Onto Innovation (ONTO)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $159.02 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Onto Innovation (ONTO)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $159.02Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. | Key risksONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% |
| Key risksONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting the factors contributing to Onto Innovation's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025, based on the most recent available information:
<b>1. Strong Financial Performance and Revenue Growth:</b> Onto Innovation consistently reported strong financial results, with full-year 2024 revenue growing 21% over 2023, and GAAP diluted earnings per share increasing by 65% over the same period. The company also achieved record revenue of $267 million in Q1 2025, marking its seventh consecutive quarter of growth. In Q2 2025, revenue was $253.6 million, exceeding analyst estimates, and the company reported a solid Q3 2025, with revenue and earnings per share exceeding guidance.
<br><br><b>2. Surging Demand in AI Packaging and Advanced Nodes:</b> The company experienced substantial growth in its AI packaging revenue, which increased by 180% over 2023. Continued strong demand and momentum in advanced nodes were also key drivers of revenue growth, positioning the company to benefit from the increasing complexity of semiconductor manufacturing and AI-driven applications. Advanced nodes revenue surged by 96% from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025.
<br><br><b>3. Strategic Acquisitions Expanding Market Reach:</b> Onto Innovation strategically expanded its technological footprint through acquisitions, notably the definitive agreement in June 2025 to acquire Semilab USA LLC's materials analysis business for $545 million. This acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2025, is projected to add over $130 million in annual revenue, bolstering Onto's capabilities in electrical and surface metrology critical for advanced nodes and 3D architectures.
<br><br><b>4. Innovative Product Introductions and Technological Leadership:</b> The company continued to introduce new products and enhance its technological offerings, such as the 3Di™ technology on the Dragonfly® G3 system for improved bump process control in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced logic applications. Shipments of the Dragonfly platform were expected to double in the second half of 2025, aligning with industry trends like TSMC's CoWoS capacity expansion.
<br><br><b>5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Robust Semiconductor Market Outlook:</b> Analysts maintained a "Strong Buy" consensus rating for Onto Innovation, with several firms raising price targets throughout 2025. The broader semiconductor equipment market is projected for robust growth through 2025 and 2026, driven by unprecedented demand fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) and 5G infrastructure, further enhancing Onto Innovation's long-term growth potential.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.8% change in ONTO stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 44.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 127.58 | 160.55 | 25.84% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1036.35 | 1002.34 | -3.28% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.29% | 17.46% | -9.45% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.23 | 44.96 | 43.98% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48.92 | 49.02 | -0.20% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.84% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 25.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 63.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.1% | 68.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.4% change in ONTO stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 102.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 98.88 | 160.55 | 62.37% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1025.08 | 1002.34 | -2.22% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.36% | 17.46% | -18.22% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.21 | 44.96 | 102.41% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.18 | 49.02 | 0.32% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.37% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 62.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 53.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 17.0% | 61.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.9% change in ONTO stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 170.66 | 160.55 | -5.92% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 942.24 | 1002.34 | 6.38% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.44% | 17.46% | -10.16% |
| P/E Multiple | 46.05 | 44.96 | -2.37% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.43 | 49.02 | 0.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.93% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONTO | -5.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 63.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.0% | 68.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 143.3% change in ONTO stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 179.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 66.00 | 160.55 | 143.26% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 977.56 | 1002.34 | 2.53% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.85% | 17.46% | -16.26% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.08 | 44.96 | 179.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49.68 | 49.02 | 1.32% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 143.22% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 3.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 61.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.5% | 69.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ONTO Return | 30% | 113% | -33% | 125% | 9% | -3% | 343% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ONTO Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 75% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ONTO Max Drawdown | -43% | 0% | -42% | 0% | -11% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ONTO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 224 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 243 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 711 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1252.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 347 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Onto Innovation's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- ASML for optimizing quality and precision in semiconductor manufacturing.
- Carl Zeiss for high-precision measurement and inspection in semiconductor factories.
- Honeywell for advanced process control and yield optimization in semiconductor manufacturing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Process Control Systems: Advanced inspection and metrology equipment used to monitor and optimize semiconductor manufacturing processes for defect detection, critical dimension measurement, and material characterization.
- Lithography Systems: Specialized tools for patterning and exposure in advanced semiconductor packaging applications.
- Software and Analytics Solutions: Platforms for data analysis, process control, fault detection, and yield management across semiconductor fabrication.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Onto Innovation (ONTO) sells primarily to other companies in the global semiconductor industry.
Based on the company's public filings, Onto Innovation does not disclose the specific names of its major customers. This is because, for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, no single customer accounted for 10% or more of the company's total revenue. This 10% threshold is commonly used in SEC filings to require the individual disclosure of major customers.
