KLA (KLAC)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $201.15 | Market Cap: $262.8 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

KLA (KLAC)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $201.15
Market Cap: $262.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 42%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 6.2 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, Advanced Materials, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%

Key risks
KLAC key risks include [1] its substantial revenue from China being threatened by U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 42%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 6.2 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, Advanced Materials, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
6 Key risks
KLAC key risks include [1] its substantial revenue from China being threatened by U.S. Show more.

KLAC in ETFs

Weight = KLAC's share of each fund

SPY0.39%
VOO0.61%
IVV0.38%
VTI0.56%
ITOT0.35%
QQQ1.1%
QQQM1.1%
IWB0.35%
+40 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/4/2026

KLA (KLAC) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Guidance.

KLA Corporation reported strong results for its fiscal fourth quarter 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, surpassing Wall Street's revenue expectations with $3.66 billion, a 15.2% year-over-year increase, against analyst estimates of $3.61 billion. The company also beat non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) estimates by 5.1%, reporting $1.05 per share. Furthermore, KLA provided an optimistic revenue guidance for fiscal Q1 2027 (calendar Q3 2026), projecting a midpoint of $4 billion, which was 1.2% above analysts' estimates.

2. Increased Demand for Semiconductor Process Control Driven by AI Infrastructure.

Management highlighted an acceleration in business momentum, expected to continue through the second half of calendar 2026 and into 2027, largely propelled by the buildout of AI infrastructure. KLA emphasized its critical role in the semiconductor ecosystem, particularly with strong demand for high-end inspection systems vital for advanced packaging and sub-2nm process nodes. The company specifically projected that its advanced packaging revenue would grow more than 70% in calendar year 2026.

Show more
Updated on 8/4/2026

KLA (KLAC) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Guidance.

KLA Corporation reported strong results for its fiscal fourth quarter 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, surpassing Wall Street's revenue expectations with $3.66 billion, a 15.2% year-over-year increase, against analyst estimates of $3.61 billion. The company also beat non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) estimates by 5.1%, reporting $1.05 per share. Furthermore, KLA provided an optimistic revenue guidance for fiscal Q1 2027 (calendar Q3 2026), projecting a midpoint of $4 billion, which was 1.2% above analysts' estimates.

2. Increased Demand for Semiconductor Process Control Driven by AI Infrastructure.

Management highlighted an acceleration in business momentum, expected to continue through the second half of calendar 2026 and into 2027, largely propelled by the buildout of AI infrastructure. KLA emphasized its critical role in the semiconductor ecosystem, particularly with strong demand for high-end inspection systems vital for advanced packaging and sub-2nm process nodes. The company specifically projected that its advanced packaging revenue would grow more than 70% in calendar year 2026.

3. Positive Analyst Reaffirmations and Raised Price Targets.

Following the robust fiscal Q4 2026 results and the positive outlook, numerous analysts reiterated their "Buy" ratings and increased their price targets for KLA. For instance, Cantor Fitzgerald raised its price target to $325 from $250, and JPMorgan elevated its target to $238 from $200, designating KLA as its top semi-cap stock pick. Zacks also upgraded KLA to a "Strong-Buy" rating, reflecting growing confidence in the company's future performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.7% change in KLAC stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268112026Change
Stock Price ($)174.81200.4714.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,09713,5793.7%
Net Income Margin (%)35.7%35.6%-0.2%
P/E Multiple49.054.210.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,3091,3070.2%
Cumulative Contribution14.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KLAC14.7% 
Market (SPY)7.2%62.3%
Sector (XLK)16.7%78.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 40.8% change in KLAC stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268112026Change
Stock Price ($)142.43200.4740.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,74513,5796.6%
Net Income Margin (%)35.8%35.6%-0.5%
P/E Multiple41.054.232.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,3131,3070.5%
Cumulative Contribution40.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KLAC40.8% 
Market (SPY)11.7%61.5%
Sector (XLK)29.5%77.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 129.5% change in KLAC stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258112026Change
Stock Price ($)87.34200.47129.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,55013,57917.6%
Net Income Margin (%)32.0%35.6%11.2%
P/E Multiple31.354.273.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,3261,3071.5%
Cumulative Contribution129.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KLAC129.5% 
Market (SPY)22.9%59.7%
Sector (XLK)42.2%73.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 300.1% change in KLAC stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 175.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238112026Change
Stock Price ($)50.11200.47300.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,62813,57927.8%
Net Income Margin (%)33.0%35.6%7.8%
P/E Multiple19.754.2175.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,3791,3075.5%
Cumulative Contribution300.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
KLAC300.1% 
Market (SPY)74.3%64.6%
Sector (XLK)112.6%77.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
KLAC Return68%-11%56%9%94%59%688%
Peers Return66%-39%74%-2%51%85%381%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KLAC Win Rate75%42%67%42%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate68%33%65%48%62%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KLAC Max Drawdown-19%-40%-16%-31%-26%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-53%-24%-37%-44%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMAT, LRCX, ONTO, VECO, MKSI. See KLAC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventKLACS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-22.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven318 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven19 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven213 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven40 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven37 days105 days

Compare to AMAT, LRCX, ONTO, VECO, MKSI

In The Past

KLA's stock fell -25.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventKLACS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven39 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-22.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven318 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven213 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven40 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven37 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-22.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven57 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven54 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.2%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.8%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven89 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-68.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven220.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven810 days1085 days

Compare to AMAT, LRCX, ONTO, VECO, MKSI

In The Past

KLA's stock fell -25.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About KLA (KLAC)

KLA Corporation (KLAC) is a leading technology provider for the global semiconductor and related nanoelectronics industries. The company specializes in designing, manufacturing, and marketing advanced process control and yield management solutions. Essentially, KLA's sophisticated tools and software enable chip manufacturers to detect, analyze, and manage defects and inefficiencies throughout the intricate semiconductor fabrication process, thereby improving chip quality and maximizing production yield.

