based SSDs (Solid State Drives) and other storage solutions cater to enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer storage needs. Beyond these, Micron also develops specialized memory and storage products for the demanding automotive, industrial, and broader consumer markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Micron Technology:

  • Micron is like Intel for computer memory chips.
  • Micron is like Samsung, but solely focused on making memory and storage chips.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) Products: Semiconductor devices offering low-latency, high-speed data retrieval for various computing applications.
  • NAND Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor storage devices primarily used for data storage.
  • NOR Memory Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor memory devices providing fast read speeds.
  • SSDs (Solid State Drives): Storage devices and component-level solutions for enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the company description, Micron Technology primarily designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products as components and solutions to other businesses for integration into their final products. Therefore, its major customers are other companies rather than individuals.

Major customers for Micron Technology typically include large-scale manufacturers and cloud service providers across the following sectors:

  • Smartphone and Mobile Device Manufacturers: Companies that integrate Micron's memory and storage into smartphones, tablets, and other mobile devices.
    • Example: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
  • PC, Server, and Enterprise System Manufacturers: Companies that utilize Micron's DRAM, NAND, and SSD solutions for client PCs, enterprise servers, and data center infrastructure.
    • Example: Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)
  • Cloud Service Providers and Hyperscalers: Large technology companies that build and operate massive data centers requiring vast amounts of memory and storage for their cloud computing services.
    • Example: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) for its Azure cloud platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ASML (ASML)
  • Applied Materials (AMAT)
  • Lam Research (LRCX)
  • KLA Corporation (KLAC)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Sanjay Mehrotra, Chairman, President and CEO

Sanjay Mehrotra is the Chairman, President, and CEO of Micron Technology. He co-founded SanDisk Corporation in 1988 and served as its president and CEO from 2011 until its acquisition by Western Digital in 2016 for $19 billion. Mehrotra has over 40 years of experience in the semiconductor memory industry, including engineering and leadership positions at Integrated Device Technology, SEEQ Technology, and Intel Corp. He holds more than 70 patents.

Mark Murphy, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mark Murphy is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Micron Technology, joining the company in 2022. He is responsible for leading Micron's finance organization and all financial functions, including accounting, tax, treasury, internal audit, and investor relations. Prior to Micron, Murphy served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Qorvo, a semiconductor company. He also held senior leadership positions at Delphi Automotive, MEMC Electronic Materials, and Praxair. Murphy has over 25 years of experience across finance and general management roles in global companies.

Sumit Sadana, Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer

Sumit Sadana is the Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer at Micron Technology, a role he assumed in 2017. He is responsible for the company's business units, driving revenue and profitability, and corporate strategy and business development. Sadana previously served as Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer, and General Manager of Enterprise Solutions at SanDisk. His career also includes executive roles at IBM and Freescale Semiconductor. Sadana has completed approximately $40 billion in mergers and acquisitions throughout his career.

Manish Bhatia, Executive Vice President, Global Operations

Manish Bhatia is the Executive Vice President, Global Operations at Micron Technology, a position he has held since October 2017. He is responsible for the company's end-to-end operations, including manufacturing, packaging, quality, and supply chain. Before joining Micron, Bhatia held several executive roles at Western Digital Corporation and SanDisk Corporation, including Executive Vice President of Worldwide Operations at SanDisk. He joined SanDisk in 2006 through the acquisition of Matrix Semiconductor. His earlier career included positions at McKinsey & Company and Saint Gobain Corporation.

Scott J. DeBoer, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer

Scott J. DeBoer is the Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer at Micron Technology. He oversees the company's research and development, as well as product development and technology roadmap. DeBoer has held various leadership positions in technology and engineering throughout his career at Micron. His extensive experience includes driving innovation in memory and storage solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Micron Technology's business include:

  1. Cyclicality and Potential Oversupply in the Memory Market: The memory and storage industry is inherently cyclical, characterized by fluctuating demand, pricing, and profitability. While currently experiencing strong demand, particularly for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) driven by AI, there is a significant risk of future oversupply. Micron and its competitors are undertaking substantial capital expenditures to expand production capacity, which could lead to an imbalance where supply outstrips demand, resulting in declines in average selling prices and compressed profit margins, potentially by late 2026 or 2027.
  2. Intense Competition in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM): Micron faces fierce competition, especially in the high-growth HBM segment critical for AI applications. Key rivals like SK Hynix and Samsung are aggressively increasing their HBM production capacity and developing next-generation technologies. Reports suggest Micron may be trailing in the HBM4 market, potentially impacting its market share, pricing power, and future profitability in this crucial, high-margin area.
  3. Geopolitical Risks and Supply Chain Dependency: A substantial portion of Micron's manufacturing and operational footprint is located in Taiwan. This concentration exposes the company to significant geopolitical risks. Any regional conflict or increased tensions could lead to catastrophic disruptions in Micron's supply chain and manufacturing capabilities, severely impacting its global operations and financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Micron Technology's main products, DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory, operate within substantial addressable markets globally.

  • The global Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) market was valued at approximately USD 121.83 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 223.7 billion by 2034, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.20% during the forecast period. Another estimate placed the global DRAM market size at USD 135.4 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 359.0 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 11.4% from 2025-2033.

