Tearsheet

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $159.02 | Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Onto Innovation (ONTO)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $159.02
Market Cap: $7.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  Key risks
ONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65%
6 Key risks
ONTO key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from a few key customers and [2] geopolitical factors disrupting its international supply chain and manufacturing operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ONTO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are five key points highlighting the factors contributing to Onto Innovation's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025, based on the most recent available information:

<b>1. Strong Financial Performance and Revenue Growth:</b> Onto Innovation consistently reported strong financial results, with full-year 2024 revenue growing 21% over 2023, and GAAP diluted earnings per share increasing by 65% over the same period. The company also achieved record revenue of $267 million in Q1 2025, marking its seventh consecutive quarter of growth. In Q2 2025, revenue was $253.6 million, exceeding analyst estimates, and the company reported a solid Q3 2025, with revenue and earnings per share exceeding guidance.

<br><br><b>2. Surging Demand in AI Packaging and Advanced Nodes:</b> The company experienced substantial growth in its AI packaging revenue, which increased by 180% over 2023. Continued strong demand and momentum in advanced nodes were also key drivers of revenue growth, positioning the company to benefit from the increasing complexity of semiconductor manufacturing and AI-driven applications. Advanced nodes revenue surged by 96% from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025.

<br><br><b>3. Strategic Acquisitions Expanding Market Reach:</b> Onto Innovation strategically expanded its technological footprint through acquisitions, notably the definitive agreement in June 2025 to acquire Semilab USA LLC's materials analysis business for $545 million. This acquisition, expected to close in the second half of 2025, is projected to add over $130 million in annual revenue, bolstering Onto's capabilities in electrical and surface metrology critical for advanced nodes and 3D architectures.

<br><br><b>4. Innovative Product Introductions and Technological Leadership:</b> The company continued to introduce new products and enhance its technological offerings, such as the 3Di™ technology on the Dragonfly® G3 system for improved bump process control in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced logic applications. Shipments of the Dragonfly platform were expected to double in the second half of 2025, aligning with industry trends like TSMC's CoWoS capacity expansion.

<br><br><b>5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Robust Semiconductor Market Outlook:</b> Analysts maintained a "Strong Buy" consensus rating for Onto Innovation, with several firms raising price targets throughout 2025. The broader semiconductor equipment market is projected for robust growth through 2025 and 2026, driven by unprecedented demand fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) and 5G infrastructure, further enhancing Onto Innovation's long-term growth potential.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.8% change in ONTO stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 44.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)127.58160.5525.84%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1036.351002.34-3.28%
Net Income Margin (%)19.29%17.46%-9.45%
P/E Multiple31.2344.9643.98%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)48.9249.02-0.20%
Cumulative Contribution25.84%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ONTO25.8% 
Market (SPY)4.3%63.7%
Sector (XLK)5.1%68.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 62.4% change in ONTO stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 102.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)98.88160.5562.37%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1025.081002.34-2.22%
Net Income Margin (%)21.36%17.46%-18.22%
P/E Multiple22.2144.96102.41%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49.1849.020.32%
Cumulative Contribution62.37%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ONTO62.4% 
Market (SPY)12.6%53.8%
Sector (XLK)17.0%61.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.9% change in ONTO stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)170.66160.55-5.92%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)942.241002.346.38%
Net Income Margin (%)19.44%17.46%-10.16%
P/E Multiple46.0544.96-2.37%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49.4349.020.82%
Cumulative Contribution-5.93%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ONTO-5.9% 
Market (SPY)17.0%63.5%
Sector (XLK)24.0%68.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 143.3% change in ONTO stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 179.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)66.00160.55143.26%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)977.561002.342.53%
Net Income Margin (%)20.85%17.46%-16.26%
P/E Multiple16.0844.96179.55%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49.6849.021.32%
Cumulative Contribution143.22%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
ONTO3.4% 
Market (SPY)48.0%61.8%
Sector (XLK)53.5%69.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONTO Return30%113%-33%125%9%-3%343%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONTO Win Rate58%83%42%75%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONTO Max Drawdown-43%0%-42%0%-11%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1252.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Onto Innovation's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that performs macro defect inspection and 2D/3D optical metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software worldwide. It offers process and yield management solutions, and device packaging and test facilities through standalone systems for macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, probe card test and analysis, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements; and process control software portfolio that includes solutions for standalone tools, groups of tools, and enterprise-or factory-wide suites. The company also provides spare parts and software licensing services. Its products are used by semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers; silicon wafer; light emitting diode; vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser; micro-electromechanical system; CMOS image sensor; power device; RF filter; data storage; and various industrial and scientific applications. The company was formerly known as Rudolph Technologies, Inc. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