Onto Innovation's customer base consists of a limited number of leading companies across various segments of the semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem. These customer categories include:
- Integrated Device Manufacturers (IDMs)
- Foundries (companies that manufacture chips for other companies)
- Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test (OSAT) Service Providers
While specific names are not provided by Onto Innovation, its customers are generally the world's largest and most advanced semiconductor manufacturers and service providers operating within these categories.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Michael Plisinski, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Plisinski has over 25 years of semiconductor capital equipment experience. He has been the CEO of Onto Innovation since 2019, following his role as CEO and board member for Rudolph Technologies since 2015. Prior to that, he was the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Rudolph Technologies. Mr. Plisinski founded and served as president of Counterpoint Solutions from 1999 to 2003, a supplier of optical review and automated metrology equipment to the semiconductor industry, which was later acquired by August Technology Corporation.
Brian Roberts, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Roberts brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience, including 11 years as CFO of publicly traded technology companies across the medical device, software, and industrial sectors. He most recently served as CFO of Sensata Technologies. Previously, he was CEO and CFO of Tarveda Therapeutics and held CFO positions at Insulet Corporation and Digitas, Inc. He also held senior financial roles at Averdo, Idiom Technologies, and Monitor Company.
Ramil Yaldaei, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Yaldaei is the Chief Operating Officer of Onto Innovation, with 25 years of experience in the semiconductor industry. His expertise spans the entire value chain, focusing on operational efficiencies, supplier partnerships, and collaborative relationships. Before joining Onto, he led global engineering, manufacturing, service, and supply chain organizations at various capital equipment companies, including serving as Senior Vice President of Global Supply Chain and Transformation at Visby Medical and Vice President and General Manager of Global Part Sourcing and Technology at Applied Materials.
Shirley Chen, Senior Vice President, Customer Success
Ms. Chen is the Senior Vice President of Customer Success. She spent nearly 15 years at KLA, where she rose to Vice President of Sales and Business Development, overseeing global sales of process control solutions. Her career also includes marketing leadership and process engineering roles at FormFactor and Intel.
Michel Rosa, Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Strategy
Mr. Rosa serves as Onto Innovation's Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Strategy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Onto Innovation's business include the highly competitive and cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions, and a significant concentration of revenue from a few key customers.
The semiconductor equipment industry is characterized by intense competition, rapid technological advancements, and evolving customer demands. Onto Innovation (ONTO) operates within this environment, facing challenges such as price pressures, the need for continuous innovation, and the inherent cyclical fluctuations of the semiconductor market, which can impact demand for its products and services.
Onto Innovation's international operations expose the company to various geopolitical risks, including trade disputes, tariffs, and regulatory changes. These factors can disrupt supply chains, increase operational costs, and affect market access. The company has acknowledged these pressures and is strategically shifting its manufacturing footprint to Asia to mitigate the impact of tariffs and other geopolitical considerations. Furthermore, effectively managing its supply chain is critical, as delays, shortages, or increased material and labor costs could adversely affect its operating results and margins.
A significant portion of Onto Innovation's revenue is concentrated among a small number of customers. As of June 28, 2025, two customers reportedly accounted for approximately 37% of the company's total net accounts receivable. This high level of customer concentration poses a substantial risk, as the loss of a major customer or a significant reduction in their orders could materially impact the company's revenue streams and overall financial stability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Onto Innovation's main products and services primarily focus on advanced process control solutions, including inspection and metrology tools for the semiconductor industry. These solutions are critical for improving yield and efficiency in semiconductor fabrication, particularly for front-end and advanced packaging applications. Their offerings include automated metrology systems, integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection/characterization, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, and opaque film metrology. The total addressable market (TAM) for process control, which encompasses Onto Innovation's primary offerings, is projected to expand significantly. During the "Mobility Era," this market was approximately $4.2 billion. However, driven by the demands of the emerging "AI Era" and advancements like 3D hybrid bonding, gate-all-around transistors, and high-bandwidth memory, the process control TAM is forecast to triple to $12.3 billion. This market size is considered global, given the worldwide nature of the semiconductor industry and Onto Innovation's international customer base and operational presence.AI Analysis | Feedback
Onto Innovation (ONTO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:- AI-Driven Advanced Packaging and High Bandwidth Memory (HBM): Onto Innovation is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for process control solutions in AI applications. The company has highlighted a significant expansion of its total addressable market (TAM) in the AI era, driven by technologies like 3D hybrid bonding, gate-all-around transistors, and high bandwidth memory (HBM). Its Dragonfly systems are seeing growing demand for AI packaging, which has been a key enabler for this new era of AI, contributing to record quarterly revenue in specialty devices and advanced packaging. New product introductions such as the Dragonfly 3Di technology are crucial, having been qualified by major HBM customers and securing orders for 2.5D logic applications supporting AI packaging.