KLA's extensive product portfolio addresses various critical stages of manufacturing. For chip and wafer production, they provide essential defect inspection and review systems, precise metrology solutions, in-situ process monitoring, computational lithography software, and data analytics systems. Beyond core chip manufacturing, KLA also offers solutions for reticle (mask) manufacturing and advanced packaging processes, including wafer inspection, die sorting, and integrated circuit component inspection. Their primary customers include semiconductor chip manufacturers, mask shops, and companies operating in emerging sectors such as compound semiconductors, power devices, LEDs, and data storage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

KLA is like the ASML of quality control and yield management for the semiconductor industry, providing the essential inspection and metrology tools that ensure chips are made perfectly.

KLA is like GE Healthcare for semiconductor factories, but instead of diagnosing human health, they provide the advanced diagnostic and inspection systems that ensure the quality and efficiency of chip manufacturing.

KLA is like Palantir for chip factories, but instead of analyzing intelligence data for governments, they analyze manufacturing data to find defects, optimize processes, and improve the yield of complex semiconductors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Defect Inspection and Review Systems: Systems designed to identify and analyze defects on semiconductor wafers and chips.
  • Metrology Solutions: Tools providing precise measurements of critical dimensions and features during semiconductor manufacturing.
  • In Situ Process Monitoring Products: Systems that offer real-time monitoring of manufacturing processes within the production environment.
  • Computational Lithography Software: Software used to optimize the lithography process for creating patterns on wafers.
  • Data Analytics Systems: Solutions that process and analyze manufacturing data to enhance yield and process control across semiconductor fabrication.
  • Wafer Processing Systems: Equipment utilized for various stages of semiconductor wafer fabrication, including advanced packaging.
  • Die Sorting and Inspection Systems: Solutions for inspecting and accurately sorting individual semiconductor dies.
  • IC Component Inspection and Metrology Systems: Systems for inspecting and measuring integrated circuit components at various stages.
  • Reticle Inspection Systems: Specialized systems for inspecting photomasks, known as reticles, used in semiconductor lithography.
  • Support and Other Services: Comprehensive services including installation, maintenance, training, and technical support for their product lines.

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Major Customers of KLA Corporation (KLAC)

KLA Corporation primarily sells its process control and yield management solutions to other companies within the semiconductor and related nanoelectronics industries, rather than to individuals. While KLA does not publicly disclose the names of individual major customers due to the competitive nature of the industry and the fact that no single customer accounts for more than 10% of its total revenues, its customer base consists of leading companies across key segments of the semiconductor supply chain. The major categories of companies that purchase KLA's products and services include:
  • Integrated Device Manufacturers (IDMs): These are companies that design, manufacture, and sell their own integrated circuits.
    • Examples: Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC), Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU), Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ: TXN)
  • Foundries: Companies that specialize in manufacturing integrated circuits for other fabless semiconductor companies.
    • Examples: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE: TSM), GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS), United Microelectronics Corporation (NYSE: UMC)
  • Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test (OSAT) Companies: Firms that provide packaging and testing services for semiconductors manufactured by other companies.
    • Examples: ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE: ASX), Amkor Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMKR)
  • Mask Shops: Companies that produce photomasks, which are critical components used in the photolithography process for manufacturing integrated circuits. These are often divisions of major foundries/IDMs or specialized independent entities.
  • Manufacturers in Related Nanoelectronics Industries: This broader category includes companies involved in the production of compound semiconductors, power devices, light-emitting diodes (LEDs), microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), data storage media/heads, and other advanced electronic components.

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Rick Wallace, President and Chief Executive Officer

Rick Wallace joined KLA Instruments in 1988 as an applications engineer and has held various general management positions throughout his tenure, becoming CEO in 2006. His prior experience includes positions at Procter & Gamble and Cypress Semiconductor. Mr. Wallace has served on the Board of Directors for companies such as Marvell Technology, Splunk, Proofpoint, NetApp, SEMI, and Beckman Coulter. He once led the initiative to start a new business within KLA.

Bren Higgins, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Bren Higgins joined KLA in 1999 and has held numerous roles within the company, including multiple division controller assignments, group controller for KLA's largest business group, senior director of financial planning and analysis, and Vice President of corporate finance. He is responsible for KLA's worldwide finance and accounting, global manufacturing, logistics and supply chain operations, business development (including mergers and acquisitions), workplace services, IT, and investor relations.

Ahmad Khan, President, Semiconductor Products and Customers

Ahmad Khan joined KLA in 2004 (or 2003) in business development and has since moved into management roles for multiple product divisions. This includes serving as general manager of the Optical Films Metrology division and Group Vice President for the Patterning Division. Before joining KLA, Mr. Khan spent nine years at Applied Materials in various project engineering and management positions.