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  • ASML for optimizing quality and precision in semiconductor manufacturing.
  • Carl Zeiss for high-precision measurement and inspection in semiconductor factories.
  • Honeywell for advanced process control and yield optimization in semiconductor manufacturing.

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  • Process Control Systems: Advanced inspection and metrology equipment used to monitor and optimize semiconductor manufacturing processes for defect detection, critical dimension measurement, and material characterization.
  • Lithography Systems: Specialized tools for patterning and exposure in advanced semiconductor packaging applications.
  • Software and Analytics Solutions: Platforms for data analysis, process control, fault detection, and yield management across semiconductor fabrication.

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Onto Innovation (ONTO) sells primarily to other companies in the global semiconductor industry.

Based on the company's public filings, Onto Innovation does not disclose the specific names of its major customers. This is because, for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, no single customer accounted for 10% or more of the company's total revenue. This 10% threshold is commonly used in SEC filings to require the individual disclosure of major customers.

Onto Innovation's customer base consists of a limited number of leading companies across various segments of the semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem. These customer categories include:

  • Integrated Device Manufacturers (IDMs)
  • Foundries (companies that manufacture chips for other companies)
  • Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test (OSAT) Service Providers

While specific names are not provided by Onto Innovation, its customers are generally the world's largest and most advanced semiconductor manufacturers and service providers operating within these categories.

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Michael Plisinski, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Plisinski has over 25 years of semiconductor capital equipment experience. He has been the CEO of Onto Innovation since 2019, following his role as CEO and board member for Rudolph Technologies since 2015. Prior to that, he was the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Rudolph Technologies. Mr. Plisinski founded and served as president of Counterpoint Solutions from 1999 to 2003, a supplier of optical review and automated metrology equipment to the semiconductor industry, which was later acquired by August Technology Corporation.

Brian Roberts, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Roberts brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience, including 11 years as CFO of publicly traded technology companies across the medical device, software, and industrial sectors. He most recently served as CFO of Sensata Technologies. Previously, he was CEO and CFO of Tarveda Therapeutics and held CFO positions at Insulet Corporation and Digitas, Inc. He also held senior financial roles at Averdo, Idiom Technologies, and Monitor Company.

Ramil Yaldaei, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Yaldaei is the Chief Operating Officer of Onto Innovation, with 25 years of experience in the semiconductor industry. His expertise spans the entire value chain, focusing on operational efficiencies, supplier partnerships, and collaborative relationships. Before joining Onto, he led global engineering, manufacturing, service, and supply chain organizations at various capital equipment companies, including serving as Senior Vice President of Global Supply Chain and Transformation at Visby Medical and Vice President and General Manager of Global Part Sourcing and Technology at Applied Materials.

Shirley Chen, Senior Vice President, Customer Success

Ms. Chen is the Senior Vice President of Customer Success. She spent nearly 15 years at KLA, where she rose to Vice President of Sales and Business Development, overseeing global sales of process control solutions. Her career also includes marketing leadership and process engineering roles at FormFactor and Intel.

Michel Rosa, Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Strategy

Mr. Rosa serves as Onto Innovation's Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Strategy.

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The key risks to Onto Innovation's business include the highly competitive and cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions, and a significant concentration of revenue from a few key customers.

The semiconductor equipment industry is characterized by intense competition, rapid technological advancements, and evolving customer demands. Onto Innovation (ONTO) operates within this environment, facing challenges such as price pressures, the need for continuous innovation, and the inherent cyclical fluctuations of the semiconductor market, which can impact demand for its products and services.