- Growth in Advanced Nodes, including Gate-All-Around (GAA) Transistors: The adoption of advanced node technologies, particularly gate-all-around (GAA) transistor architecture, is a significant revenue driver. Onto Innovation anticipates continued strength in advanced packaging and the adoption of GAA transistor architecture at several customers to lead its revenue growth in 2025. The company projects its Advanced Node revenue to nearly double in 2025 compared to 2024, driven by demand in advanced logic, DRAM, and NAND markets. Initial shipments of Atlas G6 OCD systems to leading logic and memory customers further underscore this growth.
- Expansion of Inspection Solutions and New Product Launches: Onto Innovation is experiencing record inspection revenue, notably led by its Dragonfly platform, and is on pace to nearly double its inspection revenue for the current calendar year. The company continues to introduce new, advanced metrology and inspection systems, such as the EchoScanâ„¢ technology for hybrid bonding interconnect yields, which addresses increasing complexities in AI packaging. These new solutions are designed to meet the evolving and more stringent requirements for yield, device performance, quality, and reliability in semiconductor manufacturing.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion: Onto Innovation has actively expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions, such as Luna Instruments and the lithography business from KIC and Sofa. These acquisitions are expected to be accretive to earnings within 12 months and are projected to generate up to $100 million in additional annual revenue in the next three years. Furthermore, an agreement to acquire several synergistic product lines from Semilab International, including electrical surface metrology and materials analysis technology, is expected to add over $130 million in annual revenue and be immediately accretive to margins and increase first-year EPS by more than 10%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In November 2020, Onto Innovation's Board of Directors authorized a $100 million share repurchase program, replacing a prior authorization, and approximately $52 million worth of shares were repurchased in 2020.
- A new share repurchase authorization of up to $200 million was approved by the Board in February 2024.
- The company engaged in significant share repurchases, including approximately $75 million in Q1 2025, though no shares were repurchased in Q2 and Q3 2025 due to the pending Semilab acquisition.
Share Issuance
- As part of the pending Semilab acquisition, Onto Innovation is expected to issue 641,771 shares, contributing to a total deal value of approximately $495 million (including $432.3 million in cash).
- Shares were issued through share-based compensation plans, totaling $9.178 million for the period ending December 28, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- Onto Innovation announced the acquisition of synergistic product lines from Semilab International Zrt. for approximately $545 million in cash and stock, later amended to $432.3 million in cash plus 641,771 shares, valuing the deal at approximately $495 million as of June 27, 2025.
- This acquisition is anticipated to add over $130 million in annual revenue upon its expected closing in the coming weeks.
Capital Expenditures
- Onto Innovation consistently invests in property, plant, and equipment, and short-term investments, with cash flow from operations from 2020 to 2024 being sufficient to cover these expenditures.
- The company focuses capital on new product development and manufacturing capabilities, such as the strong demand for Dragonfly and 3Di systems, especially for AI and high-bandwidth memory applications.
- The company is considering further investments, including approximately £2.5 million (around $3 million USD) for machinery to produce a fast-growing product in-house, with an estimated four-year payback period.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ONTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.4% | 14.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.1% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.3% | 17.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 05312025 | ONTO | Onto Innovation | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 55.7% | 74.6% | -2.1% |
| 08312022 | ONTO | Onto Innovation | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 95.8% | -16.8% |
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Peer Comparisons for Onto Innovation
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 119.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 4.9 |
| P/EBIT | 23.8 |
| P/E | 38.5 |
| P/CFO | 21.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $160.55 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/26/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -28.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $142.43 | $119.28 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.7% | 34.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 55.6% | 69.9% |
| Downside Capture | 269.26 | 273.72 |
| Upside Capture | 328.47 | 227.38 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 63.5% | 63.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.35 | 2.84 | 2.73 | 2.58 | 2.20 | 2.18 |
| Up Beta | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.19 | 1.78 | 2.17 | 2.22 |
| Down Beta | 1.88 | 3.03 | 3.29 | 3.18 | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| Up Capture | 313% | 401% | 432% | 393% | 513% | 3065% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 23 | 34 | 67 | 126 | 389 |
| Down Capture | 237% | 277% | 231% | 209% | 156% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 29 | 58 | 122 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -4.0% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 69.5% | 27.5% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 68.1% | 63.3% | 3.4% | 22.2% | 26.5% | 33.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 27.7% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 54.6% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 68.3% | 62.1% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 31.2% | 28.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 26.2% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 50.2% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 | 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.7% | 57.0% | 6.1% | 18.7% | 35.5% | 19.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.6% | -1.5% | 23.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | 11.0% | 18.7% | 11.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -30.2% | -22.7% | -21.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | -11.2% | -17.4% | -41.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | -11.2% | -11.1% | -13.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 8.5% | 18.6% | 1.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| 2/8/2024 | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -4.2% | -14.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.0% | 20.3% | 35.2% |
| Max Negative | -30.2% | -22.7% | -41.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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