Ben Tsai, Chief Technical Officer and Executive Vice President, Corporate Alliances

Ben Tsai has over 35 years of experience at KLA, having held a wide range of technology and leadership roles, including Vice President and general manager of the wafer inspection division. He was named Chief Technology Officer in 1994. Prior to his current role, he served as Senior Vice President of technology at Tokyo Electron Limited. Mr. Tsai holds approximately 50 patents in inspection and metrology.

John Van Camp, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Before joining KLA, John Van Camp held a variety of leadership positions in human resources. His previous roles include manager at General Electric and Vice President of Human Resources at Gap Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to KLA Corporation (KLAC) are:
  1. Geopolitical Risks and Export Controls

    KLA Corporation faces significant geopolitical risks, particularly from evolving U.S. government export controls and trade tensions. These include regulations from the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) of the U.S. Department of Commerce, which can disrupt KLA's business and limit its access to certain markets, especially China. Trade disputes, tariffs, and potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries could increase production costs, disrupt supply chains, and negatively impact demand for KLA's products, leading to order cancellations and financial losses.

  2. Supply Chain Disruptions and Dependence on Limited Suppliers

    The company is vulnerable to supply chain disruptions, including shortages of raw materials or components. KLA has faced challenges in managing its supply chain, and for certain critical parts, it relies on a single supplier or a limited group of suppliers. Such dependencies can lead to delays in product delivery, impact customer satisfaction, and disrupt KLA's production processes, affecting revenues.

  3. Intense Competition and Cyclicality of the Semiconductor Industry

    The semiconductor equipment market is highly competitive, with several well-established players. This intense competition can exert pressure on KLA's market share and profit margins. Additionally, the semiconductor industry is cyclical, meaning that fluctuations in capital spending on semiconductor equipment can introduce uncertainty and variability in demand for KLA's products and services.

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KLA Corporation (KLAC) operates in several significant addressable markets related to semiconductor manufacturing process control and yield management.

Semiconductor Process Control Equipment Market

The global market for semiconductor process control equipment, a primary area for KLA, was valued at approximately USD 10.34 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 16.60 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.10%. Other estimates for this market include USD 7.58 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 13.05 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 7.03%, and USD 8.57 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 12.93 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 6.05%. In the U.S. specifically, the semiconductor process control equipment market was valued at USD 1.32 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.30 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 7.21%. KLA holds a leading market share of around 56% in process control.

Semiconductor Metrology and Inspection Equipment Market

This market, which includes defect inspection and review systems and metrology solutions crucial to KLA's offerings, had a global market size estimated between USD 8.98 billion and USD 9.8 billion in 2024, with projections to grow to between USD 16.21 billion by 2033 and USD 18.7 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 6.9%. In 2025, the global market size is estimated between USD 13.03 billion and USD 14.92 billion, with projections to reach between USD 16.95 billion by 2030 and USD 27.56 billion by 2034. The U.S. market for semiconductor metrology and inspection was valued at over USD 2.6 billion in 2024.

Wafer Inspection Equipment Market

For wafer inspection equipment, a core product area for KLA, the global market size was estimated at USD 5.72 billion in 2024, is estimated to reach USD 6.23 billion in 2025, and is expected to grow to USD 9.22 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 8.15% during the forecast period (2025-2030). Another source estimates the global market at USD 4.9 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 13.3 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 10.6%.

Semiconductor Defect Inspection Equipment Market

The global semiconductor defect inspection equipment market was valued at USD 6.14 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 6.59 billion in 2026 to USD 13.41 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.03%.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for KLA Corporation (KLAC)

  • Demand for AI Infrastructure: KLA Corporation is significantly benefiting from the increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure across all major wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) growth markets. The company's management and analysts consistently highlight AI as a primary driver of outsized growth in the semiconductor industry, directly impacting KLA's revenue.
  • Growth in Advanced Packaging: Advanced packaging solutions represent a substantial and rapidly growing revenue stream for KLA. The company has reported significant year-over-year growth in advanced packaging revenue for 2024 and 2025, with projections indicating continued strong momentum in the mid-to-high teens for 2026. This growth is driven by the increasing complexity of semiconductor designs and customer interest in applying front-end capabilities to packaging.
  • Increasing Process Control Intensity for Advanced Logic and Smaller Nodes: As semiconductor manufacturing progresses to more advanced nodes, such as 2nm and beyond, the "process control intensity" required per wafer increases significantly. KLA's leadership in process control, inspection, and metrology solutions positions it to capitalize on this trend, as these technologies become even more critical for managing yield in complex chip fabrication processes for advanced logic and high-bandwidth memory (HBM).
  • Consistent Growth of the Services Business: KLA's services business has demonstrated a track record of continuous year-over-year growth, contributing a predictable and recurring revenue stream. This segment provides ongoing maintenance, optimization, and support for KLA's extensive installed base of equipment, further enhancing customer success and securing revenue independent of the cyclical nature of equipment sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • KLA's Board of Directors approved a new $7 billion share repurchase program in March 2026, adding to an existing $5 billion program announced in April 2025 which had $3.94 billion remaining as of December 31, 2025.
  • The company's annual share repurchases amounted to $2.15 billion in 2025, $1.736 billion in 2024, and $1.312 billion in 2023.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ending in September 2025), KLA repurchased $545 million worth of shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • KLA Corporation is characterized by an "extremely asset-light" business model, with capital expenditures typically around 3% of revenue, which is noted as the lowest in the semiconductor equipment industry.
  • The company's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were $100.4 million.
  • KLA outsources most of its hardware manufacturing, focusing its capital on optical system design, software development, and system integration.