  • The global NAND flash memory market was valued at USD 65.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a 5.6% CAGR from 2025 to 2034. Other reports indicate the NAND flash memory market is estimated to be valued at USD 77.81 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 117.00 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.0% from 2026 to 2033. Furthermore, the NAND Flash Memory market was valued at USD 108.25 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 225.68 billion by 2034, advancing at a CAGR of 8.64%.

  • The global NOR Flash Market is projected to expand from USD 3.04 billion in 2025 to USD 4.27 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.74% between 2026 and 2031. Another analysis forecasts the global NOR Flash Market to reach a valuation of USD 5.27 billion in 2025 and to reach USD 10.73 billion by 2034, recording a CAGR of 8.2% from 2025 to 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Micron Technology (MU) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:

  1. Explosive Demand for AI-Driven High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and Data Center Products: The proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) is creating unprecedented demand for high-performance memory. Micron has reported record revenues in data center DRAM and HBM, with HBM shipments ahead of plan. The company has sold out its entire HBM output for calendar year 2025 and has secured agreements for its calendar 2026 HBM supply, including the advanced HBM4. The HBM market is projected to expand significantly, with estimates indicating growth from approximately $35 billion in 2025 to nearly $100 billion by 2028.
  2. Overall DRAM and NAND Market Recovery and Improved Pricing: Following a period of oversupply, the broader memory market for both DRAM and NAND products is experiencing a robust recovery. Tight supply conditions across the industry are leading to increased pricing power for memory manufacturers like Micron. The company expects these tight market conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026. This environment is contributing to significantly improved gross margins and overall revenue expansion.
  3. Technological Leadership and New Product Ramps: Micron's continuous investment in advanced technology nodes, such as the 1-gamma DRAM and G9 NAND, is a crucial driver. The 1-gamma DRAM node offers higher bit density and improved power efficiency, while the ramp of HBM4 is expected to command higher average selling prices (ASPs). These technological advancements enhance Micron's competitive edge and enable the delivery of higher-value, higher-margin products.
  4. Recovery in Traditional End Markets: Beyond the dominant AI segment, Micron is also observing improvements in demand across other key end markets. This includes the recovery of inventories in client (PC) and smartphone markets, as well as strengthening demand in broad distribution, industrial, and parts of the automotive sectors. This broader market stabilization and growth will contribute to overall revenue diversification and stability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Micron's annual share buybacks amounted to $425 million in 2023 and $300 million in 2024.
  • The company conducted $300 million in share repurchases during the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended November 27, 2025.
  • Micron completed $300 million in share repurchases under the CHIPS definitive agreement.

Capital Expenditures

  • Micron invested $13.8 billion in capital expenditures during fiscal 2025.
  • The company anticipates fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to be approximately $20 billion, an increase from fiscal 2025, primarily focused on 1γ DRAM and HBM-related investments, DRAM front-end equipment, and fab construction.
  • For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, capital expenditures were $4.5 billion.

Better Bets vs. Micron Technology (MU)

Peer Outperformance in Semiconductors

MU has outperformed 98% of its 54 Semiconductors peers over 5Y. Semiconductors ranks 7th of 12 industries in Information Technology by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Semiconductors constituents that MU has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
98%
of 65 industry peers · 467.2% return
3Y
100%
of 58 industry peers · 1389.3% return
5Y
98%
of 54 industry peers · 1479.4% return
No Semiconductors peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten MU by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Semiconductors is MU's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 9 67.7%176.4%383.9% TTMI 806% · FLEX 787% · SANM 457%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 27 99.5%103.6%124.4% AXTI 750% · KLAC 543% · LRCX 513%
Technology Distributors 9 53.5%87.4%97.0% CLMB 424% · AVT 208% · SNX 181%
Communications Equipment 36 9.2%108.3%73.9% AAOI 1524% · LITE 1204% · FEIM 841%
Electronic Components 26 43.2%72.3%73.7% CLS 3837% · BELFA 1393% · COHR 467%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 20 26.8%115.1%38.1% DELL 1134% · SMCI 1067% · STX 1042%
Semiconductors ← 55 26.9%47.3%34.8% POET 1611% · MU 1479% · NVDA 1014%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 -1.1%43.1%28.2% DOCN 57% · GDDY 53% · VRSN 51%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 26 -15.7%26.7%-5.6% PI 270% · KEYS 137% · VPG 107%
IT Consulting & Other Services 28 -20.5%-15.6%-17.2% CHRN 489111% · TSSI 782% · APLD 652%
Application Software 125 -20.9%-14.3%-42.9% VIDA 1469900% · INLX 4550% · PLTR 782%
Systems Software 71 -12.2%26.4%-52.2% QNC 567% · PAYS 515% · SANG 403%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Mkt Price1,028.65395.99104.42229.32608.39175.24312.65
Mkt Cap1,162.4139.0533.05,547.3992.9185.2762.9
Rev LTM133,18812,91957,032302,96941,30544,06950,550
Op Inc LTM99,3404,5994,308197,5796,48810,2588,373
FCF LTM58,9633,5112,831127,0068,40310,4169,410
FCF 3Y Avg20,2511,336-6,89981,9384,60111,5358,068
CFO LTM89,6753,92914,936134,36010,08012,40113,668
CFO 3Y Avg38,5691,77512,17886,6865,62412,90312,541