Onto Innovation's international operations expose the company to various geopolitical risks, including trade disputes, tariffs, and regulatory changes. These factors can disrupt supply chains, increase operational costs, and affect market access. The company has acknowledged these pressures and is strategically shifting its manufacturing footprint to Asia to mitigate the impact of tariffs and other geopolitical considerations. Furthermore, effectively managing its supply chain is critical, as delays, shortages, or increased material and labor costs could adversely affect its operating results and margins.

A significant portion of Onto Innovation's revenue is concentrated among a small number of customers. As of June 28, 2025, two customers reportedly accounted for approximately 37% of the company's total net accounts receivable. This high level of customer concentration poses a substantial risk, as the loss of a major customer or a significant reduction in their orders could materially impact the company's revenue streams and overall financial stability.

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Onto Innovation's main products and services primarily focus on advanced process control solutions, including inspection and metrology tools for the semiconductor industry. These solutions are critical for improving yield and efficiency in semiconductor fabrication, particularly for front-end and advanced packaging applications. Their offerings include automated metrology systems, integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection/characterization, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, and opaque film metrology. The total addressable market (TAM) for process control, which encompasses Onto Innovation's primary offerings, is projected to expand significantly. During the "Mobility Era," this market was approximately $4.2 billion. However, driven by the demands of the emerging "AI Era" and advancements like 3D hybrid bonding, gate-all-around transistors, and high-bandwidth memory, the process control TAM is forecast to triple to $12.3 billion. This market size is considered global, given the worldwide nature of the semiconductor industry and Onto Innovation's international customer base and operational presence.

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Onto Innovation (ONTO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
  • AI-Driven Advanced Packaging and High Bandwidth Memory (HBM): Onto Innovation is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for process control solutions in AI applications. The company has highlighted a significant expansion of its total addressable market (TAM) in the AI era, driven by technologies like 3D hybrid bonding, gate-all-around transistors, and high bandwidth memory (HBM). Its Dragonfly systems are seeing growing demand for AI packaging, which has been a key enabler for this new era of AI, contributing to record quarterly revenue in specialty devices and advanced packaging. New product introductions such as the Dragonfly 3Di technology are crucial, having been qualified by major HBM customers and securing orders for 2.5D logic applications supporting AI packaging.
  • Growth in Advanced Nodes, including Gate-All-Around (GAA) Transistors: The adoption of advanced node technologies, particularly gate-all-around (GAA) transistor architecture, is a significant revenue driver. Onto Innovation anticipates continued strength in advanced packaging and the adoption of GAA transistor architecture at several customers to lead its revenue growth in 2025. The company projects its Advanced Node revenue to nearly double in 2025 compared to 2024, driven by demand in advanced logic, DRAM, and NAND markets. Initial shipments of Atlas G6 OCD systems to leading logic and memory customers further underscore this growth.
  • Expansion of Inspection Solutions and New Product Launches: Onto Innovation is experiencing record inspection revenue, notably led by its Dragonfly platform, and is on pace to nearly double its inspection revenue for the current calendar year. The company continues to introduce new, advanced metrology and inspection systems, such as the EchoScanâ„¢ technology for hybrid bonding interconnect yields, which addresses increasing complexities in AI packaging. These new solutions are designed to meet the evolving and more stringent requirements for yield, device performance, quality, and reliability in semiconductor manufacturing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion: Onto Innovation has actively expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions, such as Luna Instruments and the lithography business from KIC and Sofa. These acquisitions are expected to be accretive to earnings within 12 months and are projected to generate up to $100 million in additional annual revenue in the next three years. Furthermore, an agreement to acquire several synergistic product lines from Semilab International, including electrical surface metrology and materials analysis technology, is expected to add over $130 million in annual revenue and be immediately accretive to margins and increase first-year EPS by more than 10%.

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Share Repurchases

  • In November 2020, Onto Innovation's Board of Directors authorized a $100 million share repurchase program, replacing a prior authorization, and approximately $52 million worth of shares were repurchased in 2020.
  • A new share repurchase authorization of up to $200 million was approved by the Board in February 2024.
  • The company engaged in significant share repurchases, including approximately $75 million in Q1 2025, though no shares were repurchased in Q2 and Q3 2025 due to the pending Semilab acquisition.