Better Bets vs. KLA (KLAC)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KLACAMATLRCXONTOVECOMKSIMedian
NameKLA Applied .Lam Rese.Onto Inn.Veeco In.MKS  
Mkt Price200.47525.61311.41319.7950.16294.38302.89
Mkt Cap261.9417.3389.715.83.019.9140.9
Rev LTM13,57929,02423,2331,1206554,3478,963
Op Inc LTM5,6618,7458,200155307263,193
FCF LTM3,7675,3434,891252434552,111
FCF 3Y Avg3,5156,0034,854225434711,993
CFO LTM4,1437,9935,858266576352,389
CFO 3Y Avg3,8457,7685,561251636032,224

Growth & Margins

KLACAMATLRCXONTOVECOMKSIMedian
NameKLA Applied .Lam Rese.Onto Inn.Veeco In.MKS  
Rev Chg LTM11.7%3.3%26.0%8.1%-7.7%16.3%9.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.7%2.9%11.7%7.9%0.8%4.7%6.3%
Rev Chg Q15.2%11.4%30.0%35.3%-5.4%28.3%21.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%2.9%7.2%8.7%-1.3%6.8%5.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM12.9%5.0%39.0%-25.1%-65.8%33.9%8.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg13.9%4.0%19.6%-1.3%-2.1%15.5%9.0%
Op Mgn LTM41.7%30.1%35.3%13.8%4.6%16.7%23.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg40.0%29.6%32.0%17.1%9.6%14.8%23.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.4%1.0%1.6%-2.2%1.7%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM30.5%27.5%25.2%23.8%8.8%14.6%24.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.6%27.9%30.0%24.6%9.2%15.6%26.3%
FCF/Rev LTM27.7%18.4%21.1%22.5%6.5%10.5%19.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg29.8%21.7%26.3%22.0%6.3%12.2%21.8%

Valuation

KLACAMATLRCXONTOVECOMKSIMedian
NameKLA Applied .Lam Rese.Onto Inn.Veeco In.MKS  
Mkt Cap261.9417.3389.715.83.019.9140.9
P/S19.314.416.814.14.64.614.2
P/Op Inc46.347.747.5102.2101.627.447.6
P/EBIT44.539.246.3102.295.729.245.4
P/E54.249.153.6119.2131.145.253.9
P/CFO63.252.266.559.452.831.356.1
Total Yield2.2%2.4%2.2%0.8%0.8%2.5%2.2%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%2.8%2.8%2.6%2.3%4.8%2.7%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.2-0.0

Returns

KLACAMATLRCXONTOVECOMKSIMedian
NameKLA Applied .Lam Rese.Onto Inn.Veeco In.MKS  
1M Rtn-13.4%-12.8%-11.1%-0.5%-12.6%-20.1%-12.7%
3M Rtn10.8%22.0%7.7%15.1%-18.4%-5.5%9.3%
6M Rtn40.5%60.1%37.7%46.9%59.4%16.8%43.7%
12M Rtn121.7%187.2%207.0%205.6%110.2%201.5%194.3%
3Y Rtn329.3%288.0%390.7%190.7%67.3%220.0%254.0%
1M Excs Rtn-12.6%-11.5%-8.4%2.3%-12.9%-19.2%-12.1%
3M Excs Rtn4.5%14.4%1.0%7.0%-22.3%-12.1%2.8%
6M Excs Rtn28.6%48.4%25.1%38.4%53.4%6.7%33.5%
12M Excs Rtn99.6%165.4%186.8%189.9%91.5%176.9%171.2%
3Y Excs Rtn241.6%197.2%290.7%97.5%5.1%127.6%162.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Semiconductor Process Control10,9478,7349,3247,9255,735
Printed Circuit Boards (PCB) and Component Inspection622552632832813
Specialty Semiconductor Process587529543457369
Effects of changes in foreign currency exchange rates-0-3-3-22
Total12,1569,81210,4969,2126,919


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$200.47 
Market Cap ($ Bil)262.4 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-33.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$221.60$165.23
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.5%21.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility85.9%59.8%
Downside Capture461.93305.54
Upside Capture429.69330.40
Correlation (SPY)62.4%60.9%
KLAC Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.634.003.963.032.772.03
Up Beta6.334.404.683.332.601.92
Down Beta-0.521.581.661.601.951.64
Up Capture43%656%648%587%1136%4090%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days8233269147429
Down Capture660%361%353%231%176%112%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14203157105324