Growth & Margins

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Rev Chg LTM256.3%35.7%7.5%83.4%39.5%1.9%37.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg122.3%29.3%1.9%116.5%24.4%4.8%26.9%
Rev Chg Q379.3%43.8%25.4%105.9%50.1%-4.0%47.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM47.5%9.7%6.1%19.5%10.3%-0.9%10.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM916.8%115.9%198.0%105.9%164.5%-15.9%140.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg563.4%283.9%-214.9%206.3%225.5%-0.6%215.9%
Op Mgn LTM74.6%35.6%7.6%65.2%15.7%23.3%29.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.3%18.1%0.1%61.7%9.2%25.6%21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.0%4.4%5.6%1.2%4.1%-2.3%4.2%
CFO/Rev LTM67.3%30.4%26.2%44.3%24.4%28.1%29.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg49.4%15.0%22.0%47.2%16.4%31.3%26.7%
FCF/Rev LTM44.3%27.2%5.0%41.9%20.3%23.6%25.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.4%10.8%-12.8%44.7%13.3%28.1%14.8%

Valuation

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Mkt Cap1,162.4139.0533.05,547.3992.9185.2762.9
P/S8.710.89.318.324.04.210.1
P/Op Inc11.730.2123.728.1153.018.129.1
P/EBIT11.613.8-61.224.1129.115.614.7
P/E13.714.9-47.228.8154.320.017.5
P/CFO13.035.435.741.398.514.935.5
Total Yield7.4%6.8%-2.1%3.6%0.6%7.1%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%0.0%0.1%0.0%2.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%1.4%-6.8%2.0%1.0%5.9%1.7%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0

Returns

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
1M Rtn5.5%-11.4%1.4%5.1%17.9%-3.7%3.2%
3M Rtn5.0%-32.0%-4.9%8.8%9.1%-6.9%0.1%
6M Rtn144.6%15.4%67.4%21.8%148.3%38.1%52.7%
12M Rtn467.0%243.7%187.1%25.5%183.1%16.5%185.1%
3Y Rtn1,388.8%1,066.6%188.2%389.9%459.2%67.5%424.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.3%-17.0%1.2%2.1%17.9%-3.8%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn5.8%-32.6%-2.7%8.9%9.9%-8.2%1.6%
6M Excs Rtn130.0%0.8%52.8%7.3%133.7%23.5%38.2%
12M Excs Rtn408.2%211.8%163.4%5.9%142.6%-9.0%153.0%
3Y Excs Rtn1,344.0%992.1%112.5%339.0%401.3%-13.1%370.2%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)13,5243,7921,872  
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)11,85911,6677,394  
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)7,2294,9842,124  
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)4,7534,6314,139  
All Other1337111740
Unallocated000  
Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU)   13,69312,280
Embedded Business Unit (EBU)   5,2354,209
Mobile Business Unit (MBU)   7,2607,203
Storage Business Unit (SBU)   4,5533,973
Total37,37825,11115,54030,75827,705


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)6,129244-768  
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)2,180255-563  
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)1,981-1-3,189  
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)557432680  
All Other-11881220
Unallocated-1,076356-1,913-579-1,384
Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU)   5,8444,295
Embedded Business Unit (EBU)   1,7521,006
Mobile Business Unit (MBU)   2,1602,173
Storage Business Unit (SBU)   513173
Total9,7701,304-5,7459,7026,283


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2001
Semiconductor operations7,789
Total7,789


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1,029.00 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1,160.7 
First Trading Date05/16/1989 
Distance from 52W High-15.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$976.19$701.57
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA5.4%46.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.1%81.1%
Downside Capture133.67251.10
Upside Capture138.32402.54
Correlation (SPY)41.7%52.3%
MU Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.972.013.193.933.332.36
Up Beta1.992.156.573.703.012.11
Down Beta9.394.543.014.433.212.47
Up Capture197%264%193%1138%2823%12138%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days14253370138406
Down Capture-43%32%223%226%164%112%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days8173156114346

