Tearsheet

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $149.56 | Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $149.56
Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  Key risks
ONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
5 Key risks
ONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ONTO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Onto Innovation (ONTO) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by a combination of strategic acquisitions, product innovations in AI device manufacturing, and financial results.

1. Acquisition of Semilab Product Lines: Onto Innovation completed the acquisition of unique materials composition and electrical analysis product lines from Semilab International, announced on November 17, 2025. This acquisition was valued at approximately $545 million in cash and stock, with an expected addition of over $130 million in annual revenue and immediate accretion to earnings per share upon closing. The initial value of the transaction based on Onto's closing price as of June 27, 2025, was about $495 million, a decrease of approximately $50 million from the original terms.

2. Strong Performance in Q2 and Q3 2025 Earnings: Onto Innovation reported its Q2 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, with revenue of $253.6 million, surpassing the midpoint of its guidance and increasing 5% year-over-year from Q2 2024. The company also delivered its Q3 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, reporting an EPS of $0.92, which topped the consensus estimate of $0.89. This robust profitability, despite a slight revenue miss, highlighted effective cost management and strong operational performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONTO Return30%113%-33%125%9%-7%322%
Peers Return52%46%-38%65%2%73%296%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONTO Win Rate58%83%42%75%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%65%33%63%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONTO Max Drawdown-43%0%-42%0%-11%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-6%-54%-6%-8%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, MKSI, FORM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1252.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days1,480 days

Compare to SANM, VNT, BMI, VSH, Q


In The Past

Onto Innovation's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Better Bets than Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ONTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
ONTO_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
55.7%67.8%-2.1%
ONTO_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%95.8%-16.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
ONTO_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
55.7%67.8%-2.1%
ONTO_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%95.8%-16.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Onto Innovation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONTOKLACAMATLRCXMKSIFORMMedian
NameOnto Inn.KLA Applied .Lam Rese.MKS FormFact. 
Mkt Price147.541,172.02248.27154.98148.7053.83151.84
Mkt Cap7.2154.4162.8196.010.04.282.2
Rev LTM1,00212,52428,36819,5923,8317598,178
Op Inc LTM1695,2318,4706,466553422,892
FCF LTM2613,8735,6985,55053052,201
FCF 3Y Avg2053,4136,9264,964392201,903
CFO LTM2894,2487,9586,3846791052,464
CFO 3Y Avg2333,7378,4455,531511912,124

Growth & Margins

ONTOKLACAMATLRCXMKSIFORMMedian
NameOnto Inn.KLA Applied .Lam Rese.MKS FormFact. 
Rev Chg LTM6.4%22.1%4.4%25.7%8.1%2.3%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%8.7%3.2%4.0%6.4%-0.5%3.6%
Rev Chg Q-13.5%13.0%-3.5%27.7%10.3%-2.5%3.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.3%3.0%-0.9%6.3%2.5%-0.7%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%41.8%29.9%33.0%14.4%5.6%23.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%38.9%29.2%30.2%13.3%3.1%23.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%0.5%-0.3%1.0%-0.1%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM28.9%33.9%28.1%32.6%17.7%13.9%28.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%34.0%30.9%32.5%13.7%12.5%27.9%
FCF/Rev LTM26.1%30.9%20.1%28.3%13.8%0.7%23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%31.1%25.4%29.3%10.5%2.7%23.5%

Valuation

ONTOKLACAMATLRCXMKSIFORMMedian
NameOnto Inn.KLA Applied .Lam Rese.MKS FormFact. 
Mkt Cap7.2154.4162.8196.010.04.282.2
P/S6.311.35.78.62.23.76.0
P/EBIT37.527.5-25.315.536.127.5
P/E36.233.523.329.129.969.031.7
P/CFO21.933.520.526.512.326.824.2
Total Yield2.8%3.7%5.1%4.1%4.1%1.4%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.9%0.7%0.7%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%3.6%-4.4%5.3%0.6%3.6%
D/E0.00.0-0.00.60.00.0
Net D/E-0.20.0--0.00.5-0.1-0.0

Returns

ONTOKLACAMATLRCXMKSIFORMMedian
NameOnto Inn.KLA Applied .Lam Rese.MKS FormFact. 
1M Rtn15.9%3.4%8.6%5.3%4.9%9.7%6.9%
3M Rtn27.2%18.6%39.6%27.6%24.7%69.4%27.4%
6M Rtn52.2%35.1%44.3%68.6%61.9%61.7%56.9%
12M Rtn-14.3%80.5%47.2%101.0%36.4%22.7%41.8%
3Y Rtn107.2%213.1%143.5%260.2%85.5%127.0%135.3%
1M Excs Rtn15.2%2.6%7.8%4.5%4.2%9.0%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn18.3%10.8%29.7%21.8%13.3%48.0%20.0%
6M Excs Rtn39.8%22.7%32.0%56.2%49.5%49.3%44.5%
12M Excs Rtn-22.8%69.7%37.0%94.0%22.2%15.6%29.6%
3Y Excs Rtn21.8%132.6%64.8%177.3%12.6%54.9%59.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, development, manufacture and support of high-performance control metrology, defect8161,005789556306
Total8161,005789556306


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,973,103
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.5%
Average Daily Volume684,830
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.88
Basic Shares Quantity49,023,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20255.6%-1.5%23.4%
8/7/202511.0%18.7%11.8%
5/8/2025-30.2%-22.7%-21.6%
2/6/2025-11.2%-17.4%-41.4%
10/31/2024-11.2%-11.1%-13.9%
8/8/20248.5%18.6%1.6%
5/9/20247.6%7.5%4.7%
2/8/20249.3%7.1%9.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative10109
Median Positive6.8%7.5%11.5%
Median Negative-2.5%-4.2%-14.1%
Max Positive11.0%20.3%35.2%
Max Negative-30.2%-22.7%-41.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022809202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021225202210-K 1/1/2022