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KLAC
KLAC121.2%59.7%1.56-
Sector ETF (XLK)40.7%25.9%1.2873.7%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.8%1.2860.4%
Gold (GLD)28.2%28.4%0.8627.1%
Commodities (DBC)37.4%20.1%1.47-3.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.8%0.613.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.9%-1.2825.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KLAC
KLAC43.5%46.1%0.93-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.2%25.8%0.7077.9%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.6068.0%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.6%0.8216.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.6%0.3611.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.0030.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%52.8%0.3926.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with KLAC
KLAC40.9%43.2%0.94-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.4%24.9%0.8977.3%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7369.4%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.6112.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.0%0.3517.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1839.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.4%66.1%0.9920.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-3.3%
Average Daily Volume12.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,306.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-10.8%2.4% 
4/29/2026-3.6%0.0%5.9%
1/29/2026-15.2%-21.0%-8.8%
10/29/2025-1.7%-0.7%-6.2%
7/31/20250.9%3.8%-0.6%
4/30/2025-3.8%-1.2%8.0%
1/30/2025-0.6%2.6%-6.7%
10/30/2024-3.7%-3.2%-6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131715
# Negative1289
Median Positive3.7%4.0%8.0%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.2%-6.2%
Max Positive9.0%15.7%33.9%
Max Negative-15.2%-21.0%-11.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-10.8%2.4% 
4/29/2026-3.6%0.0%5.9%
1/29/2026-15.2%-21.0%-8.8%
10/29/2025-1.7%-0.7%-6.2%
7/31/20250.9%3.8%-0.6%
4/30/2025-3.8%-1.2%8.0%
1/30/2025-0.6%2.6%-6.7%
10/30/2024-3.7%-3.2%-6.2%
7/24/20240.9%8.9%5.8%
4/25/20244.9%1.4%16.0%
1/25/2024-6.6%-6.6%6.8%
10/25/20230.7%4.8%22.5%
7/27/20235.9%4.1%0.1%
4/26/20237.6%5.8%21.9%
1/26/2023-6.9%-3.4%-11.3%
10/26/20220.8%2.0%24.5%
7/28/20223.7%7.4%-2.6%
4/28/2022-4.1%0.2%11.9%
1/27/20221.3%3.3%-3.4%
10/27/20214.3%15.6%17.4%
7/29/20219.0%10.7%7.7%
4/29/2021-3.4%-3.2%-2.6%
2/3/20212.8%4.0%3.6%
10/28/20206.0%15.7%33.9%
8/3/2020-1.3%-2.2%0.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131715
# Negative1289
Median Positive3.7%4.0%8.0%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.2%-6.2%
Max Positive9.0%15.7%33.9%
Max Negative-15.2%-21.0%-11.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-K
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202501/30/202610-Q
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-K
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202401/31/202510-Q
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-K
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202301/26/202410-Q
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-K
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202201/27/202310-Q
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-K
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202501/30/202610-Q
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-K
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202401/31/202510-Q
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-K
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202301/26/202410-Q
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-K
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202201/27/202310-Q
09/30/202210/28/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-K
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202101/28/202210-Q
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-K
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/04/202110-Q
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202008/10/202010-K
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/05/202010-Q
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/29/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 7/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Revenue3.80 Bil4.00 Bil4.20 Bil11.9% Higher NewGuidance: 3.58 Bil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Gross Margin60.6%61.6%62.6% 0.9%Higher NewGuidance: 60.72% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Gross Margin61.5%62.5%63.5% 0.8%Higher NewGuidance: 61.75% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 GAAP Diluted EPS1.041.141.24-88.2% Lower NewGuidance: 9.66 for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS1.061.161.26-88.2% Lower NewGuidance: 9.87 for Q4 2026