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU427.5%81.1%2.39-
Sector ETF (XLK)37.5%26.5%1.1774.1%
Equity (SPY)16.7%13.0%0.9152.1%
Gold (GLD)3.3%29.5%0.1127.1%
Commodities (DBC)45.0%20.9%1.67-0.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%13.8%0.09-10.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-33.2%44.2%-0.7924.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU71.6%56.8%1.17-
Sector ETF (XLK)22.2%25.9%0.7568.7%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.1%0.6256.8%
Gold (GLD)18.5%18.9%0.7915.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.0%19.5%0.3910.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.8%-0.0421.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.4%52.0%0.3925.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU50.7%51.6%1.00-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.9%25.0%0.9067.5%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7358.7%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.4%0.5910.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3717.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1829.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.5%66.2%1.0318.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152026-5.8%
Average Daily Volume24.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,130.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/30/20263.0%2.1% 
6/24/202615.7%-1.5%-12.2%
3/18/2026-3.8%-17.2%-1.4%
12/17/202510.2%27.1%61.9%
9/23/2025-2.8%0.5%19.3%
6/25/2025-1.0%-4.3%-12.5%
3/20/2025-8.0%-11.5%-35.1%
12/18/2024-16.2%-13.6%5.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101113
# Negative13129
Median Positive9.4%8.0%11.0%
Median Negative-3.8%-6.5%-12.2%
Max Positive15.7%27.1%61.9%
Max Negative-16.2%-17.2%-35.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/30/20263.0%2.1% 
6/24/202615.7%-1.5%-12.2%
3/18/2026-3.8%-17.2%-1.4%
12/17/202510.2%27.1%61.9%
9/23/2025-2.8%0.5%19.3%
6/25/2025-1.0%-4.3%-12.5%
3/20/2025-8.0%-11.5%-35.1%
12/18/2024-16.2%-13.6%5.3%
9/25/202414.7%4.3%11.7%
6/26/2024-7.1%-3.9%-23.1%
3/20/202414.1%23.9%11.0%
12/20/20238.6%9.3%11.4%
9/27/2023-4.4%-0.1%-5.2%
6/28/2023-4.1%-8.7%6.4%
3/28/20237.2%-3.4%4.6%
12/21/2022-3.4%-1.1%19.9%
9/29/20220.2%9.2%8.3%
6/30/2022-2.9%7.2%13.4%
3/29/2022-3.5%-9.1%-14.3%
12/20/202110.5%13.3%3.8%
6/30/2021-5.7%-9.3%-8.7%
3/31/20214.8%8.0%-2.4%
1/7/2021-2.1%2.8%6.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101113
# Negative13129
Median Positive9.4%8.0%11.0%
Median Negative-3.8%-6.5%-12.2%
Max Positive15.7%27.1%61.9%
Max Negative-16.2%-17.2%-35.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202610/09/202610-K
05/31/202606/25/202610-Q
02/28/202603/19/202610-Q
11/30/202512/18/202510-Q
08/31/202510/03/202510-K
05/31/202506/26/202510-Q
02/28/202503/21/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/04/202410-K
05/31/202406/27/202410-Q
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202310/06/202310-K
05/31/202306/29/202310-Q
02/28/202303/29/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202610/09/202610-K
05/31/202606/25/202610-Q
02/28/202603/19/202610-Q
11/30/202512/18/202510-Q
08/31/202510/03/202510-K
05/31/202506/26/202510-Q
02/28/202503/21/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/04/202410-K
05/31/202406/27/202410-Q
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202310/06/202310-K
05/31/202306/29/202310-Q
02/28/202303/29/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
08/31/202210/07/202210-K
05/31/202207/01/202210-Q
02/28/202203/30/202210-Q
11/30/202101/06/202210-Q
08/31/202110/08/202110-K
05/31/202107/01/202110-Q
02/28/202104/01/202110-Q
11/30/202001/08/202110-Q
08/31/202010/19/202010-K
05/31/202006/30/202010-Q
02/29/202003/26/202010-Q
11/30/201912/20/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/1/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 9/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 RevenueReported60.00 Bil61.50 Bil63.00 Bil23.0% Higher NewGuidance: 50.00 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Gross MarginReported 85.95%  -0.0%Lower NewGuidance: 86.0% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Gross MarginReported 86.25%    
Q1 2027 GAAP Operating ExpensesReported 2.31 Bil 24.2% Higher NewGuidance: 1.86 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Operating ExpensesReported 2.06 Bil 24.8% Higher NewGuidance: 1.65 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Diluted Earnings Per ShareReported36.8437.8438.8423.1% Higher NewGuidance: 30.73 for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Diluted Earnings Per ShareReported37.1538.1539.1523.1% Higher NewGuidance: 31 for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Diluted Shares OutstandingReported 1.15 Bil    


Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 RevenueReported49.00 Bil50.00 Bil51.00 Bil49.3% Higher NewGuidance: 33.50 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Gross ProfitCalculated42.14 Bil43.00 Bil43.86 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin
Q4 2026 Gross marginReported 86.0%  5.0%Higher NewGuidance: 81.0% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Operating expenses (GAAP)Reported 1.86 Bil 16.2% Higher NewGuidance: 1.60 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Operating expenses (Non-GAAP)Reported 1.65 Bil    
Q4 2026 Operating IncomeCalculated40.49 Bil41.35 Bil42.21 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin - Opex
Q4 2026 Operating MarginCalculated82.63%82.7%82.76%  Implied by guided Rev/GM/Opex
Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (GAAP)Reported29.7330.7331.7362.6% Higher NewGuidance: 18.9 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP)Reported303132   