Share Issuance

  • As part of the pending Semilab acquisition, Onto Innovation is expected to issue 641,771 shares, contributing to a total deal value of approximately $495 million (including $432.3 million in cash).
  • Shares were issued through share-based compensation plans, totaling $9.178 million for the period ending December 28, 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • Onto Innovation announced the acquisition of synergistic product lines from Semilab International Zrt. for approximately $545 million in cash and stock, later amended to $432.3 million in cash plus 641,771 shares, valuing the deal at approximately $495 million as of June 27, 2025.
  • This acquisition is anticipated to add over $130 million in annual revenue upon its expected closing in the coming weeks.

Capital Expenditures

  • Onto Innovation consistently invests in property, plant, and equipment, and short-term investments, with cash flow from operations from 2020 to 2024 being sufficient to cover these expenditures.
  • The company focuses capital on new product development and manufacturing capabilities, such as the strong demand for Dragonfly and 3Di systems, especially for AI and high-bandwidth memory applications.
  • The company is considering further investments, including approximately £2.5 million (around $3 million USD) for machinery to produce a fast-growing product in-house, with an estimated four-year payback period.

Better Bets than Onto Innovation (ONTO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to ONTO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
14.4%14.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.1%13.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.3%17.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.0%12.0%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
ONTO_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE05312025ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
55.7%74.6%-2.1%
ONTO_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022ONTOOnto InnovationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%95.8%-16.8%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Onto Innovation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ONTOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOnto Inn.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price160.5523.2624.49305.0978.16273.40119.36
Mkt Cap7.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM1,00255,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM1693,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM2612,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg2052,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM2893,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg2333,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

ONTOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOnto Inn.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM6.4%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-13.5%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.3%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%17.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.7%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%17.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM28.9%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM26.1%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%20.2%

Valuation

ONTOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOnto Inn.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap7.921.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S7.90.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT46.66.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E45.08.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO27.25.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield2.2%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

ONTOHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameOnto Inn.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn14.3%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn25.8%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn62.4%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%24.9%
12M Rtn-5.9%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%11.8%
3Y Rtn143.3%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%100.7%
1M Excs Rtn14.8%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn21.5%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn50.1%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%12.6%
12M Excs Rtn-23.9%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn51.3%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Design, development, manufacture and support of high-performance control metrology, defect8161,005789556306
Total8161,005789556306


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$160.55 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.9 
First Trading Date02/26/1992 
Distance from 52W High-28.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$142.43$119.28
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA12.7%34.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.6%69.9%
Downside Capture269.26273.72
Upside Capture328.47227.38
Correlation (SPY)63.5%63.4%
ONTO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.352.842.732.582.202.18
Up Beta1.331.131.191.782.172.22
Down Beta1.883.033.293.181.821.82
Up Capture313%401%432%393%513%3065%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10233467126389
Down Capture237%277%231%209%156%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10192958122361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 ONTOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-4.0%25.0%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility69.5%27.5%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.240.790.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 68.1%63.3%3.4%22.2%26.5%33.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 ONTOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return27.7%18.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility54.6%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.660.690.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 68.3%62.1%8.5%15.0%31.2%28.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of ONTO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 ONTOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return26.2%22.5%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility50.2%24.2%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.660.850.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 61.7%57.0%6.1%18.7%35.5%19.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,698,806
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-13.9%
Average Daily Volume878,507
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.93
Basic Shares Quantity49,023,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20255.6%-1.5%23.4%
8/7/202511.0%18.7%11.8%
5/8/2025-30.2%-22.7%-21.6%
2/6/2025-11.2%-17.4%-41.4%
10/31/2024-11.2%-11.1%-13.9%
8/8/20248.5%18.6%1.6%
5/9/20247.6%7.5%4.7%
2/8/20249.3%7.1%9.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative10109
Median Positive6.8%7.5%11.5%
Median Negative-2.5%-4.2%-14.1%
Max Positive11.0%20.3%35.2%
Max Negative-30.2%-22.7%-41.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022809202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021225202210-K 1/1/2022