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Revenue3.38 Bil3.58 Bil3.77 Bil6.7% Higher NewGuidance: 3.35 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 GAAP Gross Margin59.72%60.72%61.72% 0.1%Higher NewGuidance: 60.62% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin60.75%61.75%62.75% 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 61.75% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS8.669.6610.79.2% Higher NewGuidance: 8.85 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS8.879.8710.98.7% Higher NewGuidance: 9.08 for Q3 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 1/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Revenue3.20 Bil3.35 Bil3.50 Bil3.9% Higher NewGuidance: 3.23 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 GAAP Gross Margin59.62%60.62%61.62% -0.2%Lower NewGuidance: 60.8% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin60.75%61.75%62.75% -0.2%Lower NewGuidance: 62.0% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS8.078.859.634.6% Higher NewGuidance: 8.46 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS8.39.089.864.4% Higher NewGuidance: 8.7 for Q2 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue3.08 Bil3.23 Bil3.38 Bil2.4% Higher NewGuidance: 3.15 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 GAAP Gross Margin59.8%60.8%61.8% 0.1%Higher NewGuidance: 60.7% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin61.0%62.0%63.0% 0.0%Same NewGuidance: 62.0% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 GAAP Diluted EPS7.688.469.242.2% Higher NewGuidance: 8.28 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS7.928.79.482.0% Higher NewGuidance: 8.53 for Q1 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 8/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8102026197.5721,8314,313,1517,644,582Form
2Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8102026197.572,405475,1562,720,744Form
3Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8052026195.5013,8022,698,2914,322,472Form
4Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8052026195.504,504880,5321,558,614Form
5Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8042026191.594,295822,8796,880,348Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8102026197.5721,8314,313,1517,644,582Form
2Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8102026197.572,405475,1562,720,744Form
3Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8052026195.5013,8022,698,2914,322,472Form
4Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8052026195.504,504880,5321,558,614Form
5Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8042026191.594,295822,8796,880,348Form
6Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8042026191.591,565299,8382,390,363Form
7Higgins, Bren DEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell7062026265.6927,7017,359,87970,001,928Form
8Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell7062026265.6919652,0755,200,900Form
9Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell7022026285.3014,3924,106,03815,225,689Form
10Wallace, Richard PPresident and CEODirectSell61120262213.374,5129,986,725157,997,008Form
11Wallace, Richard PPresident and CEODirectSell51220261794.004,5128,094,528136,155,644Form
12Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell51220261879.02297558,0693,678,165Form
13Hanley, Jeneanne Michelle DirectSell51220261874.715501,031,0886,656,579Form
14Higgins, Bren DEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell121820251237.012,2542,788,22139,775,314Form
15Wallace, Richard PPresident and CEODirectSell111320251203.1010,80312,997,08997,704,964Form
16Khan, Ahmad APresident, Semi. Prod. & Cust.DirectSell9092025900.004,5644,107,60020,527,427Form
17Khan, Ahmad APresident, Semi. Prod. & Cust.DirectSell9022025881.5013,71612,090,65424,128,640Form
18Higgins, Bren DEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell8222025878.532,3012,021,49830,228,812Form
19Lorig, BrianEVP, KLA Global ServicesDirectSell8142025913.688,0497,354,21010,488,138Form
20Wallace, Richard PPresident and CEODirectSell8142025913.6810,8019,868,65884,805,958Form
21Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8122025913.00338308,5942,058,350Form
22Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8082025913.001,022933,0867,123,140Form
23Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8072025917.001,9201,760,6402,203,486Form
24Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8072025917.00511468,5871,069,943Form
25Wilkinson, Mary BethEVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell8052025896.75763684,2205,168,270Form
26Kirloskar, Virendra ASVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8052025896.75320286,9601,906,563Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Uhlmann Price Securities, LLC$1.2 Bil82.1%253New13F
Oaktop Capital Management Ii, L.P.$457.5 Mil34.1%14Hold13F
Harbor Island Capital LLC$20.0 Mil7.4%16Hold13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$73.5 Mil5.6%49TRIM -13.4%13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$252.0 Mil5.4%32TRIM -18.0%13F
Carmel Capital Management L.L.C.$17.6 Mil5.1%25TRIM -11.6%13F
Stockbridge Partners LLC$196.2 Mil4.7%16TRIM -12.9%13F
Jia Investment Alliance PTE. LTD.$43.6 Mil4.6%24Hold13F
Unio Capital LLC$18.4 Mil4.0%21New13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$22.1 Mil3.1%31Hold13F
Tyro Capital Management LLC$9.0 Mil2.3%23New13F
Promethos Capital, LLC$8.2 Mil2.2%46TRIM -5.6%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$70.4 Mil1.8%31New13F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$7.1 Mil1.7%48TRIM -30.6%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$29.3 Mil1.6%49New13F
PineStone Asset Management Inc.$157.6 Mil1.1%44New13F
Artemis Wealth Advisors, LLC$5.3 Mil0.8%44ADD +80.0%13F
Third Point LLC$16.2 Mil0.8%33New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Uhlmann Price Securities, LLC$1.2 Bil82.1%253New13F
PineStone Asset Management Inc.$157.6 Mil1.1%44New13F
Anther Capital Ltd$70.4 Mil1.8%31New13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$29.3 Mil1.6%49New13F
Unio Capital LLC$18.4 Mil4.0%21New13F
Third Point LLC$16.2 Mil0.8%33New13F
Tyro Capital Management LLC$9.0 Mil2.3%23New13F
Artemis Wealth Advisors, LLC$5.3 Mil0.8%44ADD +80.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Dakota Wealth Management$1.1 Bil18.7%773ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Analog Century Management LP$87.1 Mil4.3%24ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Ariose Capital Management Ltd$16.2 Mil5.4%14ExitedDec 31, 202513F
MIG Capital, LLC$5.4 Mil0.9%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$7.1 Mil1.7%48TRIM -30.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$252.0 Mil5.4%32TRIM -18.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Triodos Investment Management BV$73.5 Mil5.6%49TRIM -13.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Stockbridge Partners LLC$196.2 Mil4.7%16TRIM -12.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Carmel Capital Management L.L.C.$17.6 Mil5.1%25TRIM -11.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Promethos Capital, LLC$8.2 Mil2.2%46TRIM -5.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Uhlmann Price Securities, LLC$1.2 Bil82.1%253New13F
Oaktop Capital Management Ii, L.P.$457.5 Mil34.1%14Hold13F
Local Pensions Partnership Investment Ltd$252.0 Mil5.4%32TRIM -18.0%13F
Stockbridge Partners LLC$196.2 Mil4.7%16TRIM -12.9%13F
PineStone Asset Management Inc.$157.6 Mil1.1%44New13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$73.5 Mil5.6%49TRIM -13.4%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$70.4 Mil1.8%31New13F
Jia Investment Alliance PTE. LTD.$43.6 Mil4.6%24Hold13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$29.3 Mil1.6%49New13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$22.1 Mil3.1%31Hold13F
Harbor Island Capital LLC$20.0 Mil7.4%16Hold13F
Unio Capital LLC$18.4 Mil4.0%21New13F
Carmel Capital Management L.L.C.$17.6 Mil5.1%25TRIM -11.6%13F
Third Point LLC$16.2 Mil0.8%33New13F
Tyro Capital Management LLC$9.0 Mil2.3%23New13F
Promethos Capital, LLC$8.2 Mil2.2%46TRIM -5.6%13F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$7.1 Mil1.7%48TRIM -30.6%13F
Artemis Wealth Advisors, LLC$5.3 Mil0.8%44ADD +80.0%13F

KLAC Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

Constructive

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Conviction is constructive due to a clear disconnect between accelerating operational momentum and recent stock performance. KLA's revenue growth is quickening, driven by the AI investment cycle, and its backlog provides high visibility. The market has punished the stock based on a confusing earnings signal that appears to be a data error, creating an opportunity if execution remains solid.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Capital Equipment Manufacturer

Revenue = (Number of new fab lines + Number of existing line upgrades) * (Process Control Intensity per line) + (Installed Base * Service Contract Attach Rate) Mix shift towards the most advanced, highest-margin systems required for leading-edge nodes and new technologies like gate-all-around and HBM, driven by the AI investment cycle.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can AI-driven demand for process control overpower the market's earnings fears?