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 RevenueReported32.75 Bil33.50 Bil34.25 Bil79.1% Higher NewGuidance: 18.70 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Gross ProfitCalculated26.53 Bil27.14 Bil27.74 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin
Q3 2026 Gross marginReported 81.0%  14.0%Higher NewGuidance: 67.0% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Operating expensesReported 1.60 Bil 2.6% Higher NewGuidance: 1.56 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Operating IncomeCalculated24.93 Bil25.54 Bil26.14 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin - Opex
Q3 2026 Operating MarginCalculated76.11%76.22%76.33%  Implied by guided Rev/GM/Opex
Q3 2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported18.518.919.3130.8% Higher NewGuidance: 8.19 for Q2 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 12/17/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 RevenueReported18.30 Bil18.70 Bil19.10 Bil49.6% Higher NewGuidance: 12.50 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Gross ProfitCalculated12.08 Bil12.53 Bil12.99 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin
Q2 2026 Gross MarginReported66.0%67.0%68.0% 16.5%Higher NewGuidance: 50.5% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Operating ExpensesReported1.54 Bil1.56 Bil1.58 Bil4.7% Higher NewGuidance: 1.49 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Operating IncomeCalculated10.50 Bil10.97 Bil11.45 Bil  Rev x Gross Margin - Opex
Q2 2026 Operating MarginCalculated57.37%58.66%59.94%  Implied by guided Rev/GM/Opex
Q2 2026 Diluted Earnings Per ShareReported7.998.198.39130.1% Higher NewGuidance: 3.56 for Q1 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 10/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bjorlin, AlexisTrustSell82820261132.332528,308266,098Form
2Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell8252026968.9040,00038,756,162256,278,029Form
3Sadana, SumitEVP and Chief Business OfficerDirectSell8202026934.2915,00014,014,350178,469,010Form
4Allen, Scott RCVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell72720261000.00879879,00034,958,000Form
5Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell70620261083.9440,00043,357,47392,933,492Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bjorlin, AlexisTrustSell82820261132.332528,308266,098Form
2Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell8252026968.9040,00038,756,162256,278,029Form
3Sadana, SumitEVP and Chief Business OfficerDirectSell8202026934.2915,00014,014,350178,469,010Form
4Allen, Scott RCVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell72720261000.00879879,00034,958,000Form
5Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell70620261083.9440,00043,357,47392,933,492Form
6Dugle, Lynn ADirectSell70220261150.431,3001,495,55920,394,823Form
7Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261180.9611,49413,573,977406,844,944Form
8Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261149.2828,50632,761,315409,139,479Form
9Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell6022026975.632,5612,498,589375,132,698Form
10Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell6022026960.3837,43935,955,527371,727,080Form
11Gomo, Steven JDirectSell5132026787.032,0001,574,07013,488,993Form
12Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell5052026534.307,6014,061,20735,919,321Form
13Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell5052026536.2640,00021,450,555227,645,622Form
14Cordano, Michael DEVP, Worldwide SalesDirectSell4162026435.003,4071,482,04519,165,665Form
15Cordano, Michael DEVP, Worldwide SalesDirectSell4132026420.813,4071,433,70019,974,167Form
16Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell4032026347.3940,00013,895,76243,680,285Form
17Sadana, SumitEVP and Chief Business OfficerDirectSell2042026429.8925,00010,747,266106,621,911Form
18Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell1292026409.6812,2685,025,98730,593,056Form
19Bhatia, Manish HEVP, Global OperationsDirectSell1262026391.0426,62310,410,771126,497,342Form
20Liu, Teyin MDirectBuy1152026337.2211,6003,911,7118,737,280Form
21Liu, Teyin MDirectBuy1152026337.0711,6003,910,0124,823,472Form
22Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell12232025277.0915,0004,156,35045,891,092Form
23Gomo, Steven JDirectSell12232025263.635,0001,318,1505,045,615Form
24Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell11102025233.393,743873,56792,556,142Form
25Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell11102025241.348,7572,113,44196,614,699Form
26Murphy, Mark JEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell11032025225.31126,00028,389,11149,499,119Form
27Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10312025225.2310,6022,387,88092,136,303Form
28Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10312025230.5311,8982,742,85196,749,014Form
29Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10292025220.7222,5004,966,22998,569,265Form
30Deboer, Scott JEVP, CTO and Products OfficerDirectSell10292025222.8182,00018,270,42034,345,047Form
31Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10222025203.1219,7614,013,78595,277,467Form
32Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10222025211.192,739578,443103,236,800Form
33Allen, Scott RCVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10212025210.028,8001,848,1768,450,575Form
34Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell10202025201.633,682742,38420,581,914Form
35Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025188.4721,5634,064,02951,386,600Form
36Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025194.4410,8002,099,96457,206,722Form
37Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025190.515,137978,62858,106,358Form
38Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10032025180.8615,0002,712,86656,092,658Form
39Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell10022025164.0415,0002,460,60021,584,383Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
DCF Advisers, LLC$50.7 Mil19.1%72TRIM -10.3%13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%13F
Tensor Edge Capital, LLC$78.8 Mil13.5%17ADD +16.6%13F
Oak Grove Capital LLC$75.2 Mil12.9%82Hold13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$85.3 Mil9.6%7New13F
Horiko Capital Management LLC$41.5 Mil9.6%20Hold13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$88.3 Mil9.6%44New13F
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
KCM Capital Inc$50.7 Mil9.5%31ADD +66.7%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
California First Leasing Corp$27.7 Mil8.9%39Hold13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$42.1 Mil8.1%32TRIM -51.3%13F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%13F
Headwater Capital Co Ltd$36.1 Mil5.8%15ADD +37.2%13F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$15.2 Mil5.8%28Hold13F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%13F
Crosslink Capital Inc$56.6 Mil5.5%21Hold13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$16.6 Mil5.0%37ADD +13.8%13F
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.$21.9 Mil4.8%36ADD +56.3%13F
Ravenswood Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.4%35TRIM -39.9%13F
E20 Capital Ltd$44.6 Mil4.2%22New13F
FFG Partners, LLC$9.7 Mil3.9%35New13F
Element Capital Management LLC$9.8 Mil3.8%34New13F
Valueworks LLC$13.0 Mil3.6%35TRIM -60.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$88.3 Mil9.6%44New13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$85.3 Mil9.6%7New13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$64.9 Mil2.3%20New13F
E20 Capital Ltd$44.6 Mil4.2%22New13F
Element Capital Management LLC$9.8 Mil3.8%34New13F
FFG Partners, LLC$9.7 Mil3.9%35New13F
KCM Capital Inc$50.7 Mil9.5%31ADD +66.7%13F
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.$21.9 Mil4.8%36ADD +56.3%13F
Headwater Capital Co Ltd$36.1 Mil5.8%15ADD +37.2%13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
Tensor Edge Capital, LLC$78.8 Mil13.5%17ADD +16.6%13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$16.6 Mil5.0%37ADD +13.8%13F
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC$62.4 Mil1.3%47ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$36.0 Mil1.9%48ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP$22.8 Mil4.0%24ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Alta Park Capital, LP$15.5 Mil1.9%34ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$12.6 Mil1.8%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Overbrook Management Corp$12.1 Mil2.1%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd$11.4 Mil1.1%44ExitedDec 31, 202513F
MIG Capital, LLC$10.6 Mil1.8%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$9.3 Mil1.3%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$5.8 Mil0.9%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$16.9 Mil3.0%28TRIM -66.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$146.0 Mil3.3%40TRIM -61.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Valueworks LLC$13.0 Mil3.6%35TRIM -60.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Analog Century Management LP$48.7 Mil2.3%25TRIM -60.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$42.1 Mil8.1%32TRIM -51.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.1 Mil2.6%31TRIM -42.0%Mar 31, 202613F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Ravenswood Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.4%35TRIM -39.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Thames Capital Management LLC$17.0 Mil3.0%43TRIM -31.1%Mar 31, 202613F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%Mar 31, 202613F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%Mar 31, 202613F
DCF Advisers, LLC$50.7 Mil19.1%72TRIM -10.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$146.0 Mil3.3%40TRIM -61.1%13F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%13F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$88.3 Mil9.6%44New13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$85.3 Mil9.6%7New13F
Tensor Edge Capital, LLC$78.8 Mil13.5%17ADD +16.6%13F
Oak Grove Capital LLC$75.2 Mil12.9%82Hold13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$64.9 Mil2.3%20New13F
Crosslink Capital Inc$56.6 Mil5.5%21Hold13F
DCF Advisers, LLC$50.7 Mil19.1%72TRIM -10.3%13F
KCM Capital Inc$50.7 Mil9.5%31ADD +66.7%13F
Analog Century Management LP$48.7 Mil2.3%25TRIM -60.0%13F
E20 Capital Ltd$44.6 Mil4.2%22New13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$42.1 Mil8.1%32TRIM -51.3%13F
Horiko Capital Management LLC$41.5 Mil9.6%20Hold13F
Headwater Capital Co Ltd$36.1 Mil5.8%15ADD +37.2%13F
California First Leasing Corp$27.7 Mil8.9%39Hold13F
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.$21.9 Mil4.8%36ADD +56.3%13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.1 Mil2.6%31TRIM -42.0%13F
Thames Capital Management LLC$17.0 Mil3.0%43TRIM -31.1%13F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$16.9 Mil3.0%28TRIM -66.7%13F

