Tearsheet

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $159.45 | Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $159.45
Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ONTO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Onto Innovation (ONTO) stock performance from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, shows a complex picture rather than a straightforward 50.4% increase. Based on the search results, the stock experienced fluctuations, including declines after its Q3 2025 earnings report. For example, on November 6, 2025, the stock fell by 2.95% to $135.76 following earnings. Another source shows a 52-week range between $85.88 and $228.42, and a one-year change of -4.16% as of December 3, 2025. As of December 2, 2025, the stock was at $154.01, with a positive movement of 4.77% on that day. On December 3, 2025, the stock closed at $158.12, up 2.67%. On December 5, 2025, the stock was at $159.45, up 0.84% in the past 24 hours and a 26.05% rise over the month. However, the premise of a 50.4% increase within this specific timeframe is not directly supported by the provided search results which indicate a more volatile and, at times, downward trend in the immediate aftermath of Q3 earnings in early November 2025. Therefore, I cannot accurately identify the key points for a 50.4% stock movement *up* for Onto Innovation for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 5, 2025), as the provided information does not indicate such a consistent upward trend. The stock experienced a decline post-Q3 earnings in early November, although there were some recent daily gains. However, I can highlight general positive developments for the company that might contribute to *potential* positive sentiment, even if they don't directly correspond to the specified stock increase percentage within the exact timeframe provided by the user. I will list these as they represent significant company activities reported within or near the requested period. Here are potential key points that *could* drive stock performance, based on information available for the specified period:

1. Onto Innovation's Dragonfly® 3Di™ technology was fully qualified by two major high-bandwidth memory (HBM) customers, and the company secured orders for 2.5D logic applications, crucial for AI accelerators and advanced GPUs. This development positions Onto Innovation to capitalize on the growing demand in AI computing and memory investment.

2. The company completed the acquisition of unique materials composition and electrical analysis product lines from Semilab International on November 17, 2025. This acquisition, valued at approximately $495 million, is expected to enhance Onto Innovation's capabilities in inline wafer contamination monitoring, materials characterization, and surface charge metrology. It is also projected to be immediately accretive to margins and add to diluted earnings per share in Q4 2025, with an anticipated contribution of about $120 million in revenue in 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONTO Return30%113%-33%125%9%-4%336%
Peers Return8%9%1%25%13%18%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONTO Win Rate58%83%42%75%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%40%40%48%43%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONTO Max Drawdown-43%0%-42%0%-11%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-5%-22%-6%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SANM, VNT, BMI, VSH, Q.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1252.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days1480 days

Compare to SANM, VNT, BMI, VSH, Q


In The Past

Onto Innovation's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Better Bets than Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ONTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
ONTO_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
55.7%72.0%-2.1%
ONTO_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%95.8%-16.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
ONTO_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
55.7%72.0%-2.1%
ONTO_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%95.8%-16.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Onto Innovation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONTOSANMVNTBMIVSHQMedian
NameOnto Inn.Sanmina Vontier Badger M.Vishay I.Qnity El. 
Mkt Price159.45160.7636.03177.8115.1583.46121.45
Mkt Cap7.88.65.35.22.1-5.3
Rev LTM1,0028,0493,0449012,9834,3743,013
Op Inc LTM16937955818052863279
FCF LTM261366414166-221658313
FCF 3Y Avg205214390129-80-205
CFO LTM289473489181103916381
CFO 3Y Avg233360462141247-247

Growth & Margins

ONTOSANMVNTBMIVSHQMedian
NameOnto Inn.Sanmina Vontier Badger M.Vishay I.Qnity El. 
Rev Chg LTM6.4%5.9%1.8%12.1%-0.8%-5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%4.6%-0.6%17.7%-4.9%-1.4%
Rev Chg Q-13.5%10.9%0.3%13.1%7.5%-7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.3%2.5%0.1%3.1%1.9%-1.9%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%4.7%18.3%19.9%1.7%19.7%17.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%4.8%17.9%18.3%7.8%-17.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%0.1%0.3%0.0%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM28.9%5.9%16.1%20.1%3.4%20.9%18.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%4.4%15.0%17.6%7.4%-15.0%
FCF/Rev LTM26.1%4.5%13.6%18.5%-7.4%15.0%14.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%2.7%12.7%16.1%-3.0%-12.7%

Valuation

ONTOSANMVNTBMIVSHQMedian
NameOnto Inn.Sanmina Vontier Badger M.Vishay I.Qnity El. 
Mkt Cap7.88.65.35.22.1-5.3
P/S6.30.72.05.80.7-2.0
P/EBIT37.514.110.929.3-909.6-14.1
P/E36.220.215.137.9-27.2-20.2
P/CFO21.911.112.629.020.2-20.2
Total Yield2.8%4.9%6.8%3.4%-1.1%-3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%0.8%2.6%-0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%4.9%7.3%2.5%-4.4%-2.8%
D/E0.00.10.30.00.5-0.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.10.3-0.00.3--0.0

Returns

ONTOSANMVNTBMIVSHQMedian
NameOnto Inn.Sanmina Vontier Badger M.Vishay I.Qnity El. 
1M Rtn23.5%-1.7%-4.1%-2.6%-5.2%-17.2%-3.4%
3M Rtn56.4%34.1%-16.7%-2.7%0.3%-0.3%
6M Rtn69.1%86.9%0.7%-28.0%5.0%-5.0%
12M Rtn-6.3%102.3%-7.6%-18.9%-17.7%--7.6%
3Y Rtn103.6%147.2%89.7%59.2%-27.9%-89.7%
1M Excs Rtn22.2%-3.0%-5.4%-3.9%-6.5%-18.5%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn47.4%27.1%-22.8%-8.3%-7.1%--7.1%
6M Excs Rtn53.6%71.4%-14.7%-43.5%-10.4%--10.4%
12M Excs Rtn-20.1%87.5%-21.5%-32.2%-32.8%--21.5%
3Y Excs Rtn37.3%74.3%17.4%-11.8%-100.2%-17.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, development, manufacture and support of high-performance control metrology, defect8161,005789556306
Total8161,005789556306


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,753,222
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.8%
Average Daily Volume1,100,713
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.59
Basic Shares Quantity49,023,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022809202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021225202210-K 1/1/2022