Evidence suggests KLA's critical role in complex AI chip manufacturing is driving a durable growth acceleration the market is misinterpreting.

Mechanism: Revenue growth is guided to accelerate to approximately 20% in the second half of 2026 over the first half, with gross margins expanding to a guided 62.5%.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Management raised its 2026 wafer equipment market outlook to the low $150 billion range.
  • The company has a stated backlog of approximately $12.5 billion.
  • Latest-quarter revenue growth accelerated to 15.2% year-over-year.
  • Advanced packaging revenue is expected to grow over 70% to in calendar 2026.
PRIMARY RISK
Profitability Mirage

The recent spike in accounts receivable, up 31.1% year-over-year, could signal that strong reported revenue is not converting to cash, indicating potential channel stuffing or collection issues.

Mechanism: A miss on the next quarter's non-GAAP EPS guidance of $1.16 would confirm profitability is deteriorating.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Accounts receivable grew 31.1% YoY, more than double the revenue growth of 15.2%.
  • The stock fell 16.0% in two days following its most recent earnings report.
  • Revenue from China was 33% in fiscal 2025, representing significant geopolitical risk.
  • Management has cited tariff headwinds and a challenging memory pricing environment as margin pressures.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Overall Revenue Growth$3.66 billion in the June 2026 quarter, representing 15.2% year-over-year growth - AcceleratingManagement attributes the accelerating growth to strong investment in AI infrastructure, continued demand in leading-edge foundry/logic, and increasing process control intensity across memory and advanced packaging. The company's guidance for the upcoming September quarter implies further acceleration in its year-over-year growth.
Advanced Packaging Revenue GrowthAn outlook for calendar 2026 revenue of approximately $1.1 billion, representing more than 70% year-over-year growth. - AcceleratingManagement states this growth is almost twice as fast as the overall advanced packaging market, driven by the increasing complexity of AI and high-performance computing packages. This segment is a key part of the company's outperformance narrative.
Services Revenue Growth17% year-over-year (Q4 FY2026)Indicates strong, recurring revenue from a growing installed base and high fab utilization rates, providing a stable and predictable component to the overall revenue mix.
Core Investment Debate

AI Super-Cycle vs. Earnings Quality Scare

BULL VIEW

The AI-driven need for KLA's tools is real and accelerating, evidenced by a $12.5 billion backlog and raised industry outlook. The recent stock drop was an overreaction to a data error.

CORE TENSION

Can accelerating revenue (up 15.2% YoY) and a strong order book overcome fears sparked by accounts receivable growing more than twice as fast as sales?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

The latest forward-looking evidence, including management's guidance for 20% growth in the second half of 2026, favors the view that underlying business momentum remains strong.

BEAR VIEW

The 31.1% surge in accounts receivable is a classic red flag for a cyclical peak, suggesting revenue quality is deteriorating despite strong headline numbers. The market's reaction is prescient.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Sept. 1, 2026
Quarterly Dividend Payment
Watch: The company's next quarterly cash dividend of $0.23 per share is scheduled to be paid.
quarter ending in September
Current Guidance Period Ends
Watch: The company's guidance for Q1 FY2027 covers the quarter ending in September.
Late October 2026
Negative Earnings Surprise
Watch: Actual Q1 EPS versus the new, sharply lower guidance, and any further deterioration in the Q2 outlook.
10/20/2026
Peer-Driven Sentiment Shift
Watch: LRCX earnings report and guidance, specifically commentary on memory market demand, China, and overall WFE outlook.
10/20/2026
Lam Research Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Lam Research (LRCX) is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings.
11/12/2026
Applied Materials Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Applied Materials (AMAT) is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings.
No set date
New China Export Controls
Watch: Announcements from the U.S. Department of Commerce or Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) regarding semiconductor equipment export rules.
October 12
Applied Materials EPIC Center Unveiling
Watch: Peer Applied Materials (AMAT) is scheduled to unveil its new EPIC Center in Sunnyvale, California.
October 13
Applied Materials Investor Presentation
Watch: Peer Applied Materials (AMAT) is scheduled to hold an investor breakfast presentation.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-28
Fourth Quarter Results and Guidance
Details: Reported Q4 revenue of $3.66 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.05. Issued Q1 guidance with a severe -88.2% cut to non-GAAP EPS, triggering a -16.0% stock reaction.
-16.3%
$203.36 -> $170.19
2026-06-11
Stock Split Effected
Details: On June 11, 2026, the company effected a ten-for-one stock split. All share and per-share information has been retroactively adjusted.
+19.2%
$213.56 -> $254.54
2026-05-21
Ten-for-One Stock Split Announced
Details: The company announced its board of directors approved a ten-for-one forward stock split of its common stock.
+3.2%
$182.95 -> $188.84
2026-04-29
Third Quarter Results Reported
Details: For Q3 FY26, total revenues were $3.415 billion, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $9.40, both above the midpoints of guidance.
-3.2%
$180.67 -> $174.81
2026-03-12
Investor Day Announcements
Details: The company announced a new $7 billion share repurchase authorization and a 21% increase in its quarterly dividend to $2.30 per share. March 2026 quarter guidance was reaffirmed.
-3.2%
$146.31 -> $141.68
2026-02-05
Quarterly Dividend Declared
Details: The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.90 per share, payable on March 3, 2026.
+10.4%
$130.39 -> $143.92
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 2%

MINIMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: KLAC trades at roughly 75% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (5.7x the market), around the 92nd percentile of its own trailing year. A 1% - 2% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
AMAT - Applied Materials, Inc.
Diversified Market Leader

Offers broader exposure to the entire wafer fab equipment market beyond process control. Its significantly larger scale in revenue and R&D provides a more integrated portfolio for high-volume customers.