MU Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Micron is capitalizing on a multi-year, AI-driven memory shortage to fundamentally change its business model. The company has secured approximately $100 billion in minimum revenue through binding, take-or-pay customer agreements. These contracts lock in floor prices that ensure profitability well above any prior cycle peak, providing unprecedented visibility and insulating the business from historical volatility.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Cyclical Manufacturer with emerging long-term contractual visibility

(Bit Shipments) x (Average Selling Price per Bit) Mix shift towards high-value, high-margin products like HBM and data center SSDs, combined with strong pricing power in a supply-constrained market.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Has Micron permanently broken its historical boom-bust cycle?

Evidence suggests a structural business model shift is underway, converting a historic demand cycle into durable, high-margin contractual revenue.

Mechanism: Securing multi-year, take-or-pay Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) with binding volumes and price floors, locking in a baseline of high-margin revenue through 2030.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Signed 14 SCAs with ~$100 billion in cumulative minimum revenue.
  • SCA floor prices yield gross margins 'well above our peak quarterly margins'.
  • Management expects supply to remain tight beyond calendar 2027.
  • The High-Bandwidth Memory market is forecast to grow at a ~40% CAGR through 2028.
  • The company's entire calendar 2026 HBM supply is under contract.
PRIMARY RISK
A classic cyclical peak.