Core Thesis: A bet on the overall growth of the semiconductor equipment market, led by the clear #1 provider in leading-edge foundry logic.
LRCX - Lam Research
Memory Cycle Exposure

Provides more concentrated exposure to the memory segment of the semiconductor market, particularly DRAM and NAND, which has its own distinct cyclical drivers like HBM for AI.

Core Thesis: A play on the memory up-cycle and a direct competitor in etch and deposition processes, with recent wins noted at a key foundry customer.
How Is The Market Pricing KLAC?

KLA is the indispensable quality control gatekeeper for the AI revolution, selling the 'rulers and magnifying glasses' required to manufacture the world's most complex chips.

As semiconductor manufacturing pushes physical limits to power AI, KLA's dominance in process control becomes increasingly critical. Its equipment is essential for ensuring yield and performance in leading-edge logic, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), and advanced packaging. This positions the company to directly benefit from the rising complexity and value of each wafer, making it a key enabler and beneficiary of the entire AI infrastructure build-out.

What will confirm the thesis

News of accelerating wafer fab equipment (WFE) spending, announcements of new leading-edge fab constructions, and reports of increasing process control intensity at major chipmakers.

What will damage the thesis

A slowdown in the transition to next-generation process nodes (e.g., 2-nanometer), significant breakthroughs in process control by a competitor, or a sharp, sustained downturn in semiconductor capital expenditures.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term stock price volatility or minor fluctuations in quarterly geographic revenue mix.

Repricing Catalyst

The accelerating investment in AI infrastructure, which is strengthening demand signals, improving visibility, and driving management to raise its outlook for the wafer equipment market for calendar 2026.

What KLAC Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q3 2026
Semiconductor Process Control
$11.9B TTM (91% of Total)
What It Is

Sells a comprehensive portfolio of inspection, metrology, and software products, along with related services, to integrated circuit, wafer, reticle/mask, and chemical/materials manufacturers. These systems support the entire fabrication process from R&D to high-volume production.

Who Pays & How

The world's leading semiconductor manufacturers pay for these solutions to achieve target yields, accelerate production ramps, and improve profitability by managing nanometric-level product defects in increasingly complex manufacturing processes.

Transactional sales of equipment systems and recurring revenue from service contracts.
Competition
Applied Materials, Inc., ASML Holding N.V., Hitachi High-Technologies Corporation, Onto Innovation, Inc. and Lasertec, Inc.
Some competitors may have greater financial, research, engineering, manufacturing, and marketing resources.
KLA's moat is its leading technology, a result of significant and sustained R&D investment, and deep, long-term relationships with customers, supported by a large global sales and service organization.
Specialty Semiconductor Process
$566M TTM (4% of Total)
What It Is

Sells advanced vacuum deposition and etching process tools to a broad range of specialty semiconductor customers, including manufacturers of microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), radio frequency (RF) communication chips, and power semiconductors.

Who Pays & How

Specialty semiconductor manufacturers pay for these process tools to fabricate devices for specific applications like automotive and industrial.

Transactional sales of equipment systems.
Competition
Printed Circuit Boards (PCB) and Component Inspection
$663M TTM (5% of Total)
What It Is

Sells systems that enable electronic device manufacturers to inspect, test, and measure PCBs, IC substrates, and packaged ICs to verify quality and pattern electronic circuitry.

Who Pays & How

Manufacturers of PCBs, IC substrates, and packaged ICs pay for these tools to ensure quality control and improve yield in their production processes.

Transactional sales of equipment systems.
Competition
The business benefits from the KLA operating model driving product strategy and execution, leveraging the trend of increasing package value.
KLAC Evolution: Price Return by Era
1997 · Formation and Core Focus
+13%
KLA-Tencor Corporation was formed in April 1997 through the merger of two leaders in the semiconductor capital equipment industry, establishing a focused provider of process control and yield management solutions.
2019 · Diversification and Expansion
+101%
The acquisition of Orbotech in 2019 expanded KLA's portfolio into adjacent markets, including PCB, flat panel display, and specialty semiconductor process tools, augmenting the company's core growth.
· The AI-Driven Era
The current era is defined by accelerating demand driven by the AI infrastructure build-out. This has dramatically increased the complexity of leading-edge logic and memory, making KLA's core Semiconductor Process Control business more critical and valuable than ever, and is driving significant growth in advanced packaging.
Market Is In Wait-and-See Mode
Price structure is damaged. The price has broken key levels and the trend is no longer supportive. Relative to SPY: Mildly ahead of the market but 'relative strength' trend is softening; monitor for rotation out. Volume and momentum show mild distribution. The selling pressure is present but not overwhelming. Earnings history is mildly supportive. The reaction or drift are positive but not both at full conviction.
① Structure
-2
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
+1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-2 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Potential Bottoming · -
2 Momentum Pausing
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Facing Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Emerging Resilience
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/11/2026