Massive industry-wide investment in new capacity, driven by today's record prices, could create a future supply glut that overwhelms demand and breaks the new contract structures.

Mechanism: A slowdown in data center spending by key hyperscale customers, which would be visible in peer NVIDIA's guidance.
Supporting Evidence:
  • A majority of DRAM production in 2026 was from facilities in Taiwan.
  • Competitors are also planning to construct new fabrication facilities.
  • The company faces intense competition from large, state-supported rivals.
  • Expanding manufacturing in the U.S. may introduce new execution challenges.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Revenue Growth379.3% year-over-year growth in the latest reported quarter ended 9/30/2026 - AcceleratingThe company is experiencing hyper-acceleration in its top-line growth. The consistent and significant increase in the year-over-year growth rate points to a powerful, sustained demand cycle rather than a short-term spike.
Growth Composition (Bit Shipments vs. Average Selling Prices)Not applicable; this is a qualitative analysis of growth drivers.Not applicable
DRAM Bit Shipments Growth (Sequential)low-single-digit percentage range increase (Q3 FY2026)Indicates the volume growth of DRAM products, a key component of revenue alongside price. In a supply-constrained environment, this reflects the company's ability to maximize output.
NAND Bit Shipments Growth (Sequential)mid-single-digit percentage range increase (Q3 FY2026)Indicates the volume growth of NAND products. Strong growth signals robust demand and successful ramp of new technology nodes.
DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) Growth (Sequential)mid-80% range increase (Q3 FY2026)Measures the change in price per bit for DRAM. Strong positive growth indicates significant pricing power and a tight market, directly boosting revenue and margins.
Core Investment Debate

Contractual Fortitude vs. Cyclical Gravity

BULL VIEW

The new take-or-pay SCAs, backed by $22 billion in customer deposits, create a durable revenue floor that will cushion the next downturn.

CORE TENSION

Can the new ~$100B contractual backlog offset the historical cyclicality that saw a significant operating loss in fiscal 2023?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The binding, take-or-pay structure and significant customer financial commitments suggest the contracts are more resilient than past agreements, favoring the bull view.

BEAR VIEW

In a severe industry downturn, customers will default on or aggressively renegotiate these agreements, proving the business is still fundamentally cyclical.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
11/17/2026
Peer Demand Signal
Watch: NVDA's data center revenue growth and forward guidance for any signs of slowing AI infrastructure spending.
12/15/2026
Margin Trajectory Confirmation
Watch: Q2 2027 gross margin guidance and management commentary on pricing, mix, and start-up costs for new capacity.
12/15/2026
Next Earnings Report
Watch: The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings for Q1 fiscal 2027.
No set date
Patent Litigation Appeal
Watch: A ruling from the Federal Circuit on the validity of the patents, which would directly impact the enforceability of the verdict.
No set date
New Trade Restrictions
Watch: Announcements of new tariffs, export controls, or other trade actions by the U.S. or foreign governments impacting semiconductors.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-09-30
Reports Record Q4 and FY26
Details:
+3.0%
$1065.08 -> $1097.39
2026-08-24
Opens Boise Training Center
Details: Micron opened a new 60,000-square-foot training center in Boise to strengthen the skilled talent pipeline and support advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
-3.5%
$966.78 -> $932.97
2026-07-30
Analyst Upgrades Amid Stock Decline
Details: Following a stock decline of approximately 26%, an analyst note upgraded the rating, citing robust fundamentals including approximately $100B in strategic customer agreements.
+11.4%
$739.00 -> $823.03
2026-06-24
Reports Record Q3 Results
Details: The company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.46 billion, up from $9.30 billion for the same period last year. The stock had a two-day reaction of +15.0%.
+15.4%
$1051.61 -> $1213.37
2026-05-22
Virginia Fab Manufacturing Expansion
Details: The company started manufacturing of 1α (1-alpha) DRAM, described as the most advanced memory ever produced in the United States, at its Manassas, Virginia, fab.
+17.6%
$761.98 -> $895.74
2026-04-10
Analyst Upgrades Rating to Buy
Details: An analyst note upgraded the stock to 'Buy' due to strong operational momentum and execution, noting a 196% YoY revenue increase and record gross margins.
+1.2%
$421.45 -> $426.49
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 2%

MINIMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: MU trades at roughly 75% annualized realized (three-month) volatility versus about 11% for the S&P 500 (6.8x the market). A 1% - 2% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA
AI Ecosystem Leader

Offers fabless, higher-margin exposure to the AI data center theme, designing the core processors that drive demand for Micron's memory.

Core Thesis: Dominates the AI accelerator market, providing the foundational platform for the entire generative AI buildout.
WDC - Western Digital
Value Storage Play

Provides exposure to the storage market with a different product focus.

Core Thesis: A more traditional storage provider competing in a market where Micron is gaining share with high-performance data center SSDs.
How Is The Market Pricing MU?

A strategically vital arms dealer in the AI revolution, whose supply-constrained, high-performance memory has become a non-negotiable asset for data center build-outs.

Micron has transitioned from a cyclical commodity producer to a strategic enabler of the AI era. Its technology leadership in high-performance memory like HBM is critical for AI accelerators, creating a structural demand-supply imbalance. This leverage has allowed Micron to fundamentally transform its business model by signing multi-year, take-or-pay Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) that provide unprecedented revenue visibility and a high floor on profitability, insulating it from historical boom-bust cycles.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of additional large, multi-year SCAs; continued commentary on supply tightness extending further into the future; successful, high-volume ramps of next-generation technology nodes like 1-delta.

What will damage the thesis

A significant slowdown in AI data center capital expenditures; evidence of competitors rapidly closing the HBM technology gap; or customers successfully pushing back on or exiting SCA commitments.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term fluctuations in PC and smartphone unit sales, as the core investment thesis is overwhelmingly tied to the structural AI-driven data center demand.

Repricing Catalyst

The ongoing signing and financial recognition of Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs), which are fundamentally altering the company's risk profile by providing multi-year revenue and margin visibility.

What MU Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q3 2026
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)
$31.3B TTM (35% of Total) · 67% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory solutions, including High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), DDR, LPDDR, and GDDR, to large hyperscale cloud customers and all data center customers for HBM.

Who Pays & How

Large hyperscale cloud providers pay for memory to build out servers supporting generative AI and cloud workloads. They require increasing quantities of high-performance DRAM like HBM to turn data into insight, a task that is becoming increasingly memory-centric.

Unit sales, increasingly governed by multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) with committed volumes and pricing bands.
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.
Competitors may have larger market share, greater resources, or benefit from government assistance.
Technology leadership with its 1-gamma DRAM node, in-house design and manufacturing of complex products like HBM, and unique packaging and test capabilities enabling industry-leading performance and power efficiency.
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)
$21.2B TTM (23% of Total) · 69% Margin
What It Is

Sells storage solutions (data center SSDs, NAND components) to all data center customers, and memory solutions (DDR5, DDR4) to OEM data center, enterprise, and NeoCloud (AI-focused cloud service providers) customers.

Who Pays & How

Data center OEMs, enterprises, and AI-focused cloud providers pay for high-performance, high-capacity storage to handle the proliferation of AI, cloud computing, and big data. Products like PCIe Gen6 SSDs accelerate AI training and inference workloads.

Unit sales, increasingly governed by multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs).
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.; Kioxia Holdings Corporation
Competitors may have larger scale or operate in jurisdictions with lower costs.
Technology leadership with its G9 NAND node, enabling high-performance products like PCIe Gen6 data center SSDs and high-density QLC NAND SSDs.
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)
$27.2B TTM (30% of Total) · 69% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory and storage solutions (LPDDR, managed NAND, SSDs) for the mobile (smartphones) and client (PCs, workstations) segments, as well as component DRAM and NAND to channel partners.

Who Pays & How

Smartphone and PC OEMs pay for higher-capacity, higher-bandwidth, and lower-power memory to enable on-device AI in their products. AI-ready devices require more DRAM and storage to process data and models locally.

Unit sales, with some business covered by SCAs.
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.
Focus on high-end segments with advanced technology process nodes (1-beta and 1-gamma) for its LPDDR portfolio, which is a critical enabler of AI at the edge.
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)
$10.5B TTM (12% of Total) · 58% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory and storage solutions (DRAM, NAND, NOR, SSDs) for the automotive, industrial, and consumer embedded segments sold into the intelligent edge.

Who Pays & How

Automotive manufacturers and industrial clients pay for high-reliability memory to support autonomous driving, in-vehicle infotainment, robotics, and IoT devices. These applications require high-performance, high-reliability memory for real-time perception, inference, and control.

Unit sales, with some business covered by SCAs.
Competition
A portfolio of high-reliability products tailored for automotive and industrial requirements, including its G9-based automotive NAND and automotive-grade LPDDR5 DRAM.
MU Evolution: Price Return by Era
Through ~2023-2024 · Pre-AI Cyclicality
+69%
The business was organized into broader units like Compute and Networking (CNBU) and Storage (SBU). The company experienced a significant downturn in fiscal 2023, with total operating income turning to a loss, reflecting the historical cyclicality of the memory market.
2025-2026 · The AI Inflection and Business Transformation
+1,091%
The company reorganized into four end-market-focused business units, with a clear emphasis on data center (CMBU, CDBU). The explosion in AI-driven demand created a structural undersupply of high-performance memory, transforming it into a strategic asset. This allowed Micron to pioneer multi-year, take-or-pay Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs), fundamentally changing its business model towards greater stability and profitability, leading to record revenue and operating income in fiscal 2026.
Market Appears To Be Cautiously Supportive
Price structure is strongly bullish. The regime, trend, and proximity to highs all point towards intact institutional trend. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
+4
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Trending Up · - ▾
2 Momentum Mixed ▾
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Outperformance ▾
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Neutral / Mixed ▾
5 Volatility Compressed ▾
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling ▾
7 Earnings Reaction History Diminishing Reward ▾
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/11/2026